Jon Joseph

Steven, stick with DJU. Far easier to do. If DJU was interested in joining his little bro would you want him? Unlike Bo, DJU would not threaten the all time completion percentage mark.

Oregon vs. Washington preview: Betting trends, advanced stats analysis for Pac-12 Championship Game WWW.SATURDAYDOWNSOUTH.COM Oregon vs. Washington is a fascinating rematch that could be a de-facto play-in game for the College Football Playoff.

I am waiting to weigh in on the subject until late Friday night or early Saturday morning. It's all in front of Bo and the team. Will both take advantage of the opportunity? Go Puddles! Pound the Puppies! BTW, who hands out the trophy? Kliavkoff, a Washington Circuit Judge, the Apple CEO, Larry Scott, or Robert Murdoch?

How about these games? 2024 - 5 conference champs / 7 at large/ adjusted for 2024 realignment 1. Georgia - SEC vs, 9. Bama SEC at 8. Texas SEC 4. Arizona - B12 vs, 12. Tulane - AAC at 2. UW B1G .................................................................................................................. 2. Michigan - B1G vs. 10. Missouri SEC at 7. Ohio State B1G 3. FSU - ACC vs. 11. Penn State B1G at 6. OREGON B1G 5 B1G teams - Show Puddles the $! You can expect 4 to 5 B1G teams in the playoffs every season. Ditto the SEC. And OREGON to be in the PO fold season after season. Why not THIS instead of a 4-team PO? Even with possible rematches. I do not see this devaluing the regular season. I see it bringing far more interest to the CFB regular season.

May I humbly suggest Vodka, or a 6-pack of righteous OREGON IPA, with a Mylanta chaser? On the Right Coast, we have 3 additional hours of Nervous Nellie angst. I was in CA. for TG, and watching the Civil War at 5:30 was far better than watching at 8:30. And I did not run out of elixir adult beverages. And also Bayer aspirin. GO DUCKS! UW Rolls Craps in LV! Bo wins on the Pass Line and wins the Stiff Arm Trophy. Troy gives his own stiff arm into the face of the Biletnikoff wankers. Flounder, Bluto, Schoenstein, D-Day, Otter, Otis Day and his Knights, and even Dean Wormer, go nuts and hopefully go to Pasadena on 1/1/24.

I completely disagree. We heard the same when the BCS doubled to 4 teams. No other college sport has a post-season where only 3% of the contenders compete in the post-season. The 12-team PO will give many more fan bases year-long rooting interest and render the PO Committee, except for seeding, a group that has never done more than count Ws and Ls, irrelevant. The eyeballs on the 2024 playoff will be huge. Players who currently sit out NY6 bowls will play in games that matter. Based on the Week 5 CT. rankings, OREGON, Ohio State, Texas, Alabama, Missouri, Penn State, Ole Miss, and Tulane fan bases would have their team in the playoff. Oklahoma fans will be ticked off but that's fine. That's part of the process. Today, with 4 teams, please tell me how you can separate 5. OREGON, 6. Ohio State, 7. Texas, and 8. Alabama and why is there any need to do so? NFL teams rematch in the playoffs. CBB teams rematch in the NCAA Tourney. Viewership and interest are not affected.

The game vs. Arizona for the conference title was the 1 rematch that the losing team reversed in the title game. And it was not just a reversal but a payback whipping put on a Wildcat and Rich Rod.

Thanks, Alex. Based on the updated FPI and SP+ rankings, the -9 or so, is spot on. FPI - 3. OREGON / 13. UW - OREGON would win by 10. SP+ - 4. OREGON/ 11. UW - OREGON would win by 7. ESPN Matchup Predictor. - The game is simulated 10,000 times. Oregon wins 75.8% of the time. UW, 24.2%. But DeBoer has not lost many games and very few big games in his career. UW has been winning ugly but it has been winning. Even if OREGON was a 20-point favorite in this game, I see OREGON showing up with bad intentions. Close for a half to 3 Qs before OREGON stretches its lead and wins by at least 2-scores. I am curious as to the number of Ducks vs UW fans in attendance. I hope we see a great showing from Ducks fans. GO PUDDLES! PUNCH THE PUPPIES!

The Gurus of Grapevine have uttered their 5th and penultimate 2023 college football playoff (PO) rankings. (Many of the statistics shown below are from an article on ESPN+, paywall, by David Hale. An article 'justifying' Alabama, Ohio State, and Texas fans not being happy with OREGON being the top-ranked 1-loss team.) Teams 1 through 4, 1. Georgia, 2. Michigan, 3, Washington, and 4, Florida State win their respective conference champ game and are in the final Final 4. But who doesn't want to see Puddles punch the puppies in the mouth, and who wants to see something as mundane as all of the four 12-0 teams going 13-0? Meanwhile, folks in the southeast, including Paul Finebaum, and livestock in the southwest, including Bevo, are not too happy with Oregon being the highest-ranked 1-loss team. And based on almost every metric, these folks, along with more than a few angry folks from a school down south in Columbus, Ohio, have a legitimate gripe. Friend Puddles is on a High-5-Zipline due to the Eye Test. Puddles ranking to date is the triumph of human evaluation over machines. A tech-challenged guy like me simply loves this! Perhaps, an objective look at the 4 1-loss PO contenders. FPI - Top 35 Wins - Equivalent to Quad 1 Wins used by the CBB Committee. - Alabama - 5/ Texas - 5/ Ohio State - 3/ OREGON - 3. (Note, Wins over the Committee's top 25 as will be revealed on Sunday, 12/3, are often the result of how the Committee views similarly situated teams. For example, 21. Tennessee, 23. Clemson, and 25. K State all have 4 losses. Utah has 4 losses, 3 on the road at Committee-ranked 3. UW, 15. Arizona, and 20. Oregon State, as well as a win over a Florida team that Tennessee lost to. K State lost its final regular season game to unranked Iowa State. Utah defeated unranked Colorado. The Eye Test is art and not science.) Wins Over Bowl Eligible Teams - Alabama - 7, Texas - 7, Ohio State - 6, OREGON - 5. Wins Over Winning P5 Opponents - Alabama - 5, Texas - 4, Ohio State - 4, OREGON - 3. Strength of Record - Ohio State - 5, Texas - 6, Alabama - 7, OREGON - 8. - You can throw a blanket here. Strength of Schedule - Ohio State - 6, Texas - 13, Alabama - 31, OREGON - 62. - WOW! From 8 teams ranked to 4 teams ranked, the Pac-12 limped to the finish line. Game Control - Texas - 2, OREGON - 3, Ohio State - 4, Alabama - 9. - The OREGON wins have been impressive. Current ESPN FPI Ranking - 1. Ohio State, 3. OREGON, 6. Alabama, 7. Texas - The only possible explanation here is GIGO. Where is Michigan? See below. Current SP+ Ranking - [1. Michigan, 2. Georgia] 3. Ohio State, 4. OREGON, 7. Texas, 8. Alabama. - ESPN Bill Connolly's SP+ would have OREGON, Georgia. and 2 B1G teams in the Final 4. There is justification for fans of Ohio State, Texas, and Alabama not being happy with OREGON being ranked #5. But again, this is art, not science. When we had a heavy dose of science back in 2001, the computers hosed OREGON out of a BCS champ game against Miami played in the Rose Bowl. Going to a 12-team PO in 2024 will most likely ensure that no deserving team is left out. But run the field for 2024 using the latest Committee rankings and Oklahoma Sooners fans would not be happy. "Bowls, Polls, and Tattered Souls." GO DUCKS! PUNCH THE PUPPIES!

Oregon defeats UW and the Ducks are in. Unless the Bama vs. UGA game is close and the Committee favors 1-loss UGA and its chance for 3 in a row. I do not see this happening with Oregon coming in at 5 tonight. 1. UGA 2. Michigan 3. Oregon 4. FSU. FSU has a 70% chance to defeat Louisville even with its starting QB on the bench. A 13-0 P5 team and ACC conference champion will not miss the playoff but will be blown out by UGA in the Sugar Bowl.

Oregon defeats UW and FSU defeats Louisville and UGA and Michigan hold serve I think Oregon will move to 3 and play 2 Michigan in the Rose Bowl. If UGA wins and Oregon wins the Ducks IMO will move to 3. If I fostered confusion before I did not mean to do so. BTW, I think that the above will happen, and like in the 1st PO in 2024 Oregon will play in the Rose Bowl.

Could not have been any better for the Ducks. The Eye Test carries on. Now, the Ducks play the #3 team, UW, in Vegas on Friday night. OREGON 5 and Ohio State 6. Perfect for the Ducks, perfect. Hats off to the Committee for giving Puddles the eye test love. Defeat #3 UW Friday night and Oregon is in the final Final 4. With a good chance even should FSU win, of moving up to 3 for a playoff Rose Bowl 1st PO season Rose Bowl redux. UW at 3 and Oregon at 5 is love for the Pac-12 that we have rarely seen. I am now leaning toward Oregon even if Bama defeats UGA getting into the final Final Final 4. The only team to move up with a champ game win is Bama. OREGON defeats UW and it matters not what Texas does, Good for the Ducks but bad for the Horns that the B12 is ranked P5 number 5. I still believe that after these rankings and not to go all hubris, that we will see Oregon vs Michigan in a final traditional Rose Bowl game. Texas defeating OK St. is no big deal, ditto FSU beating 2-loss Louisville. I think that FSU will be cannon fodder for UGA in the Sugar Bowl. GO Puddles and Pound the Puppies.

Based on the resume, Ohio State should be ranked ahead of Oregon but then again based on the resume and all the metrics, Texas and Bama should have been ranked ahead of Oregon. Why would the Committee jump Texas or Bama above Oregon now? With the beatdown of Oregon State, this would be very hard to justify. Ohio State at 5 and Oregon at 6 is meaningless if Oregon defeats UW.

Good call, but I do not see the Committee moving Texas, a beat down of a team that Oregon beat on the road when the TT roster was at full strength, or Bama, a very fortunate winner at 6-6 Auburn, above Oregon. If Ohio State is 5 and Oregon 6 it really doesn't matter if Oregon defeats UW. Both Bama's SOS, SOR, and Game Control rankings are better than Oregon's and have been better than Oregon's but this has not mattered to the Committee. Yes, Texas has that win over Bama but the B12 is the lowest ranked P5 conference and fortunately, Texas is playing 3-loss OK St. and not 2-loss brand name Oklahoma in the B12 champ game. I see Oregon remaining as the highest-ranked 1-loss team with the opportunity to defeat likely #3 UW on Friday night. Defeat UW and win the Pac-12 and the only concern I will have is if Bama upsets Georgia on Saturday. It looks like TE Bowers, and WRs McConkey and Thomas will all play for UGA. UGA's run game has been very good and Bama's run defense has not been so good. Bama's big loss to Texas came at home as did its 3 best wins, Ole Miss, LSU, and Tennessee. I do not see Bama defeating UGA in Atlanta. It would also help if Louisville could defeat FSU. FSU's offense did not look good last Saturday behind its backup QB. GO DUCKS! Paste the puppies.

Cannibalism in the B1G. Maybe? You have the 2 B1G behemoths, Michigan and Ohio State, and a Penn State team that cannot except on rare occasions, defeat the 2 B1G boys. Then a whole lot of 7-5, 6-6 teams that cannot defeat Michigan, tOSU, and Penn State. Michigan is losing a ton of experienced talent off of the 2023 team and that's before UM guys with eligibility left possibly leave for the NFL. And will Harbaugh be back? Oregon has the track record and the coaching staff to contend for a B1G title every season. By no means will it be an easy path but the Ducks will not be facing a tougher gauntlet than this season's Pac-12. Find the right pitcher to replace Bo and there are not that many B1G teams that will be able to keep up with Oregon on offense or better on defense. BTW, are these obnoxious pop-up kitty chow ads payback for all of Charles's great cat gifs? If I had a cat I'd looking for a pond.

Every CFB board I have read has Smith's hire as an A or A+ and I agree. Perfect coach for a developmental program. I expect Smith will have MSU back to Dantonio's level of success in E. Lansing in a couple of seasons.

Let's call the whole thing off? Michigan is -23 vs. Iowa. I know they are money-makers but down the road will make any sense to play a conference champ game? Michigan defeated Ohio State. In 2024 Michigan would have to accomplish this on back-to-back Saturdays. In 2024, both teams as of today would be in the 12-team playoff. A second game would result in a possible change in seeding and a chance that a 2-loss Ohio State, although unlikely, would not qualify. But in 2023, I'm darn glad that Puddles has the opportunity to pay back UW with a punch to the puppy dog's jaw.

Thanks, David. This happens when a conference has parity and plays 9 conference games. In the penultimate week of the regular season, there was not a North Alabama, Chattanooga, or a New Mexico State (ooops!,) on a Pac-12 team's schedule. There is a reason why no school that played 9 conference games has won the playoff. One being, that the path to the playoff is much more difficult. USC is a good team? I demur. SC was an average team this season and its all-world QB could not win every game by himself. In 2022, SC missed both Oregon and UW. Not the case in 2023 and it showed. We've seen Bill Belichick without Tom Brady. Lincoln Riley without Caleb Williams? With LSU, Michigan, Penn State, Notre Dame, and UW, on the 2024 schedule, best of luck. Utah was decimated by injury and it finally caught up to the Utes. UCLA opened with 3 cupcakes at home, missed Oregon and UW, and Chip still could not get the job done. Chip is now .500 in 6 seasons in LA. Looks like he will stay on with UCLA. Too big of a buyout for a tapped-out athletic department that has to come up with a Calimony payment in addition to UCLA rolling over for Cal in the regular season final game. Oregon State will be in the Committee's top 25 tonight but also played a weak OOC slate and did not win one of the big games vs. Oregon and UW. WSU received early love for defeating what turned out to be a mediocre Wisconsin team, beating OSU, and then although WSU did not quit it flamed out. CU was smoke and mirrors and disappeared after being trashed in Autzen. Spot on in regard to Arizona. Fifita is the QB and not the de Laura turnover machine and I think AZ wins in Starkville and without Caleb Williams, defeats USC. Along with Northwestern, AZ is one of the best CFB stories of 2023. Project the 2024 playoff using the Week 14 AP Poll and B12 champ Arizona would be the 4th seed. Of the 8 teams still in play for the final Final 4, tonight's 5 or 6 Oregon finishes the regular season with a SOS of 62, SOR of 9, and a Game Control (GC) ranking of 9. UW, likely 3, finishes with an SOS of 46, SOR of 2, and GC of 6. Playing MW co-champion Boise State and not Portland State helped UW"s SOS. In regard to GC, no comprende. UW has wins over 5 or 6 Oregon and ranked Arizona and Oregon State so I am not surprised with UW's better SOS. Thank you, David, for this article. No doubt that many of the conference teams, including UW, were not the same after playing Oregon this season. But Oregon is receiving lots of Eye Test love from the Committee. Beat UW and I'm confident that Oregon is in the final Final 4 unless Bama upsets UGA. Then, things could get interesting.

From a mile away (actually, 3,274.2 miles from Eugene to Miami) you could see this coming. Mario took the ACC Frosh of the Year and turned him into a mediocre QB who lost his confidence. What has Mario accomplished to prove that he is a better HC than Manny Diaz? He's a better recruiter but he is not a better coach. The Sun Bowl should be an exciting matchup of 2 underachieving teams, USC vs. Miami, both playing without the starting QB. Mr. FishDuck made the call on Mario being bogus early on and he was spot on.

UW, you are a fraud! (We hope.) College Football Fraud Rankings (Which Overrated Teams Get Exposed in Championship?) FANSIDED.COM The fraud rankings have been a good indicator of when to sell teams, as its time to remove our No. 1 team Ohio State from the top after the team was defeated by

Nevada Dawg, your Dawgs take care of business and Puddles beat the Left Coast puppy dogs and Oregon is in like Flynn. UW will be the Committee's #3. A win over #3 and a Pac-12 title will eliminate Ohio State and also 1-loss Texas. FSU defeats Louisville and I see it 1. UA, 2. Michigan, 3. Oregon, and 4 FSU. Undefeated but I think the Committee will take the Seminoles QB situation into consideration as well as setting up a traditional Rose Bowl game. Louisville defeats FSU which could easily happen and the 4 spot goes to 1-loss B12 conference champion Texas. If Bama defeats UGA, then things could get dicey for Oregon with the Texas win looking even better. Will the Committee take a 1-loss Oregon or Texas over a 1-loss Georgia? I have my doubts. Bama as the SEC champ will be in for certain. TCB, defeat UW and be the Pac-12 champ and I do think that Oregon will be in the final 4. The Committee has shown a lot of respect to the Pac-12 and Oregon this season and I hope will take into consideration a 9-game conference schedule. GO DUCKS! GO (Athens specie) DAWGS!

GIGO?

In Pac-12 champ games, the team that won the 1st game has won 6 times. The team that lost, once. But the 1 team that lost before winning the rematch and the conference championship was Oregon. Lost to Rich Rod and AZ in the regular season and totally destroyed AZ in the champ game. I'm looking for the same result out of the Ducks in Friday's coming sequel.

When HC's are in play do not expect complete honesty, especially in the midst of negotiation. Saint Nick was never going to leave LSU for the Dolphins and was never going to leave the Dolphins for Alabama. And replying with 'no comment' will not work when you have a bowl game to play and perhaps, need to keep your players out of the portal. Along with assistant coaches, I expect a number of Beavers players will follow J. Smith to E. Lansing.

A win by 10 as of today would cover the spread. I think -8.5 now bet up to -9 in some places is a balance-the-book kind of line. Amateur gamblers focus on the now. Oregon dominated its rival on Friday and UW struggled to put away WSU. 4 of UW's last 6 wins have been 1-score wins. Penix has not been the same since the 3-point win over Oregon. I would have definitely had money down on Oregon at the -7.5 opening line. I expect this game will be a fist fight for a half with Oregon pulling away for a win by 7 at least. David Marsh's excellent article noted Oregon's troubles in the red zone. I expect Bo and Stein to have focused on this all week. I hope so because I do not want the game to come down to Cam the kicker.