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Everything posted by Jon Joseph
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2023 College Football - ESPN+ Ranks the 11 Undefeated P5 Teams
Bill Connolly at ESPN+ (paywall) ranks the 11 P5 teams that remain undefeated through Week 6. The % after the ranking is the SP+ odds of a team finishing 12-0. All broadcasts are Eastern time. 1. Michigan - vs. Indiana - Noon Fox - 25% - A brutal gauntlet in the B1G, no? 2. Georgia - at Vanderbilt - Noon CBS - 26.3% - Best odds to finish 12-0. Sure looked like #1 to me in Week 6. 3. Ohio State - at Purdue - Noon Peacock - 9.5% - Buckeye fans are not happy about the team playing on The Steaming Bird. 4. OREGON - at Washington - 3:30 ABC - 8.5% 5. Washington (BOO!) - vs. OREGON - 8.6% - Hmmm. OREGON is 4 and UW is 5 and the Fuskies have the better odds to go undefeated? GIGO? 6. Oklahoma - BYE - 24.1% - That's one hell of a conference you pieced together Brett. 7. Penn State - vs. UMass - 5.4% - If you want to tune into this game you are on your own and may I humbly suggest that you Get A Life! 8. Florida State - vs. Syracuse - Noon ABC - 9% - Does this team remind anyone else of the undefeated FSU team that OREGON blew up in the Rose Bowl? A win over no-D LSU and a win at Clemson because Dabo does not have a kicker. (FSU, hand the damn ball off to Trey Benson, and do not allow this pillow fight to interrupt the Ducks broadcast.) 9. USC - at Notre Dame - 7:30 NBC - 3.2% - SC has the 61st SP+ ranked defense. But according to Coach Riley, 'It's All Good.' 10. UNC - vs. the Miami Knee Pads - 7:30 ABC - 5.4%. 11. Louisville - at Pitt - 6:30 - CW Network (?) - 11.8% - Duke and Kentucky at home. At the Miami Fighting Knee Pads but no Clemson and no FSU on the schedule. 1 of UW and OREGON (hopefully UW) will have a loss after Saturday. USC? Who knows if the SC O will show up to help win a shootout in South Bend? Purdue has been a house of horrors for the visiting tOSU. UNC. Gut check time for Miami and this is the kind of game where Mack Brown tanks. It's Hate Saturday. Get your popcorn ready!
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Future Non-Conference Games in the Big-Ten?
OD, I certainly understand and respect your POV. But I believe that Puddles is flying to a B1Gger nest that will open up recruiting opportunities, with coverage on the B1G network and national respect that Oregon has never had going for it even though Oregon is a national and worldwide brand. I believe that Charles is spot on in noting that Oregon's already large audience could increase by 50%. So why go on the road to play a fired-up B12 opponent? Win and you were supposed to win. Take an L. It's still only 12 teams that will receive a PO bid and 1 will be a G5 team. Why take this kind of risk when a win will not be all that impactful? Any game vs. the leftover B12 is in IMO, and for what little that is worth, is a game that will up the B12 opponent's and not the Ducks national image. The Ducks will draw more eyeballs playing Cal or Stanford than playing against marginalized B12 teams. And Oregon in the B1G does not need the strain of extra travel. I reiterate. There is a reason why the B1G 3 have not scheduled B12 teams other than TX and OK, soon-to-be SEC teams, in the past. Ohio State has brought in many quality recruits from Texas without playing Baylor and OK State. Oregon will do the same. Again, I get and respect your POV, you are not wrong by any measure, but like The Jefferson's Oregon is moving on up and I do not see playing B12 JV teams as doing anything to help Oregon, recruiting or otherwise. The B1G schedules are enough to uplift Oregon as is the national coverage Oregon is about to receive from a conference network with 60M plus subscribers. To me, it is far more important to have at least 7 home games every season in Autzen than it is to schedule H+H vs. B12 teams that are not in the Power 2's league. Come 2024 there will be a Power 2. A far lesser ACC and B12 and the G5. Now that Oregon is B1G, I think that H+H games vs. Hawaii and thereby incenting Polynesian players to sign on will be more beneficial for Oregon than playing B12 leftovers H+H. And having a 13th game resulting in an additional home game every other year will bring more money into the coffers and to Eugene. Again, I more than respect your POV.
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Future Non-Conference Games in the Big-Ten?
Great point. But looking at the upcoming B1G schedules, why not schedule an extra home game? Oregon will play 8 home games in 2024 and only 6 in 2025. It's a new paradigm for the Ducks when it comes to scheduling. Come 2024, and subsequently, no B12 team will move the viewership needle. And why give a boost to B12 recruitng that will come from playing a top team in the B1G. Using the Week 6 rankings, the only 2 B12 schools ranked post-realignment are Utah and Kansas. Who wants anything to do with playing in SLC? And Kansas? Ohio State has played OK OOC. Michigan has a H+H with TX starting next season. But the B!G 3 do not play OK ST., and Baylor, or any other lower level B12 team.
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Future Non-Conference Games in the Big-Ten?
I'd just as soon see the Beavers in the rearview mirror and play G5 San Jose State, or San Diego State. There is no reason whatsoever to trip to Corvallis to play a fired-up foe in a bandbox stadium. Today OR ST is suing Oregon as part of the suit against the conference. The Beavers want money they have done nothing (except for 1 year in the CBB tourney and WSU has not even done this) and the money from the 2023 CFB NY6 and potential playoff games and from the CBB tournament. To heck with OSU and WSU.
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Future Non-Conference Games in the Big-Ten?
We have a 12-team playoff on the horizon. Play Bama, UGA, and other SEC heavyweights in the playoff. Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State are enough of a load. And trips to the Eastern time zone will be taxing. In 2024, in addition to Ohio State, Michigan plays UW, Oregon, and USC. And the Wolverines also have Texas on the schedule. The heroic OOC game vs the Longhorns is likely an attempt to make up for OOC pastry shop that MI has played OOC for the last 2 seasons. But it is not smart scheduling when you will not have a B1G W champ to beat down in the B1G champ game. As noted in other comments above, no one knows whether the PO committee will take SOS into consideration. If the committee does so, will SOS be in the individual minds of committee members, or will a uniform SOS metric be used, I just don't big OOC games are worth the candle. Especially when considering the money that is on the table for making the playoff. Unless Autzen expands its seating, I see no reason why Bama would have an incentive to play in Eugene. Bryne may have contacts with UO, but Byrne was the AD at Arizona. And the Bama H+H with AZ is way down the road and may not happen. Personally, I'd like to see the B1G and the SEC go to a 10-conference game schedule. Play an FCS opponent in the Spring Game in the season's game one, start the season in Week Zero, and move the playoff starting date up so as to have less conflict with the NFL PO and possibly, play the champ game on New Year's Day. One thing for certain. Do not schedule 2-for-1 games with G5 teams. There is no way Oregon should be playing in Boise, Idaho, and Logan, Utah. Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State do not play MAC teams on the road. And I would far rather play Cal and Stanford OOC than play OK ST and Baylor, members of a P- conference. I do not being a recruit from Texas will be impressed by Oregon playing in Stillwater, OK, and Waco, TX. California will continue to be The Souce for Oregon recruiting. Play another game in California. Oregon will not be tripping to LA every season, far from it.
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Canzano: Oregon to Get a Rude Awakening in the B1G?
Great thoughts and the SEC take is solidly based on results over the last decade plus. 2024 - SEC - 8 teams ranked including OK and TX. The SEC needs to start playing 9 conference games. (Not sure why Kentucky against the schedule it has played and after being woofed by the Dawgs is still ranked.) 2024 - B1G - 7 teams ranked including the 4 Pac-12 newbies. Oregon draws Michigan and Ohio State in 2024. (As bad as the B1G W is at some point I expect that the Badgers will move back into the Top 25. And maybe, an undeserving Iowa.) 2024 - B12 - Take away the 2 powerhouses leaving for the SEC and only Utah and Kansas are ranked. 2024 - ACC - Clemson continues to fall off. FSU is 4? Because of a win in a game that it should have lost at Clemson and a win over an LSU team with no defense. UNC's big win? Over South Carolina? Miami has Mario. A great recruiter and a terrible game-management coach. Kirby learned from his mistakes. Mario? I think come 2026 when the PO perhaps expands to 16 teams or stays at 12 with a political spot for the best G5 team but with teams ranked without bumping conference champs up, the SEC and B1G will dominate the field season after season. Once Clemson, FSU, Louisville, and NC State depart for the SEC and Notre Dame and UNC (and maybe UVA and Georgia Tech/Miami) join the B1G, why have a playoff other than B1G vs. SEC? Spread the Sugar to G5+ ACC and B12, and the G5 conferences to keep the pols off of the back and have the Power 2 play for a title. How are the B12 and the remainder of the ACC possibly going to recruit from HS and the portal at the level of the Power 2 conferences? Players who do sign with the B12 and ACC and ball out are most likely to take the portal to the Power 2. Size goes to size in big business and the B1G and the SEC have financially eclipsed the competitors. And, when it comes to the regulation of the Power 2 conferences at least for CFB, give the NCAA the heave-ho.
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Updated AP Top 25, Coaches Poll Rankings After Week 6
It's the SID Poll and along with the coaches the SIDs don't watch the games.
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Breaking: Edge Elijah Rushing Flipping to Oregon?
Great possible news. I know his HS teammate had decommitted from U of A and I was hoping the young man would follow suit. The B1G is a B1Gger draw than the B12 with no teams other than the soon-to-be departed OK and TX ranked.
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B1G: How Much Bigger Will Oregon's Audience Grow?
Great take, Charles. And there will be fewer 10:30 Eastern kickoffs.
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College Football - A Few Musings on Week 6
2024 Putative Playoff Field using Week 6 AP rankings, taking into account realignment, and using a 5 champ, and 7 at large format. 1. Georgia - SEC vs. 9. Oregon at 8. Washington (This will be shaken up come Saturday.) 2. Michigan - B1G vs. 10. Texas at 7. Penn State 3. FSU - ACC vs. 11. USC at 6. Oklahoma (Think OK fans would like to see this?) 4. Oregon State - MW vs. Utah B12 at 5. Ohio State 6 - B1G 3 - SEC 1 ACC, B12, and MW. Alabama knocked out by Oregon State and UNC knocked out by Utah. This is why we will see a different format come 2026.
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Canzano: Oregon to Get a Rude Awakening in the B1G?
It doesn't matter before the 1st PO CT ranking on Halloween and it only matters then to ESPN looking for huge viewer numbers. December 3rd at Noon Eastern is when the PO CT releases the final and only truly important ranking.
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Canzano: Oregon to Get a Rude Awakening in the B1G?
Count much, JJ? 7 Pac-12 teams are AP ranked in Week 6. This leads the league. 1 more than SEC teams ranked.
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College Football - A Few Musings on Week 6
7 ranked Pac-12 teams. My bad!
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Ducks Improve Historically in 2023
Thank you, Ryan. Improved, heck yes! Today, Oregon has the #9 Blue Chip Roster in CFB.
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Canzano: Oregon to Get a Rude Awakening in the B1G?
Week 6 AP rankings. 6 Pac-12 teams. 3 B1G teams. But Oregon does play the current 2 Michigan and 3 Ohio State in 2024.
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College Football - A Few Musings on Week 6
AP Poll - #2 Michigan. #3 Ohio State - These 2 will be big B1G opponents. This Saturday, Michigan has Indiana at home and the Buckeyes trip to Purdue. I don't think that towels will be needed on the Michigan and Ohio State sidelines to mop up the sweat. Meanwhile - 7. UW vs. 8 Oregon (so glad that these 2 did not get dropped in the bye week. 10. USC at 21. Notre Dame 18. UCLA at 15. Oregon State Oregon is supposed to be concerned about playing the not-so-B1G 3 teams ranked B1G schedule, right? The Pac-4 based on today's AP rankings will be bringing 4 ranked teams to the B1G. 6 Pac-12 teams are ranked. 6 SEC teams are ranked.
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College Football - A Few Musings on Week 6
Follow the yellow brick road? Lincoln Riley insists USC took ‘great steps’ on defense vs. Arizona SATURDAYOUTWEST.COM Lincoln Riley insists the defense took great steps in Week 6.
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College Football - A Few Musings on Week 6
I hate to kick a man when he is down. Well, I kind of hate it. Mario Cristobal blasted on social media after all-time coaching blunder costs Miami SATURDAYOUTWEST.COM Mario Cristobal may have just made one of the worst in-game mistakes we've seen by a college football coach. "The man should be in prison!" That's a bit over the top even for moi.
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College Football - A Few Musings on Week 6
Some more on the Pac-12. Gold: 1 thing I learned from every Pac-12 team in Week 6 SATURDAYOUTWEST.COM USC staved off a tremendous upset bid by a feisty and prolific Arizona squad on Saturday night, helping the Pac-12 avoid a second top-15 upset on the day.
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College Football - A Few Musings on Week 6
Some more on the Big 3, err, Big 10. Hickey: 1 thing I learned about every B1G team that played in Week 6 SATURDAYTRADITION.COM Saturday Tradition's Alex Hickey shares 1 thing he learned about every Big Ten team in a Week 6 rife with shoddy quarterback play.
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College Football - A Few Musings on Week 6
So many great posts on OBD regarding the Ducks and games played this weekend while Puddles took a nap during Danno's Work Week. No original thoughts here. I try to coalesce the thoughts of many on the board in one place, hoping for additional thoughts from the great OBD posters. 1. No Country For Old Men. - On the Right Coast (which is the Wrong Coast for viewing sports) the USC triple OT win against a game and gutty Arizona team, ended at 2:25 AM. Before OT, Caleb Williams had 11 pass completions. But Caleb found a way through sheer guts and determination to deliver a flawed USC team another win. Amazing! 2. Don't look now, but the UCLA DEFENSE is the top-ranked in the nation giving up but 3.7 yards per play. The Bruins shut down the high-flying Wazzu offense and QB, Cam Ward, with the Bruins outgaining WSU 482 to 216 yards. I noted preseason that with the gift schedule handed to UCLA in 2023, no OREGON, and no UW, UCLA was a legitimate dark horse to make it to the Pac-12 champ game. Next Saturday's game at Oregon State, at 8 PM following OREGON at UW, will be a rock fight. 3. As Stewart Mandel of The Athletic so aptly noted in his (far better than my) wrap-up of Week 6 - "Week 6, where the average viewer sitting at home drinking a six-pack could probably manage the clock better than many of the coaches making seven figures." It up this to at least 2 six-packs. Regarding our buddy Mario - "Mario Cristobal's astounding clock-management gaffe Saturday night should go in a dictionary next to the word "inexcusable." Personally, I would have chosen "moron." Perhaps this is too harsh? Einstein's definition of "insanity" is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results. So, in Fairness to MC, the man is perhaps Game Management Handicapped? 4. What is it about Notre Dame head coach Marcus Freeman and the number "11?" Down 11 with 9:49 left in the game you go for it on 4th and 11 from your 35-yard line? Brilliant! In his last two trips to Louisville, Sam Hartman has thrown 9 picks. And the vaunted Irish OL allowed Hartman to be sacked 5 times. The Irish should have lost at Duke and last night ND was physically manhandled and embarrassed. So, how good is Ohio State? And how does anyone possibly handicap USC at Notre Dame? 5. Are Oklahoma and Texas ready for the SEC? The better question is, is the SEC ready for Oklahoma and Texas? Alabama - Surrendered 6 sacks. Put up 23 net rush yards. Committed NINE (9!) false starts. But Jalen Milroe made up for this with 323 pass yards and 3 TDs. Texas A+M - Jimbo? A zillion dollars for this? Punt on 4th and 1 from plus territory? Down 9 points, with 2 minutes left, kick an FG from the Bama 2-yard line? The A+M mascot, Reveille, has more sense and guts, than this and Reveille is working for dog food. In other SEC news, the LSU defense is still a rumor and Georgia is back to being Georgia. 6. "The B1G Schedules Will Be Far Too Difficult for Oregon!" Michigan won the Little Brown Jug game at Minnesota last night, 52 - 10. Michigan's next 3 games? 2-3 Indiana. 2-3 Michigan State. 2-4 Purdue. Stewart Mandel asks, "What do all these B1G schools do with all that money? Not win football games." 7. About an hour away but I believe it is safe to project that the AP Poll will be 1 Georgia, 2 Michigan, 3 Ohio State, 4 Florida State. I have been off Gameday since McAfee happened but I suppose I will have to watch next week. GO DUCKS!
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Oops, Mari (no O) Has Done it Again
The CFB world is shocked! But Duck fans? We've seen this movie before. We remember (and apparently Mario does not) the Autzen airing of, 'How to Hand a Win to Stanford with a Stupid Clock-Management Decision,' but because MC was screwing up in the Pac, few across the nation paid attention. Including the Miami money-men who took MC back home to Miami. Thank you, thank you, thank you!
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Canzano: Oregon to Get a Rude Awakening in the B1G?
I believe the question addressed to Canzano was asked by a married couple. One attended Oregon State and the other attended Wazzu. A dam cat. As Charles already noted above, Wazzu and OR St to the B1G will not happen. If a school is not an AAU member institution it will not be receiving a B1G invite. The B1G would take Cal and Stanford into the fold perhaps but not OSU and/or WSU. This season top to bottom, the Pac-12 is a far deeper conference than is the B1G. There is no easy day in the Pac-12 in 2023. In the B1G, there are Illinois, Indiana, Michigan State, Minnesota, Northwestern, Rutgers, Nebraska, and, don't forget point every hour or so, Iowa. However, in 2024, Oregon does draw Ohio State and Michigan.
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Let's Discuss: Today's Other Games of Interest! (Spoilers)
Mario Cristobal blasted on social media after all-time coaching blunder costs Miami SATURDAYOUTWEST.COM Mario Cristobal may have just made one of the worst in-game mistakes we've seen by a college football coach. Yuck, Yuck, Yuck! Fool me once, OK? But fool me twice and who's the fool? Mario is too young to forget what happened just a few years back. At least I think so, maybe, huh?
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Let's Discuss: Today's Other Games of Interest! (Spoilers)
Way to go Mario! Learned nothing from the Stanford game a few years back. CHOKE!