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Jon Joseph

2024 College Football Playoff - Give Me 5 - With 7 On The Side

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After failing to obtain any certainty as to the Pac-2's Playoff (PO) revenue cut come 2026 and thereafter, a futile attempt at best by the Delusional 2, the 'Pac-12' has approved, along with 9 other conferences and Notre Dame, a change in the 2024 and 2025 PO format from 6 conference champions and 6 at-large teams to 5 and 7. The 2 pimples have disappeared from the Elephant's posterior. 

 

Here is an early look from CBS Sports at what the PO field might look like in December of 2024 when the PO Committee releases its final 2024 season rankings.

 

 

WWW.CBSSPORTS.COM

The CFP voted to modify the model as the 12-team era begins in the 2024 college football season

 

Yes, Puddles is predicted to again give Liberty football death, this time without leaving the nest. But in 2024, will a 13.0 CUSA champ with another easy-peasy schedule, trump a 2-loss AAC, Mountain West, Sun Belt, or even a 2-loss MAC champion? Will a team's strength of schedule matter to the PO Committee or simply the number of wins and losses? 

 

The same question applies to CBS projected Power 4 PO participants. 

 

No. 5 Oregon plays the 13th most difficult schedule in the nation in 2024 including a gauntlet of 8 games in a row, 4 on the road, against P4 B1G opponents without a week off. Ohio State's longest stretch without a break is 6 games in a row with two away from Columbus. In 2023, the Ducks 2024 opponents finished a combined 101-57. Ohio State's finished 83-71.

 

In 2025, Oregon will not play Michigan and Ohio State. Ohio State plays Michigan every season, in 2025, The Game will be played in Ann Arbor. Also in 2025, Oregon will play Oklahoma State out-of-conference in Eugene. Ohio State will play Texas in 2025 in Columbus. Schedule strength is flexible from season to season, not static.

 

No. 6 Texas in its 1st season in the SEC, does not play Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Ole Miss, Missouri, and Tennessee and plays Georgia in Austin. Oklahoma plays Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Ole Miss, Mizzou, and Tennessee. In 2025, as noted above, Texas will play Ohio State in Columbus. The SEC conference schedule has not been released for 2025. You can bet with the whining coming out of Norman and elsewhere in Dixie regarding Texas's 'easy' 2024 schedule, that the difficulty of the conference schedule in 2025 will likely ramp up in Austin. 

 

The above is not intended to be a pity party regarding Oregon's 2024 schedule. (OK, maybe a small party?) It's intended to point out the effect of intra-conference schedule strength when playing only 50% of your conference members every season. But. it isn't equal in the NFL where, in the League's endless pursuit of parity (right Chiefs?)  the top teams in a given season will play a more difficult schedule than the bottom feeders and you will play 17 of your contemporaries but still miss 14 teams. 

 

The point is that if the CFB Playoff Committee does not do the same scheduling deep dive that the Basketball Committee does every season and if it's simply a matter of wins and losses and nothing else, the schedule be damned, why is Texas playing in Ann Arbor in 2024 and in Columbus in 2025? Why would the ACC and the SEC play 9 instead of 8 conference games and why wouldn't Notre Dame, with a championship game to play in, not continue to play 12 regular season games? 

 

I have a feeling that the move from 4 to 12 Playoff teams will do little to end the controversy surrounding the PO Committee picks. I also have a feeling that comes 2026, we'll see a 16-team field with one spot reserved for the G5 with teams seeded in the order of ranking and without 1st round byes and conference champion manipulation. Or, whatever else the Power 2 favors.

 

PS - For conspiracy theorists out there - If CBS still had the SEC broadcast rights, would Oregon be No. 5 and Texas No. 6? Would Michigan be No. 7 and Bama No. 8? 

Edited by Jon Joseph
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WWW.CBSSPORTS.COM

Wednesday may mark the start of the Big Ten and SEC attempting to more fully exert their power over the sport

 

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Here's another projected PO field. It would be sweet to play the Irish in Autzen.

 

https://athlonsports.com/college-football/pre-spring-college-football-12-team-playoff-projections-for-2024

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Kirk Schulz says ‘not a lot of support’ for Pac-12 in 2026 CFP contract

 

WASHINGTON STATE PRESIDENT Kirk Schulz made his pitch Tuesday for the Pac-12 to retain its revenue and voting privileges in the new College Football Playoff contract that will take effect in 2026. But there was “not a lot of support” for the proposal, Schulz told Yahoo.com’s Ross Dellenger today.

 

WSU and OSU will still receive its standard Power Five revenue distribution of roughly $6 million per school in both 2024 and 2025. Beyond that -- when playoff shares for every school in a Power conference are expected to skyrocket -- looks murky at best. 

 

247SPORTS.COM

'Staying in the conversation' key piece of WSU president's work

 

 

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Like the good Sergeant, he knows Nothing!

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Don't Worry, Be Happy. Over the top 5-7 concerns from Autzen Zoo. What does this guy not understand regarding Oregon having better recognition and brand appeal in the B1G? 

 

The 2024 schedule is tough, no doubt. But tougher than getting through last season's Pac-12? In 2025, Oregon will not play Michigan or Ohio State. The 2 toughest B1G road games are Iowa, Penn State, and UW. The toughest home games are Oklahoma State, USC, and Wisconsin.

 

The difficulty of the schedule will vary year-to-year but Oregon benefits from a 5-7 format and also benefits from being in the B1G.

 

AUTZENZOO.COM

As Oregon heads to the Big Ten, will the team be able to benefit from the new 5-7 format?

 

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On 2/22/2024 at 12:30 PM, Jon Joseph said:

What does this guy not understand regarding Oregon having better recognition and brand appeal in the B1G?

He also doesn't seem understand that the B1G itself will have better brand appeal with Oregon under their banner. Their board of regents unanimously agreed upon that fact prior to accepting Oregon as a member.

 

I don't see a scenario in the next decade where the Ducks don't make the playoffs. They don't have to win the conference to get in. Heck, some years they don't even have to be the 2nd best team in the conference to make it!

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Bleacher Report 'Gets It.'

 

BLEACHERREPORT.COM

On Tuesday, the College Football Playoff confirmed the inevitable. With the Pac-12 essentially dissolving, the shiny new postseason that will begin this…

 

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STORMININNORMAN.COM

As the Oklahoma football program relocates to a new conference home as part of another seismic movement in conference realignment, the College Football Playoff

 

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BAMAHAMMER.COM

A couple of weeks ago it was reported ESPN and the CFB Playoff had concluded a new $7.8B deal. The reports were premature. ESPN did not want the then 6+6 format

 

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Conference Champ Games in 2024 will determine in all likelihood, which SEC and B1G teams get a top-4 seed and a 1st round bye. 

 

https://collegefootballnews.com/news/conference-championships-with-no-divisions-one-big-new-thing-for-2024

 

"It will take something massive for anyone but a superpower program to play in an SEC or B1G championship game." Pete Fiutak - College Football News.

Edited by Jon Joseph
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