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Posts posted by HappyToBeADuck
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Alex, thanks for the article. Your thoughts and analysis create a great recipe for a Duck victory over the Bruins. All the ingredients you spelled out are in place for the Ducks to bring the Bruins win streak to a close.
I would only add that the Ducks D needs to step up and defend the home turf. Defend it with smart play and violence. Get the home crowd involved early and often. Yes, the Bruins are good but their record and stats are built on a strength of schedule in the 100's. This is their first and biggest road test game of 2022.
The rain could be a factor but i do not expect this to be a close game. The Bruins lalaland fantasy will come to an end. GO DUCKS.......
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Flowe has the Mike Singletary look!
When he gets enough game day reps to gain much needed experience, look out... .
Flowe is naturally gifted, perhaps the make up of a freak. Let's hope this Saturday he puts it all together and has much needed face time with DTR and Charbonnet. Preferably in the Bruin backfield.
Thanks Charles for this great picture. Your endless hours do not go unnoticed.
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Lrod makes a good point that the Ducks need to take all their opponents apart on the field. No close games or squeakers. Kick butt in everygame.
DazeNconfused made a great point that a 12-1 Duck squad, on a 12 game win streak would probably jump a 1 loss Clemson, TCU or OK State. As long as they dont struggle against lesser opponents. Clemson has long term credibility in the bank with CFP Committee. Do the Ducks?
Also, the SEC has a scenario that could arise and complicate the 4 playoff teams. If Vols beat Bama, Georgia beats the Vols and then Bama beats Georgia (hope not) in SEC Title game then you could have:
Bama 12-1 (SEC Champ) In
The Dawgs 12-1 In
Vols 11-1 win over Bama ?
If the Vols play Georgia tough it will sit on their resume better than our 49-3 beat down. I despise Bama but it might be in OBD's best interest for Bama to beat the Vols.
Remember all CFP decisions are tilted toward the all mighty SEC.
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It could be possible but a tall order for sure. A 12-1 Duck team would not be a lock for the CFP.
A number of teams would have to play there way out of consideration. Bama, t OSU, Clemson, OK State and Georgia would have to have 2 losses for the Ducks to jump them.
Fun to think about but 10 wins would be a great first year. Along with a top 10 recruiting class
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Byron, thanks for the article. Lots to agree and disagree about. Also many great thoughts and ideas feom the Forum members.
However, decisions made need to make sense to your conference members and media partners. In fairness to Houston, in order to minimize travel, a pod of 4 or 5 schools in Texas and Oklahoma would need to be added. A pod of schools.
Does that move work for ESPN, Fox or other cable or plug in networks?
Maybe! But it does not move the money meter. Will the viewers in that region watch the Longhorns, Aggies, Sooners or Houston in head to head time slots? We all probably know that answer....
Adding teams does not add to the value of the media rights contract, it dilutes it. 10 teams splitting $250 milllion or 14 teams splitting $250 million? Which one will the PAC presidents choose?
Texas, Oklahoma, usc and ucla bring high value media rights to their new respective conferences. The teams being mentioned in the thread don't bring that type of increase
Streaming service companies bring a entire different need to the table. Amazon has more subscribers than the networks can get eyeballs. Streamers need content, especially those that are building a sports division like Amazon. The PAC provides any streamer a ready made sports broadcast partner. GK knows this and it appears he and his team are working thru the progressions.
There are many on this great Forum who want GK to land a great deal with the networks. That shipped has sailed. Fox does not want the PAC and spent big on the BIG. ESPN said the PAC has about a $300 million annual media rights value.
Maybe the writing is on the wall. Great discussion topic and great responses. The only chip the PAC has is late night broadcasts on Friday and Saturday night, at this point. Does anybody believe in magic?
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The Ducks should and will win this game as long as the Ducks offense doesnt stop scoring drives with mistakes and penalties. The Oregon O should score 7 or 8 TD's. The Bruins haven't played any team with an O line like the Ducks. Or against a truly high powered offense being executed at a high level by a top QB.
The Ducks D will have its handful with the Bruins offense and DTR. If they hold the edges and pressure DTR then the Bruins will make mistakes. This game may hinge on just a turnover or a few 3 and outs.
Gonna a be a long 2 weeks but we should feel good about the improvements the Ducks have made since Georgia. No reason to worry! Reason to be excited. Want to be in the PAC title game? Beat UCLA..
Game day would be nice but why would ESPN promote a big game that Fox will be televising nationally? Hope I am wrong, the PAC needs the exposure and the Ducks need Herbie and the crew to picl against us.
GO DUCKS!
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Alex, thanks for the article. While i dont feel its a trap game, I agree on all your key points necessary for a Duck victory.
IMHO, the Ducks are improving every week. The defense held Furd to 3 first half points and was in solid control until Coach Lanning gave the 2nd and 3rd units more valuable playing time. Back ups get playing time either from injuries or mop up time. D starters are improving and i want to give them their due. Now they need to take it to the next level and Zona will provide a good challenge.
Zona will not stop the Ducks O. Only the Ducks can stop the Ducks. Stop the lack of focus penalties, stop the immature angry penalties and just execute the offense. There is no reason the Ducks shouldnt score 8 or 9 touchdowns in this game...
Every game at every level is a challenge. This game will be no different. Zona has a new attitude with a top level HC and a gun slinger for a QB. They will be ready to play. But the bigger question is how will the Wildcats stop the Ducks?
Go Ducks......
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Could be a good relanding spot for Urban Meyer. His personal elevator may not go all the way to the top but the man can
● Build a solid staff
● Recruit, recruit, recruit
● Flat out coach and direct
● Motivate boosters
● Help Whisky compete on
the National level.
If the paycheck is right and top NIL money is available, well who knows.
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All the Ducks can do is control their own destiny. Win out and be in a position to take advantage of any chaos that may happen.
Win out and the Ducks play in their 4th strait PAC title game. The Rose Bowl is a great goal to achieve in Lannings first year. The only sure way to get to the PAC title game is to go 9-0. 8-1 may not be good enough.
However, its all about winning the next game and nothing more. Afterall, one more loss and the CFP dream is gone. One loss and we could be in the Alamo Bowl or worse.
This team has to much talent and promise to not be in the 2023 Rose Bowl. GO DUCKS........
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While it's fun to ponder and kick a CFP spot around the ODB Forum,,well it's a tall task at best. Not that a 12-1 Duck team wouldnt be worth consideration. Running the table in the PAC with a win over an undefeated top 5 USC in the PAC title game would put the Ducks deep in the conversation. It truly is fun to dream.
But the deck is stacked against the Ducks. IMHO, Bama, The Dawgs, tOSU and Clemson have to play their way out of the top 4. It could happen I guess.
In the next 3 weeks much will be decided in the PAC. usc, ucla, Utah and WSU have big games against each other. Including ucla playing the Ducks.
As one other Forum member mentioned, the only game that matters is the next one. OBD's need to clean up a few things and beat Arizona. The desert hadn't been good to the Ducks.
The Duck offense is rolling pretty good (minus penalties, personal fouls and showboatong.) But the O did overcome all that unlike during the MC era.
The D is improving. The D needs to play 60 minutes like they played the first 30 minutes of the Furd game. If you can watch a replay of that first half you can see the D's improvement.
GO DUCKS.........
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It is frustrating and concerning that TT continues to struggle when given his opportunity to play. However, i continue to remind myself that both Ty and Jay are true freshmen in Dilly's offense. Takes time to learn and execute the system. Also takes time and playing time experiences to read defenses, audible, check down and execute the RPO.
QB player development was not a high priority under MC. Playing time for the backups and 2nd stringers was virtually non-existent. Why? Because MC loved to keep games close. In 2020 and 2021 the Ducks thrived in killing red zone scoring opportunities with penalties. This helped keep other teams in the games till the end. Not much opportunity for back ups to get playing time.I will conrinue to support their learning curve, especially with a good lead in the game. Auburn struggled and lost because Ashford made numerous mistakes and misreads as part of his learning curve.
Personally I will support Coach Lanning's decision to give TT, JB and any backups critical playing time. It is critical for their development. Ask yourself if you would like close games again?
The drive killing penalties, personal fouls and showboating are frustrating. They definitely disrupt the offense's timing and flow. However, this years squad is overcoming those penalties and that, to me, is what matters most. Winning the game........
As for the referees? WTH, WTH, WTH? Just like most things the PAC leadership just seems to stand by, recognize the problem then do nothing. Poor, inconsistent officiating hurts the on field product that you are selling to the customers! Come on GK, lets get this fixed........
Nice work Coach Lanning, staff and players for a great win and a 4-1 start. Its right on the money. Keep this train rolling. ..
GO DUCKS.........
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It's so difficult to wish for the little puppies to win at anything. It kind of turns my stomach and wrenches my soul.
Now that we are in a one division, unbalanced schedule format there exists scenarios where an 8-1 team is left out of the title game. And that includes our Ducks.
IMHO, both the bruins and little puppies are overrated and have had soft schedules. However the Bruins will not get past the Utes, sc traitors or Oregon. The Bruins will have 3 losses in conference. So my pull is for the bruins to win. Would love for OBD's to hand the stench up north their 2nd loss.
Under this format the only way to ensure a 4th straight title game is to go 9-0 in conference. Pethaps the only way for the Ducks to make it to the CFP is to beat a 13-0 usc traitor team.
Debbieduck is right, the higher the ranked teams we beat, the better road to the CFP.
GO DUCKS!
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In PAC play the Furd or Tree or whatever have surrendered 40.5 points per game. The traitors and little pups can put up points. So can our Ducks! As long as Bo and the offensive unit plays solid and mistake free then the Ducks will put up 40 plus points!
Now Shaw has stifled some high powered Duck offenses before. Those Furd teams had multiple future NFL players, this squad maybe not as many.
The game could be a blowout if the Duck D plays like they did the first 3 quarters of the BYU game. Who knows?
Go Ducks......
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Now that the PAC moved to a single division the margin for error is zero. All you can control are the games on your schedule and winning those games. The sc traitors, with their 2 faced school president, dont face our Ducks or huskies this year. What an amazing scheduling break.......
So who do you think in the PAC, besides Utah, can beat sc? Besides the Utes, Beavus and Wazzu may be their toughest opponents. The traitors have a soft schedule.....
Consider this, lets just say that sc beats Utah and runs the table. They finish 9-0 in conference. If Utah beats us and finishes 8-1, then the Ducks are headed to San Antonio for another riveting Alamo Bowl. That thought is not inspiring.
The CFP is a long shot for OBD's. If the stars align and we get an invite that would be amazing. The PAC Championship and Rose Bowl should be the goal. The Ducks need help from other schools to beat the sc traitors and keep them out of the PAC title game.
IMHO, sc making the CFP, the PAC title game or even the Rose Bowl is not in the best interest of the PAC 10 and its members. Stop and ponder how much damage that lying, 2 faced sc president did to the PAC. She blocked Texas and OU to the conference, then she blocked expansion with other BIG 12 teams last year. At that time the PAC was in the drivers seat. She touted conference tradition, history and Rose Bowl for standing pat. All while planning their escape to the BIG.
Sorry for the rant Forum mrmbers but I will only support conference members. sc is a BIG member and as always since 1958 my support is for the PAC. Come on you pesky Rodents start the traitors out right on their 2 year farewell tour! Beat their butts off
GO DUCKS, too!
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Thanks Alex for the topic and article.As the 2022 season unfolds in front of us, the points you make are right on the numbers. The same bullett points will keep coming up
● Can the D Backs cover
● Can the front 7 get to the QB
● Will the D create any turnovers
● Will TT and JB be able to step
In if Bo were to be injured
For me, its still to early to have enough answers. I agree with you that we have seen solid and promising improvement by the Ducks on both sides of the ball. Very encouraging for us fans.
Against the Cougars, the D will get ample opportunies to force turnovers, bring pressure and get a few sacks. As long as Bo and the offense keep scoring at will then Ward will put that ball up over 40 times. He has had some reckless throws in his first 3 games. Time for the Ducks to make some big time plays.
I, like you appreciate Bo's aggressive running. He isnt running for his life. He is running with a purpose to make first downs or score TD's. Still the risk of injury is there. That means that after any given play either TT or JB will be running the offense.
The learning curve will cause some problems and turnovers. I believe, in the long run, that learning curve will be worth it.
Hope many Ducks step up and have their breakout game against the Cougars. GO DUCKS!
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Edited by Smith72
SpellingDazeNconfused, well thought out and explained article. Thank you and best wishes for a complete recovery.
When i watched the Cougar/Badger game, I was certainly caught up in the moment. The smaller Coug D stacked the box and stopped the run. They played man coverage on most plays. The Badgers receivers could not get separation. I expect the Ducks will keep the Cougs D off balance and guessing. Give Bo the time to throw and Duck receivers will get open.
Whrn the Badger D got pressure on Ward he was less effecrive. This is a good time for the Duck D to have a break thru effort. Make it a long day for Ward. Pressure, pressure and more pressure.
The Badgers made critical mistakes that cost them the game against Wazzu. Oregon wont be that careless. As you concluded the Ducks will win this game!
Go Ducks..........
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Great comments, thoughts,and ideas on this thread. Their are pros and cons to streaming just as with cable.
Right now Fox and ESPN have great control over game times. Long before most of the PAC teams kickoff both those networks have made their money. Do you think that Amazon or Apple would have the #15 team in the country kicking off at 11 pm est? No way.......
The best PAC games would dominate the 4 or 5 pst slots or 7 or 8 est. Just as Amazon provides easy shopping for their customers they can provide easy viewing. Better scheduling and conference expansion could provide at least one game a week in the noon or 1 pm pst zone.
Fox shot their money on the all in BIG media rights contract. Not much left over for the PAC or BIG12. ESPN is cost cutting and strapped for cash. Thus the low ball offer to the PAC. I am all for the PAC being on cable and Amazon. More eyeballs and more money. Let ESPN be in the 2nd position. They gave a second rate offer to the PAC.
On a few threads we have seen some valid comments about Amazon cutting back. Upon further investigation they are closing many outdated facilities around the world. They are building many new state of the art distribution centers, also. A few money managers have forcast a 10-20% revenue drop for Amazon. I have no idea if thats factual. Our own business has dropped about 10% this year. But lets put this in proper perspective. Amazon revenues, i read, not confirmed, were about $460 billion. If they drop 10% then their revenues are $414 billion. Hardly falling on hard times.
What better way to advertise your sellable goods by oening your own streaming service. Cable needs subscribers and TV sets. Amazon simply needs content for its 300 million plus subscribers.
GO DUCKS........
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This is a great question. Consider ALL the Duck defenders are simply true freshmen in this new system. They all are learning their assignments and to trust each other.
Maybe they need a little more time for the true leaders to emerge. I agree with Augduck that Williams and Bennett may be emerging. They are very experienced and leading by example. Dorlus and Johnson are coming on strong.
Let's hope this unit puts it all together this weekend on the Palouse. GO DUCKS!
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This is Bo's team. He put the Georgia game behind him. Then rallied and led the team to back to back victories. Can any of the gray beards or stat masters remember when a Duck team scored on 15 of 17 drives?
The Duck receivers will be tested by the Cougar defenders this week. Against the Badgers, the Cougs loaded the box to stop the run. The Dbacks played man coverage. The Badger receivers could not get separation from those defenders.
Mic and Charles, i believe the Duck receivers will and can get separation. Some designed rollouts for Bo will keep the Cougs guessing.
As long as the Ducks O line plays to their strengths, Bo and the skill position players will score and score often. Minimize penalties and take care of the ball.
Martin Stadium will be a mad house so the Ducks need to keep their composure. I personally feel that the Duck D will give Ward fits and get some turnovers.
In 1958, first day of school in first grade, i met 4 new life long friends. Spokane, Washington is Cougar country. They all have season tickets and will be rooting the Cougs on. Make me proud Ducks. The Cougars cannot beat you. Only the Ducks can beat the Ducks.
GO DUCKS! Keep me and all the Ducks fanbase hapoy.
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Drex, fun article and a good read. Thanks.. ....
Scoring on 15 of 17 possessions will take the energy out of any defense. Proper execution of Dilly's offense keeps the defense off balamce and allows the O to pile up points. Both, EWU and BYU, staffs and players had no answer. The fight went right out of them. The Ducks D made stops and the opponents fell further and further behind. Lets give the next Cougars the same treatment.
Most on this forum were unhappy with Bo and his mistakes. Myself included. Bo and the offense moved the ball well against The Dawgs. Mistakes were the Ducks undoing. Eliminate the mistakes and scoring on 15 of 17 drives can be the result.
Bo showed leadership, smarts, determination and grit. 3 of his incompletions were smart throw aways. Well done Bo.
So its off to the Palouse. Should be a high scoring affair.... GO DUCKS!
OBD Prediction Contest vs. UCLA!
in Our Beloved Ducks
Ducks
49-27
3
4
224 passing yards
Ducks need to score often. Need 3 stops by the defense and a few turnovers. This game should bot be close. If it is the Bruins have the talent to steal the win. GO DUCKS!