Jon Joseph Moderator No. 1 Share Posted October 27 Mr. Mock Continues to have Puddles Flying High and Coming Up Roses. ROSE BOWL - 1 OREGON vs. 9. Indiana at 8. Texas FIESTA BOWL - 4. K State vs. 12. Boise State at 5. Ohio State PEACH BOWL - 2. Miami vs. 10. Clemson at 7. Notre Dame SUGAR BOWL - 3. Georgia vs. 11. Tennessee at 6. Penn State Notre Dame. One third of the Domer's games are vs. the G5 and ND lost to one, NO. ILL. ND is Idle on Champ Game weekend. Notre Dame does have to get by FSU at home, after taking this Saturday off. The games vs. Georgia Tech and Navy and the game vs Army are all played at neutral sites, not true road games. ND caught A+M at the right time. SCAM. However, how many viewers would a Ducks vs Domers Rose Bowl game draw. Have to love the ACC. Clemson, Pitt, and SMU are undefeated in conference. Miami misses all three teams in the regular season. Pitt plays at SMU and plays Clemson in Pittsburgh. The Canes miss all three in the regular season. SCAM. The Field: 4 B1G, 3 SEC (where's A+M?); 2 ACC; 1 B12; 1 Independent; and 1 Mountain West, G5. Could Boise be seeded higher than the B12 champion? OBD has Mock's best odds of making the Playoff - 98%. Boise is 10 - 54%. The B12 team with the best odds is 13. K State - 47%. Bama is 12 - 50%. A+M is 16 - 32%. 20. LSU is 20. 13%. CU is Bowl Eligible. Will Prime follow Hunter and Son out-of-town? MASH MICHIGAN! 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph Author Moderator No. 2 Share Posted October 28 Four B1G Boys Battle for a B1G Title - Can Indiana really break up Oregon, Penn State and Ohio State? Sizing up 4-way Big Ten race WWW.SPORTINGNEWS.COM Four teams – No. 1 Oregon (8-0), No. 3 Penn State (8-0), No. 4 Ohio State (7-1) and No. 13 Indiana (8-0) – are in a scramble for the Big Ten championship game and College Football Playoff. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
30Duck No. 3 Share Posted October 28 Right now, Oregon controls its destiny, and I think Indiana runs the table. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
HappyToBeADuck No. 4 Share Posted October 28 The Ducks wpuld be well advised to play like an underdog and win out. Solidify a spot in the BIG Title game. No sense getting involved in any tie breakers. However a 11-1 Duck team would still get or should get a CFP Invite. However, I have been a Duck fan since the 1984 season. Many on this Forum have been Ducks fans since the Willamette Valley was first settled almost 2 centuries ago. IMHO, this Duck team can win it all. In 2010 and 2014 i rooted from my heart. Wishing and hoping the Ducks could win it all. This team, barring critical injuries can win it all. Others may disagree! Lets see OBD's take care of Michigan first... GO DUCKS.... 2 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnotherOD No. 5 Share Posted October 28 (edited) I was looking at the ACC and if SMU beats Pitt at home next weekend, they have a very easy path to finish 8-0 in conference and 11-1 overall. If Clemson, Miami, and SMU all finish 8-0, on the third tie-breaker Clemson and Miami play. If Clemson beats Miami in a close game, both Clemson and Miami probably get spots and an 11-1 SMU conference co-champion likely gets left out. Iowa State is unbeaten (and has a tougher road to stay that way) but they could meet an undefeated BYU for the B12 championship game. Does the B12 get 2? If not, a second one loss program gets left out? How about if tOSU gets it worked out and beats Penn State and Indiana? Indiana and Penn State still have a manageable road to 11-1. How many from the B1G can go? If Oregon beats tOSU in a rematch, can you take a two loss tOSU team in over one loss Penn State and Indiana? In this case tOSU would have still beaten both teams (and only lost twice to #1). How do you choose between Penn State and Indiana if the B1G does manage 3? Texas A&M finishes with Texas. What happens to everybody else in the SEC if 11-1 Georgia and 11-1 A&M play for the SEC championship? In this case I believe all of Texas, Tennessee, and Alabama will have at least 2 losses (Texas to Georgia and A&M, Tenn to Arkansas and Georgia, Alabama to Tenn and Vandy). How do you pick which SEC team gets in if indeed as most believe they get 3 spots? Similar situation between Alabama, Tenn, and A&M if they are beat by Texas. What happens to Georgia if Tenn happens to find a way to pull an upset there? In that case it would be Texas or Texas A&M vs. Tenn in the championship game and Georgia, Alabama, and the loser of the Texas showdown all with 2 losses. There was some worry the expanded playoff might make the regular season less exciting? It sure seems at least to be setting up for a number of meaningful games the last 5 weeks, and possibly a lot of debate for those 7 spots going to the non-automatic qualifiers (and just 6 if ND lands a spot -- ND probably will be pulling hard for A&M over Texas as it makes their opening season win look bigger -- can USC knock them off at home that last week of the season?). Edited October 28 by AnotherOD 3 1 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charles Fischer Administrator No. 6 Share Posted October 28 On 10/27/2024 at 7:41 PM, AnotherOD said: There was some worry the expanded playoff might make the regular season less exciting? It sure seems at least to be setting up for a number of meaningful games the last 5 weeks, and possibly a lot of debate for those 7 spots Damn. You did your homework, and that is appreciated. A recent article in The Athletic pointed out how THIRTY teams still have a shot at the Playoffs, and you are right about it creating a ton of interest. Many said in the past that you can still get into the Playoff with two losses, but boy, there will be a TON of two-loss teams. I would not want to be in that beauty contest, in particular with SEC judges. 1 1 Mr. FishDuck Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
HappyToBeADuck No. 7 Share Posted October 28 AnotherOD, you raise some good points in your solid post. I am not certain how the CFP Selection Committee will view some of these teams and their SOS. Who have Miami, Clemson, SMU, Pitt, Iowa State and BYU played and beaten? Do their schedules compare to the SEC or BIG? Have they played or beaten a SEC or BIG team? I don't have those answers! We will have a better picture on the first selection poll in early November. For me, conference strength is a key component. Some 2 loss SEC teams may or could have a better resume than a one loss team in ACC/Big12. However, that may not be the case with the committee. Either way there will be some upset teams. I think SEC gets 4, BIG gets 3 (if Indiana wins 11 games they get invited) ACC gets 1, Big 12 gets 1, Group of 6 gets 1, ND steals 1. If Indiana gets in thats it. If they dont then 1 big invite is up for grabs. Just my thoughts....... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph Author Moderator No. 8 Share Posted October 28 AnotherOD and Happy, great posts. THIS is what worries Tony Petitti and Greg Sankey. We'll find out beginning on 11/5 when the Committee releases its 1st rankings whether the concerns are justied. If the Committee simply uses Ws and Ls the Committee will be called out. How do you seperate a bunch of 10-2 P4 teams without using SOS, Strength of Record, etc. The CBB Committee discloses the metrics it uses, I believe the CFB Committee will be making a mistake if it doesn't do the same. "Trust Us" is not going to bounce. In fairness, Indiana has a bad SOS as does Ohio State but for the OREGON GAME that it lost. The Playoff has tripled in size but I believe the Committee's rankings problems will go well beyond last season's FSU bruhaha and the flak will fly when seeding comes out that doesn't match the final ranking on 12/8/24. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
