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Everything posted by EastBayDuckDad
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OBD Prediction Contest vs. Stanford
Oregon 48-27 3 TO 4 Sacks 325 passing yds
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Circa 2012: Lanning Replicates Bend-But-Don’t-Break Defense
Great analysis on this. I'm in league with Charles on not loving the BDB defense, but understanding why Lanning may be running it now with the Cover 2 approach. It is impressive that run defense is as good as it has been. The outside DL and LBs have been setting the edge well, so plays are getting turned inside to the strength of the D. Not as much so far with the pass game, compounded by inconsistent tackling in space. But with a few exceptions, Cover 2 has kept the deep ball controlled. If setting the edge continues to get better keeping mobile opposing QBs in the pocket and limiting the read down dump off pass to the flat, things will improve. Add consistent tackling and the BDB will do less bending and more stopping. The Stanford game will be a good barometer on the progress made. McKee isn't as elusive as the QBs faced from BYU and Wazzu thus far, but he will test the D at all three levels: deep, intermediate and in the short sideline game.
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Washington State Could Determine the Conference Champion?
Let's hope this is not entirely accurate when it comes to OBD. Georgia v Oregon: Georgia 439 yds passing 132 yds rushing 571 yds total offense
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The FishDuck Feed 'Focused Forty' Oregon Sports News/Articles for Wednesday, September 28, 2022
Pac-12 in danger of eventual collapse as Big Ten considers further expansion, Big 12 interest looms - CBSSports.com WWW.CBSSPORTS.COM If the Big Ten can get one more significant payday, it may be curtains for the Pac-12 Pac-12 reportedly in danger of collapse WWW.SATURDAYDOWNSOUTH.COM Conference realignment continues to have significant impact on where college football is headed.
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Bo Nix Gives Oregon’s Offense New Life
Very good article, Joshua, and an accurate read on Nix. My observation is that the Oregon offense under Dillingham has him playing to his skill set, which is accurate reads, short to medium range passes and controlled runs, planned off the RPO or scrambles when he needs to get out of the pocket. Nix's long ball is not his strength. In reviewing passing attempts over 30 yds, he more often than not will slightly over or under throw the ball. Luckily most of them are catchable. The long completions to Franklin and Hutson at WSU required each to break stride just a bit. One of the long passes in the BYU game led the receiver just a bit too much and he wasn't able to reach the endzone and the great catch by Franklin was a bit behind him. This tendency to underthrow was the reason the first pick in the Georgia game occurred, albeit to a very talented DB that played it perfectly. I'll bet Smart coached his secondary to that tendency given his familiarity with Nix. On the flip side, Bo's TD pass to Franklin late in the WSU game was on a dime, and the 4th and 2 completion to Irving was perfect. It was a do or die play and the reason Oregon came back to win. Both of those passes were in the 25-30yd range where Nix is most effective. With the O-line giving him a relatively clean pocket, Nix has the time to launch down the field, but his real strength is that medium pass. He is really accurate on those and can pick apart a defense. Oregon has the speedy receivers to get significant YAC, so that medium game is money.
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A Fun Post to Lighten Up Your Day
Thanks for posting that, PDuck! Heard it on Steve Tannen's show yesterday and smiled for half an hour afterwards. Spanish play by play is rapid fire by nature of calling futbol matches (That's 'soccer' to you Norte Americanos). Prehm needs to polish up his high school Spanish though. It's 'Hasta la vista' baby! Goooooaaaaaaaalllllll !
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Mar'Keise 'Bucky' Irving
Irving's clutch reception in the 4th Qtr of the Wazzu game on 4th and 2 was 'do or die'. It was a great pass thrown into a tight window. If Nix doesn't find him, throws a bad ball or Irving drops it, Oregon's comeback is toast. Franklin's grabs were fantastic Sports Center material but Bucky's reception was the game's true pivot. The comparisons to Kenyon Barner I think are the closest, and Irving may even have a bit better anticipation, field vision and finishing power than KB. Getting Cardwell back will be important later in the season to keep fresh legs in the RB rotation, but Irving (and Whittington, for that matter) have really performed above expectations.
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Would Oregon Fan Base Welcome Nix in 23?
Personally I would rather see Bo have a great season, then move on. Don't think he is a high end NFL talent, but he could carve out a decent pro career. He's married and will want to provide for his new family. Something tells me Dante Moore will find his place in the new system at Oregon. Maybe he waits a year or more behind TT, but I think it may be sooner rather than later that he takes the reins.
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A Picture is Worth a Thousand Words...What are Your Words?
Heavens, that's Noah Sewell lifting DL towards the rafters. Like coach said, he doesn't pay attention to stats and they don't tell the whole story. My bet is that Kelly, Helfrich, Taggart or Cristobal ever had that experience. Something special appears to be happening here.
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Miami Got Beat by..Middle Tennessee?
Middle Tennessee coach, ex-FSU QB Rick Stockstill slams Miami after upset win 247SPORTS.COM ... Wow, Happy Birthday and all that, but talk about rubbing Cristobal's nose in it. You don't often see an opposing coach win with such, umm, grace.
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Dillingham's Passing Attack Unveiled and Impressive
The beauty of Dillingham's offense is the mix of pass/run, variety of formations and deception. It seems to play to Bo's skill set perfectly, even if we got a bit of bad judgment on the pick-6 yesterday. Yes, the pass was tipped and well played by the WSU LB, but that ball shouldn't have been thrown. That said, give Nix the time the O-line is giving him to make the throws he can make and this offense just sings. Those last two drives against Wazzu were just plain masterful.
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Is Oregon STILL a Conference Champion Contender to You?
Charles, pretty much in agreement that Oregon can be a top 10 team at season end with a victory in a big time (Rose) bowl game to top it off. I don't really see them in the CFP unless they run the table convincingly with a defense that has improved significantly from where they are post-Wazzu. Unfortunately I see tOSU, GA, Alabama and Clemson in the CFP again, ho hum. I think specific goals will make for a satisfying season: 1. Beat Stanford next week without letdown after yesterday's coronary spasm inducing win. Finally extinguish the ghosts of Zach Ertz's bad call TD and CJ's fumble from Autzen. 2. Win the away games they are supposed to win convincingly: Arizona, Colorado and Cal. Their fan bases are nowhere near what WSU brought to the table so these three games should be less formidable. 3. Much as I hate to say it, UW is a much improved team and beating them, even at home, will be a challenge. Ditto for Utah, with that revenge factor thrown in. Mid-late November will be a real gauntlet for the Ducks and victories in those two games, followed by beating a very dangerous Beaver team at Reser, will define success for 2022. 4. If Oregon gets that far, knocking off a now exposed U$C (oh please, please!) in Vegas and a trip to the Rose Bowl would make for a great 1st season under Lanning. Then finishing with a win over Michigan or Penn State would be the cherry on top with a top 10 ranking assured.
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GameDay Thread! Oregon vs. Washington State
Ok, so that was a grim performance in the 1st half. But offense outgaining WSU 2:1 and without the pick-6 we're up. And ......Hell yes!!
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OBD Prediction Contest vs. Washington State!
Oregon 28-17 2 TO 3 Sacks 290 yds
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A Step Ahead Or Back Versus WSU?
A step ahead. Watched the speed dial 60 minute version of the WSU-Colorado St on PAC12 Network and a couple things stood out to me: CSU is a horrible football team, particularly their defense. Yet they still got pressure on Cameron Ward, sacked him a couple times and forced a few errant throws with a bad pick. Ward is not terribly mobile but he does get the ball out in a hurry. If stressed he makes poor decisions. His 4 TD passes in the 1st half were to painfully open receivers going against undersized and one step too slow DBs. The WSU O-line was only fair in pass protection and the CSU front seven were pretty vanilla in their alignments, so Ward had enough time to pick the DBs apart. Even so, CSU got to him several times. As with the old Leach Air Raid offense, the run game exists to set up the pass, but the CSU run defense was so bad that the Wazzu backs had a field day. The WSU defense is stout, but again, overwhelmed a poor offense with a Swiss cheese O-line. That LB transfer from Nevada is a stud, but he's the only one that really stands out. The front seven brought pressure from everywhere with odd alignments, stunts and safety blitzes. The CSU QB, Millen was running for his life all afternoon. When he had time, he was able to burn the WSU secondary. I think Oregon will really stress WSU on both sides of the ball if they play sound fundamentally, stick to the basics that they did so well against BYU and avoid mistakes. Tackle well and finish, finish, finish. Oregon is far more talented than CSU, or Wisconsin for that matter and I think they will be able to run on the WSU defensive front seven, allowing Nix to get the RPO passing game going. So again, I think Oregon takes a step forward and gets the win, as long as the WSU 'ghosts of Palouse past' don't rise from the dead to spoil the trip.
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Is The Ducks’ DLine / Lack of Sacks a Concern?
Agreed on this, but getting a stop on 4th down should count almost as much as a TO. Oregon did that to BYU three times if memory serves and scored on each ensuing possession. Picks, lost fumbles and failed 4th down attempts that result in points for the opponent break a team's back.
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The FishDuck Feed: Oregon Sports News and Articles for Tuesday, September 20, 2022
Sorry to see this for the young man's sake, but Oregon dodged one by having him go elsewhere. Emoni Bates suspended by Eastern Michigan basketball following arrest on gun charges WWW.MLIVE.COM Eastern Michigan has suspended Emoni Bates from all practices and playing privileges until the legal process is resolved.
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From the Bleachers: Kenny Dillingham’s ‘Gimme Shelter’ Offense
Great article. Tailoring the offense to Bo Nix's skill set while minimizing calls that would get him in trouble was on full display Saturday against BYU. And Hallelujah! to the clock management displayed during critical drives. As far as the early Ty Thompson experiment goes, my only gripe is that Dilly did a disservice to his young QB by starting him off with the doomed lateral pass. It required a read on the corner blowing by the WR block that may be a bit above Thompson's pay grade at this point. He should have been allowed to run the offense that had worked for 3 quarters. The pick was a good throw that Thornton biffed. What a confidence killer. One tell for me was a TV close up of Thompson's face as the offense was lining up. Almost a blank stare, no eye movement or reading the defense. Maybe a misread on my part, but he seemed locked on to whatever play was called and just following the script. Several pre-snap looks by Nix were shown and he was scanning the defensive sets, making adjustments and in command of his players. Night and day.
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Mario Ripped on Twitter
Agree. No ill will wished, just that MC had four years in Eugene to figure out that he had limitations when it came to offensive scheme and in-game decision making. If he can learn that if something doesn't move with a lot of force, and that using more force may not be the best strategy, he may be a successful head coach in Miami. My money isn't on that possibility, and I'm glad that he took his philosophy of iron vs iron until something fails or breaks is 3000 miles away.
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My Top-3 Positive Takeaways So Far
Amen to that. To see what we are now missing you only have to search: Offense/absent/Hurricanes/Miami
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Did You Hear All the SLAPS Out There After the Game?
Woof, careful what you wish for. For Lanning's first year I'd be thrilled with a Pac12 championship win over an entitled, sniveling, transfer portal dependent U$C, then a Rose Bowl win over another overrated BIG team like Penn St. or Michigan. Let tOSU get eviscerated by Georgia in the CFP as a prelude to burying whatever SEC team is anointed by Paul Finebaum to challenge them in the Natty. Not that Oregon should shy away from another shot at the Dawgs, but I don't see that Georgia freight train being derailed by anyone this year. Oregon's time will come.
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Will the Real Noah Sewell Please Show Up.
I wouldn't be too critical of the ILB corps just yet. The Georgia game was a comprehensive arse-whuppin by the best team in the nation and still our LBs kept the run under control, but got killed by the pass. They didn't need to bring their best game against a middling EW team. Once we got up on BYU, with their run game struggling, the nickel and dime packages kept Sewell off the field more than if the game had been tight. Flowe was not 100% and wasn't needed since the backups were playing well and the Cougars had to rely on the passing game to try and catch up. Funa actually had a good game, setting the edge and playing sound fundamentally. The time for the LBs to shine will come.
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Miami vs. Texas A&M Observations
Special teams have been dismal for the U. Several dropped passes. Sclerotic offense with too predictable play calling. Sound familiar to anyone on the OBDF? The defense has kept it close, but what a waste of offensive talent.
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To Root For or Against the PAC?
Gotta root for the PAC, even the Fuskies. Wazzu against Wisconsin was fun to watch. I do so enjoy a BIG whack to the huevos. Then again U$C can go to he-double-🏒.
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Did You Hear All the SLAPS Out There After the Game?
Blessed to watch this game from about the 50 yd line 20 rows up. Oregon outschemed and out toughed BYU. A lot more misdirection on offense, and use of Herbert as an H back worked almost every time it was used. Bo played a great game. Good touch on the ball, no bad decisions, ran the offense well, and he was a leader. I think it also put to rest some of the 'play Ty Thompson' shouting. It was a real disservice to have him try that lateral pass on his 1st down from scrimmage. They should have let him run the offense. He seemed uncertain after that. Defense played great. I counted one missed tackle. They threw it at Gonzales once and then hardly ever came his way after that. Bridges had a rough game. I wouldn't be surprised to see Manning play more in the future. No Justin Flowe even though he was suited up, and even Sewell was used sparingly given all the nickel and dime packages. Not many sacks, but a lot of BYU's failures on 3rd and 4th downs were coverage victories for the D. Bassa had a game and I'm looking forward to watching the replay to see who else stood out. DL will say that the team will 'go to the doctor' to fix what went wrong, but this win was one of the most enjoyable I've seen at Autzen in years and it was just what the doctor ordered