You couldn't have said that better.  The guy is smart.  He works hard.  He shows some level of concern for players ' futures.

 

Then he say stuff like "somebody get me a mirror" when asked who is the best coach in college football (among other things).

 

It reminds me of the time Richard Sherman ranted after an NFC Championship game when San Francisco beat Seattle.  What he said was perfectly logical, but the way he said it had people asking " what in the hell did he just say?".

 

Sometimes style detracts from the substance.

On 4/16/2025 at 10:45 AM, Jon Joseph said:

 

Between Nico and a Hard Place. Plaudits for Josh Heupel today, but tomorrow?

 

 

Urban Meyer on Nico Iamaleava departure: 'Tennessee is screwed' - On3

WWW.ON3.COM

---

Urban Meyer chimed in on the Nico Iamaleava saga at Tennessee with a simple take on the matter: 'Tennessee is screwed.'

 

With his transfer options drying up, could the prodigal son return to Knoxville?

 

Not happening.  That would be the most toxic locker room in the world.

 

Meyer may have a point, but taking a short term hit like that is better than being held hostage moving forward.

 

Jackson Arnold, Avery Johnson, Dante Moore, Jaylen Rashada.  What do they all have in common with Nico? Not one of them has earned their keep as five star recruits.  And with Nico, his defense and his running back are the reason Tennessee made the playoffs ( that and classic meltdowns by Ole Miss and Bama).

 

Urban Meyer is giving narrative to continuing the madness.  Very few kids of late earn their five star billing.  CFB is truly becoming the NFL.  Throw money at people for their potential, then some nobody surprises everybody, and wants that same stupid money.  
 

Notice none of them are bold enough to sign one year deals with incentive clauses.  Because we all know most of them wouldn’t earn the money in those stupid contracts.  Which begs the question: are organizations even paying for performance, or is it purely marketing?

 

I liken lists like this to recruiting and the mock NFL Draft lists.  All opinion, very subjective, and meant to be provocative.

 

I don't pay attention to Draft analysis anymore.  It's just dumb.  I'm highly suspicious of recruiting services now as well.  Not to mention, kids don't impress me anymore.  They change their minds  way too much (rightfully so since they really are just kids).

 

It's all about programs and organizations to me.  Who develops players, who really is a master at getting the most from their players.  Who flat out wins.

 

This may end up behind a pay link (Forbes has been notorious of pay walls).

 

Excellent article about the intricacies of NIL contracts.  
 

What Nico Iamaleava’s Holdout Means For The Future Of NIL Contracts

WWW.FORBES.COM

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Tennessee's situation with Nico Iamaleava may impact how both schools and...

 

 

On 4/13/2025 at 7:21 AM, The Kamikaze Kid said:

I think even us Duck fans may be underestimating how dangerous our offense could be this year. I see it as being what Herbert in 2019 could have been with with an actual offensive game plan instead of Mario's plod ball scheme. I think every team including PSU in their house will have difficulty keeping OBD below 30 points

Mario did have an actual offensive game plan.  It was called the Gulf Coast Offense, which he promptly dumped to prove he could grind out dominant victories and prove he was better than Chip Kelly.

 

How stupid do you have to be to dump a system with an NFL bound QB that averaged more points than  hip Kelly’s offense? Less stupid than the architect of that offense leaving a rebuilding project as leader of that offense before completely rebuilding.

 

The ONLY difference between those two egotistical numskulls is one is far more polished at fooling a fan base.  Both left for their dream school.  One because he was too delusional to grasp what he actually had (and wasn’t man enough to tell his wife to get her behind out to Eugene and deal with her biases), and the other that had to leave because he was about to reveal what a fraud he actually is. 
 

Both of them blew their shot at a Natty, as both had recruited well enough to defeat an elite field of teams, not to mention said NFL bound QB.  You can’t write these fiascos any worse.  Scam Newton gets unfair treatment, fumbles a TD and the refs reverse the call, WR Carrington gets caught smoking the bud before the Natty (and WR Allen gets hurt in the semi final game), a freshman LB runs past OZR plays the entire 2nd half giving NFL bound Elliot stardom enhancement.

 

The Snake bolts for his dream job to take on a project before learning how to rebuild a project, his successor dumps the best offense Oregon EVER had, and wastes OBD’s newfound recruiting skills, and Dan Lanning inherits the missing piece to create what would have been the most lethal offense his first year here- a poor group of WRs (with the best OL and RB group he ever had, and the worst defense he ever had).

 

Our only consolation is Lanning is the real deal , and is growing amidst the most unsettling era in the history of college football. If I’m assessing this correctly, OBD will never get embarrassed and outcoached again.  If I’m correct, no circumstances will stand in DL’s way.  He will finish, what he started. 
 

I hope I’m correct. 

 

On 4/13/2025 at 10:18 AM, Santa Rosa Duck said:

Makes me wonder if we are at risk of losing Austin Novosad to Tennessee.

Hopefully the House Settlement ices player movement ( reasonably ).  It’s ruining the game, it’s ruining players, and the ‘representatives’ are the only beneficiaries of NIL and the portal.  Thank God he’d have to declare before the Spring Game. I might think DL holds on to too much of his philosophy, but that man is a master strategizer, full of massive integrity, and seems to get better every day. 

 

DL is a keeper, and so is Novosad.  

Good for Tennessee.  I personally thought it was ridiculous to sign him for $10 out of high school ( can you hear Shemar Moore?).

 

I wasn't impressed with his down field game at all- bad WRs or not.  For $10M , you better win me a title.  Before you're eligible for the draft. 

 

I'll tell you something else.  Kansas State is going to be mediocre again, and Auburn will barely win six games, because Jackson Arnold and Avery Johnson aren't even as good as Nico.

 

And what is Oklahoma thinking?  They're going to have another mediocre season in the SEC.  

 

I truly hope 1) these schools learn HOW TO EVALUATE TALENT and 2) Tennessee iced many an ego.  Nearly 40% of the kids that opted for the portal DID NOT find a new home.

 

And No, I would not pick Nico up.  He got some horrible advice.  Nineteen TD passed is mediocre.  No matter what conference you play in.  Nico looks worse than Bear Alexander.  

 

Kudos for DL not falling for the set up.  

Jon,

 

As usual you add depth to any analysis. I forgot Florida plays LSU and A&M, but I don’t consider them as dangerous as the Gators.  They’re still tough outings for sure though.  The SEC can truly boast the ‘any given Saturday “ theme from now on.  
 

Texas and Michigan (again, if the Wolverines have a legit QB) have the easiest paths to a title game (boy I wish they would change the dynamic of the CFP-for OBD might have given Ohio State a game for the ages again).

 

 

I have a love/hate relationship for Kirby Smart.  It’s more the blue blood thing than him because I think he is the best coach in the business right now.  Being a West Coast fan that literally watched the SEC allow Scam Newton to play but viciously attack USC for basically the same damn violation, I just loathe giving the conference the credit it is due.  
 

The balance in the SEC is unparalleled.  It would be nice to see Nebraska, Iowa, Wisconsin, USC and the Fuskies return to glory as they would nullify the SEC mantra ‘they’re the best’.  But I’m rare.  Most alums would NEVER advocate competitive balance-especially with their hated rivals.  I happen to believe it is absolutely best for the game of college football.  ‘My team is better than yours’ is what makes college football better than the NFL. 

 

On 4/6/2025 at 10:31 PM, Nevada Dawg said:

I think the teams on Fan Duel's list are the most likely title winners but I quibble with the rankings. First, I'd switch the places of Penn State and Ohio State . Penn State has a QB returning and Ohio State lost a lot of firepower on defense and their OL. I'd switch places with Georgia and Texas. I am always leery of breaking in new QBs, and that applies to both squads (and Oregon as well). But the receiver room in Austin will be nowhere as good as it was last year while Georgia's is going to be dramatically better than last year. Plus Texas has more to rebuild on the OL than Georgia does. Once again, Texas has the easier schedule however. 

 

 

I agree Penn State is underrated given the team they return.  Texas though…I believe that WR group will be almost as good.  Not to mention Manning is simply the best QB ‘returning’.  Now Georgia certainly is better at the line of scrimmage.  Manning is far more elusive than Ewers, is more accurate, and will make more plays than Ewers (and Sark knows how to get the best out of his QBs-and Manning may be the best QB Sark has ever coached).

 

I believe Texas has the best shot at winning the title.  Georgia has lost so much on defense, that I believe they’ll have to outscore teams this year, and I don’t believe they have the WR or RB group to pull that off.  DL has to prove to me he can shut down (not stop, but actually bus stop) lethal offenses.  As in taking an F1 car, putting it in the pit stop, until his offense puts the game out of reach.  I also believe Stein has to show no defense can stop him (at any time, not just crucial situations). 
 

Penn State is a WR group away from a title.  QB Allard holds the ball too long because that group doesn’t get open consistently enough.  Ohio State is a better version of last year’s Michigan team, without the defensive firepower.  They should lose to Penn State, and if Michigan’s fresh phenom is any good, a fifth straight loss to the Wolverines is in the cards (who in my opinion has the best schedule and can surprise everyone).

 

Notre Dame needs a dominant QB.  They have everything else.  

 

The field is wide open again.  There are no Saban dominant type teams, or Georgia 21’ or 22’.  We are in a new era.  Every year is going to look like the NFL.  The eventual champs will be the ones that make the fewest mistakes, has the healthiest team, and has enough playmakers to make a difference. 

On 4/5/2025 at 8:06 PM, GatOrlando said:

Florida? Don't get me started on our issues, hopefully Billy and DJ can put those issues to bed. But until they go it's nothing but hope.

Oh I think your Gators are going to make some noise this year.  They are a much better team with Lagway healthy.  In fact, they’re pretty dangerous and I feel the title goes through Gainesville this year.

 

Texas and Georgia must be on point all game to defeat your Gators this year.  I doubt Tennessee can beat them. 

On 3/22/2025 at 8:55 PM, cartm25 said:

Didn’t love Lupoi’s explanation; not compelling IMO.

 

With 3.5 weeks to prepare, I have a hard time accepting Lupoi’s “reasons”.

 

Any former coaches/ XsOs guys on the forum that can help me understand  the connection between game-plan and adjustments. If the other team is smoking your defense, can you make adjustments to nullify it, or are adjustments restricted by the game-plan?

It takes most coordinators a half to adjust to what they’re seeing.

On 3/21/2025 at 5:54 PM, 30Duck said:

History doesn't say, "Play to Win, except this game." No way does a team play to lose a game. If a loss happens, some benefits can come from it, that's the silver lining aspect. Say the Patriots had lost a game during the season, that doesn't mean they'd end up winning the Super Bowl. The L's to Washington two years ago sure didn't help Oregon, if Washington had lost one of them, would they have then beat Michigan and won the Natty?

I think you misunderstood my point.

 

You play to win.  Doesn't mean it's necessarily good to win all your games.

 

Beyond the pressure to continue winning, the odds of winning the next one diminishes .  The odds of winning 16 games in a row is 65,535 to 1.

 

The Cleveland Cavaliers won their 16th game in a row last week, and have lost four straight since.  No one of significance is injured on their roster.

 

Let's put that into Vegas numbers.  After 12 games, every time Cleveland is favored those next four games, your chance of winning by betting they'll lose skyrockets.  In fact, you could triple your bet after each loss and you're guaranteed to win money.

 

I don't gamble like that, but I sure pay attention to it.  One other thing, if you pay attention, not one sports book lays odds on any team going undefeated.  They know no one will risk their money, despite getting favorable odds 

 

Playing to lose doesn't really matter in the long run.  Your odds of losing pretty much takes care of it. 

On 3/20/2025 at 4:04 PM, AnotherOD said:

My unofficial, though not really thought that well over, list of the top 12 players the Ducks will miss the most in 2025 (and be hardest to replace - to which where the Ducks are at - and who they have waiting - to me is a big factor):

 

 

1. Josh Conerly Jr.

2. Derrick Harmon

3. Jamaree Caldwell

4. Tez Johnson

5. Jabbar Muhammed

 

 

6. Dillon Gabrial

8. Ajani Cornelius

8. Jordan Burch

9. Jordan James

 

10. Terrance Ferguson

11. Kobe Savage

12. Nishad Strother

 

Be interested in other thoughts?

 

That’s a pretty good list in a very well thought out order.

 

My concerns are as follows:

 

I believe last year was about matchups.  That said, we were literally missing a CB strong enough to slow down Ohio State’s Jeremiah Smith.  Muhammad had that assignment, and though he covers very well, he wasn’t big enough to stop Smith ( I believe injured Jalhil Florence was, which would have allowed Muhammad to take down slot Ebuke-someone he could handle much better).

Another matchup was the way the LBs covered the TEs.  You know my thoughts…look at the guy you’re covering and you take away the QBs options.

 

On offense, it’s how fast the OL gels.  It would also help if they don’t have to wait 5 weeks to play an elite team again and take 2 1/2 Quarters to get back to game speed. My other concern is separation speed at WR, and Stein’s unwillingness to use Sequential Plays for his favorite play: the Bubble Screen. 
 

Now that I have your list to work on, I’m going to look into matchups.  Makes me wonder how coaching staffs and their analysts attack the off season.  I’m curious about what priorities they deem most important.  Is it personnel, scheme or which opponents they feel most threatened by?

Series Record: Oregon 1 – Montana State 0. On September 20, 1947. Oregon defeated Montana State 27-14. (I was six months old and have no recollection of this game.)

I was today years old when I read that paragraph. 

On 3/20/2025 at 11:48 AM, 30Duck said:

As Herm Edwards said, "You play to WIN the game!"

Normally I would agree with you, but history does not.  The Miami Dolphins are the only NFL team to go undefeated in the modern football area start to finish.  
 

The Dolphins played 17 games that year.  New England almost did, but had to play 18.

 

Michigan, Georgia and Clemson all went 15-0.  They all played in a two playoff game format.  Now college football is in NFL territory, with at least a three playoff game gauntlet.  
 

It will be astronomically difficult in this era of parity at the elite level to win all your games facing at least four or five elite teams the same year. A loss, in my opinion reminds you how much you must focus just to be in the field of dreams. 
 

Ohio State, easily the most talented team in a number of years, lost by a total of four points last year.  Those four points channeled more motivation-especially with the intent on embarrassing OBD-to prove their worth. 
 

Miami was so humiliated by their SuperBowl loss, they just went out and took it to every opponent the next year-and went undefeated. So…you know where I’m going with this.  Will Lanning finally go to the specialist and fix his woes on defense against elite offenses and go undefeated?

 

The past three years the title went to the team with an abundance of talent.  This year will be the first where I believe NIL takes that away completely.  
 

Texas is probably the most talented team on paper, but even they lost a good chunk of talent.  Penn State is an elite WR away from having an offense that would give everyone fits. 

 

So if DL and Lupoi can fix their problems with elite WRs…maybe just maybe.

On 3/19/2025 at 5:10 PM, Charles Fischer said:

I still often think about how...this might be part of Lanning's learning curve as a young coach who doesn't just want to be successful....he wants a 'Natty. That so difficult with all the great programs out there, and you need some luck with injuries.

 

Or catch Chip Kelly on his Michigan day, and not his Oregon day.

 

Lanning is learning pretty well, as the number of losses for each of his three years was three losses, (10-3) then two losses, (12-2) to one loss. (13-1) That is a pretty good trendline!

 

We'll get there...

 

We have one of the best coaches in the business.  All three current coaches with a Natty had to take their lumps.  And Kirby only beat Nick once . Same with Dabo.

 

After pundits blasted Lanning for the Seattle loss, his words told me all I needed to know.  The way he coached against Ohio State in October confirmed it in my eyes.

 

I believe beating Wisconsin was unfortunate.  We needed the sting of playing mediocre and losing about as much as Ohio State did losing to Michigan.  

 

It also might have helped to lose to Penn State.  Losing truly forces a team to pay attention.  Going undefeated bolstered the thought OBD didn't need to change much.  

 

 

 

I finally watched the full first half.  Sluggish is an understatement.  One thing for sure though, every foundational weakness was exploited.  Lupoi drags the DEs to middle of the box on the backside of the play-leaving the edge WIDE OPEN.  I thought this was a player thing until I saw both edges routinely slide inside all year.  Chip annihilated that opening, as every running TD attacked that strategy.

 

However, it was clear the players were ‘running at half speed’ the entire half on both sides of the ball.  The secondary literally ran like they had concrete blocks on their shoes.  They were reading and reacting very slowly.  Personally, I just don’t like the coverage rules, and of course you absolutely cannot cover your receivers if you look at the QB (Denzel Burke for OSU did so in October and nearly got burned again in Pasadena as well-so this isn’t just an OBD thing).

 

I just don’t like the defensive front.  In October, Lupoi ran more 4-3, but to little avail (the secondary got shredded, but it did shut their running game down).  I like that and a 5-2 because it totally shuts down the edges.  It does expose the back 4, but they don’t have good coverage rules as a practice-so in my ‘hack’ opinion it doesn’t matter until the coverage rules change ( I personally prefer matchup zone-which is what I think Lupoi actually installed, but seam coverage and overall coverage in the middle of the field was absolutely horrible).

 

This seems to be primarily against elite offenses however-as this was the third year those teams found every weakness and went to town.  I’m talking about having a party on the way to the end zone kind of attack. But again, I’m no coach, I’m just a hack.

 

My whole problem with coaching today is scheme outweighs basic football.  You can’t stop a great team if you don’t force running the ball inside the box, and you totally can’t cover elite passing games without all three LBs taking away options between the hashes (both the NFL and College hashes).  It takes film study to explain that, but that’s my take.  It’s also why if I’m a head coach, half my practice is forcing my coordinators to take the best of football on offense and defense and forcing each coordinator to defend and attack those elite strategies.  Script the first 7-8 plays each game to attack the general principles of your opponent on each side, and then it’s simply attack what they’re actually doing that day (which means you have prepared for world class offense and defense in advance).

 

My take of course (an NFL coach mentioned something to that effect in the Nineties without really saying that.  I’ve thought about just that-preparing for the elite by being prepared for any elite football scheme known to the history of football ever since).

On 3/17/2025 at 10:07 AM, Charles Fischer said:

Unknown as yet, but there sure are a ton of candidates.

 

While not a WR, Kenyon Sadiq is a matchup nightmare that will be a bigger part of the offense.  (For those on desktop or laptop....you can see my picture background behind the forum of Sadiq.)

 

Everyone expects that they will be Stewart, the transfer from Florida State, and we've been told from tons of sources that Dak Moore is the real thing and will be on the field this fall.  But I would suggest another name...Gary Bryant, the transfer from USC.

 

 

 

The real question...is Bryant healed from his injuries?

 

I like Bryant, I'm hoping Dickey is fully recovered from a very serious injury in high school ( if he is, I think he's going to shine).  Newbie Moore looks like the real deal, he's got a burst like Tez J.

 

McClellan looks promising as well as Super tall Kyler Kasper.

 

They all need to step up asfar as I'm concerned.  Make it really tough to choose a consistent rotation.  Not to mention attrition has now reached college football.

 

Sadiq though...

 

That dude is faster than most of the WRs.  I'd put him at slot against safeties/ nickel backs, as well as chomping on the LBs. 

 

Sadiq is a generational talent and should be used accordingly.

I LOVE both of your takes.  He did his job though didn't he?  

 

My question is who is going to step up in the WR room?  Stewart isn't enough.  Not to mention Penn State's shortcomings were directly related to weak WR play.

I believe the QB, OL, and RB positions are above average to excellent.  

 

My question is who are the two F22s in the room ( can I get two supersonic pass catchers please?)

This is a very good read...

 

Oregon Assistant Coach Confirms Major Roster Woes as Dan Lanning’s Plans for Dillon Gabriel’s Successor Announced - EssentiallySports

WWW.ESSENTIALLYSPORTS.COM

---

Oregon coach airs reservations about his side of the football after second spring...

 

Issues to ponder my Dick friends.  Are OBD in position to exceed last year's intro to the B1G?

Hythloday1 is very thorough.  I really like his analysis.  He is more about statistical performance, but he provides an analysis that provides a keen sense of what is happening and what may happen.

 

It’s a shame he derides us here though, because I’ve learned more here than what he provides ( I overwhelmingly agree with his analysis skills and what he believes by the way).

 

I doubt I’d be the analyst I am without the feedback I see and sometimes receive on this site.  It is more insightful, more balanced, and frankly we like Hyrthoday, refuse to suck up for preference with the University.

 

More often than not, we have a vision other sites seriously lack.  And you can’t suck when you provide analysis here.  We might not run you out of town, but you’ll get dressed down if you offer up a weak analysis.

 

That’s why I don’t subscribe to other sites.  I’m not paying ten dollars a month to witness a bunch of ill written analysis that frankly sucks.  Though there are times I’d like to tell a bunch of weak analysts that insults and deflection is not an analysis.  
 

All I know is I’ve been dressed down, and frankly we are all stronger, better analysts because we have to present solid arguments here. 

Fortunately, we live in a free market society.  So stupid people pay marginal people (.most times) stupid money.

 

The NCAA needs to stick to player health and welfare however.

 

If Michigan is stupid enough to throw away $5M on a potential QB, let them.  That's money they can't sprinkle to the rest of the team.

 

The downside to all this is other sports are going to suffer due to poor decision making. Not to mention alienating the fans.  

 

It's also why I have no sympathy for the players.  They get paid handsomely to deal with the rigors of the sport.  So idc if they travel to Pluto from now on.  It's part of the territory.  

 

Greed has consequences. 

On 2/17/2025 at 3:23 PM, HDuck said:

UCLA's Cronin was complaining about missing class time, but the reality is most trips include a weekend for football and basketball

Didn't they have remote classes during COVID?  Class time should not be a problem.  Not to mention access to professors shouldn't be a problem.

 

This is what happens when you want to get paid.  You're a professional now.  Comes with the territory.

 

Not to mention, those six to eight hours on the plan is ample time to study.  You do what you have to do.

 

I know I would jump at the opportunity to be tired and earn $50-100k while earning a degree.  

 

I have no sympathy or empathy for these players.  They worked their butts off to get that "scholarship".  It doesn't change...ever.

On 2/17/2025 at 11:04 AM, DanLduck said:

We have assumed the media package in 2030 will be bigger then now. But, if pharmaceutical companies can no longer advertise on TV, that's a huge chunk of revenue that needs to be replaced. Will Fox and others be able to not only replace that but find more $$ somewhere?

Very astute observation. I'm not sure how many people currently recognize they are on the butcher block. 

 

I foresee many media companies suffering without access to pharmaceutical ads ( talk about a growth line item the last ten years).

 

Of course, that would be disastrous financially for college football if trends remain the same.  Old geezers like most of us here pine for the good old days.  Will younger generations pick up the slack?

 

Fortunately college football is huge compared to other live TV, so media companies have a better shot at replacing the pharmaceutical gauntlet.  

 

It's looking more and more likely the super conference concept will take hold in the future.  

 

I'm interested in whether the P2 are beta testing that concept by adding inter conference matchups to see what and who gains traction (for example, we already know Ohio State, Alabama and Texas draw well nationally.  Who else will in a super conference?).

 

I'm not sure College Football has the capability of handling unfettered free agency the way the NFL can.  I think the private equity leadership will probably help the colleges and universities navigate this passage much better.  Hopefully they have a solid grasp of what truly makes college football tick.

 

On 2/16/2025 at 7:12 PM, Jon Joseph said:

Sixteen teams, no byes has a definite appeal. But unless the calendar is addressed and fixed by starting the season on week zero and flex scheduling in conference champ games, the season is too long. Of course, if these changes are not made with 12 teams the season is too long.

This!!!!!