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Duckman
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Posts posted by Duckman
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These keys are all important but I suspect #1 Bo Nix will be critical to determining success or failure. So far this year, Bo Nix is 49-70 (70%) with 5 TDs and 2 Ints with one game against an excellent defense and another in a de facto scrimmage.
I expect BYU's defense to fall somewhere in the middle of the first two games and be on par with most of the Pac-12 defenses. So, I expect Nix to to throw for around 200 yards with 2 TDs and 1 Int. That should be enough for a victory as long as the Ducks are successful with other keys. Go Ducks!
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This is really good. Thanks for putting it together.
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It's still early but here are a few statistics that so far are very similar to the 2021 season and would seem to be important to overall team success.
QB Rating - 2022 (Bo Nix): 141.9, 2021 (Anthony Brown): 140.1
Rushing Yards per Game - 2022: 201.5, 2021: 202.4
Total Defense Ranking: 2022: 77th, 2021: 72nd
I think QB rating and total defense are most important to improve if we want to see better overall team results this year.
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I agree. My biggest positive takeaway is that the lopsided score allowed for a lot or reps for the backups. Under the previous coaches, I suspect that it could have been two score game at halftime under as they would have used the game to demand 'physicality' by repeatedly running it up the middle. So, starters would have have to stay on the field for longer meaning more chance for injuries and less reps for younger players.
Also, is just me, or does the OL play seem more cohesive this year relative to the past couple years?
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Welp…so much for the buyout concern…lol
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Yep….nice TD run from the walk on yesterday.
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His buyout drops by half on October 1st. Seems likely he stays on for a few more weeks...
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Good to see a lot touches for the top-four running backs but I wonder if the coaches will tighten the rotation as the season progresses. Based on the first two games, my order is listed below. I suspect it differs from that of coaches based on the playing rotation but who knows at this point...
1. Dollars: good patience and vision and nice burst when he hits the hole. Also the best pass catcher among the running backs and demonstrated good blocking. Looks like the most well rounded back.
2. Cardwell: essentially 1b to Dollars' 1a. Also good patience and vision and showing the ability to shed blocks and move the pile forward. Also some nice pass catches out of the backfield.
3. Irving: he is a solid RB but not a good pass catcher. The top-three here would be my preferred rotation.
4. Whittington: seems like a gadget back. Good speed and quickness but lacks vision and is undersized.
5. James: he didn't really flash (who did?) in his reps against Georgia but passes the eye test.
What do others think?
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Will be interesting to revisit this topic in a month or so. I suspect the Ducks will be significantly higher on the list by then.
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On 6/16/2022 at 8:02 PM, stormrider said:
I honestly don't understand this thing you guys have with Mario, he left your program set up for a very nice run.
As a Duck fan, I agree with the second statement here. He left the program in much better shape than he found it. Big difference between his departure and that of his predecessor. So, why 'the thing' with MariØ amongst Duck fans?
He is disorganized. Literally had to a call a timeout before the first play from scrimmage in his first home game in 2018.
He is a terrible in-game strategist. Pulled defeat from the jaws of victory in big games against Stanford in 2018 and Auburn in 2019 due to boneheaded fourth quarter decisions.
He does not play the most talented players. He stuck with mostly ineffectual, 3* players at WR and RB in 2021 while leaving more talented underclassmen on the bench for most of the season. Check out the offensive explosion in the Holiday bowl when the best players actually played.
He is thin-skinned. Threw a temper tantrum due to some boo birds in a home game against Cal in 2021.
His teams play down to the competition. See games against bad teams in 2021 - Arizona, Cal, Stanford, and Washington. Games were either too close for too long (Arizona, Cal, and Washington) or lost (Stanford).
So, good luck to Miami fans for the next couple of season. No doubt MariØ will wow you all with recruiting victories in the off-season but prepare yourselves for maddening on-field performances in the fall.
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On 6/7/2022 at 8:18 AM, 1Funduck said:
We have had lightening in a bottle only twice. 2001 was incredible but an anomoly. 2010 and 2014 was an anomoly as well.
Consistent top 10 rankings will need top 10 recuiting rankings as well. This is just a fact.
I'm not sure I agree. Oregon was consistently a top-ten program for seven years from 2008-2014. Basically, the time period in which Chip Kelly had influence on the program. Not what I would consider a flash in the pan. What is more alarming is the steep drop-off from 2015-2021. In that context, the success in 2019 likes like an aberration. Given the increase in talent levels (based on recruiting rankings), I view weakness in 2020 and 2021 as a further indictment of the previous coaching staff.
End of season college football rankings as follows:
2021: 22nd
2020: 25th
2019: 5th
2018: NR
2017: NR
2016: NR
2015: 19th
2014: 2nd
2013: 9th
2012: 2nd
2011: 4th
2010: 3rd
2009: 11th
2008: 10th
2007: 23rd
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Top-three QB recruits from historical classes is shown below. The takeaway for top-ranked QBs is that for every home run like Trevor Lawrence and C.J. Stroud, there is a bust like Davis Mills or Hunter Johnson. And, a bunch of middling guys like D.J. U, Spencer Rattler, Jayden Daniels, Shea Patterson, etc. Bo Nix could be considered middling at this point but I am hoping for a transcendent 2022...lol.
Bottom line, I would rather the Ducks use their NIL budget on elite HS talent at projectable positions - OL, DL, LB, etc. And, for more proven QBs in the transfer portal.
2020
1. Bryce Young
2. D.J. U
3. C.J. Stroud
2019
1. Spencer Rattler
2. Bo Nix
3. Jayden Daniels
2018
1. Trevor Lawrence
2. Justin Fields
3. JT Daniels
2017
1. Davis Mills
2. Hunter Johnson
3. Tua
2016
1. Shea Patterson
2. Jacob Eason
3. KJ Costello
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I agree that this is really sad. Also, I am really surprised this case was not settled before trial. Lots of unflattering details now being aired in public. One interesting nugget unrelated to the Brenner case...Greatwood reached out to Taggart to inquire about coaching OL after Taggart was hired. Taggart never responded.
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On 2/10/2022 at 8:34 AM, 1Funduck said:
Thanks for the memories MC
This reflects my sentiment as well. I was not a huge fan of the product on the field during MC's tenure. But, I certainly appreciate the results in the past three seasons. Two conference championships, two ten win seasons, and a Rose Bowl victory. Most programs would kill for those results.
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Hope he likes running it up the middle.
Over and over again.
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On 2/3/2022 at 6:29 PM, CalBear95 said:
I will always look fondly on our recruiting classes but I know now I need never settle for a meddling coach again.
This about sums it up. I had resigned myself to the LSU/Coach O scenario. Poorly coached, unimaginative football but so much talent that NC contention was always within reach. I will be much more excited for kickoff next season with the new coaching staff in place.
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One other potential issue...MC negotiated for the job before the sitting head coach was fired. I think that is a big 'no-no' in the coaching fraternity.
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On 12/11/2021 at 7:30 AM, Axel said:
His malfeasance cost the Ducks and their fans another Rose Bowl appearance (not to mention a run at the national championship.)
Hard to argue against this. Given the timing of everything and listless showing against in Vegas against Utah, I think it is more likely than not that his post Civil War trip to Miami included more than just a visit with his mom. And, that he was checked out for the week leading up to the Pac-12 championship. Disappointing.
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On 12/10/2021 at 8:38 AM, Jon Joseph said:
IMO, this hire, if it happens, will be an Epic Fail on the part of Mullens.
I Agree. I still do not believe Chip will be the hire. Rather, I believe Mullens is being methodical about the coaching search and interview process. Wilcox, Sitake, and Chip deserve interviews but are more likely potential fallbacks. This process proved successful when Altman was hired.
But, it is very different than recent football HC searches. Miami basically had a list of one and went all in. And, were extremely sloppy along the way.
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He is still clearly an elite offensive coach. I have no doubts the Ducks would be *fun* again if he is HC. However, I have major concerns about his ability to hire top-notch coaches, specifically on defense, and his ability to recruit.
So if he is hired back, why not include contract incentives for defense and recruiting rankings? And, while we are at it, why not include a massive claw back if he gets the Ducks in trouble with the NCAA again?
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On 12/9/2021 at 12:40 PM, Duck1984 said:
Does it help recruiting if we don’t require a 1600 SAT score to play football at our school?
That should certainly be part of the answer to number 2. They should still ask the question.
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1. You have not demonstrated the ability to sustain a championship level offense during your time as Cal HC (average 340 total yards in past four years, championship level is 500+ yards). How do plan on improving that if you are hired as HC at Oregon?
2. You have not demonstrated the ability to secure championship level recruiting classes (2022: 63rd overall, 2021: 28th, 2020: 39th, 2019: 43rd, 2018: 42nd). How do plan on improving that if your hired as HC at Oregon?
3. You would have significantly more resources at your disposal as Oregon HC than at Cal. How will you leverage your network to ensure that you are able to land top notch assistants?
What else?
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On 12/8/2021 at 2:43 AM, Utki said:
Might somebody clarify if Oregon's contract offer was pulled before Cristobal flew away after the last game?
I'm ready to move on but this is an intriguing subplot. Was the ultimate choice between returning to Oregon under his previous contract and a big raise from Miami? I wonder because my understanding is that the new contract was offered before the P12 championship loss against Utah, but Cristobal did not sign it right away. Could it be that Mullens (and others) reconsidered after the poor showing in Vegas and the not-so-secret dalliance with Miami?
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On 12/7/2021 at 9:24 AM, Duck1984 said:
Mario isn’t the Vegas type.
No risk, no reward.
This sums it up very well.
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My Top-3 Positive Takeaways So Far
in Our Beloved Ducks
Posted
1. The Ducks are fun to watch on offense again. After four years of repetitive, play-not-to-lose offense, the new approach is really refreshing. Balance, creativity, and points on the scoreboard.
2. The Ducks are improving. Obviously, easier competition after week one helps, but the defense looks night and day better in the past two games. In Atlanta, the Duck defenders were not only outclassed physically, but also often looked lost and consistently missed tackles. Yesterday, in contrast, defenders were flying to the ball and tackling was excellent for the most part. This indicates good coaching and development.
3. Lots of guys are playing...and playing well for the most part aside from the two series with the backup QB. Yesterday, the back-up OL got a series early in the third quarter with Nix and the other starters still playing resulting in a touchdown. The backups on defense played most of the fourth quarter and made some plays. This is a great trend for several reasons...1) backups will be more game ready if they have to step in due to injury, 2) more film to review for development and improvement, and 3) more playing time hopefully leads to less transfer portal activity after the season.
Go Ducks!