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Solar

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Posts posted by Solar

  1. On 5/17/2024 at 10:35 AM, Jon Joseph said:

    B1G QBs on the schedule with decent experience and success. 

     

    Will Howard - Ohio State - 2nd team All B12 in 2023. Howard led K State to a B12 championship in 2022. 

     

    Tyler VanDyke - Wisconsin - ACC Frosh of the Year and a baller before Mari(o) showed up. 

     

    Aiden Chlies - Michigan State - Chiles has the potential to be one of the better QBs in the B1G. 

     

    The Purdue, Illinois, and Maryland QBs all have starting experience.

     

    The Michigan QB will be a good athlete. Orji is a run threat. Can he move the ball through the air?

     

    I agree D stats can be overblown in a conference without NFL draft picks at QB. However, the Ohio State D was legit last season and will be better in 2024. And the Michigan D in 2023-24 proved its merit vs Bama and UW.

     

    New Big teams: Garber at UCLA is good, and had a terrific bowl game vs Boise State; UW's Rogers when he played for The Pirate at Mississippi State was excellent. 

     

    Certainly not a B1G murderer row of QBs but a representative P4 group. 

     

     

    OSU and M had great defenses, yet I think they would have given up an average of 3,-5 points per game more if they played in the PAC12. Iowa's incredible defense made a living off picking off the ball from mediocre QBs that can't read a zone, which applies to basically all of the QBs you mention above.

     

    Given the improved talent, our secondary is going to see a significant improvement in statistical performance this year.

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  2. On 5/15/2024 at 6:32 PM, Charles Fischer said:

    Perhaps that is total yards of defense, but the most important stat is scoring.  Oregon was in the Top-10 (9th) with only giving up 16.5 points per gameIncredible, and if we could duplicate or improve upon this with our schedule--I would be delighted.

    Of course we'll improve on that. Our team is better and B1Gs offenses suck.

     

    I get sick of seeing that every B1G defenses is like top 20. Maybe they are just slightly above average, and their offenses suck on average. I mean look at what numbers the only two offenses that were actually good M and OSU put up against all of those "really good" defenses.

     

    We aren't going to face a single QB in the B1G  that would even have been in the top half of the PAC12 last year. Think about that.

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  3. On 5/16/2024 at 10:27 AM, Jon Joseph said:

    I agree with this take. There will be more furor over who's in and out with a 12-team PO field than a 4-team field.

     

    https://athlonsports.com/college-football/college-football-insiders-new-challenges-committee-12-team-playoff

    Yeah, but as I keep saying, it's irrelevant, because the probability of accidentally leaving out the team that would have won it all drops by roughly 2/3rds, which is what really matters.

     

    I mean Georgia, Oregon and OSU could have won it all last year in a 12 team playoff right? But we'll never know. That alone is reason enough to ignore the whiners next year, which is what I think will happen. It's media fodder but in general people won't be paying nearly as much attention to the outrage next year when the relevance towards outcomes is diminished substantially.

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  4. On 5/15/2024 at 2:14 PM, JabbaNoBargain said:

     

    That being said, I think it's a false equivalency to say this is better coverage than the good ole P12 Network as the P12 Network wasn’t the exclusive network for the league. P12 Network was pretty much the lowest rung for the worst matchups for the week in conference, this tv deal is it for the “league”.

    But that's the thing OSU and WSU were the lowest rung of the PAC12, so they would have had the most late games on the Pac12 network status quo.

     

    So I would argue they have benefitted as much if not more than any other former Pac12 team from the pack demise in terms of access to awake eyeballs. It's a win for the fans that don't care about ultimate success as much as just being able to watch their team play. A narrow victory, but given their position any victories should rightly be celebrated.

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  5. This is a win for OSU. Every beaver fan in the country CAN watch them play finally.

     

    And channel flippers sick of watching some blowouts could find OSU gritting their teeth against the G5, because CW is typically a channel not too far away from Fox and abc.

     

    Sure they won't have "this changes everything" viewership, but it beats the pants off limited access PAC12 after bedtime every week of the season like last year.

     

  6. This list isn't that great. Too focused on blue bloods although somehow we snuck in there.

     

    I think Utah with the elevation and the fans is a crazy tough road environment and what about Texas Tech, and UF swamp?

     

    The interesting thing is it wouldn't be too hard to do a statistical analysis of how a teams fared at each venue relative to their point totals. I'm sure the Vegas professionals have that. It would be interesting to see.

     

    I'd be willing to guess our home field advantage is more like 4-5 points instead of the typical 3. 

  7. Hear me out here. They don't have to be accretive if they accept a reduced distribution in the short term.

     

    Oregon and Washington still joined on half a share of distributions, because it is worth it in the long run.

     

    Who's to say OSU and WSU won't join for nearly zero distributions and live off the several hundred million they got from the PAC12, in exchange for a big revenue share down the road?

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  8. Josh Pate keeps driving me nuts with his talk about the playoffs devaluing the regular season as such a massive negative.

     

    Maybe the proper rebuttal is it re-values it appropriately. It's stupid to require such perfection out of 20 year olds over the course of a season to even be eligible to compete for a national championship.

     

    I don't want every game all season to be a playoff game. I want to feel happy when the Ducks win, not relieved they didn't lose.

     

    Sports are about improving yourself and your team over the course of a season, and peaking at the end to be at your best to win it all. 

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  9. On 5/6/2024 at 4:27 PM, JabbaNoBargain said:

    Wait, do we have good weather in Oregon the second half of the season? Asking for a friend.

    Ok, playing football in the rain when it is 36 degrees is about the most uncomfortable thing I've ever experienced, perhaps only beaten by some 10 degrees and blowing trips from my car to the office in work clothes.

     

    You still have a point. I continue to think that the diversity of environments in the PAC 12 made road games harder than other conferences. Altitude and humidity are underrated factors. It isn't just the temp.

     

    I think playing in November in AZ or Wisconsin is s probably a home field advantage wash for PNW schools. That dry AZ air in November just puts the players to sleep.

  10. I don't know about DL being the best recruiter in the nation, but I think it is pretty definitive that U of O as an organization and alumni is the best recruiter in the country. Recruiting at such a high level with such a dearth of local talent is extraordinary.

     

    A tip of the cap all the way around and especially for Marshall Malchow who is continuing to do what he did at TAMU.

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  11. JD only succeeded at LSU by getting away from the tough PAC12 defenses to go up against the pansie SEC defenses.

     

    That's the counter argument for those that say Nix thrived at Oregon because PAC12 defenses suck.

     

    The real question for us is the B1G defenses. Are they really that superior or are their offenses inferior, or is the weather just too crappy in the back half of the season for offenses to produce? The truth is probably in the middle of all 3.

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  12. On 5/5/2024 at 2:44 PM, Charles Fischer said:

    I'm sure USC will be fine...

     

     

    USC's own reporters say their DL is G5 level right now with little depth. They need to send out the APB to current students to find potential walk ons that could be pushed above 300 lbs with a summer of gluttony.

     

    USC should be really good this year, but they face planted on the most critical position outside of QB going into the B1G.

  13. On 5/3/2024 at 12:34 PM, Jon Joseph said:

     

    The playoff field has expanded but I believe this will give the committee a more difficult task than did the 4-team playoff.  

    More difficult, but less risk of missing who could have won it all. So not as critical.

     

    The bye is the only thing keeping the conference championships relevant, and I think that is the only reason the byes exist. If it wasn't worth a bye you'd see starters benching themselves if coaches didn't do it first.

     

    So if they dump the bye and go to 16 teams then they should do away with the conference championships 

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  14. Alright, now it's starting to feel more even with OSU. We are going to arguably have the best DL in the B1G (almost wrote PAC12 there!).

     

    Both OSU and Michigan's offensive strengths will be their running game. If we can get any kind of head start on them, they'll feel pressured to abandon the run if they only get 0-5 yards per carry. And the won't have hope of significantly wearing us down over the course of the game due to our depth.

     

    Game on.

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  15. I am baffled by USC not being in any top 25 lists at the moment. Everyone is overreacting to the loss of Williams, and extreme skepticism of a defense turn around. The only thing that should be keeping them out of the top 10 is the OL.

     

    They should be in the top 15-20 range, but clearly they've been written off.

     

    I've seen us consistently in that 3rd-5th ranked range. Maybe a little high, but then I look at the others and I'm okay with it.

     

    Really there is a top tier of Georgia and Ohio State, then below that nobody really stands out for the next 7-10 spots.

     

  16. On 4/30/2024 at 12:47 PM, Charles Fischer said:

    We need cannon fodder for the schedule.  We can't beat our brains against the best every week, and the perfect teams are those who are weaker, (on a given year) but bring a healthy sized number of eyeballs to the TV games.  Rutgers, Maryland, Illinois, Iowa....

     

    We may want cannon fodder, but with this level of upheaval coming who's in and who's out won't be dictated based on "because they were there first." Not to say that some of the valuable markets don't have cannon fodder teams.

     

    Once the have a target conference size then everything gets re-evaluated. One time relegation exercise based on historical prestige, market size and a dash of "what have you done lately."

     

    Lastly to all. I don't think fans in the stands will be a big deal going forward in determining market size. With a 40ish team league it begins to be about national viewership/brand cache as pretty much any game will be viewed coast to coast.

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