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Everything posted by Jon Joseph
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15 College Football Teams in Contention for the Final Final 4
Quite a few seasons back Utah defeated Alabama 31-17 in the Sugar Bowl on 1/2/09. Utah was in the Mountain West. The Utes joined the Pac-12 in 2010. think this is the only big-time bowl win for the Utes. Last 2 Rose Bowls, 2021, Utah had a running back playing as a DB, and Ohio State won a Rose Bowl shootout. In 2022, Utah was simply smash-mouthed by Penn State in the Rose Bowl in a very bad showing by Utah that drew the fewest number of Rose Bowl viewers in decades. Utah got a nice break last season playing CU before the champ game while SC played Notre Dame. But not the break SC potentially has this season with an Open Date the week prior to the champ game. My 2023 Pac-12 nightmare has USC playing UCLA in the champ game.
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Is It Reasonable for Oregon to Reach Top 5 in Recruiting This Year?
Mentor vs Pupil. An old friend could beat Georgia for five-star LB Justin Williams WWW.YARDBARKER.COM The best linebacker recruit in the country is deciding between Oregon and Georgia.
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Good Faith Questions About STREAMING
Do not shovel sand against the tide. Like it or not streaming is coming on. Hopefully, the Pac-10 finds streaming partners which will help distribute the brand, unlike Larry's lousy network. Catch a wave and you could be sitting on top of the world.
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Brett McMurphy: Pac-12 Deal to be Presented to Chancellors and Presidents Thursday
Brett McMurphy? I believe his source is Wazzu's water boy but I don't mean to diss on the water boy. 😵
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Stanford President Steps Down. Will This Delay Media Deal?
- 'New Entrants' to Pac-12 Media Deal per Canzano
Good point and good facts but every Pac team can say the same for every game broadcast on the Pac-12 Network. I do expect that BYU moving up to the P5 officially will draw more eyeballs.- 'New Entrants' to Pac-12 Media Deal per Canzano
FWIW, this is from Athlon Sports quoting ESPN's Heather Dinich. This appears to be good news, no news. https://athlonsports.com/college-football/pac-12-media-rights-deal-reportedly-set-to-be-on-par-with-acc-and-big-12- 'New Entrants' to Pac-12 Media Deal per Canzano
Not just Dallas where the size of a media market is more important than a team's brand. The B12 newbies average football game viewers in 2022: 38. BYU - 997K - BYU with the LDS affiliation has a national audience. Not of course, on the level of Notre Dame which ranks 6. with 3.3M viewers a game but only behind Pac-10 teams 12. Oregon - 2.21M, Utah - 1.16M, 34. UW - 1.15M. WA St is close at 41. and 907K. 55. Cincinnati - 653K - Cincinnati is approximately the same market size as Columbus. Ohio State is #1 with an average of 5.8M viewers. 61. UCF - 510K - Not that far behind 59. Miami - 608K and the Orlando market is now larger than the Miami market. With the B12 membership, I expect UCF to close the gap with Miami. 78. Houston - 242K. Houston, like SMU in Dallas, does not punch its weight in the Houston media market. Potential Pac-10 add-ons - 71. SMU - 312K, 85 - San Diego State - 198K Brands trump market size all across the country.- Blah, Blah Blah, Pac 12 Media Deal to be Announced "In the Near Future", But Not Friday/Media Day
Great take, Annie. Streaming will be in the mix but I hope it is with Amazon, Apple, or UTube (now in the football game with Sunday NFL telecasts) and not Peacock with its crummy 20M subscriber base. Peacock would not be a significant improvement over Larry's Loser Network. And with NBC's Notre Dame and B1G media deals, you can bet that Pac-10 games on Peacock would be late, late Eastern time kick-offs. The LA schools were not clued into Peacock being the exclusive broadcaster for 8 B1G games this season. One home game in LA for both LA schools is expected to be streamed on Peacock. The UW at Michigan State game will be shown exclusively on Peacock, (thanks for burying the P10 exposure) and Peacock had the contractual power to move a Sparty home game from E. Lansing to Detroit. A power that MI St did not know existed. Pigs keep coming out of the media poke that Kevin Warren put together. The 1st season distribution for each member school was supposed to be $70M. This dropped to $65M and is now down to $64M. Had SC and UCLA stayed in the Pac, SC could have received at least $50M. $14M and making your non-revenue sports athletes Frequent Flyer mileage champs justify the jump to B1G country? I think USC President Folt analyzed the deal as well as she analyzed the move into the Central time zone and the hire of her disgraced AD.- Brett Yormark Speaks; Big12 Media Days
Yes, Bob Bowlsby and not Yak-Yak brought on board all 4 of the B12 newbies including BYU. The Pac-12 world would be much different today had the conference hired former Iowa and Stanford AD Bowlsby instead of Larry.- What Are Realistic Expectations for Oregon in 2023?
Here's the answer on the clock continuing to run after 1st downs. It will run and likely reduce the number of plays by 7 or more. 5 rule changes that you need to know about going into the 2023 football season | Ducks Wire DUCKSWIRE.USATODAY.COM A number of rule changes have been implemented for the coming college football season. Here’s a refresher on what changed.- Brett Yormark Speaks; Big12 Media Days
He's a flim-flam man writing expansion deals with his mouth that the media won't cash. His CBB games in Mexico are right up there with Larry's games in China. He took the quick and easy deal. Will it be a better deal than the Pac-10 deal? If not significantly better no Pac-10 school is leaving the Pac-10 for what is not the glorified G5 B12.- 'New Entrants' to Pac-12 Media Deal per Canzano
CW, rumored to be in the mix in the past has concluded a broadcast deal with the ACC. Could CW be one of the new players?- Ducks Have One of the Best Records in Football Over the Last 10 Years
Thank you for the post. Michigan has had back-to-back chances at greatness and is playoff 0-2. Ohio State has a playoff record of 3-4. Ohio State did come through when it snuck in as the 4 seed in the playoff's first season. But that Urban Meyer team was stacked with future pros and like all other teams that won the playoff, OH ST played 8 conference games and not the 9 the B1G plays today. If you want to see playoff titles look to the southeastern part of the country with its plethora of top-drawer recruits and huge administrative and fan support. The Clemson president and SEC presidents get that winning big-time trophies raises all conference boats. The B1G has had 7 shots at the playoff title and has 1 title. The B12 has had 5 shots and no titles. The Pac-12 has had 2 shots and no tiles. Notre Dame is 0-2 and the ACC is Clemson. It Just Means More rankles but in this case, the truth hurts. Titles from the list of the top 25 winning teams: 1. Alabama - 3 titles, 3. Clemson - 2 titles, 4. Georgia - 2 titles, 10. LSU - 1 title, 2. Ohio State - 1 title. Ohio State has more playoff appearances with fewer titles than any school in America. And the B1G is a superior football conference top to bottom?- What Are Realistic Expectations for Oregon in 2023?
Here's some love for Jordan Burch, Jurrion Dickey, Matayo Uiagalelei, Coach Dan Lanning, The Civil War, USC at Oregon, and a Troy vs Ducks champ game rematch. Ducks Wire Roundtable: Predicting the Pac-12 awards for 2023 season DUCKSWIRE.USATODAY.COM The Pac-12 media day is later this week, so we wanted to get our year-end award predictions on record.- What Are Realistic Expectations for Oregon in 2023?
Some more detail on 2023 Texas Tech. I did not realize that in 2022 Tech won 7 1-score games. 2023 Big 12 season preview: How to bet Baylor and Texas Tech win totals FANSIDED.COM The Big 12 has become a much more parity driven league over the past few years, with two surprise winners in 2021 and 2022... Pac-12 'friend' plays at Baylor in 2023 after opening with Florida.- Another Sign of NCAA Favoritism Towards the SEC?
This is what happens when a regional sport goes national and is monetized. College football media days? If these happened at all once upon a time there were ink-stained wretches only in attendance. Today? SEC media days run for four days, covered by the uber-successful SEC network. 72 hours of coverage. The B1G media day coverage is not this big but it does run for 2 days on a watched B1G network. Pac-12 media days for a conference with 5 and perhaps 6 teams ranked in the preseason, 1 day on the 13M subscriber Pac-12 network. My conclusion. What Dan Lanning is doing on the recruiting trail in light of this and all of the flack being thrown at the Pacific conference is simply amazing. This also shows the power of the Oregon brand. The Ducks need to do all it can when it comes to getting Puddles in front of a national audience and I hope Oregon will do all it can to retain the services of a young, enthusiastic top-drawer recruiter.- Total Offense, Defense Rankings 2023
If Dan has done the portal plugging we are all excited about on D, the D should and hopefully will step up from underperforming in 2022. But so much of these rankings depend upon the quality of the opposition you face on O and D. The Oregon D will be facing prolific O's in the conference and at Texas Tech. Going against the defending Heisman Trophy winner as well as UW's Penix and Utah's Rising among others. I see no other conference in CFB in 2023 that will be better on offense top to bottom than the Pac-12. With a balanced attack and an upgrade at WR, the O should pick up right where it started. I expect the OL will come through and someone will step up at TE. Bucky Irving made tremendous progress as a receiver last season and I expect this will continue in 2023. Lots of weapons for Will Stein and Bo to play with.- What? Oregon Has One of CFB's EASIEST Schedules?
- What Are Realistic Expectations for Oregon in 2023?
It will probably sound like a 100K, no doubt. The TT stadium is the 44th largest in CFB and sits 60,454.- What? Oregon Has One of CFB's EASIEST Schedules?
College Football News is pretty good at this stuff. Here is a projected 2023 preseason AP Poll. 5 of Oregon's 2023 opponents make this list including Texas Tech at 25. https://collegefootballnews.com/cfn/ap-poll-top-25-preseason-projection-2023-rankings-prediction- What? Oregon Has One of CFB's EASIEST Schedules?
USC with a game at South Bend and having to play Oregon, Utah, and UW along with another 6 conference games has it easy? The Ducks play all 4 Pac-12 'favorites' in 2023 with 2 of the games on the road and play at TX Tech, a team predicted to finish 4th in the B12. Washington State plays Wisconsin OOC and also, of course, plays 9 conference games. If a Pac-12 team deserves to be on this list it's UCLA. I agree Charles, for PFF this is off-the-wall. Frankly, unexpected bias. This just in. Games versus Missouri, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, last seen dropping its 5th game in a row in a bowl beat down authored by Texas Tech, are not opponents like no other in college football. And A+M didn't make a bowl game last season. And in the B1G, what teams other than Michigan, Ohio State, and Penn State offer superior competition? SMH. 😵- What Are Realistic Expectations for Oregon in 2023?
And UCLA, if Dante Moore is the real deal, and with the benefit of missing Oregon and UW and playing Cal and Stanford could also be in the mix along with Oregon, SC, Utah, UW, and Oregon State.- What Are Realistic Expectations for Oregon in 2023?
Thank you, Joshua. Always great to read your takes. I am not as sanguine as you Joshua and others on the board when it comes to playing Texas Tech in Lubbock. Assuming TT doesn't have a look-ahead problem in the opening game at Wyoming, TT, and its fans will be off the charts pumped up for this game against the Ducks. It will be loud and it also will likely be very hot in Buddy Holly country. Tyler Shough in his 6th season of CFB will be pumped (Hopefully, too pumped) to pay back Oregon for the hand Mario, I never met a QB I liked, Cristobal handed him. The vote was 9-3 against taking TT and other B12 orphans into The Elite Club. I have no idea as to how Oregon voted in this matter. But I do know it is one thing to reject an applicant for anything with civility and no need to rub an applicant's face in the Elite Club nonsense. The fans of TT will not forget this slight. Will this matter on the field of play? Probably not but an already incented group of football-mad Texas fans would have already been pumped to beat any Pac-12 team without this added incentive. 2023, D3 is staying with the clock stopping after 1st downs. I am somewhat confused as to whether the clock running after 1st downs will be implemented in 2023 for all divisions above D3. (Help, please.) TT ran the most plays from scrimmage in P5/G5 football last season. Hopefully, the rule will be in place to help slow the TT O down. As noted above it will be hot in Lubbock and this could test the depth of players on defense in particular. Best case, Oregon in 2023 goes 12-1 and makes the final Final 4 as it made the first Final 4. Mario's, in fairness, and Dan Lanning's recruiting pays off and equally important DL as a number of us believe, did a masterful job of plugging holes with players out of the portal on O and particularly, on D. Will Stein seamlessly steps in for Dilly. The talent is there and the players better understand DL's D in 2023. As Charles has artfully noted, you need a freak at every level to play the "Georgia defense." The Ducks run game and passing attack allows Oregon to have the best-balanced O in the conference. USC cannot simply shoot out its way to a conference title. SC has on paper also improved on D with players taken from the portal but these guys have to be integrated and coached up. A big if with Grinch still on board. Worst case. Oregon goes 9-3. As Joshua notes the conference is ridiculously deep in 2023. And as Forum readers are aware no team since CU and Utah came on board has gone 9-0 in conference play. There will be a number of games in 2023 where the bottom half of the conference pulls off upsets. But I expect Oregon will go 10-2/ 8-1 in the conference and this will be good enough to get to Las Vegas and rematch with USC. SC has a nice leg up playing Utah, UW, and UCLA at home and missing an Oregon State team it was fortunate to defeat by 3 points last season in Corvallis. 50 days or so before the games kick off and we can focus on football and not a bunch of off-season junk. Thanks again, Joshua.- 15 College Football Teams in Contention for the Final Final 4
5 not in contention? The answer is, 4? I certainly hope so. These 5 college football contenders are the most likely to disappoint in 2023 SATURDAYBLITZ.COM Every single year, there are some college football teams that are so hyped up that they cannot possibly live up to the expectations... - 'New Entrants' to Pac-12 Media Deal per Canzano