Jump to content
  • Finish your profile right here  and directions for adding your Profile Picture (which appears when you post) is right here.

Steven A

Moderator
  • Posts

    3,065
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Steven A

  1. It has been the subject of some podcasts. I bet Dan knew the rule. It seems a blocked FG that bounces and still goes through the uprights is good. ASU screwed twice by refs who don't know the rules.
  2. Instead of crying, let's smile . . . What time today does our team arrive for the Rose Bowl? How many milk cartons do we need for our team? And as always, at least we're not ewe dub.
  3. Well, to paraphrase Rick Blaine (Casablanca) "We'll always have Paris" /2024 = only undefeated FBS school.
  4. The Good, the Bad and the Ugly . . . The Good = It was a mercy killing, by the end of the 1st quarter there was no hope for a comeback, and we avoided a roller coaster loss. The Bad and Ugly, see above. Reminded me of a Tyson fight in his prime, over early and our plan was gone after the first hit/third play to the mouth.
  5. Been there, done that . . . unfortunately.
  6. Rope a dope in game 1 and vs Michigan. Would have been nice if they didn't lay that Michigan egg and been in the BIG CShip so that we were in opposite brackets. But, not like we haven't been the bride's maid before.
  7. Dan's updates Dan Lanning's Final Updates Ahead of Rose Bowl vs. Ohio State WWW.ON3.COM Head Coach Dan Lanning provides his final updates and remarks ahead of Oregon facing Ohio State in the Rose Bowl.
  8. Tez sezs Oregon WR Tez Johnson on Buckeyes: "Their energy has changed' WWW.ON3.COM Oregon's leading wide receiver Tez Johnson discusses the upcoming matchup against Ohio State in the Rose Bowl.
  9. Bulletin board material from Jeremiah Smith Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith warns Ducks against playing man - ESPN WWW.ESPN.COM Ohio State star WR Jeremiah Smith warned Oregon against playing man coverage against him in the Rose Bowl on Wednesday. Maybe that way he won't push off and get an OPI
  10. Rivals Sunday Morning Sidewalk. Sunday Morning Sidewalk: The Road Ahead OREGON.RIVALS.COM Today on the Sidewalk reflecting on a transformative season, resilience, community, and my own journey to the Rose Bowl.
  11. Duckswire Tale of the Tape Breaking down tape between Oregon Ducks and Ohio State Buckeyes
  12. Jordan, nice article and RIGHT ON. GO DUCKS
  13. 12 early enrollees practicing with team. Oregon sees 12 early enrollees from 2025 class join Rose Bowl practices
  14. We come in at No's 18, 10, 5. College Football Playoff 2024: Ranking the top 24 most impactful players heading into the quarterfinal round - CBSSports.com WWW.CBSSPORTS.COM Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith and Notre Dame's Jeremiyah Love both moved up our list after impressive first-round performances
  15. Most probably look at E$PN, but who cares . . . just win baby win. Also, it may be viewed as doing more with less.
  16. On January 1st for sure, leave the zoo animals/zebras out of it. Don't limit yourself.
  17. Just like the forward pass, two out of the three outcomes are not good. 1) Backup is just as good or better = complete pass 2) Backup is not as good = incomplete pass 3) Backup stinks = int Thank you, Woody Hayes.
  18. Here is a good article in full. I couldn't get the url or whatever it is termed to load. I’ve really enjoyed diving into the numbers for Oregon football this season. As it has allowed me to either confirm or deny some suspicions that I have developed from watching games. When I watched Ohio State not just beat Tennessee, but absolutely demolish them into oblivion, it made me suspect that the Buckeyes have returned to being the mostly excellent team we have seen all year after taking a one game hiatus against Michigan. Ad If Ohio State had limped away a win against Tennessee 17-13, as I thought what was going to happen, and would be coming into the Rose Bowl the shell of their former selves my feelings and outlook for this game would be very different. But instead, Ohio State made Tennessee look like a below average MAC team. I’m not kidding Ohio State outgained Tennessee by an incredible 3.73 yards per play which is better than the 3.46 yards per play they outgained Akron by in week 1 of the season. In fact, Ohio States per play performance against Tennessee was better than their performance against Northwestern and Purdue. PURDUE! After taking some time to digest the fact that Oregon will be playing Ohio State in a rematch with everything on the line there are two main reasons I’m nervous about the re-match. Reason Number 1: The first game was a one-point win inside Autzen stadium.SportsGridOhio State Dominates Tennessee: A Full Game Breakdown 2:41 If one single play out of the 130 plays run in the game had gone a different way in favor of Ohio State, Ohio State could have won that game. Now if I had wheels, I could be a bicycle (which I’m not) but the point being the first game was incredibly close Let’s take a deeper look at the first meeting between these two teams. I decided to re-watch this game to write this article and track the yards per play myself as often box scores and online play by play sheets can have errors in them. Here is how each team performed on a per play basis in Total, Per Attempt, and Per Rush. Oregon vs Ohio State YPP Analysis In that game Oregon was slightly the better team on a per basis. They outgained Ohio State by 0.58 yards per play which would indicate they won a close game and as we all know, they did in fact win a close game. They did this thanks to averaging an excellent 10.03 yards per attempt against the number one defense per Bill Connelly’s SP+. Ad Ohio State averaged 0.50 yards per rush more than Oregon for the full game, but I wanted to highlight something I talked about with Ohio State when I was comparing them on a per play basis to Tennessee. The biggest (and maybe only) weakness of Ohio State’s team is their beat up O-Line. The injuries began mounting for the Buckeyes during the game against Oregon when they lost their improved starting Left Tackle Josh Simmons. I split up and tracked Yards per Rush for Ohio State before and after the injury to Josh Simmons which happened with 8:47 remaining in the second quarter. For context I split up Oregon’s YPR for the 1st and 2nd half. Here is how each team ran the ball to start and finish the game Oregon vs Ohio State YPP Analysis Now please take this chart with a grain of salt. We are dealing with quite small sample sizes of 12-17 designed running plays and Ohio State’s first half figure is buoyed by a 53-yard Treyveyon Henderson run. But I do believe it shows how big a loss Josh Simmons was for Ohio State in this game and has been for this season, as they were only able to average 3.50 yards per carry against Oregon’s defense without Mr. Simmons. Ad It should also be noted that Ohio State may have once again successfully re-shuffled there O-Line as they ran for a very good 4.73 yards per rush against what I believe to still be a very good Tennessee front. From watching that game it appeared that Ohio State attempted to use the pass to set up the run and my guess is that they will broadly try to do the same against Oregon. Reason Number 2: This shouldn’t shock anyone but, Ohio State is really really good Oregon and Ohio State are starting to build-up quite the rivalry now that they are conference foes. Both on the field and in recruiting the Ducks and Buckeyes have been battling with each other very intensely for the last 3 and half years. And while it is natural to try and disparage a rival, I’m here to tell you that despite the animosity we may feel towards Ohio State they are as good as advertised. They are the number one team still per Bill Connelly’s SP+ and across all opponents for the entire season they have even been better than Oregon on a per play basis as this chart shows. Oregon vs Ohio State YPP Analysis Without looking at the rest of college football, my guess is that Ohio State and Oregon are the two best teams on a per play basis in all of college football against Power opponents. Each team has played 13 games thus far. 3 Games against Group of 5 teams, and 10 games against Power 4 opponents. Oregon and Ohio States’ 4 common opponents are the following teams. Michigan State, Purdue, Michigan, and Penn State. Here is how each team has performed in each game categorized by the different buckets of YPP I use to evaluate a game post-game. Oregon vs Ohio State YPP Analysis Now that I should have made you the reader sufficiently nervous here is why I’m confident that Oregon can win the re-match. 1. Oregon beat Ohio State earlier this year, we saw it happen with our own eyes and brain a. Not only did they beat Ohio State, but they were the better team on a per play basis. As close as that game was, Oregon had some glaring missed opportunities. If one single play out of the 130 plays run in the game had gone a different way in favor of Oregon they could have won by a full touchdown. Again, if I had wheels. 2. Jordan Burch a. Oregon was without its best Pass Rusher in the first game against Ohio State. Ohio State’s banged up Offensive Line now must try and stop the exact same cast of characters from Oregon’s front, plus Jordan Burch. Here is how Oregon has stopped the run on a per play basis when Jordan Burch has played with no limitations, on a snap count, and without him Oregon vs Ohio State YPP Analysis Now does Oregon’s ability to defend the run solely hinge on Jordan Burch. Likely not, but he is a phenomenal player and having him fully healthy for the re-match is a huge X-factor in favor of Oregon. As is the case whenever the two best teams in college football meet the one feeling I can almost guarantee you will feel on New Years Day, is tense.
  19. Besides Burch, I had forgotten there was no T Ferg in game 1.
  20. Present company excepted also!!!
  21. Group thread: Bucknuts & Duck Territory Right click on the above and open in a new window. Mutual hate vs M and W schools.
×
×
  • Create New...
Top