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Everything posted by Jon Joseph
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Oregon Football Tickets on Sale: How Much vs. Ohio State, at Michigan?
My friend, I get the angst, and absolutely no chiding intended, but CFB, especially at the P2 level is a B1G business. The only group I am worried about being priced out are the students. Today's students are tomorrow's boosters and super fans. Unlike the 'Good Olde Days,' media coverage of this game will be voluminous and available on TV worldwide, Today, you can watch the game on network TV without having to pay for this heavy-weight fight as a one-off sporting event. Not too long from now, the 'Good Olde Days' will be today. In 2031 Oregon is predicted to bring in $100M plus annual media revenue. The B1G will continue to be the conference leader in revenue. You can't make this money and expect Linfield College ticket prices. Again, I get your angst. On the Right Coast, the angst will be exacerbated by a 7:30 to 8 PM Eastern kick-off. On The Sunny Side, we're less than fifty days away from the start of a much-anticipated season; with even more eyeballs on the prize than the 4M+ plus who watched Oregon play in 2023. Vanquish the Vandals!
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Oregon Football Tickets on Sale: How Much vs. Ohio State, at Michigan?
Both Os are expected to be 5-0 when the Buckeyes visit Autzen on 10/12/24. The after-market for tickets will be 3X the face value, at least. The Big Noon will be in town and if not entirely SED-centric, so will GameDay.
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NCAA Denies N'Faly Dante's Appeal for Extra Year of Eligibility
Jay Bilas: "When it comes to Dante the NCAA belongs in the 7th circle." Jay Bilas sounds off on NCAA after deplorable N’Faly Dante decision DUCKSWIRE.USATODAY.COM ESPN’s Jay Bilas sounded off on the NCAA after their denial of Oregon Ducks center N’Faly Dante’s appeal this past week.
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2024 BIG Info, Predictions, Etc. - 5
Inside Ohio State's pursuit of the No. 1 recruiting class amid a dream offseason WWW.NYTIMES.COM After stumbling on the field, Ohio State retained top talent and won in the transfer portal. Now, it's dominating in recruiting too. A battle of the Os.
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2024 BIG Info, Predictions, Etc. - 5
Using the FPI to arrive at 2024 SOS is senseless. Ranking Oregon Football’s Strength Of Schedule for 2024 WWW.YARDBARKER.COM The Oregon Ducks Football team is ranked second, behind only Georgia, in the ESPN College Football Power Index (FPI). However, their strength of schedule (SOS) checks in at number... Sports Illustrated has the Ducks 2024 SOS ranked No. 12. Any SOS that does not consider Oregon playing 4 games in a row with Game 6 at Michigan in November and game 8 at Wisconsin in November is worthless. College Football Strength of Schedule Rankings for 2024 WWW.SI.COM Playing a high-quality schedule is more important now than ever before as the College Football Playoff puts more weight onto teams' opponents before deciding to
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NCAA Denies N'Faly Dante's Appeal for Extra Year of Eligibility
Another baffling decision. Another 'student-athlete' who has done 'everything' right and is arbitrarily benched. If I had a ticket to practice in Oregon I'd offer the young man my services pro bono. Sue the motherless SOBs including a claim that the NCAA is denying a college athlete the opportunity to market his NIL. I'm asking the judge for a TRO until the case is adjudicated. Cam Rising is in his sixth season at Utah. The NCAA has rolled over when it comes to any kind of transfer regulation. What do 'these fools' not 'get?'
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Husky Hubris and SC Smugness That Did NOT Age Well...
UW every season. SC in 2025, 2026, and 2028. Ohio State 2024, 2026, and 2027
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Big 12 Considering Private Equity Investment of up to $1 Billion for as Much as 20% of Conference
B12 Commissioner: "Please VCers, save my conference and my job." I don't see any private capital group buying 20% of the B12 without locking in all 16 teams for as close to perpetuity as possible. Arizona for one desperately needs the money. But does Arizona in the long term want to be left out of the coming Super Conference? Located near Denver and the Broncos, are the Buffs ready to surrender a Super Conference chance? Why would CU and Houston agree to take the same share as Baylor and Cincinnati? In the same situation would Ohio State sell its portion of the conference equity for the same consideration as Purdue? NFL owners share media revenue equally. This does not mean the Jagures have the same market value as the NY Giants. BTW, if 20% of the 16 teams B12 is worth $1B, what are the 16 teams SEC and the 18 teams B1G worth? This is an aggressive look for the B12 but any financial gap the B12 closes with the B1G and the SEC will not be closed for long.
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Duck Dive: 2024 In-Depth Look Into Each Big Ten School's Football Team
Thanks, NJ for the B1G posts. Post Spring Win Totals Big Ten football’s updated win total odds following spring ball CORNHUSKERSWIRE.USATODAY.COM Comparing every win total for the Big Ten for the 2024 season. Where does Nebraska rank among their peer 11 bowl-eligible teams? IMO, 14 teams will be bowl-eligible. Minnesota at 4.5 - Take the Over. Iowa 7.5? Phil Steele has OREGON, Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State, and Iowa in the 2024 Playoff. Looking at the schedule it's difficult to see more than 3 losses for the Hawkeyes. I also believe that 7.5 for USC with SC missing both OREGON and Ohio State, warrants an Over bet.
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2024 BIG Info, Predictions, Etc. - 5
Fight On? USC didn’t move the Big Ten needle in 2024 transfer portal TROJANSWIRE.USATODAY.COM USC did not get great results in the Big Ten transfer portal.
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Beaver Bluster: 'Oregon Will Get Tired of Traveling, and Will Be Back'
The Oregon football team this season has two visits to the Eastern time zone, Purdue and Michigan, and one trip to the Central time zone, Wisconsin. Thank you HDuck for pointing out the obvious, The folks in charge of B1G scheduling for all sports will do everything they can to limit travel for every sport. For money-ball athletes hoping to go pro, I believe that this travel is not a B1G deal. As I have posted before, in the 1930s, Minnesota in its 3-peat NCAA football title run, traveled 8 days round trip to play UW in Seattle. No one was worried about 'Little Sven's' physical let alone mental health. The same kind of trip was 'endured' by SC and Notre Dame football players who suffered on a train ride from LA to South Bend and vice versa. Back in the day, Babe Ruth and his Yankees had to endure train rides as far west as St. Louis. The precursor of the NBA, The Basketball Association of America players traveled via bus. Thank you for separating fact from myriad whining regarding the health of athletes in their late teens and early 20s. Is any player representing America in the upcoming Paris Olympics traveling by boat?
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Beaver Bluster: 'Oregon Will Get Tired of Traveling, and Will Be Back'
The NCAA, B1G, and the SEC are already slammed by antitrust suits. And the House case settlement does nothing to stop future antitrust and other lawsuits. The answer is not to bend over for folks proposing an 80-team Super Conference, or a diminution of the Power 2, but to arrive at a 32, maybe more, Super Conference, comprised of programs with the money to play championship ball. With the panache to be watched by 4+ M viewers a game, and with the ability to negotiate with a players' consortium. To take a negotiated player consortium agreement to Congress, and conditioning said agreement on Congress providing the same protections against liabilty as afforded the NFL. There is no satisfactory 'middle ground.' There is no longer room for a CFB playoff tied into bowl games. There is every reason to negotiate restraints on transfers, a salary cap, to implement a high school player draft, and to reap the benefits from the consequent lowering of CFB coaches' salaries: (Dabo,10M a year? DeBoer, $10.5 M a year?) and the rewards from Ohio State playing Michigan and not Oregon playing Idaho. 19M viewers watched Ohio State play Michigan last season. And Northwestern received the same media revenue cut as the Buckeyes? There is every reason to follow the lead of the billionaires NFL owners who could kill one another off in a bidding war but instead agree to a structure that does not allow the richest owner to trample on a 'poorer' owner. The owners made peace with one another on the media front, and with their player-employees, thereby creating a structure protected from litigation by Congress. Do I like 'THIS?' Heck no. But this is the natural progression of any system that has turned itself over to capitalism. Size goes to size in business. Decades ago, college athletics sold itself to the media for millions of dollars. The workers in every capitalistic enterprise will find a way to be paid. The market has already parsed Oregon from Oregon State in a B1G way and will continue to do so. Geographically logical consortiums for nonrevenue sports, I get, But where will the money come from? Perhaps tennis and golf should return to being club sports.
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A B1G Playoff, An SEC Playoff, and a Just Right Playoff?
Thank you Mr. Fishduck for the well-deserved grimace to scenario one. But there are more friendly Playoff projections. But still with many questions and quandaries. How about a B1G Bonanza Playoff, courtesy of Phil Steele? Sugar Bowl - 1. Georgia vs. 9 Alabama at 8. Notre Dame Peach Bowl - 4. Miami (!) vs. 12. G5 at 5.OREGON. How delicious this could be for the Ducks. Rose Bowl - 2. Ohio State vs. 10. Michigan at 7. Penn State Fiesta Bowl - 3 Utah vs. 11 Iowa at 6 Texas SEC Snivels - 5 B1G teams and 3 SEC teams. Notre Dame! Only 1 1st round game in Dixie? If Stelle sharpens Stelle how can Stelle not know that it just means more? A B1G hamburger and not a Big Beef. What's with the all-Rose Bowl B1G seeding? The Committee tells us that seeding will not be influenced by 1st round conference rematches but Come ON! Disney and ESPN want an all-B1G Rose Bowl? Ohio State vs. one of two B1G teams the Buckeyes already played and defeated? With the House settlement pending, We Need the Dues! I don't think so. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A 'Just Right' Playoff Courtesy of ESPN's Bill Connelly's SP+. Sugar Bowl - 1. Georgia vs. 9. Penn State at 8. Alabama Fiesta Bowl - 4. Utah vs. 12. Memphis at 5. Oregon Rose Bowl - 2. Ohio State vs. 10 Ole Miss at 7. Michigan Peach Bowl - 3. Florida State vs. 11.Notre Dame at 6. Texas Two 1st-round games hosted by B1G teams and two by SEC teams. Four SEC teams. Four B1G teams. Notre Dame? OK, how about we Playoff exclude the 'Conference of Notre Dame' come 2026. In 2026 if the B1G and the SEC do not want an independent Notre Dame in the Playoff mix? Domers gone. On December 8, 2024, going from a four-team playoff to twelve-team playoff will increase and not diminish the criticism of the Playoff Committe. Come 2026, go to the 16 top ranked teams being seeded, regardless of conference affiliation with no byes. And the first two rounds, at least, should be played on campus. But its easier, easier said than done.
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A B1G Playoff, An SEC Playoff, and a Just Right Playoff?
With a 12-team college football Playoff on hand, we have as many preseason Playoff predictions as we have Top 25 projections. 2024 will not give us, thank goodness the Florida State predicament that the Playoff Committee handed us in 2023. For the next two seasons, the four Power-4 conference champions are in the field along with a representative from the G5. If Utah wins the B12 with a record of 10-3, even if ranked outside of the top 12 by the Committee, Utah is not only in the Playoff but seeded in the top four and accordingly, receiving a 1st-round bye. The Top 25 rankings may satisfy the majority of fans However, the Committee's choice of the seven at-large participants and the seeding of the field is certain to have fans burning Committee members in effigy, at least. Having the Committee release four Top 25 rankings before the final ranking on December 8, 2024, is cruel and unusual punishment for the Grapevine gurus. The Committee should go public on December 8, 2024, and reveal its Delightful Dozen as seeded. Then, run for cover. However, ESPN, the entity writing the checks, says otherwise. Thus, it will be otherwise. The following are three Playoff predictions out of dozens upon dozens of Playoff predictions. One B1G, one SEC, and one that could be 'Just Right?' All predictions below were released after Spring Practices and after the 2nd wave of portal picking. The SEC smiles and Greg Sankey jumps for joy, courtesy of USA Today. Sugar Bowl - 1. Georgia vs. 9. Notre Dame at 8. Ole Miss Fiesta Bowl - Utah vs. 12. G5 at 5. Texas Rose Bowl - 2. Ohio State vs. 10. Oklahoma at 7. Alabama Peach Bowl - 3. Clemson vs. 11. Missouri at 6. OREGON B1G Beefs: No. 11 Michigan is the first team out. Notre Dame played a 12-game easy-peasy schedule and would knock out a B1G team. Utah ranked 12th by USA Today is the fourth seed with a first-round bye and No. 4-ranked Oregon has to play Missouri in the first-round. Texas, ranked No. 3, hosts the G5 representative. Three of the four first-round games will be played on SEC campuses. Defeat Missouri and Oregon's 'reward' is to travel to Atlanta to play 10th-ranked Clemson an hour a one and a half hour drive from the Clemson campus. It Just Means! But this much more? Six SEC teams that played eight conference games are in the Playoff; two B1G teams that played nine conference games. Hey, Y'All, we're having a party in Birmingham!
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2024 BIG Info, Predictions, Etc. - 5
Another B1G O. OBD. https://athlonsports.com/college-football/oregon-football-ducks-prediction-preview-2024
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2024 BIG Info, Predictions, Etc. - 5
A Buckeyes Preview. https://athlonsports.com/college-football/ohio-state-football-buckeyes-prediction-preview-2024
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A B1G Mailbag From The Athletic's Stewart Mandel
Stewart Mandel's 6/12/24 Mailbag touches on issues pondered on OBD. B1G 10 going to 18 teams, what team will finish 18th? B1G Noon game time and how many eyes are on the prize? Why universities do not want 'student-athletes' to be 'employees.' CFB Playoff - Will SOS matter? And a Cal question? Mandel's Mailbag: Which QB can maintain momentum? Could college football players win gold? WWW.NYTIMES.COM Is "Big Noon" a big swoon? Why don't schools want athletes to be employees?
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2024 BIG Info, Predictions, Etc. - 5
Stewart Mandel with a B1G-oriented Mailbag. As Stewart notes, good luck with ACC, B1G, B12's, and the SEC tie-breakers. Mandel's Mailbag: Which QB can maintain momentum? Could college football players win gold? WWW.NYTIMES.COM Is "Big Noon" a big swoon? Why don't schools want athletes to be employees?
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Mr. Logo, Jerry West Passes Away
From West Virginia to a great career as a player, coach, and executive on the West Coast. One of the greatest ever, RIP.
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Is It Time for the NCAA to File Chapter 11 Bankruptcy?
The NCAA has not only given up trying to regulate transfers but is giving an extra year's eligibility to any athlete forced to sit out a year in 2019-20. How many athletes still enrolled this covers I have no idea. NCAA agrees to end transfer rules permanently WWW.NYTIMES.COM The DOJ reached a settlement with the NCAA that will permanently bar the organization from restricting athletes’ transfer eligibility. The Justice Department joined the suit against the NCAA regarding restrictions on transfers. Not only is Congress not helping the NCAA, but the federal government via the Justice and Labor Departments is doing everything it can to assure college athletes 'free agency' while at the same time working to make college athletes 'employees.' The NCAA is no longer able to regulate as it so desires. So, why not liquidate the NCAA and form a new regulatory agency with the 1,000 + NCAA members cut back to a 'Power 2' regulatory body that can negotiate with a 'student-athlete' collective and agree on issues including eligibility, APR (should it even exist?), restrictions on transferring, NIL, tampering, etc. It's also time to form a football Super Conference. With B1G and SEC teams, if they so desire, such as Northwestern and Vanderbilt, opting out for football but opting in for all other sports. Teams such as Clemson, FSU, CU, and Utah would be added for football only. Title IX, NIL, tampering, and other issues such as antitrust liability would also be addressed, and the Super Conference, and all other college athletic programs that sign on to the agreement between students and 'management,' would receive the same Congressional protections afforded the NFL, MLB, NBA, etc. As I asked in an earlier comment, why settle without protection against further liability? Why agree to kick in $20M a year, and still be subject to litigation? Then again, I never would have agreed to take on one-twelfth of the Pac-12's liabilities while handing two-member teams 100% of the assets. Someone with 'street smarts' and not college presidents best get involved or the baby could be tossed out with the bath water.
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2024 BIG Info, Predictions, Etc. - 5
Michigan's Sherrone Moore chats with Joel Klatt. Recap and takeaways from Sherrone Moore’s interview with Joel Klatt WWW.MAIZENBREW.COM What Michigan’s new head coach had to say on "Big Noon Conversations."
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VIDEO: Dan Lanning Interview With Colin Cowherd
Dann-O; and not Mari(O No!)
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2024 BIG Info, Predictions, Etc. - 5
"Just walk away Jose?" College football walk-ons are in jeopardy. What do Big Ten coaches think? WWW.NYTIMES.COM Illinois head coach Bret Bielema was a walk-on at Iowa and prides himself in developing players with the Fighting Illini.
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Ohio State and Oregon had NIL Budgets of $23 Million, says Nebraska AD
Nebraska was an AAU member institution when invited to join the B1G. Today, the B1G is comprised of 17 AAU member institutions and Nebraska. Today, Nebraska would not be invited to join the B1G. In 2023, Nebraska finished 24th in the Nielson rankings with 2,637M viewers on average for 12 regular season games. At 5-7, the Cornhuskers did not go bowling. In 2023, Utah finished 25th in the Nielson rankings with 2,616 viewers on average for 12 regular season games. Utah went bowling and was upset by Northwestern in the Las Vegas Bowl. Utah is an AAU member institution. Nebraska's AD, Troy Dannen, was the AD at UW for less than six months before leaving for Nebraska. Dannen was replaced by Wazzu's AD, Pat Chun. Trev Alberts who played his college football at Nebraska, left Lincoln for A+M. The A+M AD, Ross Bjork resigned and on July 1st will officially replace Ohio State AD Gene Smith. Is there an AD Transfer Portal?
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Is It Time for the NCAA to File Chapter 11 Bankruptcy?
A Power 4 in name only. As this article from Bama Hammer notes the ACC is on the brink of imploding. These dismal, to date, recruiting numbers for the B12 are additional evidence of how far behind the Power 2 the B12 lies, in recruiting, financially, and referring to 2023 Nielson ranlings, in the number of viewers tuning in. The B12 does not have a dedicated conference network. The B12 is a broadcasting afterthought for ESPN and Fox. Consolidation of big-time football programs will continue. Verbal commits for the '25 college football class and future trouble for a conference BAMAHAMMER.COM The pace of change in the college football world continues unabated. With more unknowns than ever before coaching staffs must rebuild rosters that change drasti