Jon Joseph

The UW D stood up in the 2nd half vs. Utah. There is no way OSU blows out (if that's what 'boat race' means) UW. I have attended several boat races. Many were too close to call. And if UW is good at anything, it's good at boat racing.

On Tuesday night, it could be #4 at #10. Kind of like #9 Ole Miss at #2 UGA in Athens on Saturday? ESPN does not want McAfee and Corso to face the invective in Corvallis.

Where have you gone Reggie, Lendale, OJ, Marcus, Anthony? 73 Troy rush yards. Michigan ran the ball 32 straight plays against Penn State and Michigan QB JJ McCarthy was 7-8 passing. (Was that the ghost of Woody Hayes taking Kaptain Khaki's place?) I'm not sure that the Air Raid is a fit for the B1G. I am sure that I'd rather be Riley than Chip Kelly. The ASU D is no joke but 7 points at home vs. the Dillies? Chip can recruit the portal. But not recruiting HS players is not going to do the job. IF Oregon sees UW again this season, it will need a complete Utah-like game to win the title and advance to the playoffs. I agree with other commentators. The Ducks OL played a B- game. Oregon is now 5-1 in the last 6 games vs Troy. There are Michigan and Ohio State in the B1G, both on the 2024 schedule, and then a B1G drop off to O-challenged PSU. Please, do not screw around in Tempe. I am very happy that Oregon gets Oregon State in Autzen and I think OSU will give UW all it can handle next Saturday, even without OSU's buddy Pat McAfee in attendance. Thanks, Ryan, and GO DUCKS!

Don't count your Ducks before ... Good thing Lewis wasn't as directionally challenged as the Ducks Lewis or Lewis and Clark may never have made it to Oregon. You had 1 job! Free tuition, room, board, and maybe NIL for this? Come On Man! I get no kick out of you!

WAY TO GO, TEXAS TECH! 16-13 win at 16 Kansas moves TT to 5-5. UCF at home next Saturday should be a TT win in Lubbock and the greatest gift for Puddles would be a TT win at Texas. With CU likely not going bowling and the same for WSU, TT going bowling would help the OREGON cause. On 12/3, OREGON needs wins against teams with a winning record. The B1G? Michigan and Ohio State. Like the game in Columbus, PSU QB Allar looked like a Nittany Lion in the headlights.

Ditto, I don't troll.

My Bad - Only 1 of Michigan, Ohio State, and Penn State can finish 13-0. All 3 have a shot before today's PSU/MI game is concluded, to finish 12-1. Here is the Easy Peasey Scenario for the CT. - 13-0 1. UGA 13-0 2. MI/OH ST 13-0 3. UW 13-0 4. FSU This is a scenario I hope we do not see but since 2014, the CT has had it easy picking the top 4 except when PSU defeated OH ST, won the B1G title, but finished 11-2. The CT opted for 11-1 OH ST. The Buckeyes lost to Clemson in the semis, 30-0. PSU lost in the Rose Bowl to USC.

Thanks, David. Great pre-game post and comments. Eye test for certain. One comparison CT members will be making after today's and tonight's (sigh) slate of games will be to compare the Ducks/SC game with the thrashing #20 Notre Dame put on Troy in South Bend. As most of us expected, the Pac-12, especially with a 9-game conference schedule (FSU plays North Alabama next Saturday instead of playing UNC or Louisville, and Bama plays Chattanooga) is devouring its own. 3-loss Arizona is ranked, but once ranked CU, UCLA, USC, and WSU are out of the top 25. The only top 25 that matters is the one the CT comes with on 12/3. But I don't see any of these 4 teams working their way back in or another conference team joining Arizona. Before today's games, Oregon's SOS is 63. Bama 8, Texas 10. Both 1-loss Bama and 1-loss Texas have better wins on their schedule than Oregon's terrific win in Salt Lake. Texas defeated #8 Bama in Tuscaloosa, and Bama has top 25 wins over Ole Miss, Tennessee, and LSU. The only justification for Oregon being the highest-ranked 1-loss team is the Eye Test. FSU is likely to go 13-0. Ditto Ohio State/Michigan. UGA is likely to go 13-0 unless Bama defeats UGA in the SEC champ game with both finishing 12-1. Texas, with Quinn Ewers back at QB, is odds on to finish 12-1. 13-0 teams are in. Potential 12-1 UGA/Bama, Ohio State/Michigan, Texas, and Oregon if it wins out, will all be in the mix for say, 3 spots with undefeated FSU in. What team and conference gets the weenier? Spot On David! Oregon has to do all it can to win every game impressively, especially with next week's game at ASU also likely to be late-night viewing without the cache of the SC brand, and for Washington to do the same. Again, great take, and Go Ducks! Stomp SC!

On OBD, Traveler looks like a Shetland pony. Traveler complex?

I wonder how a judge in Ann Arbor will rule on Michigan's request for a TRO? I'm fairly certain this question is rhetorical. It's Veterans Day and UM had the judge on call.

Hopefully, not a melt down.

I think Troy is definitely off to the League. Especially with Bo out of eligibility. Still hard to fathom that Bo started for Auburn in the first game of his true frosh season and threw the Tigers winning TD.

Coach, you can coach all week but no games for you! I'll be at the UW/Utah game stealing Husky signs. Bark!

Jim Harbaugh was suspended from being on the sidelines for the final 3 regular season games but he is allowed to coach during the week. Wrist, meet slap.

Odds for making the Final 4 and the odds of winning the Final 4. 1. Ohio State - 77% - 26% Versus Michigan State Saturday - Off the charts. 2. FSU - 62% - 13% Versus Miami Saturday - FSU SP+ 13.4 - FPI 15.5 But a tough game a week from Saturday vs. No Alabama, right? 3. Michigan - 44% - 14% Versus Penn State Saturday - MICH SP+ 5.9 - PSU FPI .03 Odds of Khakis on the sideline in Happy Valley - Cue the lawyers. 4. Alabama - 44% - 14% Versus Kentucky Saturday - Bama SP+ 7.7 - FPI 16.1 1-loss Bama has better PO odds than Georgia? Best odds for 1-loss teams. 5. Texas - 39% - 9% Versus TCU Saturday - Texas SP+ 10.9 - FPI 10.9 - Trouble when computers agree? The starting pitcher is back on the mound against TCU. Another 1-loss team with better PO odds than Georgia and Oregon. 6. Georgia - 39% - 9% Versus Ole Miss Saturday - SP+ 13 - FPI 7.4 Dan Lanning, Kirby Smart, and Lane Kiffin were on the Bama staff when Bama won the Natty. DL was a grad assistant. 7. OREGON - 38% - 9% Versus USC Saturday - Ducks SP+ 11.8 - FPI 14.3 The computers are not as certain of the W as are OBD predictors. But what do computers know? 8. Washington - 31% - 3% Versus Utah Saturday - UW SP+ 10.2 - FPI 7.3 Best for the Ducks PO chances? UW gets a close win. Texas Tech 4-5 has a chance to help the dogs playing Kansas. Kansas SP+ 1.9 - FPI 1.7 Last season at this point in the schedule, TT was 4-0 in one-possession games. This season TT is 1-3. Go Ducks! Beat SC!

OBD, you are on notice. My cardiologist is sending the bills to OBD. LOL!

Jeopardy?

How about a Safe Space for the Trojan D?

Nappy would disagree with battle results right up to Waterloo. But in WW2 all French tanks could only operate in one direction. Reverse! SC comes in waving a Cardinal-colored flag surrounded by gold. Leave with the flag bleached white before Shout time, and the QB post-game crying into Momma's handkerchief. Sha-Na-Na and Odom will not fix the Troy D. Although I do understand why Riley and the 2 DC newbies do not want to watch a replay of The Mummy x 11. Odin visiting from Valhalla could not fix the Troy D which has a super-sized Achille's Heel. Go Ducks! Beat SC!

Winner - OREGON Losers - Old Right Coasters. Fox is messing with bedtime. Score - 49 - 31 TOs by SC - 2 Sacks - 1 Pass Yards 250 Run Yards - Can Bucky put up 200 on his own?

Great comment and I do not disagree. But the top 25 that matters will be released by the PO Committee on 12/3. Before this release. all top 25 wins are speculative. On 12/3 we will know the depth and strength of the Pac12 at least according to the Committee. What will matter on 12/3 are wins vs. the final top 25 and nothing before then. I do not like it but OREGON to date has defeated 1 team with a winning record and 18. Utah at UW is a win/lose for OR. Utah wins and the win at Utah looks better. But a potential champ game vs. UW, not so much. The best PO opportunity for OREGON is for UW to go 12-0 and be ranked no lower than 5 and the Ducks win in LV. I love that the Ducks are ranked 6, but based on SOR and SOS, Bama and TX have better resumes. Oregon is above both of these teams based on eye test and not on teams that have been defeated to date. Texas has a win at Bama and its one loss came against 17 Oklahoma. Bama has wins vs. 9 Ole Miss, 13 TN, and 19 LSU. I love OBD but I am puzzled by these rankings. Based upon teams defeated to date, TX and Bama should be ranked above the Ducks. Oregon's SOR is 10 and its SOS is 41. Texas SOR is 5 and its SOS is 10. Bama's SOR is 4 and its SOS is 8. And you can bet that Committee members are hearing about this. Again, you play the schedule you play but beating ranked teams not ranked on 12/3 means nothing. The Committee without any consistency, applies the Eye Test when it so desires and uses season analytics to date when it so desires. IMO, instead of spending big money for 13 people and their retainers to trip to Grapevine, Texas every week, use the AP Poll to determine the PO. AP voters release their votes and votes against the mean could be tossed out. I am thankful that a 12-team PO is coming and the Ducks are going B1G.

Here's some B1G time ceiling walking. The B1G adds AAU member and basketball power Kansas, and mega-brand-name Notre Dame to arrive at a 20-team conference. The SEC adds Clemson, FSU, UNC, and NC State. Looking ahead but using the current Committee rankings, these would be the 16 teams in a Power 2 playoff and their rankings as of today. B1G 1. OH St, 3. Michigan, 5. UW, 6. OREGON, 10. Penn State, 16. Kansas, 20. Notre Dame, 22. Iowa. SEC - 2. Georgia, 4. FSU, 7. Texas, 8. Alabama, 9. Ole Miss, 13. Tennessee, 14. Mizzou, 19. Oklahoma LSU and Clemson, would not be left out competing for a PO spot along with UCLA, USC, Wisconsin, and Auburn. Would 11. Louisville, 12. Oregon State, 15. OK St., 21. Arizona be missed or have any impact of a Power 2 media money? I don't think so. G5 and what's left of the P4 hold their PO. The P2 sprinkles sugar on down as necessary to placate the naysayers. The P2 PO games and the $ would be awesome and the G5 commissioners, ACC leftover, and B12 commissioners would have no say regarding a P2 PO. And via NIL or in some other manner the players would share in the P2 PO revenue. BEAT SC!

But at some point, maybe, perhaps, your SOS will be parsed by the PO Committee. I'm certain that the Committee will compare Oregon's game vs. SC to the SC game against Notre Dame. A lot of ranked teams beaten down by the great Ducks D are no longer ranked and this could be problematic on 12/3/23. Nevertheless. Oregon goes 3-0 and 1-0 in the conference champ game and I think that Oregon is in the final Final 4. It's obscure but 4-5 Texas Tech winning 2 of its last 3 games, on the road at Kansas and Texas and at home vs. UCF would help the Ducks cause. To date, Oregon has wins, impressive wins, no doubt, against teams that will not go bowling and we know that ASU will not qualify for a bowl and gave up a bowl appearance earlier in the season. A win vs. USC? I'll be a happy Ducks camper but a style point win will help the PO cause. Spot on comment, thank you.

I watched and listened to Joel Klatt on BTN Today. Joel has no problem with Oregon being the highest-ranked 1-loss team especially, with Quinn Ewers out for Texas. But the scheduling point he made is the following. If Alabama had played Texas State instead of playing and losing to UT, Bama would be no lower than the 4th ranked team. As Joel noted, the Committee's process is to lump the undefeated teams together, then the 1-loss teams, then the 2-loss teams, etc. Thus wins for the initial view by the Committee trumps everything including SOS and SOR. Until the Committee proves that it places more weight on SOS and SOR, it isn't brilliant for teams, especially B1G teams playing 9 conference games, to add a P4 team, at least a top program P4 team to the schedule. I think LSU, USC, and UCLA playing one another in 2024 is a mistake for all involved. You may get an impactful win but a win weeks before the Committee comes with its first ranking. Impressing AP voters? Who cares. Michigan as of now, is #3 in the rankings with 3 OOC home games against G5 teams and no games vs. top 25 teams before Michigan plays Penn State this Saturday. If you finish in the top 3 and likely the top 4 in the B1G come 2024 and thereafter, you will have a great shot at making the PO. And come to the expanded PO, making the field will be important when it comes to recruiting and of course, for the money. I continue to believe that playing Oklahoma State in 2025 and 2026 would be a mistake, especially when the Ducks could buy another home game in 2026. Playing on the road in Boise, Idaho and Logan, Utah speaks for itself. OREGON has nothing to gain and a lot to lose playing OK ST and also Baylor. Being gutsy with OOC scheduling is far less important than getting the win. Want an extra P4 game then play Cal and Stanford OOC.

Great take. But if there is a chance to shorten the game vs. the defending Heisman Trophy winner who put up 42 points vs. UW when OREGON put up 33, IMO it makes sense to keep Caleb off the field and looking for his Mom post-game.