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Posts posted by Dr Hilarius
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On 11/27/2023 at 3:42 PM, Ktmguy2018 said:
Yeah, I was pretty surprised at the comments at uwdawgpound.com.
The general consensus seems to be this is gonna be a loss...a few folks are very optimistic.
They were REALLY pulling for the Beavers because they wanted to play UA over Oregon.
Many folks are VERY concerned about what has happened with Penix since the Oregon game and they know he isn't 100%.
Also, UW has not blown out anyone lately and the games have been down to the wire...fans are concerned about the toll that these games are taking on the emotional and physical health of the players.
Nix has gotten to rest for the second half of several games.
Thanks for doing the dirty work—I am surprised the Fuskies are realistic.
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I know the committee isn’t supposed to care about this, but getting to see the B1G champ play the Pac champ in the Rose Bowl in the Pac’s last year would be epically poetic.
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On 11/26/2023 at 5:21 PM, Steven A said:
So, here is my final 4 after next weekend. . .
1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. Oregon
4. FSU/Texas
OBD v UM in the Rose Bowl
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More pop-sports-psychology from Dr Hilarius…
The better team wins the rematch.
OBD should run away with this.
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some notes:
- OBD still highest ranked 1-loss team, despite tOSU’s loss
- Beavs are the ONLY 4-loss team ranked
- AZ is 2nd highest ranked 2-loss team (behind only LSU by 1)
= serious love for the Pac
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My predictions after this week:
1 UM
2 Georgia
3 UW
4 FSU
5 tOSU
6 OBD
7 Tex
My predictions after next week:
1 Georgia
2 UM
3 OBD
4 Tex
5 UW
6 FSU
7 tOSU
This assumes FSU loses to Louisville. If they don’t, FSU at 3 and the rest move down 1.
I just really, really want OBD to play in the Rose Bowl, and bet the football gods (aka networks) do too.
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On 11/26/2023 at 7:17 AM, Triphibius said:
Perhaps Washington's Penix is suffering from projectile dysfunction.
Brilliant
On 11/26/2023 at 7:17 AM, Triphibius said:I would be tempted to put Kyree Jackson on Odunze full time and play them straight up.
This!
I never played football, but I played highly competitive soccer. And in one of our last games, we played the national player of the year in the Semis at Regionals.
It was my job to never leave her side and never let her get the ball without a fight.
By the end of the game, I had a yellow card and she had stopped even trying—we hung out at midfield and chatted.
Oh, and we won the game and advanced further than any Oregon team before us.
Sorry for the trip down memory lane, but the strategy works.
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But tOSU lost by more and in November.
Also, Ducks dominated UW except when they didn’t.
UM dominated tOSU wire to wire.
Also, tOSU might well be the best 1-loss team today.
But when the buck-eyes are eating queso next week, OBD will be beating the #3 team.
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TFW the backup to your 5-star frosh is a 5-star sophomore.
I love how Manning describes how he has improved his technique and how he supports Florence.
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I think it would be fair to rank tOSU higher than the ducks but below the Fuskies this week.
But next Friday, OBD will be dismantling the #3 team while tOSU will be sitting on their thumbs.
The committee would surely take a 1-loss conf champ over a 1-loss loser.
Also, we know the committee has looked more favorably at losses at the beginning of the season compared to November.
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Yeah—the rain is why Martinez ran for 90 more yards on the Fuskies than he did against OBD.
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On 11/24/2023 at 8:52 PM, SoGaDawg said:
In the post game interview with Bo he said he was wearing a bracelet for Brittany Grey? I think, anyone know?
Wha? Good question! Anyone?
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Uiagelelei sacks Uiagelelei for the win was my stretch goal.
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I love the announcer in ref to OBD, “They got 2 RBs, 2 TEs, 2 WRs, they got 2 of everything—G D Noah’s Ark!”
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Loving both the uniforms.
Classics for the history books.
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My Duck-in-law’s prediction: 48-27 Ducks
My prediction: 56-17 Ducks
3 turnovers
3 sacks
404 yds passing
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Great stats! Thanks @Charles Fischer!
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I have been cheering for the Fuskies way too much this year.
Can’t wait to be in the B1G.
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We need a
option in the reaction icons.
I agree
with all prior comments.
Also, I am grateful the experts are validating my own and this forum’s observations.
OBD look elite in every phase (except field goal kicking).
The talent and depth are unmistakable.
The analytics are OFF THE CHARTS.
This is the first time ever (since I started paying attention in ‘94) that we are built like a Natty team.
In ‘01, ‘10, and ‘14 we won with dazzling plays and players, epic comebacks, and the element of surprise. (Don’t get me started on Helf’s trick plays in the red zone.)
In ‘23 we are winning with talent, execution, strength, and strategy.
DL harps on putting your talent on tape. “Watch the tape,” he preaches.
And the pundits are definitely watching the tape, impressed.
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These late season rankings drive me crazy.
Does anyone really think Liberty could beat UCLA, U$C, or Utah?
Hell, Cal would beat Liberty.
And UM above tOSU, when tOSU has an extra top-25 win is just dumb.
In fact, UM has only played 1 top-25 team, Penn St, which looks terrible and is only ranked bc it has also played no one (except tOSU).
Sure UM has #1 scoring D, but they’ve only played a single top-25 O—#15 PSU.
OBD have the #10 scoring D after facing 2 top-10 offenses.
As much as I love the PAC, I cannot wait to dominate the B1G and finally prove those Mid-West chauvinists wrong.
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On 11/21/2023 at 11:35 AM, Log Haulin said:
Committee uses ranking at the tiime you beat opponents
This is excellent news! I thought it was all based on the final rankings.
It actually makes more sense to use the rankings at the time of the game bc injuries, etc can change a team dramatically from week to week.
The Buffs at 100% were a heck of a lot better than they are now.
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If we’re in a position to rest starters in any of our remaining games, DL would be smart to do it.
Not only is the committee sophisticated enough to understand garbage time, but they could see it as a flex move.
And obviously, it puts OBD in the best position to win the next game.
The only people who would be convinced by stat-padding are the SEC and B1G pundits who just look at the final scores.
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DL from yesterday’s presser:
“We change quite a bit, you know, each week, and those guys have done a good job of executing whatever we've asked them to do with good talent.”
This has been so impressive and fun to watch. The coaches have the schemes and the players have the smarts and talent to execute fresh strategies every week.
This is the exact opposite of Mari-no-O, who was so predictable that he deserved to be booed.
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On 11/20/2023 at 6:13 PM, Charles Fischer said:
They are overpaid millions for decades, and now this?
You aren’t wrong.
But the 10 “bailers” were asleep at the wheel.
As someone who has gone through a divorce, I appreciate “cutting our losses” and extricating ourselves gracefully from the relationship.
Oregon Moves Up in Penultimate College Football Playoff Rankings
in Our Beloved Ducks
Posted
I love that “Transitive Property Loss” is a thing now.
As a math geek, it tickles every time I read it.