FishDuck Article Administrator No. 1 Share Posted March 10 With super conferences taking over college football, any semblance of a balanced schedule among teams in the same conference is out the window. Equally important, one lesson from the first year of the 12-team College Football Playoff is that winning is more important than playing a tough schedule. Therefore, it’s pertinent to ask whether Oregon has an advantageous schedule in ... Assessing Oregon’s 2025 Football Schedule | FishDuck FISHDUCK.COM With super conferences taking over college football, any semblance of a balanced schedule among teams in the same conference is out the window. 1 1 1 1 2 Two Sites: FishDuck and the Our Beloved Ducks forum, The only "Forum with Decorum!" And All-Volunteer? What a wonderful community of Duck fans! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
30Duck Moderator No. 2 Share Posted March 10 11-1 is the floor, and OBD is favored at Penn State. I don't see a game like Wisconsin last season that looks dicey. Unless Moore turns out to far less than we're thinking, with the OL looking to start solid & just getting better, a thunder & lightning RB room, WR's, led by Evan Stuart, the O will score, and the D, with attack ready safeties, an aggressive DL & LB corps, Oregon isn't giving up the B1G. 1 4 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Rosa Duck No. 3 Share Posted March 10 I am remembering our performance in Game One for 2024 vs Idaho. I do not think we should be overlooking Montana State University who will surely show up with a chip on their shoulder. I say this as a happy DUCK fan who also thinks we were not well prepared for game one last year and surely not prepared for our last game against tOSU. 3 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lono No. 4 Share Posted March 10 On 3/10/2025 at 4:45 PM, Santa Rosa Duck said: I am remembering our performance in Game One for 2024 vs Idaho. I do not think we should be overlooking Montana State University who will surely show up with a chip on their shoulder. I say this as a happy DUCK fan who also thinks we were not well prepared for game one last year and surely not prepared for our last game against tOSU. Montana State with a new starting quarterback scares me a bit. Then there are a couple tune-up games. 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph Moderator No. 5 Share Posted March 11 In 2024-25, Montana State went 15-1, losing a close FCS champ game vs. North Dakota State. Bobcats QB Tommy Mallet was the FCS first team QB and the first Montana State QB to win the Little Heisman, the Walter Payton award. Fortunately he's gone and the presumptive starting QB, Chance Wilson is a Sophomore with little experience. Montana State shares a conference with Portland State. Play Portland State! In 2026, OBD plays Portland State but also plays Boise State; Never, Ever, Never schedule Boise State. In 2028, Rob has North Dakota State coming to town, and a game scheduled at Utah State . B1G Champion football teams should never play a G6 team on the road. Bo got to blow out the Vikings; Gabe played the 2023-24 FCS Tournament 4-seed, Idaho. An OBD team that plays Portland State and its QB, will have better statistics on O than a team that misses the Vikings. This season, Oregon has only two top 25 preseason ranked teams on the schedule, at PSU, and after a Bye, OBD is at home vs. Indiana. In 2027, E. Washington is the FCS opponent. 2027 is the most difficult future schedule. At Baylor, Michigan, Nebraska, and UW. Home against Iowa, Penn State, and Ohio State. Only six home games. WOW! This season sees the easiest schedule Oregon will play icluding 2024, in the B1G through 2028. The Ducks should go no worse than 10-2 and return to the playoffs. The PO format will not change this season; four conference champs will be the top four seeds. If OBD plays a 1st round game in Eugene instead of a 13th game in Indianapolis, fine with me. 1 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charles Fischer Administrator No. 6 Share Posted March 11 My Duck-Buddies....you are very patient and kind. That article is a "pay" article, where the backlink to a casino site is payment to FishDuck.com to help pay the bills of both sites. As I read it-I thought, "this is not bad for being written in Europe," but as I read it further I said to myself...'it is Jon Joseph-Light." Then, as I read it further I thought to myself, "this is Jon Joseph VERY Light!" I am grateful for orders to pay the bills, but I am very grateful for our "Schedule-Maven" Jon Joseph. Nobody knows them better anywhere... 2 Mr. FishDuck Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nevada Dawg No. 7 Share Posted March 11 Wow OBD does have a cake-y schedule in 25. Kinda reminds me of the soft-petal schedule the SEC doled out to Texas last year to welcome them to the SEC. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charles Fischer Administrator No. 8 Share Posted March 11 On 3/10/2025 at 10:07 PM, Nevada Dawg said: Wow OBD does have a cake-y schedule in 25. Kinda reminds me of the soft-petal schedule the SEC doled out to Texas last year to welcome them to the SEC. You have the worst schedule, and we have a "favorable"schedule to break in a new QB. Only a one-year break, but you need to talk to the SEC, as being penalized for your success, and what you have given to by your conference is WRONG. 2 Mr. FishDuck Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph Moderator No. 9 Share Posted March 11 On 3/11/2025 at 1:07 AM, Nevada Dawg said: Wow OBD does have a cake-y schedule in 25. Kinda reminds me of the soft-petal schedule the SEC doled out to Texas last year to welcome them to the SEC. ND, after last season, the SEC is doing the same thing over again and hoping for different results. This season, Georgia plays Bama, Ole Miss, and Texas in Athens, but is on the road versus Tennessee, nemesis Kentucky, old foe Auburn, and a Georgia Tech team that went 8 OTs against the Dawgs in 2024. Florida closed strong in 2024, and the Gators have a very good QB in Lagway returning. WOW! This gauntlet is ranked in the middle of the SEC's 2025 strength-of-schedules. Ohio State plays Texas out-of-conference (OOC) and Michigan plays Oklahoma in Norman, but no B1G schedule in 2025 compares to what Georgia has to deal with. Miami plays Notre Dame and Florida OOC, and Clemson opens with LSU and closes with South Carolina, but are respectively ranked 34th and 36th, in Bill Connolly's 2025 SP+ strength-of-schedule rankings. All 16 SEC teams are ranked in the top 25; ipso facto, 16 in the top 40. The ACC has 0 teams ranked in the top 25. Seven ACC teams, out of 17, are ranked in the top 40. The B12 has 0 teams ranked in the top 40. Ditto the G6. The B1G has eight teams in the top 25 and 17 in the top 40. The above numbers do not support the champions of the ACC, the B12, or the highest ranked G6 teams receiving preferred playoff seeding. But they do support the SEC and B1G being assured of having four teams each in the playoff field. So, why all the whining? The above strength-of-schedule numbers support eight for the Power 2, as do the number of viewers tuning in to watch college ball. The Committee operating in the dark and making a decision such as seeding Boise State ahead of ASU without justifying the decision by the two teams' strength-of-schedules, is unreliable. Per Football Scoop, 44 of the 50 most-watched games in 2024-25 involved an SEC and/or a B1G team. It's close to a certainty that 3-loss Bama playing at Penn State last season would have drawn far more viewers than SMU. College Sports needs every penny it can make off of money-maker football. The Power 2 are not 'for the good of the sport' obligated to subsidize lower levels of college football any more than the NFL is obligated to support the Canadian Football League. Best of luck to the Georgia Dawgs in 2025, and 2026, as long as it's not Dawgs versus Ducks. 1 1 1 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
GODUCKS15 No. 10 Share Posted March 11 Not that they won't need to play THEIR game every game but this season looks to be less stressful than last years. No tOSU or MI. The Ducks looked tired at the end of the season. This years byes are also situated better. 11-1 would be fine with me. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nevada Dawg No. 11 Share Posted March 12 On 3/10/2025 at 10:46 PM, Charles Fischer said: You have the worst schedule, and we have a "favorable"schedule to break in a new QB. Only a one-year break, but you need to talk to the SEC, as being penalized for your success, and what you have given to by your conference is WRONG. Charles, I don't know whether you watched the post-SEC Championship trophy presentation, but Kirby Smart made his feelings quite clear to Commissioner Greg Sanky about the schedule his Dawgs had to play in 2024 and said that he had never been prouder to hold up an SEC trophy in his life. He later mentioned in the formal post-game interviews that he may have had more talented squads than this one at Georgia, but he had never had a tougher team than the then current edition. Is it any wonder then why his players and his NFL alumni praise the guy so highly and consider him he ultimate players coach. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
GatOrlando No. 12 Share Posted March 12 I've come to the conclusion that the B1G has a much better system of scheduling year to year than the SEC. Sankey could learn a lesson or two. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nevada Dawg No. 13 Share Posted March 15 I'm no sure what that heuristic for scheduling is. This home-and-home flipping of schedules in the SEC for 24 and 25 was pure laziness on the part of the SEC and schedules will look very different in the future when the league likely goes to 9 league games. I know almost everyone favors a heuristic that will enable all league teams to complete a home and home with every other league team every four year period. One problem with the BIG (and this will not be popular) is that schedules like those played by SEC teams are just about impossible in a league which has at best 4 or 5 top flight teams and a remaining cast, many of whom are not worthy of a Power-2 designation. The top B1G teams always seem to have several breathers in their schedules. That is not to say that all the SEC teams are powerhouses, but with the coming of NIL, there has been a noticeable broadening of elite high-school and portal talent across the SEC, to the extent that then shocking upsets like Vandy over Alabama will become far more common. The B1G has a long way to go in that regard. I mean who can imagine Northwestern beating Ohio State or Rutgers taking down the Ducks anytime soon? 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OregonDucks No. 14 Share Posted March 15 On 3/11/2025 at 1:46 AM, Charles Fischer said: You have the worst schedule, and we have a "favorable"schedule to break in a new QB. Only a one-year break, but you need to talk to the SEC, as being penalized for your success, and what you have given to by your conference is WRONG. Would the SEC ever have done this to Saint Nick at Alabama?! It’s almost criminal that Georgia has back to back schedules like this. I hope that Coach Smart has lit up Sankey for the SEC scheduling. It’s hard enough to make the playoffs but it almost seems like the SEC is trying to give other teams a chance. Maybe Texas negotiated a back room deal for easier conference schedules in exchange for joining the conference? It shouldn’t be too difficult to create somewhat balanced schedules in the major conferences. You generally have an idea who the good teams are going to be and every once in awhile you get a surprise like Indiana last year (heck, even University of Southern Cal might be good one of these years, if they get a Heisman QB). It would help if they could hold off and only schedule the next 2-3 years. 1 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
30Duck Moderator No. 15 Share Posted March 15 On 3/14/2025 at 10:30 PM, Nevada Dawg said: that then shocking upsets like Vandy over Alabama will become far more common. The B1G has a long way to go in that regard. I mean who can imagine Northwestern beating Ohio State or Rutgers taking down the Ducks anytime soon? I agree, it's unlikely that Rutgers, or Purdue, or Northwestern beat Oregon anytime soon, we'll see how "shocking" Vandy, and Okie's wins over Alabama were next season. 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB89 No. 16 Share Posted March 15 It was mentioned above that the top Big 10 teams get some breather games in conference games. None of those supposed breather teams are as weak as many of the 4th non conference home games being played in November by SEC teams in 2025. The SEC will play these powerhouse teams in November this year: Eastern Illinois, Mercer, Charlotte, Tennessee Tech., Western Kentucky, The Citadel, Coastal Carolina, New Mexico St. and Samford. The SEC plays these teams in November instead of a 9th league game. These SEC November home games are much easier than any 9th conference game played at home or on the road in the Big 10. 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nevada Dawg No. 17 Share Posted March 16 Dawgs' last November nonleague game is always with Georgia Tech. They've beaten Ga Tech every year since 2016 but the game has been super competitive over the past three years. Playing these guys every year in a heated rivalry is certainly comparable to a 9th league game. But my unstated point in the earlier post was who needs a 9-game schedule in the SEC given the very few if any opportunities for breathers so readily apparent in other conferences. For the record, and I have stated this here many times, I strongly favor a 9-game conference schedule for the SEC. I'd be even more enthusiastic if the ratings of the College Football Playoff Selection Committee weighed strength of schedule as well as the simple 5th grade heuristic of simply counting up number of wins. The selection committee for NCAA basketball can and does do this with their NET index. So why not football? 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
30Duck Moderator No. 18 Share Posted March 16 On 3/15/2025 at 10:18 PM, Nevada Dawg said: But my unstated point in the earlier post was who needs a 9-game schedule in the SEC given the very few if any opportunities for breathers so readily apparent in other conferences. It's stated all the time. 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...