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NJDuck
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Posts posted by NJDuck
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I’m really hoping he chooses Oregon. We need some good news!
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On 7/26/2022 at 5:51 PM, noDucknewby said:
You've got to admit it, the guy's on a roll. He's pretty much calling his own shots and going forward he is in a better position for expansion than the SEC.
Of course he covets ND, but it's my guess they reach a mega-deal with NBC and stay independent. Other than them, he pretty much has his pick of P12/B12 teams to choose from if he wants expansion and from what I'm seeing, he wants to be THE Alpha Dog conference, overtaking the SEC in that regard.
The SEC is somewhat limited in expansion candidates, primarily because of the ACC TV deal locks in their most desirable programs long-term. Yeah maybe that gets challenged in court, or an outright buyout is negotiated, but that's expensive and complicated. All Warren has to do is invite UO/Fuskies and P12 becomes the new Mountain West (if it even survives at all). Nothing at that point would save them as a power conference.
If I'm in his Machiavellian shoes I wait for ND, but once they are out I invite UO/Fuskies and Cal/Stanford and kill the P12. That would provide a 6-team pod (maybe throw in Nebraska) that could play each other every year and that takes care of 5 conference games on the West Coast. The other 3 or 4 could be home/away so each team in that pod would only play in traditional B10 territory 2-3 times a year. That also eases the travel burden on the other sports. Logistically it works better than just USC/UCLA and financially he could probably name his own price.
Our odds are much better going to the Big 10 if the Irish get want they want from NBC and stay independent. NBC and the Irish needs to hurry up and make the deal.
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As we all know, our conference is in 'crisis-management mode.' 'GK will need to do more than cast a strong presence. He'll need to get candid and share his vision.'
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Canzano: George Kliavkoff will face the music at Pac-12 Media Day
WWW.JOHNCANZANO.COMHe shouldn't be on stage alone, should he?-
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On 7/25/2022 at 7:34 PM, DCDuckfan said:
So that's a drop of about $5.5M if the reports of current revenue being $30M is accurate.
That's an easy offer to walk away from. If the Ducks join the B1G or SEC, they're going to get north of $65M so there is literally no reason to even consider that offer.
I agree. Wait it out at this time. It's a shame we lost a recruit lean as well to USC due to realignment. Ugh.
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On 7/25/2022 at 4:52 PM, noDucknewby said:
SDSU and UNLV should be given invites at 50% of the first TV contract, that fills out the south and adds TV value. Should also consider FSU and Boise State with the same percentage (or lower) as a longer-term investment.
I would consider BYU before FSU or BSU. They are ranked 21st academically nationwide amongst universities, strong fanbase following nationwide and a natural rival to Utah with strong athletics.
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On 7/25/2022 at 4:07 PM, Duck 1972 said:
Get TCU and Oklahoma State to join Pac-12. From the TV numbers above we would have the market cornered.
Add in SD St and UNLV for 14 team conference. We'd be in the TX - Dallas and still in the LA market and footprint. Have 2 seven team divisions, Pacific/Mountain. Championship game.
If you are going to go there, I would go a step further and pull in Houston and BYU. Make it 16 team conference. Houston media market is ranked 8 with 2,450,800 TV Homes (unless Houston is too far. 239 miles between Dallas and Houston). BYU has a strong nationwide following and ranked 21st in academics amongst all the colleges nationwide. They also are strong in athletics.
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I also thought it was an interesting article from Jon Wilner, posted on another thread in OBD, gives strong reasons why SDSU is essential to have them join the Pac-12.
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Comparing the Pac-12 vs the Big 12, Pac-12 wins by a knock out.
Canzano: Delusion aside -- the Big 12 has nothing on the Pac-12
WWW.JOHNCANZANO.COMThe numbers (and brands) don't lie.-
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5 developments Duck fans would love to see in Dan Lanning’s first year with Oregon
SPORTS.YAHOO.COMThe Dan Lanning era of Oregon football is almost here. These are 5 developments and changes fans should hope come to fruition when the Ducks take the field.
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'The magic is still at the stadium, not in front of the TV as as networks would like us to believe.'
Canzano: Getting back to what makes college football special
WWW.JOHNCANZANO.COMWhat are your favorite game-day traditions in the Pac-12?-
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Very good sound advice. Let's hope both Oregon and Washington read his article and take heed. A contract at this time could wind up being a mill stone around their necks.
Hopefully Phil Knight will help them in this matter.
Go Ducks!!
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Thanks Charles. I had gone to a conference for a week and my wife accompanied me on this trip. Both of us came down with this COVID. We are better, but we are still not fully back to normal yet.
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One interesting tidbit. Insiders told Canzano that there is already a plan in place for a massive endowment from Phil Knight that would continue to subsidize UO's athletic department after he is gone.
Canzano: Mailbag deals with Big 12 vs. Pac-12, hot pretzels and the fate of Gonzaga
WWW.JOHNCANZANO.COMYour letters... my replies...-
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There is an ancient proverb that USC/fans should take heed in. "Woe to those who are wise in their own eyes, and shrewd in their own sight! Do you see a man who is wise in his own eyes? There is more hope for a fool than for him." Nothing comes good from it!
Hoping the PAC finds the best solution moving forward. Or, the schools in the PAC might have to find better landing spots. That might be the Big 12, if accepted.
The biggest issue with the ACC is their contractual agreement. A Big12/PAC/ACC with the best brands/cities would maybe have been the best solution.
Go Ducks! Fly High!
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Pac 12 media day will be Interesting with USC and UCLA there. Glad Phil Knight is onboard with Oregon looking for the best path possible. But, as we all know, all is up in the air at this point.
Canzano: Pac-12 gets creative as things get awkward with USC and UCLA
WWW.JOHNCANZANO.COMThe latest on the Pac-12's quest to survive... -
There are other side articles embedded in this main one you can click on to read.
I can be completely wrong about this, but maybe our odds to getting into the Big 10 is greater if the Irish stay independent. Then maybe Big 10's next move would to bring in Oregon, Washington, Stanford and Cal. They would have the whole west coast. Unless Big 10 tries to grab schools from the ACC, though since they already have USC and UCLA it makes more sense to grab the other 4 schools in the PAC.
If that does not happen, I think the Big 12 isn't a bad landing spot for PAC schools, especially if NBC makes this new deal with the Irish. If NBC can't secure tv rights with the Big 10 sharing games with Notre Dame, NBC might look to the Big 12..
At this point, just rumors, no one knows what is going to happen next.
College football realignment rumors: Notre Dame, NBC negotiating massive deal to keep Fighting Irish independent
WWW.MSN.COMCollege football realignment rumors: Notre Dame, NBC negotiating massive deal to keep Fighting Irish independent-
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As Canzano says and as we all know, "NCAA has no oversight anymore. Media is running college football, and it has turned the bowl games and conferences into commodities"
I agree with Canzano that they should have appointed a college football commissioner a long time ago with instructions to put the health of the sport first. Maybe conferences, colleges and fans would have been saved from being casualties in this media war in pursuit of the big money over what really matters.
Canzano: College football's TV sell out is locking fans out
WWW.JOHNCANZANO.COMTV isn't wagging the dog anymore -- it is the dog.-
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JC is reminiscing about his grandfather and 1930 Rose Bowl game. He contacted the Rose Bowl officials due to the recent events of realignment, but have not heard back from them. He is wondering what might become of the Rose Bowl.
Canzano: Here's hoping the Rose Bowl makes it
WWW.JOHNCANZANO.COMUCLA and USC defection threatens history. -
On 7/19/2022 at 7:05 PM, HappyToBeADuck said:
Fresno State and San Diego State bring millions of households and tv sets to help replace those lost. Are those viewers less valuable to ESPN? If fox was showing Wisconsin/uclasuc at 5 pst wouldnt espn want a Utah/SDSU or Oregon/Fresno State game to fight for the west coast viewers?
PAC total DMA (media market) without the two schools in the LA market (5.7 million TV Homes) is 10,726,140 TV Homes
DMA rankings for the following:
If we added SDSU - San Diego: ranks #28 with 1.065,700 TV Homes
If we added FSU - Fresno-Visalia: ranks #54 with 573,180 TV Homes
If we added UNLV - Las Vegas: ranks #40 with 757,840 TV Homes (They are a Tier 1 Research university)
A SDSU/UNLV combo gives you an extra 1,823,540 TV Homes
12 school total = 12,549,680 TV Homes
Any combination of two other schools joining the PAC out of those 3 universities, the PAC would most likely lose value per university, not gain. But SDSU does give you a footprint in the Southern Cal area for recruiting and, like you mentioned, having them on board gives young talent a chance to attend some games south of the Bay Area.
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We knew this was happening. ESPN is in the driver seat with these negotiations. So now what? ACC with the so called Loose Agreement? Certain poaching as well from some of the Big 12 schools that brings in the best media numbers?
Will the PAC presidents and chancellors make the right decision? So far their track record in the past hasn't been so great in this area.
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Interesting information on UCLA and governor of California. Maybe the governor has clout after?
Canzano: "UCLA's leadership will be cowering for forgiveness."
WWW.JOHNCANZANO.COMA battle forming over the Bruins departure.-
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On 7/17/2022 at 5:06 PM, Nautique Duck said:
Quote by Dan Lanning’s dad, apparently:
This is the son we raised. He is an honest, loving, sincere man. A great husband, dad, son, and coach (I think being a coach incorporates skills from all those areas.) His word is true and reliable. When he says he loves you, he means it in the truest sense. His priorities in life are family/people centered. There’s no one I’d rather have in my corner. The University of Oregon is blessed to have him, and I know he feels blessed to be there. I do expect there to be great success on the football field, but the greatest successes will be the relationships he makes and the men he builds.
Thank you for this thoughtful article.
Our entire family in Missouri look forward to many many years of being passionate Duck fan
From what his father quoted as well as what we so far have seen and read about Coach Lanning and company, I totally agree! Can't help but believe with great anticipation Oregon will see complete success bringing these young men to their potential, not only in athletics but also in life.
We are thankful that Coach Lanning is Oregon's head coach. Go Ducks! Fly High!
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Putting priorities in right perspective brings balance in life.
Canzano: There are more important things than college football
WWW.JOHNCANZANO.COMA column on Oregon Ducks' coach Dan Lanning-
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Canzano: Mailbag deals with Phil Knight, the Pac-12 and... a seafood boil
WWW.JOHNCANZANO.COMYour questions... my answers.
Canzano: A Walk-On Story Worth Celebrating
in Our Beloved Ducks
Posted · Edited by NJDuck
The first part of the article talks about OSU's walk-on Jaydon Grant, might be the best story in the Pac-12.
Other half of article, some thoughts on the Pac-12. It seems the two universities most talked about is SDSU and UNLV. If the Pac-12 wanted to bring in two schools within the Pac-12 footprint, the two mentioned seem to be the best choices available. These are two universities with the most uptick, future wise, for the conference.
My opinion, even though BYU (within the Pac-12 footprint and Utah's arch rival) is heading to the Big 12, it's not too late for the Pac-12 to change their minds. But, who knows at this moment what the future holds for the individual universities and conference as a whole.