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Assessing Oregon’s 2025 Football Schedule

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With super conferences taking over college football, any semblance of a balanced schedule among teams in the same conference is out the window. Equally important, one lesson from the first year of the 12-team College Football Playoff is that winning is more important than playing a tough schedule. Therefore, it’s pertinent to ask whether Oregon has an advantageous schedule in ...

 
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With super conferences taking over college football, any semblance of a balanced schedule among teams in the same conference is out the window.
 
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11-1 is the floor, and OBD is favored at Penn State. I don't see a game like Wisconsin last season that looks dicey. Unless Moore turns out to far less than we're thinking, with the OL looking to start solid & just getting better, a thunder & lightning RB room, WR's, led by Evan Stuart, the O will score, and the D, with attack ready safeties, an aggressive DL & LB corps, Oregon isn't giving up the B1G. 

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I am remembering our performance in Game One for 2024 vs Idaho. I do not think we should be overlooking Montana State University who will surely show up with a chip on their shoulder. I say this as a happy DUCK fan who also thinks we were not well prepared for game one last year and surely not prepared for our last game against tOSU.

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On 3/10/2025 at 4:45 PM, Santa Rosa Duck said:

I am remembering our performance in Game One for 2024 vs Idaho. I do not think we should be overlooking Montana State University who will surely show up with a chip on their shoulder. I say this as a happy DUCK fan who also thinks we were not well prepared for game one last year and surely not prepared for our last game against tOSU.

Montana State with a new starting quarterback scares me a bit. Then there are a couple tune-up games. 

 

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In 2024-25, Montana State went 15-1, losing a close FCS champ game vs. North Dakota State. 

 

Bobcats QB Tommy Mallet was the FCS first team QB and the first Montana State QB to win the Little Heisman, the Walter Payton award. Fortunately he's gone and the presumptive starting QB, Chance Wilson is a Sophomore with little experience.

 

Montana State shares a conference with Portland State. Play Portland State! In 2026, OBD plays Portland State but also plays Boise State; Never, Ever, Never schedule Boise State.  In 2028, Rob has North Dakota State coming to town, and a game scheduled at Utah State 😩. B1G Champion football teams should never play a G6 team on the road. 

 

Bo got to blow out the Vikings; Gabe played the 2023-24 FCS Tournament 4-seed, Idaho. An OBD team that plays Portland State and its QB, will have better statistics on O than a team that misses the Vikings.

 

This season, Oregon has only two top 25 preseason ranked teams on the schedule, at PSU, and after a Bye, OBD is at home vs. Indiana.

 

In 2027, E. Washington is the FCS opponent. 2027 is the most difficult future schedule. At Baylor, Michigan, Nebraska, and UW. Home against Iowa, Penn State, and Ohio State.  Only six home games. WOW!

 

This season sees the easiest schedule Oregon will play icluding 2024, in the B1G through 2028. The Ducks should go no worse than 10-2 and return to the playoffs. The PO format will not change this season; four conference champs will be the top four seeds. If OBD plays a 1st round game in Eugene instead of a 13th game in Indianapolis, fine with me. 

 

 

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My Duck-Buddies....you are very patient and kind.  That article is a "pay" article, where the backlink to a casino site is payment to FishDuck.com to help pay the bills of both sites.  As I read it-I thought, "this is not bad for being written in Europe," but as I read it further I said to myself...'it is Jon Joseph-Light." Then, as I read it further I thought to myself, "this is Jon Joseph VERY Light!"

 

I am grateful for orders to pay the bills, but I am very grateful for our "Schedule-Maven" Jon JosephNobody knows them better anywhere...

 

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Mr. FishDuck

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Wow OBD does have a cake-y schedule in 25. Kinda reminds me of the soft-petal schedule the SEC doled out to Texas last year to welcome them to the SEC. 

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On 3/10/2025 at 10:07 PM, Nevada Dawg said:

Wow OBD does have a cake-y schedule in 25. Kinda reminds me of the soft-petal schedule the SEC doled out to Texas last year to welcome them to the SEC. 

You have the worst schedule, and we have a "favorable"schedule to break in a new QB.  Only a one-year break, but you need to talk to the SEC, as being penalized for your success, and what you have given to by your conference is WRONG.

 

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Mr. FishDuck

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On 3/11/2025 at 1:07 AM, Nevada Dawg said:

Wow OBD does have a cake-y schedule in 25. Kinda reminds me of the soft-petal schedule the SEC doled out to Texas last year to welcome them to the SEC. 

 

ND, after last season, the SEC is doing the same thing over again and hoping for different results. 🤪

 

This season, Georgia plays Bama, Ole Miss, and Texas in Athens, but is on the road versus Tennessee, nemesis Kentucky, old foe Auburn, and a Georgia Tech team that went 8 OTs against the Dawgs in 2024. Florida closed strong in 2024, and the Gators have a very good QB in Lagway returning. WOW!

 

This gauntlet is ranked in the middle of the SEC's 2025 strength-of-schedules. Ohio State plays Texas out-of-conference (OOC) and Michigan plays Oklahoma in Norman, but no B1G schedule in 2025 compares to what Georgia has to deal with. 

 

Miami plays Notre Dame and Florida OOC, and Clemson opens with LSU and closes with South Carolina, but are respectively ranked 34th and 36th, in Bill Connolly's 2025 SP+ strength-of-schedule rankings.

 

All 16 SEC teams are ranked in the top 25; ipso facto, 16 in the top 40.

 

The ACC has 0 teams ranked in the top 25. Seven ACC teams, out of 17, are ranked in the top 40. 

 

The B12 has 0 teams ranked in the top 40. Ditto the G6. 

 

The B1G has eight teams in the top 25 and 17 in the top 40.

 

The above numbers do not support the champions of the ACC, the B12, or the highest ranked G6 teams receiving preferred playoff seeding. But they do support the SEC and B1G being assured of having four teams each in the playoff field.

 

So, why all the whining? The above strength-of-schedule numbers support eight for the Power 2, as do the number of viewers tuning in to watch college ball. The Committee operating in the dark and making a decision such as seeding Boise State ahead of ASU without justifying the decision by the two teams' strength-of-schedules, is unreliable. 

 

Per Football Scoop, 44 of the 50 most-watched games in 2024-25 involved an SEC and/or a B1G team. It's close to a certainty that 3-loss Bama playing at Penn State last season would have drawn far more viewers than SMU. 

 

College Sports needs every penny it can make off of money-maker football. The Power 2 are not 'for the good of the sport' obligated to subsidize lower levels of college football any more than the NFL is obligated to support the Canadian Football League. 

 

Best of luck to the Georgia Dawgs in 2025, and 2026, as long as it's not Dawgs versus Ducks. 😍

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Not that they won't need to play THEIR game every game but this season looks to be less stressful than last years. No tOSU or MI. The Ducks looked tired at the end of the season. This years byes are also situated better.

 

11-1 would be fine with me. 

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On 3/10/2025 at 10:46 PM, Charles Fischer said:

You have the worst schedule, and we have a "favorable"schedule to break in a new QB.  Only a one-year break, but you need to talk to the SEC, as being penalized for your success, and what you have given to by your conference is WRONG.

 

Charles, I don't know whether you watched the post-SEC Championship trophy presentation, but Kirby Smart made his feelings quite clear to Commissioner Greg Sanky about the schedule his Dawgs had to play in 2024 and said that he had never been prouder to hold up an SEC trophy in his life. He later mentioned in the formal post-game interviews that he may have had more talented squads than this one at Georgia, but he had never had a tougher team than the then current edition.  

 

Is it any wonder then why his players and his NFL alumni praise the guy so highly and consider him he ultimate players coach.

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