Jump to content
  • Finish your profile right here  and directions for adding your Profile Picture (which appears when you post) is right here.

Jon Joseph

Members
  • Posts

    7,335
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Jon Joseph

  1. Great article. Thank you, David. 1 minor correction. Matthew Bedford went from Indiana to CU, briefly, and then to Oregon. Another in-your-face to a guy 'playing for clicks.' One thing I would add to the great facts in your article is the fact that Dan is recruiting to a state without many 4* and 5* recruits. Georgia, Alabama, and other schools located in the Southeast do not have this problem. These two among other SEC powers and Ohio State, Michigan, and other B1G programs compete with Dan for recruits from recruit-rich California, making Dan's success in recruiting California more noteworthy. You also noted that Dan re-recruits at a very high level. In comparison, most of the guys Mari(o) recruited are gone and were not coached up under Mari(o) the way players are coached up by Dan. Oregon finishing in the top 10 in D last season is impressive. I expect the Oregon D to be more salty in 2024 without crippling the offense as was the case when Mari(o) was in charge. Again, thanks for a terrific and timely article.
  2. Going deeper into this 'best-case' (BC) analysis. With the PO expanding to 12 teams, it is not as meaningful as in prior seasons but BC would see 14 of the 18 B1G teams being bowl eligible. BC, the Ducks' B1G opponents would be a collective 67-41. Three opponents are projected to have losing records, Michigan State, Purdue, and UCLA. Oregon plays seven home games. Five conference home games. Oregon has no P4 OOC games. BC, Ohio State's B1G opponents would be a collective 70 and 38 Three opponents are projected to have losing records, Indiana, Purdue, and Michigan State. Ohio State plays eight home games. Five conference home games. Ohio State has no P4 OOC games. Ohio State and Oregon share three common conference opponents: Michigan, Michigan State, and Purdue. This is the nature of a conference where seven of the eighteen member schools are not on the schedule. This is also the case in the SEC. BC - Iowa, Michigan, Ohio State, Oregon, and Penn State, all at 10-2 or better, would be on the playoff committee's radar. No P4 opponent OOC will not matter if Oregon or Ohio State finish 12-1 with a B1G title. Oregon or Ohio State would be the 1st or 2nd seed and have a first-round bye. With two losses, the B1G champ will still be seeded in the top four with a first-round bye. Georgia finishes 11-2 and perhaps an OOC win over Clemson would give the Dawgs the 1st seed over an 11-2 Oregon or Ohio State but being seeded 1st instead of 2nd does not mean all that much in the 12-team playoff format. SC could finish 10-2 and be in the playoffs. USC has a Blue Chip roster. Michigan and Penn State are SC's only conference opponents with Blue Chip rosters and Penn State visits SC on the same day Oregon plays Ohio State, 10/12/24. With both games being played in the Pacific time zone the SC/PSU game could be moved to Friday night with this conflict. The Saturday before this game, PSU plays UCLA in Happy Valley, and SC trips to Minnesota. B1G Fun coming up.
  3. HappyToBeADuck Posted 12 hours ago Jon, thanks for posting these 2 articles. They give us old Ducks fans a chance to learn a little more about our new conference opponents. ............................................................................................................................................................................................................... Thank you, Happy. Saturday Tradition is the B1G's Saturday site, it's free, and well worth checking out. Great take and one point you made that should be emphasized is that no one knows how the PO Committee with a 12-team field will deal with SOS, if the Committee deals with SOS at all. Historically, it's been all about Ws + Ls and that's it, except for: Do not let your stud QB suffer a late injury when the SEC's PO appearance is on the line. Michigan has the 5th most difficult schedule in 2024. Oregon has the 11th most difficult schedule exacerbated by playing 8 games in a row without an idle week. The last 4 games in this gauntlet include trips in November to the Eastern time zone to play Michigan and a trip to the Central time zone to play Wisconsin. Missouri's schedule is ranked as the 66th most difficult out of 134 G5/P4 teams. Missouri has the easiest schedule in the SEC, only two preseason top 25 teams are on Mizzou's schedule: at Bama and home vs. Oklahoma. If Missouri finishes 10-2 and Michigan and Oregon 9-3, with no 'bad losses' what will the committee do? With the SEC continuing to play 8 conference games in 2025, and with no change in the schedule except for home conference games being away games, Mizzou will again have an easy schedule. In 2024, Missouri's P4 opponent is Boston College in Columbia. In 2025, Kansas visits Mizzou. The other six OOC games are scheduled wins against Cupcakes. In addition to the critical element of being chosen as one of seven at-large teams, seeding will matter. Joel Klatt, with ties to the B1G and not the SEC, predicts that five SEC teams will make the 2024-26 PO field and four B1G teams will make the field. On the surface, this appears to be reasonable. However, with the way the seeding works out, Texas would play the G5 team in Austin, Ole Miss would play Penn State in Oxford, Alabama would play Michigan in Tuscaloosa, and Oregon, the one SEC outsider with a 1st-round home game would host Missouri. I stand by what I have posted before. I believe a 12-team field will cause the committee more headaches for the next two seasons than the committee dealt with the last ten seasons with four teams except for 2014-15 and 2024-25. I believe the PO selections in 2024-25 could easily lead to schools mutually agreeing to drop difficult OOC games. And if SOS does not matter, why should the ACC and the SEC play more than eight conference games? In 2025, Oregon plays possible B12 defending champion Oklahoma State in Autzen. Oregon is scheduled to play Oklahoma State in Stillwater, where the Cowboys rarely drop a game, in 2026. Why play OK State instead of San Jose State at home in 2025 and 2026? Does it make sense to play a road game versus a difficult opponent than a home game versus a lesser opponent? In odd years, Oregon will play five B1G road games. IMO, that's enough difficult games. Does it make sense for USC, in addition to the game at Notre Dame, to play Ole Miss, Ohio State to play Texas, and Michigan to play Oklahoma in Norman in 2025 as currently scheduled? Win the B1G and you are in even with an FCS team and two G5 teams on the schedule. A lot of uncertainty. One thing I do believe is close to a certainty is that the PO format will be adjusted come 2026-27. Thanks again for the great comment.
  4. Bo benefited by having Dilly as his OC in year 1 at Auburn and Oregon and with Will Stein in his 2nd year in Eugene. Dilly to Stein evidences Dan Lanning's 'CEO" coaching hire acumen and success.
  5. Peterson: The ceiling for each Big Ten team in 2024 SATURDAYTRADITION.COM Setting the ceiling for each Big Ten team in 2024. The Two Os both have a 12-0 ceiling. And here Is the Big Tradition's take on the 5 most difficult out-of-conference schedules. Hammerin’ the B1G: Ranking the B1G’s 5 hardest nonconference schedules in 2024 SATURDAYTRADITION.COM These key nonconference schedules will play a major role in the race to the College Football Playoff. No Os on this list.
  6. PAWALLLL, say it ain't so! Ohio State is Number 1. WOW! https://athlonsports.com/college-football/big-ten/paul-finebaum-ohio-state-buckeyes-are-preseason-no-1-team-in-college-football-entering-2024-season
  7. Not so long ago, would anyone believe that Oregon would be a B1G Beast? Spring overreactions from each Way-Too-Early Top 25 college football team - ESPN WWW.ESPN.COM From Heisman candidates to a potential No. 1 NFL draft pick. Here are post-spring ball overreactions from each top 25 team.
  8. The ACC vs. Florida State and Clemson: Untangling a realignment clash in court THEATHLETIC.COM Everyone agrees that if FSU and/or Clemson are successful in court in nullifying a grant of rights, the results could be paradigm-shifting. Under a different set of facts, Maryland sued the ACC when it joined the B1G to reduce the amount of the exit fee and 'won' the settlement of the case by lowering the exit fee from $52M to $31.3M. Maryland had to pay hefty legal fees but not close to what it 'saved' by litigating. As the author of this article at least implies, what happens if Clemson and FSU escape and UNC, Miami, UVA, and others follow suit but the B1G and the SEC decide not to expand? The Nielson rankings for the average viewership of college football during the regular season (Oregon finished 7th with 4.43M viewers) have FSU at No. 9, 4.16M, Notre Dame 10th, 4.15M, Clemson 19th, 2.90M, Miami 22nd, 2.65M, and Duke 23rd at 2.64M. UNC is not in the top 32 ranked teams. Neither is UVA. The other ACC team in the top 32 is Louisville, 29th ranked. FSU is close to gaining AAU membership but is not an AAU member. Clemson and Louisville are not an AAU member school. Miami, Duke, and UNC are AAU members. AAU membership will likely continue to matter for the B1G school presidents. The expansion no-brainer for the B1G is Notre Dame. Notre Dame is committed through 2036 if it joins a conference to join the ACC. But will this be enforceable if the ACC falls apart? The SEC has member institutions in Florida and South Carolina but not in North Carolina. Would it be immediately accretive for the SEC to add UNC, Clemson, Miami, or FSU? If not, what discount would ACC teams accept to join the SEC? Although the ACC's deal with ESPN runs through 2036, in 2025 ESPN has the option to continue the ACC deal, or not. Behind the scenes, ESPN and Fox will likely influence expansion decisions as was the case with Oklahoma and Texas and the Pac-4 to the B1G.
  9. October 12, 2024 - Ohio State will be a very tough out. ESPN's 2025 NFL mock draft has 6 Buckeyes going in the 1st round. Six Ohio State players featured in way-too-early 2025 NFL mock draft BUCKEYESWIRE.USATODAY.COM Time to look ahead already … #GoBucks
  10. Oregon has the 2nd best odds of winning the title in the Ducks first season in the B1G. July 25, 2024 - 3rd day of B1G football media days is when Dan Lanning has the stage. Not half a day's coverage like we saw in the Pac-12 but 3 days of coverage on BTN (Big Ten Network.) This B1G coverage. Coverage that now rivals the media days coverage of the SEC on the SEC Network. It's nice to be a member of the Power 2. Big Ten Conference Football Championship Odds After College Football Spring Games WWW.SI.COM The Oregon Ducks football team has one of the best odds to win the Big Ten Championship, with the expansion to 18 teams for the 2024 college football season.
  11. A CBS hats off for Danno's portal picking. Oregon transfer class jumps to No. 2 after landing Alabama S Peyton Woodyard, Michigan State DT Derrick Harmon - CBSSports.com WWW.CBSSPORTS.COM The Ducks had a huge weekend as Dan Lanning continues to add talent through the transfer portal
  12. Another take on how the settlement of the House case could lead to revenue sharing. College football revenue sharing could arrive as part of $2.7 billion NCAA settlement FANSIDED.COM It seems as though the NCAA could be agreeing to a settlement in the landmark case House vs. NCAA lawsuit in the near future. ESPN's Pete Thamel and Dan Murphy
  13. Last season the LSU D resembled the LA D. This is why Brian Kelly paid $2.5M for the Mizzou DC to move to Baton Rouge. The SC D looked to be improved, how could it be worse, in the Spring game? LSU's D still looked lost. I think the opener in Vegas could go either way. It will be interesting to see which school has the greater number of fans in attendance.
  14. With Penn State, Nebraska, and Wisconsin in LA and Minnesota, Maryland, UCLA, and UW, in addition to Michigan on the road, I think SC has a shot at finishing 9-3 or perhaps, 10-2. No Ohio State and no Oregon on the schedule and I think Lynn will make a difference as the DC. The skill player speed advantage SC had over Louisville in the Holiday Bowl will be there in the B1G except for Ohio State, Oregon, Penn State, and Michigan. I also think that SC has a shot to defeat Notre Dame in LA. SC has a Blue Chip roster and the majority of B1G teams do not.
  15. Get ready for The Battle of The Os. Ohio State emerges as big winner from spring transfer portal window SATURDAYTRADITION.COM Ohio State is ready for the 2024 season after the Buckeyes made it through spring practices and the spring transfer portal window.
  16. Oregon athletics are already being covered in detail by BTN (Big Ten Network) and Saturday Tradition, the B1G's 'Saturday site.' Far better coverage than was ever authored by Larry's Loser Network. Breaking down Bo Nix’s rookie passing props SATURDAYTRADITION.COM Breaking down some of the available bets for Bo Nix's rookie season with the Denver Broncos.
  17. If I could turn back time? I'd go back to the days of the Pac-8 and Big Ten when the Run for the Roses was paramount. When we had four bowl games a team had to be excellent, not mediocre, to play in the postseason. When games were played in the sunshine. (Caveat - I would not like to go back to the days of having one game broadcast on most Saturdays. On occasion, two games were broadcast. And I do like color TV.) To the best of my knowledge, no one passed away from CFB having more than one 'true champion.'
  18. SC has supposedly upped its NIL game, but the Trojan's House of Victory, (YUCK, YUCK!) collective cannot carry Division Street's jock. Uncle Phil is far from the only contributor to Division Street.
  19. Mudslide, has anyone, anywhere spoken Trojan (Lydian) since April 24, 1183 BC? It's Greek to me. Is no one in South Central able to see the irony in having a horse for a mascot? Holy Odysseus!
  20. Great comment. The system DG played in at Oklahoma and the system run by Will Stein are comparable. If allowed to do so, and with a better group of backup QBs I hope he is allowed to do so, DG is as much of a run threat as Bo. Not as big but with more 'wiggle.' In 2023, along with completing 69.3% of his passes for 360 yards + 30 TDs with only 6 picks, DG rushed 93 times for 393 yards (4.0 average) and a team-high 12 TDS, 2nd most nationally for QBs.
  21. Dillon Gabriel - Oklahoma Sooners Quarterback - ESPN WWW.ESPN.COM View the profile of Oklahoma Sooners Quarterback Dillon Gabriel on ESPN. Get the latest news, live stats and game highlights. Stay healthy (knock wood) and Dillion will break Bo's record for the number of starts by a college QB. To date, Dillon has thrown 125 TD passes and thrown for over 10,000 yards. Gabriel, not Texas's Quinn Ewers, or K State's, now at Ohio State, Will Howard, was the 2023 1st team All-B12 QB. Has a QB who was P4 all conference ever transferred to another program? I doubt it. At Oklahoma Dillon played under OC Jeff Lebby, now the HC at Mississippi State. Like Will Stein, Lebby runs an RPO-heavy O. One of the takeaways from the spring game was how well James and Harris ran the ball. The WRs are legit. The TE, with a few drops in the game but no biggie, is in great hands with Ferguson and deep with Sadiq and Herbert. I cannot wait to watch DG play behind one of the better OLs in CFB and I think he has a great chance to equal or exceed Bo's 2023 numbers.
  22. A $cam sighting. The first guy on the NIL train, courtesy of Pops, who recently threw Brock Purdy under the bus. Fun to ponder, thanks. Tempus dicet: 'The season will say.'
  23. The Buckeyes 2024 schedule is getting a well-earned roasting. https://athlonsports.com/college-football/ohio-state-roasted-social-media-for-easy-2024-college-football-schedule
×
×
  • Create New...
Top