NJDuck Moderator No. 1 Share Posted June 5 The way that the new playoff format is set up, the top-four seeds — or the Power 4 conference champions — will all receive a bye into the second round of the playoff, thereon giving them a better chance to reach the championship game. This past week, ESPN released their new Football Power Index numbers for the upcoming season, and one of the probabilities they offered was how likely each team in the nation was to get that first-round bye. Here’s where the Ducks ranked among the top schools: Oregon Football among top contenders for bye in 2025 CFP DUCKSWIRE.USATODAY.COM ESPN’s FPI has Oregon Football as an early favorite to receive a first-round bye in the 2025 College Football Playoff. ESPN’s FPI preseason projections give Oregon best odds to win Big Ten in 2024 Here’s what the full list looks like heading into the season Oregon Ducks - 37.5 percent Ohio State Buckeyes - 25.7 percent Penn State Nittany Lions - 22.2 percent Michigan Wolverines - 7.3 percen USC Trojans - 2.9 percent Rutgers Scarlet Knights - 1.0 percent Iowa Hawkeyes - 0.9 percent Wisconsin Badgers - 0.5 percent Washington Huskies - 0.5 percent Maryland Terrapins - 0.4 percent UCLA Bruins - 0.3 percent Northwestern Wildcats - 0.1 percent Purdue Boilermakers - 0.1 percent Minnesota Golden Gophers - 0.1 percent Illinois Fighting Illini - 0.1 percent Nebraska Cornhuskers - 0.6 percent Michigan State Spartans - 0.0 percent Indiana Hoosiers - 0.0 percent It’d be pretty great (for Oregon football fans) if this is how things played out this season, but it’s still way too early to tell exactly how things will unfold. Of course, there’s no way that the other Big Ten teams (especially the ones who’ve been in the conference for a while now) will like those numbers. ESPN’s FPI preseason projections give Oregon best chance to win Big Ten in 2024 AUTZENZOO.COM There are a number of powerhouse programs with longstanding traditions and impressive history in the Big Ten. But, according to ESPN’s FPI’s preseason projectio Updated College Football Playoff Odds: Oregon Ducks Football Among Top? Oregon Football is looking at a return to the College Football Playoff for the first time since finishing national runner-up in 2014. The Ducks carry some of the best odds in the country to be in the final 12. Updated College Football Playoff Odds: Oregon Ducks Football Among Top? WWW.SI.COM Oregon Football is looking at a return to the College Football Playoff for the first time since finishing national runner-up in 2014. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph Moderator No. 2 Share Posted June 5 These are the predictions that try fan's souls. Final Four 2024: Projecting college football's last teams standing next season, potential surprises 247SPORTS.COM Going through a hypothetical college football bracket. Here is an expert predicting an all-SEC Peach Bowl on 1/1/25, Georgia vs LSU. Wait a Minute! We have a slight problem with this prediction. The SEC Champion is required to play in the Sugar Bowl on 1/1/25. Even if it is the No. 1 seed, UGA cannot choose the Peach Bowl over the Sugar Bowl. Oregon vs Ohio State in the Rose Bowl? This could happen and the game would likely be the 3rd game between the O's in 2024-25. But I very much doubt it. And I do not see No. 8 or No. 9 seed LSU playing Georgia in the 2nd round in the Sugar Bowl. Many so-called 'experts' do not understand the PO format and where the 2nd and 3rd round games will be played. The Orange Bowl is along with the Cotton Bowl a 3rd round site. The ACC champ is odds on to have a first-round bye and play its opening game in the Peach Bowl. The blind leading the blind? 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph Moderator No. 3 Share Posted June 5 Zach Neel and the Ducks Wire have to repeat Statistics 101. What are the odds that the B1G and the SEC champions will be seeded lower than 2nd? What are the odds for each of the ten teams listed in this article to finish as the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th seed? You cannot simply add up the odds for each round and arrive at a logical cumulative odds percentage without a far deeper dive into a given team's odds where it will be seeded if it is the champion of its conference, including a calculation of a team's strength-of-schedule. However, this is a fitting take on the FP (Why?) I Rankings that every year overrate and underrate many a team. ESPN's (Bill Connelly's) SP+ has logic to it. The FPI? Every Stat Proven Negatory. Oregon Football among top contenders for bye in 2025 CFP DUCKSWIRE.USATODAY.COM ESPN’s FPI has Oregon Football as an early favorite to receive a first-round bye in the 2025 College Football Playoff. Experts with money at risk calculated the odds that NJ posted. Admittedly, the 'Vegas Odds' are in part calculated to 'balance the book' but projected win totals require a deep expert dive into a team's schedule, including where and when the games will be played. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
