FishDuck Article   Administrator  No. 1 Share Posted 11 hours ago For me, June is a favorite time of year as the summer is kicking in, concerts are aplenty, and I know we have three months of nice weather to enjoy as we slide into football season. It is easy to predict the best possible regular season outcome for the Ducks. That would be 12-0. Which, if the Ducks execute and ...  June Gloom and Doom Football Predictions | FishDuck FISHDUCK.COM Darren Perkins of FishDuck.com makes a worst case prediciton for the 2025 Oregon football season.  1 Two Sites: FishDuck and the Our Beloved Ducks forum, The only "Forum with Decorum!" And All-Volunteer? What a wonderful community of Duck fans! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph   Moderator  No. 2 Share Posted 6 hours ago  Worst Case, Sans Injuries - 10-2 - and a return to the Playoffs.  Best Case - 13-0 - Playoff No. 1 seed, play the winner of No. 9 at No. 8 in the Rose Bowl. The winner of this 1st round game will not be the committee's 6th-ranked team.  (And No. 9 seed had better not be the G6 representative.)  Two opponents in the regular season with Blue Chip Rosters - Penn State and USC. No Michigan and no Ohio State on the schedule. From 2024 through 2028, 2025, on paper, is OBD's easiest schedule. 2027 sees OBD at Michigan, at Baylor, and at home versus Ohio State and Penn State. YIKES!  A ton of roster turnover, only 5 starters return. But this is a 'make hay while the sun shines' schedule.  BOB THEM CATS! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
30Duck   Moderator  No. 3 Share Posted 6 hours ago Worst case absolutely would be a L to "Google Me, I'm a Winner" Cignetti and his "emerging superpower, Indiana, at home, with "Shout" going? At Iowa is conceivable, as is a L to the Mutts with the fog horn in a worst case scenario. 10-2 worked out fine for the eventual champ, who's season ended with a L to their most hated rival. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darren Perkins    No. 4 Share Posted 2 hours ago On 6/20/2025 at 6:28 AM, Jon Joseph said:  Worst Case, Sans Injuries - 10-2 - and a return to the Playoffs.  Best Case - 13-0 - Playoff No. 1 seed, play the winner of No. 9 at No. 8 in the Rose Bowl. The winner of this 1st round game will not be the committee's 6th-ranked team.  (And No. 9 seed had better not be the G6 representative.)  Two opponents in the regular season with Blue Chip Rosters - Penn State and USC. No Michigan and no Ohio State on the schedule. From 2024 through 2028, 2025, on paper, is OBD's easiest schedule. 2027 sees OBD at Michigan, at Baylor, and at home versus Ohio State and Penn State. YIKES!  A ton of roster turnover, only 5 starters return. But this is a 'make hay while the sun shines' schedule.  BOB THEM CATS! Thanks, Jon. Just gotta make sure we have some solid QB play.... 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darren Perkins    No. 5 Share Posted 2 hours ago On 6/20/2025 at 6:53 AM, 30Duck said: Worst case absolutely would be a L to "Google Me, I'm a Winner" Cignetti and his "emerging superpower, Indiana, at home, with "Shout" going? At Iowa is conceivable, as is a L to the Mutts with the fog horn in a worst case scenario. 10-2 worked out fine for the eventual champ, who's season ended with a L to their most hated rival. Sounds about right. thanks 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solar    No. 6 Share Posted 2 hours ago On 6/20/2025 at 10:23 AM, Darren Perkins said: Thanks, Jon. Just gotta make sure we have some solid QB play.... This.  I've been watching prior year games where Nix and Gabriel were magical.  Worst case doesn't have a floor if the QB is error prone and lacks the ability to consistently move the sticks or at least make critical clutch plays.  8-4 is a more likely worst case with bad QB play. 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darren Perkins    No. 7 Share Posted 2 hours ago On 6/20/2025 at 10:47 AM, Solar said: This.  I've been watching prior year games where Nix and Gabriel were magical.  Worst case doesn't have a floor if the QB is error prone and lacks the ability to consistently move the sticks or at least make critical clutch plays.  8-4 is a more likely worst case with bad QB play. Yup, so much comes down to that. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph   Moderator  No. 8 Share Posted 2 hours ago  According to Game on Paper, last season, OBD had the 38th-ranked CFB D.  The 2024 Top 10 Ds and their Havoc Rate. (Havoc Rate is the percentage of downs where a defense disrupts the opponent's offense. Sacks, interceptions, fumbles, hurries, deflected balls, turnovers, etc.)  1. Texas - 16.6%  2. Notre Dame - 11.9%  3. Ohio State - 12.5%  4. Tennessee - 15.9%  5. Indiana - 14.9%  6. Penn State - 14.3%  7. James Madison U. - 13.3%  8. Oklahoma - 13.6%  9. SMU - 13.7%  10. Alabama - 12.8%  Seven of the Top 10 made the 2024-25 playoffs.  In 2025, OBD's D should consider using one of Willie the Shake's Battle Cries - "Cry Havoc and Let Slip the Ducks of War!" - Marc Antony (I know, Marc and his gal pal, Cleopatra, came in second to Agrippa and Octavian and their cry of 'Revenge!'.)  Oregon's Havoc Rate last season was 10.8%. Not terrible, but not among the leaders. Of course, the D stats are not adjusted for strength of schedule, an issue with all of college football's statistics.  With a close to an all-new starting cast on O, the D with many newbies of its own, will need to step up for OBD to return to the playoffs, instead of visiting Darren's basement. A gloomy, gloomy place.    1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanLduck    No. 9 Share Posted 1 hour ago Oh dear, I hate to speak negatives into existence. I think our team will once again excel. Yes, lots of youth but all DL's guys.  The O-line looks solid and should give our qb time and make holes for a powerful rb room. The D-line also lists out at better than last year. Some key additions to the db's should shore up as well.  All that said, not making the playoffs would be hard. Losing to any of the following would wreck my year; Montana St, USC, Indiana or UW. Or having any serious injuries to starters.  But I'll finish being positive, 11-1 with L being PSU. Losing in a white-out with Charles & Co in the house, horrible, just horrible. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charles Fischer   Administrator  No. 10 Share Posted 1 hour ago On 6/20/2025 at 11:43 AM, DanLduck said: Losing in a white-out with Charles & Co in the house, horrible, just horrible.  2 Mr. FishDuck Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph   Moderator  No. 11 Share Posted 1 hour ago On 6/20/2025 at 2:43 PM, DanLduck said: Oh dear, I hate to speak negatives into existence. I think our team will once again excel. Yes, lots of youth but all DL's guys.  The O-line looks solid and should give our qb time and make holes for a powerful rb room. The D-line also lists out at better than last year. Some key additions to the db's should shore up as well.  All that said, not making the playoffs would be hard. Losing to any of the following would wreck my year; Montana St, USC, Indiana or UW. Or having any serious injuries to starters.  But I'll finish being positive, 11-1 with L being PSU. Losing in a white-out with Charles & Co in the house, horrible, just horrible.  UW has the 2nd-longest home win streak behind Georgia. UW has won 20 consecutive games in Husky Stadium. Before OBD arrives for the last regular season game in 2025, to continue the streak, UW will have to defeat The Ohio State University and a veteran Illinois team. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
30Duck   Moderator  No. 12 Share Posted 5 minutes ago On 6/20/2025 at 12:01 PM, Jon Joseph said: to continue the streak, UW will have to defeat The Ohio State University and a veteran Illinois team. I'd love for OBD break the winning streak, but I'll be fine adding to the losing streak. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
