Jon Joseph

Won every game he started at Georgia. Far better on field performance than Martel had at any place he has played. Kirby has a lot of Mario in him. Thus Bennett + not JT. And JT has suffered a lot of injuries. The prodigal son returns to LA?

Indeed. And the Pac-12 could have added Texas Tech, TCU, Baylor and Houston. (SIGH.)

Thank you OR. 1 reason it makes more sense to bet on the NFL instead of on CFB, uniformity regarding the reporting on injuries. You know who is out and the the guys who could be in or out of a given game. You also have roster parity and roster control in the NFL that you do not see in CFB. On the other hand and there always seems to be that other hand, no? I have found that sensible money-line bets are easier to find in CFB. I won 3 money line bets in 2021 in CFB that made the year for me. I also think the best CFB bets because their is no roster parity in CFB, are in long term bets on teams with the best rosters. I have 2022 bets down on Ohio State to win the B1G, Bama to win the SEC W, UGA to win the SEC E, Utah to win the Pac-12 S and Clemson to win the ACC. The returns on these bets are limited but when it comes to betting football this is as close as you can come to betting with the house, the Don't Come line, when playing craps.

30 thanks for another great post but who in the hay is Matt Prehm? What is his back ground and his bona fides? The man has lots of unnuanced opinions but does he put his money where his mouth is? Does he wager on games based on his insights?

Thanks for the post. Pretty clear to me that the responsibility in all respects regarding CFB will be handed over to the P5/G5 by the NCAA. But this will not bring parity to CFB. CFB does not want parity. If it did Greg Sankey would be sharing SEC $ with Oregon State. The SEC would not allow Texas under the guise of NIL to pay $50K to every OL guy and would not allow under the same NIL guise, boosters at A+M to pay $70M to buy the No. 1 recruiting class. The fight over CFB boils down to what conference(s) if any, will get rid of early signing day, place controls on open portal free agency, review and approve NIL deals to assure same are in concert with the intent of the state laws enabling NIL (while hoping for guidance from Congress,) continue to follow APR guidelines or not, and come to agreement on what the Playoff will look like come 2026. The NCAA convention will give more power to the P5 conferences especially. But each P5 conference is its own fiefdom with its own ruler(s) with their own respective goals. This is why I believe a CFB Super League is inevitable. More schools that can afford to play at the highest level of CFB will follow Oklahoma and Texas in a search for more power and more money. Money will dictate the future of CFB and not a revised NCAA 'constitution.' In at least some cases, I hope that integrity will at least somewhat, rein in the love of money.

JT Daniels is in the portal. UGA QB Bennett has announced that he is returning to UGA. JT never lost a game at started for Georgia. Caleb Williams goes elsewhere and it might make sense for JT to return to USC. The DL for SC is a problem but the OL under Riley does not have to be behemoth. Riley does not 'road grade.' He spreads teams out and uses brush blocking on the OL far more than punch you in the mouth. To be successful, Riley's O depends on outstanding QB play. The DL is problematic but with the WRs coming in he gets Daniels or Dart to return or gets Williams and it could be tough to win shoot out games vs SC.

UGA has about as easy a schedule you can have in 2022 in the SEC. As I mentioned above, when the 2022 roster rankings come out, in some order it will be 1,2,3 - UGA, Bama and Ohio State. Bet on these 3 for the final four and perhaps, add in a bounce back Clemson that still went 10-3 in 2021 and you won't be far off. Like Bama, at UGA the 4 and 5* recruits expect to wait to play. And when they return they are most often well coached-up and ready to ball. UO got a part of UGA in Lanning. It did not get Kirby Smart or the top 3 recruiting classes he has brought in year after year. And I expect the Natty game winning QB that people love to diss will be back along with an all world TE in Bowers and a better and healthier group of WRs. RBs? UGA always has a stable of RBs. Lanning left, OC Todd Monken did not. UGA is now in re-load and not rebuild mode. Bama losses great players and coaches, year after year. Bama does not suffer and neither will UGA.

They do so talk and equally if not more importantly, so do their agents.

It is what it is. A B's out baller but far from a game changer versus top competition. A late round NFL pick at best. "Always says Dye!' I think he is going for the NIL dinero and hope he scores. But a top drawer NFL RB if he gets open in a league where it is hard to get open cannot be consistently caught from behind like he was in the Pac-12. Down field with the speed in the NFL, of course, expect to be caught. But Dye was too often tackled by guys he had already run by. He goes to SC or anywhere else in-conference, Oregon will know how to defend against him. I wish the guy nothing but the best.

Wake up Mario, wake up. This movie has lasted too late, another course you should take. Wake up Mario wake up? Did not awaken in the Pacific NW and it isn't happening down south. It's in the man's DNA. DNA? Tough to rearrange prior to birth. I respected those who believed that Mario would change for the better. at UO, but was not surprised that it never happened The pudding has now been proofed. Top drawer OCs do not want to have anything to do with the guy. He is the ultimate micro-manager. NEVER have I seen a coach yo-yo between 2021's Ohio State performance compared to the majority of games played under Mario. He is 62-60 for a reason. And all of the FIU apologists I hope have disappeared. A recruiting champ and a coaching chump. He did not produce a winning culture at Oregon. He shut down Justin Herbert in the process. His OL coach is a 'nepotism' hire. Utah Duck has pointed out the number of OL injuries but nevertheless the OL never dominated like it should have. Why? Because being the DC on the other side of the field planning the D game plan against UO was a piece of cake. There is a reason the Ohio State DC is gone and now coaching in the G5. He was nowhere close to tOSU standards and was fired. Mario is now coaching at a private school living in yesterday with a stadium 30 miles from campus. If he does as well as did Manny Diaz (now the DC at Penn ST) I will be very surprised. Manny's kids showed up and played hard in every game. I saw UGA make improvements on D after the Bama loss and win the Natty. I saw nothing changed between the 1st and 2nd Utah game beat downs, nothing. Did anyone?

The answer a lot. How many 4 and 5* star players are behind the guys who left? One heck of a lot. I expect UGA in the 2022 247 roster rankings to be in the top 3. Matt is grasping at straws (Dawgs?) and missing.

No. But he is back in his dream state of Florida as HC at FAU. Then again, maybe he is available? Naw. Slick Willy is smart enough to call Joe Moorhead first and I don't think Joe wants to put another OC in the hospital?

The 2023 OOC replaces 'at' UGA with at Texas Tech. And Oregon plays Portland St at home in Autzen before tripping to Lubbock. The game after Texas Tech is at home is versus Hawaii; no BYU. In 2023, Oregon plays 4, not 5, conference road games. I hereby rest my 2022 vs 2023 schedule case. 2022? I think you are selling Utah way short. Rising is clearly the starter at QB from day 1. Once Rising came on as a starter Utah lost 2 games. A rather inexplicable L at Oregon State and a close L vs OH ST without the Utes two starting CBs being able to play. And the other Holy War team, BYU, will not be an easy out even in Autzen. No team since the Pac-10 went to the Pac-12 has gone 11-0 in conference play. I think 11-1 in 2022 with a new coaching staff and a new starter at QB would be a truly remarkable result. One of the best all time showings by a new HC in CFB history. But I do hope your 2022 prediction is spot on.

Great take. Lanning has seen Nix preform in the SEC. Nix has been erratic but Nix has won big time games in front of big time SEC crowds on The Plains and on the road. I think NIx is a big improvement over Brown. Thompson could not, at least under Mario, beat out Brown. This will be one of the most interesting starting QB competitions in the country. Should Ty win the job I hope he is ready for that opening day crowd in the ATL?

Hope Oregon can sign the young man but it seems like lots of folks including the recruiting analyst at The Athletic are watching? Kid starts getting big time offers and he will be a 4* overnight

Holy Toledo! That is one huge 'In-Your-Face!' If he's still alive, maybe Mario can hire the OC for the Green Bay Packers under Vince Lombardi?

Love the enthusiasm. Love the that you are here and commenting. But last season's roster at UGA is going to be damn hard to duplicate in the Pac-12. The UGA roster preseason was ranked No. 2 in the country and just a bit behind Bama's No. 1 roster ranking. With all-time recruiting under Cristobal, the Ducks roster was ranked No. 9 in the preseason. UGA had 1 off game last season. That UGA team smothered a very, very good Michigan football team. I also think Lanning and friends have a great upside but it will be a work in progress. Has any new HC ever been handed a harder 1st year schedule, including opening on the road against the defending national champ?

UCLA is losing a lot and I mean a lot of very good players, especially at TE and receiver on O. DTR? Erratic to date in his career. He has had his moments, but? I think Stanford (although always tough on the Ducks) and UCLA in Autzen will be Ws. At WSU if Ward, transferring in from Immaculate Word to play QB is the real deal at QB (threw for 481 yards in the 2021 bowl game) the Cougs could be trouble? Utah returns basically all of its D. Lloyd is a big loss but the second leading tackler from Florida in 2021 is coming in to replace him at LB. Rising is clearly the starting Utah QB from day 1. Utah's best RB could have gone pro but did not. 2 of Utah's TEs who played so well in the Rose Bowl are back. Utah opens with a W in The Swamp against new Florida HC Bill Napier and watch out. Arizona scares me because the Wildcats picked up the former starting QB for WSU and Oregon always seems to have trouble playing in Arizona. I think BYU will be the difference between a very good 1st season and an OK first season. Nix had his best year at Auburn playing for the Ducks new OC, Dillingham. I think the comparisons to Nix and Brown are way off. Nix played against far better comp in the SEC than did Brown in the ACC and in the Pac-12. Brown started and won 1 game vs a top 25 opponent. Nix has a number of wins against top 25 teams including Bama. It's a new day and a very difficult schedule opening against the defending national champ on the road and also BYU OOC and having 5 conference road games. Believe me when at UGA, Lanning never played 6 true road games. And if you are going to play an FCS school, why not Portland State instead of E WA? Lanning and friends first go round? It will be interesting. The schedule in 2023, at least on paper, is far easier than in 2022. BTW, Caleb Williams signs with SC and SC is a legit contender in the Pac-12 S in 2021.

The auction isn't over and the bidding is on-going and large.

The Alliance, 40 teams, has 27 AAU member schools. 13 B1G, 9 Pac-12, 5 (this surprised me) ACC - Duke, Georgia Tech, Pitt, UNC, UVA. However, private schools BC, Miami, part-member Notre Dame and Wake, are all highly rated academic institutions. And certainly there would be no cause to kick out any existing member school. And B12 schools Iowa State and Kansas are AAU members and possible candidates to join in? (ACC is in a terrible media deal through 2036. It can only restructure the agreement with ESPN, $17M per annum per ACC school, if Notre Dame joins as a full time member.) I would love to see the 3 conferences, Notre Dame and perhaps the 2 B12 schools mentioned, form an Alliance with more heft than simply a vague OOC scheduling agreement. Drop out of the so-called playoff after 2025 when the BCS x 2 ends. Establish reasonable rules regarding NIL, transfers, APR, etc. and conduct a post-season CFB tournament without the B12, SEC and G5. As much money? No. But a chance to escape the influence of CFB media cartel ESPN and the crazy CFB arms race? Yes. Academic integrity? Yes. College not pro football? Yes. A few schools off to the SEC? Perhaps. IMO, FOX, CBS, NBC, TNT and others would be happy to bid on an Alliance postseason CFB tournament. Would be happy to have CFB media inventory. Lose 4 + 5 star guys who value money over education? Yes. But there would be plenty of good CFB players attending these schools. How about Pac-12 In The Daylight instead of Pac-12 After Dark? The key to this is the B1G. A conference with enough money to keep up with the SEC in the CFB arms race. But I hope and think, that the B1G has enough integrity not to be interested in doing so? The Pac-12 on its own? Sorry, but could be a CFB dead duck.

37 - Oregon at Ohio State 36 - Oregon at Stanford - I warned you, it's ESPN. 27 ASU at UW - SIGH. 25 Fresno at UCLA - UCLA vs LSU did not make the top 100 games 2. Rose Bowl - Utah vs Ohio State What is No. 1 if not the great RB game? An SEC game of course! No. 1 game is, ta-da, Ole Miss vs Arkansas. Watched by far more folks than watched the RB, right? You can't make this stuff up.

We have not seen the 'new' Oregon O as of yet. We know Riley is going to air the ball out. Last player left on the CU roster, please turn out the lights on the way out of Boulder.

Grin and bear it? Ignore it? Or realize how fouled up CFB is today? Leave the SEC alone like its the plague that it is, and leave the plague that is the BCS x 2. Join with academically sympatico conferences and put the brakes on this 'stuff.'

CFB today is the NFL without: a salary cap,; NFL restrictions on free agency,; NFL roster control; NFL rules against roster tampering and without the NFL's equitable distribution of media revenue. CFB as we knew it it and as Mrspenny so noted, cannot and will not continue 'as-is.' Few teams outside of the B1G and the SEC have the money and the interest to compete at the highest level of CFB competition. Frankly, I don't see a number of B1G teams with the money wanting anything to do with paying $70M under the guise of NIL for a new class of recruits. One could see 'this' coming at the beginning of the BCS. And more and more folks are coming to realize what CFB has become since SEC commissioner Roy Kramer convinced the rest of CFB that college football needed 1 true champion. Compare where the Pac-12 and the SEC were back in 1983, when the BCS began, to the gap roster-wise and $-wise, between the 2 conferences today. Dump the playoff, take back the Rose Bowl, cancel all games scheduled vs the SEC and schedule no more games vs the academically challenged SEC; where athletics just mean more than academics. With BYU already on the Oregon OOC schedule, if Oregon paid what it had to to get out of the opening game 'at' UGA, a school that once canceled a home and home series with the Ducks, in favor of an opening game vs say San Jose State, I'd be all in favor. Money is not evil. The love of money is evil.

Miami is a private school. A few year's back Miami bought a company providing hospital and general health services. After a few year's in the red, the company returned a net $400M+ for Miami last year. Great point. Want to look at coaching salaries, look at what UF is paying Billy Napier. However, much or all of these public university coaching salaries are paid by boosters. Such is the case with Mel Tucker's new deal at Michigan State.