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Tandaian

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Posts posted by Tandaian

  1. My father worked at the city of Eugene Parks and Recreation for 30 years.  While working there, they hardly ever gave up any park area.  I would not expect Alton Baker Park to expand for Autzen Stadium parking for 7 maybe 8 days a year.

     

    Everything south of Autzen along Leo Harris Parkway is already used for parking.  I have my tailgate in the BMX track.  The Masonic Lodge already has parking.  The NE corner of MLK and S Garden way is used for parking.  Alton Baker Park has limited parking spots.

     

    I think it would be great if they put a 2nd level to completely cover the SE corner of Autzen parking.

     

    As for buses, they have buses parked along a large portion of Leo Harris Parkway.  Plus, LTD shuttles.

  2. A comedy of continuous poor decision making.

     

    I'd like to know what the numbers Larry Scott gave Presidents when he said the Pac 12 network was going to make a huge profit with how many subscriptions?

     

    I'd like to know the bench marks for Apple's contract.  Now that the Pac 12 is dead, it should be easy enough for somebody to leak that information.

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  3. Autzen had a nice 17 year run during the Chip Kelly years of selling out end in 2016.  I don't think we have had a streak of 2 games since.  Expanding another 13,000 would work for 1 maybe 2 games a season.  Plus, there are laws required for parking spaces.  Adding 13,000 would require 3,250 more parking spaces.  Where are they going to put those spaces?

     

    There are essentially 2 exits out of Autzen and traffic is already a nightmare.  They have done a poor job of any sort of traffic flow for the last 5-7 years.  Adding more cars will make it worse.  It can take 2 hours to get out after the game.

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  4. John Canzano is hearing from the people in the room, the TV deal offered will surpass the Big 12 deal in either year 3 or 4.  I'm not sure how that is possible if the base is 200 million.  Even if linear is putting in 100 million, that still leaves 80 million short.  

     

    Only 1 million people have subscribed to the MLS deal.  Do we really think there is going to be way more signing up for the PAC deal?  The MLS subscription is $15.00 a month.  Let's say half goes directly to the PAC, they would need 10.66 million new subscribers to get to 80 million.

     

    Apple TV currently has 25 million subscribers in USA.  Bringing on 10.66 million more doesn't seem feasible.  Why would the people in the room feel this is a great deal?

  5. I don't think John Canzano was making it up, that it was a lay-up about the PAC TV deal.  I think his sources truly thought that or they lied to him about it.  

     

    I'm not sure why anybody thought 200 mil plus potential subscription bonuses was going to make it to 380 mil per year.  I guess the only thing I can think of is the linear deal is worth 100-150 mil per year?

     

    If there is a linear deal the PAC really blew it not letting it out at the same time as Apple.

  6. I get why they might not like competing against UO in football and football recruiting, but for the rest of the sports, having more teams on the west coast makes financial sense.  I have said it before, having 6 teams on the west coast makes the money work way better for the B1G TEN.

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  7. If Apple, 200 mil annually, is the only contract for the PAC, it would be decimating. 

     

    Here is what the Big 12 was in 2012.  13 years, 2.6 billion, 200 mil annually.

    Here is what the Big 12 is in 2025.  6 years, 2.28 billion, 380 mil annually.

     

    Here is what the PAC deal looked like in 2012.  12 years 3 billion, 250 mil annually.

    It would be the first time in history a P5 conference's TV deal went down annually from the previous contract.

     

    Here are how the TV games were split between ESPN and FOX for the 2012-2024 deal.

     

    The deal is with ESPN and Fox with enough of the conference's own events maintained to allow for the creation of a Pac-12 Network.

    • Fox has the rights to 22 Pac-12 football games annually. Eight of those will be on the over-the-air Fox network (four in prime time) and the remaining 14 will be on FX, which is available in 99 million homes. Fox also has the rights to the Pac-12 Championship Game in even years, which will be broadcast in prime time on a Friday night on Fox.
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    • ESPN gets the rights to 22 football games of their own, including eight on Thursday or Friday nights, a weekly 7:30 pm PT game and two ABC prime time games per year. ESPN also gets the rights to the Pac-12 Championship Game in odd years, which will be broadcast on a Friday night.
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    • Fox will have the rights to 22 men's basketball games per year as well as three Pac-12 Tournaments beginning in 2014.
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    • ESPN will broadcast a total on 46 men's basketball games on Wednesdays, Thursdays, Saturdays and Sundays as the Pac-12 ditches their Thursday/Saturday scheduling for a more flexible schedule.
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    • The Pac-12 Tournament will see Fox/FX or ESPN/ESPN2 as well as the Pac-12 Network. Fox/FX and ESPN/ESPN2 will alternate years televising a quarterfinal game, a semifinal game and the championship game with the balance of games televised on the Pac-12 Network.
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    • ESPN has the rights to up to 80 live events per year, which includes the 22 football games, the men's basketball games, women's basketball games and Olympic sports as well for the first time. ESPN also has the rights to the women's basketball tournament.
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    • A Pac-12 Network will be created and will show 350 live events each year. All football and men's basketball games not covered by the deals with Fox or ESPN will be broadcast on the Pac-12 Network, as well as an array of non-revenue/Olympic sports.
    • Pac-12 Digital Networks is being created and will be an online channel similar to ESPN3 that will show all games on Pac-12, as well as additional events live online. With Pac-12 Digital Networks comes additional mobile and social media technology for the conference's events as well.

     

    I can't imagine why USC/UCLA would be that much more valuable than OU/Texas.  It can't be all market size, because if it was SMU, Rice, etc any other university in a huge TV market would be getting bigger TV deals.

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  8. I'm probably the last person not to think the sky is falling, but I'm going to wait and see what the TV deal is. 

     

    From a perspective standpoint Big 12 is doing better than the PAC at the moment, but I'm not really all that hyped about Cincinnati, BYU, Houston, UCF and Colorado.  Once they are P5 schools do they increase their value and the Big 12 value?  They definitely could.  Today, they don't move the needle.

     

    It looks like the Big 12 is doing something, which is way more than what it looks like the PAC is doing, but we won't really know until 5-10 years down the line.

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  9. I haven't boarded the train on firing George yet, but if he doesn't get at least 31.7 per school.  He has to go.  Big 12 got a deal early, but they also left money on the table.  If the PAC doesn't get at least equal to the Big 12, that 100% looks like the right call.  If the PAC exceeds the Big 12, then it looks like the Big 12 made the wrong move.

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  10. I am definitely concerned, but I will wait until I see the media deal.  Colorado leaving certainly is a huge perception issue, but they have been meh for football and in Men's and Women's basketball they won exactly 2 NCAA tournament games each since joining the PAC.  Quality wise Colorado has done next to nothing for the PAC.

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