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Jon Joseph

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Everything posted by Jon Joseph

  1. NCAA board reportedly approves $2.8 billion settlement funding plan in antitrust lawsuit SATURDAYTRADITION.COM The NCAA Board of Directors has reportedly approved a funding plan for an estimated $2.8 billion settlement in ongoing antitrust litigation. G5 teams are not happy about their role in settling the House case. I hope OSU and WSU have to pay double.
  2. O’Gara: How did Florida and Billy Napier ever get so desperate for this Jaden Rashada mess to begin? WWW.SATURDAYDOWNSOUTH.COM It's hard to fathom Florida's initial offer that set the wheels in motion for the Jaden Rashada mess to unfold.
  3. 2024 CFB storylines to follow. 100 Days Out: College football names, games, storylines to follow as we count down to the 2024 season - CBSSports.com WWW.CBSSPORTS.COM 100 stories, predictions, names and games to get you excited for the 2024 college football season
  4. 1st time in Tournament history that all four finalists are from the same conference. Pac-12's OREGON, Stanford, UCLA, and USC.
  5. Wow! An all Pac-12 Final 4! Future ACC Stanford. Future B1G OREGON, UCLA, and USC. The B1G golf gals had best be ready to play B1G. 1st time in tournament history that all Final 4 teams come from the same conference! RIP Pac-12. BTW, when the Paris Olympics begin Oregon will be a Pac-12 member. When the Olympics conclude Oregon will be a B1G member.
  6. Deion - As the saying goes - All Hat and No Cattle (Buffs?)
  7. Michigan is ESPN's Mark Schlabach's No. 1 overrated team? 5 overrated college football teams from ESPN's post-spring top-25 rankings FANSIDED.COM We are so incredibly thankful to have something juicy to dissect. On Monday, ESPN.com's Mark Schlabach released his post-spring college football top 25 rankings
  8. Connolly's SP+ rankings release is posted on ESPN+, a pay site. SP+ is a ranking of 134 FBS program's odds of success in winning a game vs an FBS opponent. The rankings take into consideration a team's returning production, recruiting over this and the prior three seasons including transfers brought in from the portal, and recent history in the prior four seasons. SP+ is a good predictive model, a better model than ESPN's Football Power Index. The top 12 - 1. Georgia/ 2. Ohio State/ 3. OREGON/ 4. Texas/ 5. Alabama/ 6. Michigan/ 7. Penn State/ 8. Ole Miss/ 9. LSU/ 10. Notre Dame/ 11. Missouri/ 12. Florida State. We have a good discussion going elsewhere on OBD about Oregon's chances of finishing 12-0 in the regular season. The following are the SP+ rankings of Oregon's 2024 opponents. Idaho - FCS - Not ranked - 4th seed in the 2023-24 FCS playoffs. Boise State - 38 - Top-ranked G5 school. At Oregon State - 55 Idle At UCLA - 26 - The week that Oregon is idle the Bruins play at No. 9 LSU. Michigan State - 82 Ohio State - No. 2 - The week before playing the Ducks in Autzen the Buckeyes play a home game vs 22 Iowa At Purdue - 72 Illinois - 66 At Michigan - No. 6 Maryland - 44 - Maryland is idle the week before playing in Eugene. At Wisconsin - 27 - November 16 in Madison, Wisconsin will be chilly. Idle Washington - 35 - Close to no returning production for the Huskies. The schedule is made more difficult by being the only Power 4 team to play eight games in a row in 2024 without an idle week. Four of the games will be on the road: UCLA; Purdue; Michigan; and Wisconsin. ................................................................................................................................................................. The 2024-25 SP+ Playoff Field. 1. Georgia - SEC vs. 9. Penn State at 8. Michigan (Not a rematch but will the committee try to avoid conference member matchups in the first round?) 4. Kansas State - B12 - ranked 17 by SP+ vs. 12. Boise State - G5 - ranked 38 by SP+ at 5. Oregon. Oregon is ranked No. 3 by SP+. (This would be a rematch of a regular season game.) [Note- Boise and K State knock out No. 10 Notre Dame and No. 11 Missouri. This will not make fans in South Bend and SEC Commish Sankey happy. But Sankey and the then Notre Dame AD were two of the four people who designed this format. I like this possible furor as bumping lower-ranked teams ahead of higher-ranked teams is not the way a post-season tournament should be structured.] 2. Ohio State - B1G - vs No. 10 Ole Miss at No. 7 Alabama - (These two teams do not meet in the regular season.) 3. FSU - ACC - ranked No. 12 by SP+ vs. 11. LSU at 6.Texas. - (This would be another first-round conference matchup but not a rematch.) I and likely no one else, have an idea of how the playoff committee will handle rematches and conference vs conference members 1st round games. Five SEC teams. and four B1G teams in the field (75%) make rematches and conference vs conference 1st round games odds-on. One ACC, B12, and Mountain West team. The ACC implodes and Notre Dame, Clemson, Miami, UNC, and possibly UVA, VA Tech, NC State, and Louisville join one of the Power 2 conferences, the only reason to include the reconstructed ACC, B12, and G5 in the playoff will be to keep the politicians and lawyers at bay. Vanquish the Vandals!
  9. Charles, I agree. 1st season in a new conference and run the table? I don't think that has ever happened before. But at +330, bet $100 win, and get $430 in return, are good odds. FanDuel predicts that Ohio State and Oregon will finish the regular season 11-1 but the Buckeyes are the favorite to win the conference, +155, with Oregon having the 2nd best odds at +250. Ergo, Ohio State wins the B1G champ game played in Indianapolis. Ponder point? For playoff seeding purposes, would Oregon be better off finishing 11-1 with a close loss to Ohio State and Penn State with a victory against Ohio State finishing 11-1 going to the title game losing badly without a Whiteout and finishing 11-2? Instead of traveling to Indianapolis, Oregon would get a week off to plan for its first-round opponent. Oregon at 11-1, would likely be ranked 5 to 8 with a playoff first-round home game. Many unknowns exist about how the playoff committee will see things in 2024-25.
  10. Thanks, Mike, great take. My concern with finishing 10-2 would be the possibility of being seeded lower than 8 and not having a 1st round home game. Several SEC teams could finish 10-2, will the committee continue to favor all things SEC? Make it to the final in Atlanta for the champ game on 1/20/25 and 9-seed Oregon would have to win a true away game vs a highly-ranked opponent, with the opponent likely being located in Dixie, then perhaps a Peach Bowl game in Atlanta vs the ACC champ, then an Orange Bowl game in Miami vs say, Georgia or a Cotton Bowl game in Dallas vs say, Texas, and then back to Atlanta. Wow! Puddles would most definitely be in line for an oil change and a lube job. With the preference being given to conference champs this season and next I expect to see some weird results, your second game vs a team with a bye could be less difficult than your opening game, leading to a Power 2 dictated change in format come 2026-27. Thanks again for the insightful comment. Yes, 8 in a row without a break is cruel and unusual. Ducks are the only P4 team with this burden in 2024. Quack!
  11. Charles, I agree. 1st season in a new conference and run the table? I don't think that has ever happened before. But at +330, bet $100 win, and get $430 in return, are good odds. FanDuel predicts that Ohio State and Oregon will finish the regular season 11-1 but the Buckeyes are the favorite to win the conference, +155, with Oregon having the 2nd best odds at +250. Ergo, Ohio State wins the B1G champ game played in Indianapolis. Ponder point? For playoff seeding purposes, would Oregon be better off finishing 11-1 with a close loss to Ohio State and Penn State with a victory against Ohio State finishing 11-1 going to the title game losing badly without a Whiteout and finishing 11-2? Instead of traveling to Indianapolis, Oregon would get a week off to plan for its first-round opponent. Oregon at 11-1, would likely be ranked 5 to 8 with a playoff first-round home game. Many unknowns exist about how the playoff committee will see things in 2024-25. Big Ten football: Early conference championship odds released for 2024 season 247SPORTS.COM Who is the favorite to win the Big Ten title this season? Nice to see Danno and not Ryan Day here.
  12. I'm sorry if the linked article does not appear. I am told there is a '502 error' whatever that may be.
  13. Betting Stuff: Value bets to go unbeaten in 2024 college football regular season WWW.SATURDAYDOWNSOUTH.COM Looking at which teams could go undefeated during the 2024 regular season.
  14. Sorry, I encountered a 502 error? saturdaydownsouth.com/college-football/betting-stuff-value-bets-to-go-unbeaten-in-2024-college-football-regular-season/
  15. Peterson's takes usually appear on Saturday Down Sout, the SEC Saturday site. I am posting his take on why Oregon is a good bet to go undefeated in 2024. His take on how Dan Lanning has positioned the team to compete for a title in 2024 is spot on. I'm less optimistic about Ducks being perfect in 2024 only because of having to play 8 games in a row without a break including game 6 at Michigan and Game 8 at Wisconsin in November. Betting Stuff: Value bets to go unbeaten in 2024 college football regular season WWW.SATURDAYDOWNSOUTH.COM Looking at which teams could go undefeated during the 2024 regular season. I am aware that the above photo is a photo of Notre Dame's Coach Freeman and not Danno. I think the Domers come a cropper in their opening game vs Texas A+M in College Station. I expect to see a far more disciplined and inspired team under Mike Elko than what we saw out of Jimbo.
  16. One Nielson sample size is not enough. Viewership will be affected by the opponents on the schedule. For example, Duke is in the top 32 and UNC is not. But Duke played Notre Dame last season and UNC did not. CU is way up there not because of the team's results but because of Prime Time and a fast start that fizzled. The following teams outside of the top 32 drew 1M+ viewers in 2023 for Nielson-ranked games. Some are desirable additions, others are not. Some will come with the money to compete at CFB championship levels and others will not. If the B1G and the SEC passed on all of the below-listed teams, would a team that could win a title be left out? In theory, of course. But in reality? Arizona; ASU; Boston College; Cal; Georgia Tech; Kansas; UNC; NC State; Oklahoma State; Pitt; Stanford; Syracuse; TCU; Texas Tech; West Virginia. Add any of these programs to the B1G/SEC and ipso facto their viewership ratings would improve. But what would the Power 2 conferences and their media partners receive in return outside of bringing on a new 'profit center' in North Carolina?
  17. Aw, shucks. 😘 Thank you Mr. FishDuck. It is fun jabbing with Jabbar.
  18. The Playoff media deal with ESPN expires in 2031-32. But the playoff format will change come 2026. Fastest way for CFB Playoff to grow to 14 or 16 teams BAMAHAMMER.COM Was the CFB Playoff braintrust wrong to make a jump to 14 or 16 teams? Some college football fans thought so at the time the decision was made. Many more may ag The playoff media deal with ESPN expires after the 2031-32 season. The B1G is in the driver's seat when it comes to renewing the existing Power 4 media deals. The B1G deal expires 2029-30 (Oregon will be a full member come 2031.) The SEC deal expires in 2033. The B12 deal in 2030-31. The ACC deal which is under attack, expires in 2036. Follow the money. The B1G and the SEC are already getting the lion's share of the Playoff revenue and will dictate playoff format changes come 2026 and when the ESPN playoff media deal expires.
  19. As Jabbar noted, cuts could be coming. Rumor: Duke, Wake Forest, Boston College, and Syracuse could be 'fired' from the ACC FLYWAREAGLE.COM Duke, Wake Forest, Boston College, and Syracuse could all be
  20. Thumbs up on the comment. Better to be a hack than posting numerous hackneyed comments like the guy I see in the mirror. 😁
  21. I get and respect your POV but what is the financial incentive for the B1G and SEC and ESPN and Fox and Friends (CBS, NBC) to add 26 teams and dilute the quality of the competition? Billionaires who would like to be NFL owners are waiting in the wings but the NFL and its myriad broadcast partners understand that there is no value in adding more teams unless international teams are added. https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/college-football-programs-nielsen-ratings?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=BrettMcMurphy CU, FSU (closing in on AAU membership,) Notre Dame, Clemson (not an AAU member,) Miami, Duke, and Utah, are viable expansion candidates as is UNC because of the state population and the B1G and the SEC not having a presence in the state. I don't see Navy, Oregon State, and Washington State making the cut.
  22. QB is a B1G question mark at Michigan in 2024. How will Michigan’s quarterback battle play out? WWW.MAIZENBREW.COM This spring brought little clarity regarding the most important position.
  23. The Pac-12 keeps on giving. Glen House was a swimmer at ASU. Now, he could sink the NCAA and advance CFB to NFL Lite.
  24. Thanks, Alex. Oregon is one of the favorites to make the expanded playoff field, no doubt. The only thing that could hold Oregon back, barring the injury curse, is the schedule. Eight games without a break, at Michigan, game six of the gauntlet, and Wisconsin, game eight of the gauntlet, in November. Seven home games instead of the eight that Michigan and Ohio State play. The two teams that have dominated the B1G are on the schedule in 2024; both are off the schedule in 2025. Maryland is off the week before the Terps play the Ducks. On Maryland's 2nd idle week of the season Oregon plays in Ann Arbor. The 2024 schedule is a tough row to hoe. At Oregon State will be a road game played in front of Bizerk Beavers fanatics. Boise State is the favorite in many preseason rankings to be the G5's playoff team. The roster depth that Dan has built will be needed.

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