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Log Haulin

Opening Line for Ducks Opener: Georgia -15

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ATHENS - The Georgia Bulldogs opened as a significant favorite over Pac 12 power Oregon in Atlanta at the 2022...

 

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Georgia has 4 road games this season. They do have to go to Atlanta for their first game. I wonder how the SEC does it?

 

The spread seems about right for the two programs in Atlanta.

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Anything under 10ish give the ducks respect in the eyes of the college football world. A ton of unknowns. New coach, healthy, no more Mari-ball. Looking for the upset but 7-10 point loss is still a win. I like it.

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On 4/22/2022 at 5:20 AM, Haywarduck said:

Georgia has 4 road games this season. They do have to go to Atlanta for their first game. I wonder how the SEC does it?

 

The spread seems about right for the two programs in Atlanta.

Agreed. If Oregon covers, that would be very impressive.

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On 4/22/2022 at 8:20 AM, Haywarduck said:

Georgia has 4 road games this season. They do have to go to Atlanta for their first game. I wonder how the SEC does it?

 

The spread seems about right for the two programs in Atlanta.

The SEC conference plays 8 and not 9 conference games, and shells out to bring in stiffs for body bag games. 

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On 4/22/2022 at 7:49 AM, Log Haulin said:
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ATHENS - The Georgia Bulldogs opened as a significant favorite over Pac 12 power Oregon in Atlanta at the 2022...

 

Man, there is a big difference between +13.5/14 and +15. I'm on this before the line drops.

 

However, I will not be betting at one of Charles' favorites, Woo Casino.

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Yeah, the perception of over two touchdowns is Oregon isn't getting any chance, a cover would be a statement.

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On 4/22/2022 at 12:07 PM, 30Duck said:

Yeah, the perception of over two touchdowns is Oregon isn't getting any chance, a cover would be a statement.

This line also says a lot about this being a 'neutral site' game. I hope the Ducks will take the game well into the 4th quarter?

 

Lots of big time recruits to replace the guys who left but UGA only returns 4 starters on D. 7 starters return on O including the QB coming off of winning the Natty.

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On 4/22/2022 at 9:18 AM, Jon Joseph said:

This line also says a lot about this being a 'neutral site' game.

I agree, if it was being played at Sanford, probably a spread of -21. Going into the 4th quarter as close as 10 would be significant.

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On 4/22/2022 at 12:25 PM, 30Duck said:

I agree, if it was being played at Sanford, probably a spread of -21. Going into the 4th quarter as close as 10 would be significant.

My guess? 'Tween the Hedges' would perhaps, move the line up a half point to a point?

 

I think UGA playing in the ATL is already, at -15, getting close to a home field bump?

 

To me, UGA -15 looks like a concentrated effort to balance the book. Will be fun to see in which direction the line moves. I'm down with the Ducks at +15 and will follow the line north with an additional bet(s) if need be.

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On 4/22/2022 at 9:32 AM, Jon Joseph said:

 

I think UGA playing in the ATL is already, at -15, getting close to a home field bump?

Could be. But a real home game, the defending champ with their starting QB back against Pac-12 team with a new coach, new OC, new QB looks like -18 at least to me. 

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Guest Axel

I like the Ducks at +15 with Lanning at the helm.

 

If Cristobal was still our coach, the Ducks would need at least 30 points to cover.

 

If Taggart, good grief, was still our coach, the Ducks would need at least 50.

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I've no doubt that Lanning will have the Ducks fired up and focused for this one, but all the pressure is on Georgia. Every minute the Ducks stay in the game, the camera goes to the Oregon sideline and shows Lanning urging his new team on, meanwhile on the Georgia sideline, Kirby's collar is getting tight.

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On 4/22/2022 at 1:20 PM, 30Duck said:

I've no doubt that Lanning will have the Ducks fired up and focused for this one, but all the pressure is on Georgia. Every minute the Ducks stay in the game, the camera goes to the Oregon sideline and shows Lanning urging his new team on, meanwhile on the Georgia sideline, Kirby's collar is getting tight.

Great and accurate take. If the Ducks pull off the upset that is an embarrassing loss for UGA and the SEC.

 

Man, I'd love if on 9/3 Oregon and Utah can pull off an SEC daily double.

 

This would mean immediate respect for the Pac-12. And could set up a College Game Day has to be there in Autzen when Utah visits in November.

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Just for comparison, the Oregon @ Ohio State line was as high as -14.5 with an O/U of 64. Someone expected a score around 41-24. We know how that turned out. Without KT and Flowe. Could be a lot closer that the odds makers think.

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I was thinking the same thing EastBay. This team has did it before and will do it again. This will be the 2nd time we shock CFB in 2 yrs.

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On 4/22/2022 at 2:34 PM, EastBayDuckDad said:

Just for comparison, the Oregon @ Ohio State line was as high as -14.5 with an O/U of 64. Someone expected a score around 41-24. We know how that turned out. Without KT and Flowe. Could be a lot closer that the odds makers think.

Great take. Even with the loss of Coach Lanning and only 4 starters returning on D I expect the UGA D to be far saltier than was the tOSU D in 2021.

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I fully expect UGA will have some growing pains early on defense in 2022. The question is: Will the Ducks' offense be far enough along under a new staff to exploit them?

 

Fair warning: I also expect UGA's offense to be better than last year's edition which averaged just under 40 points per game. Also, expect to see at least some 3 tight end sets if necessary,  as the boys manning that room are huge, fast, have great hands,  and are demons as blockers. So CDL's charges had better be good to stay in this one.

 

Don't get me wrong. I am not dissing the Ducks--I actually expect them to be at least as good as last Year's edition if they can avoid the glitches that teams show early on under a new staff. Shoot, Georgia had its share of hiccups in Kirby's first season at the helm.

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On 4/23/2022 at 10:25 PM, Nevada Dawg said:

I fully expect UGA will have some growing pains early on defense in 2022. The question is: Will the Ducks' offense be far enough along under a new staff to exploit them?

 

Fair warning: I also expect UGA's offense to be better than last year's edition which averaged just under 40 points per game. Also, expect to see at least some 3 tight end sets if necessary,  as the boys manning that room are huge, fast, have great hands,  and are demons as blockers. So CDL's charges had better be good to stay in this one.

 

Don't get me wrong. I am not dissing the Ducks--I actually expect them to be at least as good as last Year's edition if they can avoid the glitches that teams show early on under a new staff. Shoot, Georgia had its share of hiccups in Kirby's first season at the helm.

Oregon's going to be ready to play. Oregon has some absolute dudes.  Injuries and Mari-ball masked that truth last year. After watching this spring game, Dawgs are going to have their hands full. 

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While I place backlinks in articles for gambling sites to pay the bills...I have never placed a bet ever, anywhere.  But if I were a betting man...that 15 point line is pretty darn attractive.  Takes three scores to beat it?

 

Bets, like other things in

life don't always go well...

giphy.gif

I thought he looked friendly...

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Mr. FishDuck

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On 4/24/2022 at 2:13 AM, Charles Fischer said:

While I place backlinks in articles for gambling sites to pay the bills...I have never placed a bet ever, anywhere.  But if I were a betting man...that 15 point line is pretty darn attractive.  Takes three scores to beat it?

 

Bets, like other things in

life don't always go well...

giphy.gif

I thought he looked friendly...

We knew you only hung out in all of those casinos for free drinks!

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On 4/22/2022 at 10:13 AM, Axel said:

I like the Ducks at +15 with Lanning at the helm.

 

If Cristobal was still our coach, the Ducks would need at least 30 points to cover.

 

If Taggart, good grief, was still our coach, the Ducks would need at least 50.

 

I get that Willie Taggert is very unpopular.

 

His offense was the most explosive in Oregon history.  Check the numbers ( and no Braxton Burmeister' s stats do not count as his his high school was a grade school in comparison to California's elite programs- he was not D1 caliber his freshman year).

 

Taggert definitely would have taken Justin Herbert to two playoff appearances in my opinion.  

 

If you disagree, watch Herbert's highlights before and AFTER his injury.  He obliterated defenses.  Not dominated, Scorched, .and Torched them.  Taggart's offense was a weapon of mass destruction with JH healthy.  Made Mariota look ordinary ( and yes, I'll argue with anyone in that one- Herbert's NFL career should settle that matter all by itself).  Simply put- SEC teams would have struggled to handle JH in that offense, and I mean Joe Burrow numbers 

 

I'm certain plenty will disagree.  Look at Herbert's in Los Angeles, and go back to his 2917 highlights and tell me what you see looks different 

 

Taggert made Cristobal look like the turtle to his rabbit.  And even Chip Kelly with Darin Thomas didn't look that clean passing the ball.  

 

Don't compare Taggart's arrogance and lack of proper judgement with his 2017 offense.  Chip Kelly will never average FIFTY POINTS A GAME- even with a talent like Justin Herbert ( he wants to feature his run game too much).

 

Heresy to many.  Tape, however, never lies.  Herbert looked like the NFL quarterback he is when he was with Taggart .  If he stayed healthy, ANOTHER Heisman would be ours to cherish.

 

Watch that tape.  Show me how I'm wrong.

 

Show me why you think Herbert looked like his freshman, junior and senior years.  

.

I will defend Willie Taggart's 2017 offense till my cold dead hands can't hold a pen.  His offense was unstoppable.

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On 4/23/2022 at 11:06 PM, Log Haulin said:

Oregon's going to be ready to play. Oregon has some absolute dudes.  Injuries and Mari-ball masked that truth last year. After watching this spring game, Dawgs are going to have their hands full. 

 

Nix needs to clean up his "sloppy" play though.  UGA's defense is still good enough that Nix will have to play very well.

 

To date, Nix averages 17 PPG against elite defenses.  UGA's defense will be talented enough they will be close to elite.  

 

He looks better, but he still goofs up routinely.  I hope he gets coaches up on that (best way to clean that up is to force him to shoot for perfection during warm ups aka easy ups).  

 

Nix's flaws can be improved fortunately.

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On 4/24/2022 at 1:25 AM, Nevada Dawg said:

I fully expect UGA will have some growing pains early on defense in 2022. The question is: Will the Ducks' offense be far enough along under a new staff to exploit them?

 

Fair warning: I also expect UGA's offense to be better than last year's edition which averaged just under 40 points per game. Also, expect to see at least some 3 tight end sets if necessary,  as the boys manning that room are huge, fast, have great hands,  and are demons as blockers. So CDL's charges had better be good to stay in this one.

 

Don't get me wrong. I am not dissing the Ducks--I actually expect them to be at least as good as last Year's edition if they can avoid the glitches that teams show early on under a new staff. Shoot, Georgia had its share of hiccups in Kirby's first season at the helm.

With Bowers, Gilbert and Washington? I definitely agree that the Ducks will see some 3 TE sets. Although, Bowers in particular is a 'hybrid' TE.

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Agree that Bowers is more of a hybrid. Georgia has a freshman Bowers-type clone TE who also got mega-Reps in the Spring owing to Bowers and Washington's injuries. He looked sensational and got enough Reps to contribute this season as a true freshman. His name is Oscar Delp.

 

I know I sound like  an overbearing "homer", but I truly believe that the Georgia tight end room is the best position group on the team and just possibly the best tight end grouping in college football history. Barring injury, all four of these dudes will play, and play well, in the NFL in the years ahead.

 

 

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On 4/24/2022 at 7:54 AM, Mike West said:

I will defend Willie Taggart's 2017 offense till my cold dead hands can't hold a pen.  His offense was unstoppable.

No argument with this. But, on some of the other thoughts, I'll politely disagree. Dixon didn't look ordinary in 2007 and Marcus never looked ordinary while he was at Oregon. As far as NFL careers? They have nothing to do with how a player performed in college. Even with the stats much lower back in the 70's, Dan Fouts wasn't projected as a sure fire NFL star. let alone a hall of Fame Quarterback.

 

I'll also disagree about Chip's offense not averaging 50 PPG. As I've often told my Husky cousins, Oregon could have laid 70 on UW multiple times during the 12-0 streak if they wanted to. In those games, like so many others, Oregon routinely had 35-42 at halftime. It wasn't the offensive scheme that kept those teams from averaging 50 points per game. 

 

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On 4/24/2022 at 1:07 PM, Nevada Dawg said:

Agree that Bowers is more of a hybrid. Georgia has a freshman Bowers-type clone TE who also got mega-Reps in the Spring owing to Bowers and Washington's injuries. He looked sensational and got enough Reps to contribute this season as a true freshman. His name is Oscar Delp.

 

I know I sound like  an overbearing "homer", but I truly believe that the Georgia tight end room is the best position group on the team and just possibly the best tight end grouping in college football history. Barring injury, all four of these dudes will play, and play well, in the NFL in the years ahead.

 

 

No argument at all on the depth and quality of the UGA TE group. My only beef is that the best of the lot, Bowers, is from CA.

 

I watched some of the Utah spring game. We will see 3 TE sets from UGA and will see the same with the Utes.

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