AnotherOD

Reading today the number is expected to reach $4 million. If a team makes the playoffs, with no injuries (minus time coming out for "garbage time" snaps), what is a good number of expected snaps for a LT? Maybe 850? 4,000,000/850 = $4,706 per snap Imagine going 3 and out and your bill for just the LT is $14,118. Maybe the Duck offensive staff does need to rethink all those WR screens. 🙂 $4,706 a snap? It wasn't that long ago a guy couldn't get extra cream cheese on his bagel. I might be a bit more stunned if I didn't then realize Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Zac Wheeler threw 3,134 pitches over a full season with a contract average of $42 million per year. 42,000,000/3134 = $13,401 per pitch So, $67,005 for that five pitch walk in the 1st inning. 🤷‍♂️

Guy is certainly fast (not putting him down at all - he was awesome for UI) in suggesting where is "fastest" coming from? I guess he was more of a hurdle guy in high school, Athletic.net lists his PRs at 100m at 11.24 and 14.42 in the 110. WR Nyckoles Harbor at S.C. has ran 10.11 in the 100m and 20.20 in the 200m. Gatlin Bear joins college football with a 10.15 PR. For reference, Oregon's Devon Allen set the 110 state record in Arizona his senior year at 13.52. I believe I read something like 400 high school 100m runners broke 10.75 last year. The gap between 11.24 and 10.11 is pretty huge. 🤷‍♂️

In terms of two deep, offensively so far so good (though Perry would probably have been considered part of the two deep at WR). Defensively, I've got several depatures off the two deep. Purchase and Porter at DE and Jack LB, Gray at DT, Austin at NB, and Laulea at CB. I imagine the staff would have liked to hold onto Jericho Johnson too (but that is just a hunch). It is just college football at this moment. Teams at or above "blue chip" roster levels (50% or better 4/5 stars) have typically seen departures of young players in the NIL/portal era so far, this year: Ohio State 29, Michigan 27, LSU 32, Texas 22, Alabama 21, Oklahoma 25, USC 20, and so on. I didn't study it, but I would imagine part of the reason USC took 35 commits, Georgia 30, ND 29, tOSU 28, Miami 30, Florida State 33, Tennessee 27 was a "net negative" portal flow the last couple cycles. 25 leaving Oregon won't be that bad if that's the bulk of it (I've got 22 if we are just counting players listed as commits and not from all 105 but it's been a wild day so I might have missed somebody). Overall, running the current roster as of tonight (plus the incoming recruits), I think Oregon's "blue chip" ratio actual has crept up two points. I think the bigger issue to watch is if Oregon can find sufficient guys in the portal to get its roster numbers where it probably would like them to be. I imagine the staff would still like to be at or over 85 (not counting "invite/walk-on" guys like Grace, Quinn, and Wiepert who make the whole 105). With the two additions and new commits, I think the number is currently 73? Finding and landing 11-12 or more will be interesting to watch.

Don't quote me on this (without a re-check), but the longest streaks I could find not losing to a team that eventually played in the National Championship for some recent coaches: Lanning: 1,161 Smart: 1,121 Swinney: 1,098 Day: 1,022 Saben: 798 Since the Ducks don't play for 238 more days, Dan is going to extend this streak to at least 1,399 days.

I read somewhere today it's been 1161 days (3.2 years) since the Ducks lost to somebody who didn't play in the National Championship game. That's pretty good.

I know there are reasons behind it, but a big game from the WR group seems almost a necessity. WRs only (first 7 games): 12.6 catches per game 175.3 yards per game 11 TDs WRs only (last 7 games): 8.9 catches per game 124.1 yards per game 5 TDs

Guy has only had over 6 carries twice this year (7 at Iowa and 10 at Penn State).

A random jump into the AI weeds, it does seem like people do break their collarbone and not know it (apparently a lot by falling off their bikes). Initial soreness that gradually increases. 🤷‍♂️

Some conflicting information about a possible injury in the RB room that would make some sense of this report. Don't want to jump the gun here, it just is out there. 🫤

"Jay Harris was on the field though and perhaps most interestingly, linebacker Brayden Platt warmed up with the running backs but was still wearing a green defensive jersey." I think Brayden dealt with some injuries both as a junior and senior, but MaxPreps has the following rushing stats for him at Yelm (WA) HS: 23-24 (SR): 4 games, 50 carries, 462 yards, 9.2 ypc, 115.5 ypg, 5 TDs 22-23 (JR): 8 games, 87 carries, 928 yards, 10.7 ypc, 116.0 ypg, 21 TDs (He also ran a 11.09 100m at 6-2 and 235 pounds)

Enjoyed the article. As EastBayDuckDad, Solar, and Triphibius have pointed out, the one thing that has stood out is Texas Tech's offense really feasting on turnovers and short fields this season (getting them a full 2.2 standard deviations more often than the FBS median). It appears simply not turning the ball over, being patient and playing field position, and bending-but-not-breaking might be unusually successful against Tech. Their conversion numbers when they have to travel further to score (and string together 6+ plays) apparently fall off unusually rapidly compared to the remaining playoff teams.

Kentucky has a RSo to be QB that played most of this season that apparently has fans pretty excited. He is a Kentucky kid who I guess was one of the highest rated in-state QBs to ever commit there back in 2024 (Cutter Boyle). He threw for 2160 yards leading UK to a 4-5 finish. I guess there was some panic he was going to jump in the portal with the coaching change and stayed (and there have been some comments from both Stein and new OC Joe Sloan backing Boyle as QB1). I don't see why Novosad would pick another spot where he enters as a junior behind a sophomore? (It sort of sounds a bit like Stein and Novosad would be starting their tenure off with some unhappy Wildcat fans and some extra pressure on both if Stein leapfrogged the popular in-state kid for a guy with 15 career passes)

In the signs it might not be your day department against Indiana. Oregon has an 11 play 71 yard drive end with a missed 36 yard FG with 0:23 second left in the 2nd by is normally reliable kicker. Sappington 48-56 on FGs over his career. 85.7%. Which is very good for a college kicker. In 0:23 seconds, IU was able to travel 40 yards in 3 plays. Indiana kicker Brenden Franke, a 6th year senior, with stops at Morningside College, Nebraska, Georgia Southern, Texas State, and Indiana, comes in and knocks in a 58 yard FG on the road with time expiring that today remains the only made FG of his college career. 1-3 career. Oregon goes in trailing 13-10 instead of leading 13-10.

Early random thoughts on the Texas Tech game. • Texas Tech is going to be coming off 25 days off, which probably means rust, at least in the first half. The 4 bye teams last year trailed at half by 10, 10, 14, and 26. • I am just not totally sure the B12 overall had a strong year. After Utah, BYU twice were their next two biggest wins and BYU was picked to finish 9th in the preseason poll. Sometimes that jump is totally legit and sometimes it is because most of the conference was expected to be good and wasn't. Someone has to finish 3-5. I watched Houston against Oregon State and the teams looked pretty even. They finished forth. Arizona finished 5th and well, it's still post-Fisch Arizona. Utah I think was very solid but they averaged 41 points a game? 41? I think they were beating up on some JAG conference opponents. 247 has a total team roster talent composition rating and ASU was overall #33, Utah #44, and BYU #70. Arizona was #67 and Houston #66. Oregon sits at #5. • Going to be a lot of talk about their D this week. TT loses to ASU and all we hear is their QB was out and that is fair; but, Tech actually took the lead 22-19, and were kicking off with 2 minutes left in the game. They get their 1985 Chicago Bears defense on the field to end the game. ASU goes 10 plays and 75 yards in 1:25 to take back the lead. In the drive TT gets ASU into a 4th and 2 with 0:55 seconds left for a walk-off win. Leavitt completes 33 yards to Tyson instead. Holding them to a FG means OT. ASU instead scores a TD to win 26-22. • I do expect a close game.

There most likely will be more to come. Just how it works now. Just a guess, between 4-8 more. Nothing to do with the game yesterday.