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Which Big Ten Football Teams Have The Toughest Schedule in 2024!?

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The 2024 Oregon Football B1G schedule is going to be brutal.  How does that schedule compare to the rest of the B1G?  Here's a good article giving us a preliminary forecast.  GO DUCKS!

 

DUCKSWIRE.USATODAY.COM

A definitive ranking of which Big Ten teams have the toughest strength of schedule going into the 2024 college...

 

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So as you can see OBD are not the only B1G team with difficult schedules.  Although we may not have the most top heavy or difficult OOC schedule, that 8 game stretch between byes is the longest stretch of games for most any contenders, B1G or otherwise.  Great opportunity to make a splash as the "new kid on the block" as we enter this new chapter of Oregon Football.

 

Go Ducks!

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As noted several times by several posters, Ohio State at No. 17 B1G SOS = OPPS - 'Ohio State Playoff Protection Schedule.'  Goosed by 3 OOC cupcakes to be chowed down in Columbus, (2025/26 tOSU plays TX OOC; 2027/28 tOSU plays Bama OOC) Ohio State's schedule is the easiest nationwide of teams, Oregon, Ohio State, Texas, Georgia, with FanDuel 10.5 win totals. 

 

The disparity in SOS will continue year after year in CFB with no central authority controlling SOS. If the PO CT as it did in a 4-team PO continues to simply count wins and losses with no meaningful consideration of SOS and with a 16-team SEC playing 8 conference games and an 18-team B1G playing 9 conference games, even with the FSU situation in 2023/24 a thing of the past there will be controversy. And conference tie-breakers with the top 2 playing for a conference title instead of say 4 vs 1 and 3 vs 2 had best be well thought out. (And ND best be required come 2026 to join a conference or play 13 games with 10 at least vs P4 opponents.) 

 

I think there will be more opportunities to game the system with 12 teams than there were with 4 teams. Add on ESPN having exclusive PO broadcast rights through 2031/32, NY6 bowls being PO sites meaning non-PO bowls will be worth spit to PO contending teams that do not make the field, 5 of the 7 bowl PO sites being in Dixie as well as the 2024/25 and 2025/26 champ games (ATL + MIA) and again, the expanded PO format could engender more controversy than the 4-team PO. 

 

B1G commissioner Tony Petitti best be looking out for his conference and as much as possible, considering geography, in-conference schedules need to be equitable. In 2024, Oregon's opponents finished 101-57 in 2023. Oregon plays (SIGH) seven home games. Ohio State's opponents finished 2023 83-71 (an 18-game W/L differential between Oregon and Ohio State = a season and a half of regular season play) and the Buckeyes play eight home games. FanDuel has both teams with 10.5 wins; obviously, tOSU has the easier row to hoe, and as Micro so noted, the Ducks is the only P4 team in 2024 that will play 8 games in a row without a break. (I am likely too critical of the man but Mullens best get his Sierra together including losing a game in Logan, Utah in a few years.)

 

Thanks for the post. It is of course, what it is but Brutus has the Pole Position with Oregon, the 13th hardest SOS in the country, on the outside. DW's Neel strikes again. Oregon at No. 10? Using SP+? SP+ has Oregon as noted above with the 13th hardest schedule in the country. When Bill Connolly comes out with his P4/G5 2024 SOS rankings, Oregon will not be No. 10 in the B1G. 

Edited by Jon Joseph
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WWW.SATURDAYDOWNSOUTH.COM

ESPN's SP+ rated the toughest schedules of the 2024 season.

 

Neel, go to your room! Oregon No.10 in the B1G? WRONG! Plus, no nuance for 8 games in a row with no off week, and the final 4 games being at Michigan, Maryland, at Wisconsin, Off, and UW. 

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CFNs and Draft Kings B1G totals are more optimistic than FanDuel's, Ducks Wire, and USA Today. 14 of 18 B1G teams in this projection would be bowl-eligible.

 

https://collegefootballnews.com/news/big-ten-college-football-regular-season-win-totals-2024-pre-spring

 

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On 2/16/2024 at 10:08 AM, Jon Joseph said:

 

 

The disparity in SOS will continue year after year in CFB with no central authority controlling SOS. If the PO CT as it did in a 4-team PO continues to simply count wins and losses with no meaningful consideration of SOS and with a 16-team SEC playing 8 conference games and an 18-team B1G playing 9 conference games, even with the FSU situation in 2023/24 a thing of the past there will be controversy. And conference tie-breakers with the top 2 playing for a conference title instead of say 4 vs 1 and 3 vs 2 had best be well thought out. (And ND best be required come 2026 to join a conference or play 13 games with 10 at least vs P4 opponents.) 

I believe the SEC is finally switching to 9 conference games in 2026

Edited by JabbaNoBargain
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On 2/16/2024 at 3:13 PM, JabbaNoBargain said:

I believe the SEC is finally switching to 9 conference games in 2026

This is being considered but not yet agreed to by the SEC which is holding out for more money from ESPN for an extra conference game. I think the SEC is going to take a long look at the 2024 and 2025 PO fields before making a decision.

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Not so fast, Brutus?

 

SATURDAYBLITZ.COM

OSU may be thrilled with the Big Ten’s current king, Michigan, losing Jim Harbaugh, but taking back the league crown will be far easier said than done.

 

The author's use of the English language is 'somewhat' excessive, no?  A 'devilish' B1G expansion? The author is the 'angel of death' when it comes to football teams being too highly touted. 

 

It is interesting to get another POV but me thinks he doth protest too much. A Mountain out of a Molehill. A tempest in a teapot. (I guess I am not immune.)

 

2023 records of 2024 opponents: USC - 106-53/ OREGON - 101-57/ Michigan - 98-59/ Penn State - 88-67/ Ohio State 83-71, including three G5 opponents OOC with all three coming to Columbus. This is the fact, Jack. 

Edited by Jon Joseph
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This PO projection looks just Ducky.

 

SATURDAYBLITZ.COM

The 2024 college football season will be unlike any other. Not only is the College Football Playoff expanding to 12 teams, but the Big Ten and SEC will also be

 

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What always gets me is how the best teams tend to rank as having easier schedules tend to be the better teams... sometimes because their schedules are actually pretty easy, see Michigan last year but also by being a better team there are more "easy wins" because of teams that you're supposed to beat. Oregon should be Maryland so that becomes a hard game for Maryland but it doesn't count as a difficult game for us, it isn't the easiest game either. 

 

But in terms of scheduling Oregon was dealt a pretty difficult hand... none of the other west coast schools have Michigan and Ohio State in the same year cycle. 

 

Penn State gets 3/4 of the west coast schools next year which will be fun for them and next year Oregon plays  Penn State as their lone west coast school. 

 

Our odd year cycle (2025) is certainly more challenging than our even year cycle (2026). Hopefully moving Mullens can start to build an OOC schedule to create a solid balance between the two years. 

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Spot on comment Dave. In 2028, Oregon will miss both Ohio State and Michigan. The two most difficult games in 2028 look to be on the road at Penn State and Wisconsin. 

 

Rob cancels the away game at Utah State in 2028, why wouldn't he do so, and the Ducks in 2028 would play 8 home games. The same number that Michigan and Ohio State play in 2024. 

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