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Jon Joseph

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Everything posted by Jon Joseph

  1. I think SC and UCLA football will be fine with the travel and solid academics could soften the blow when it comes to recruiting non-revenue sports. BYU is not and likely never will be on the table. I think the Cal tax will simply be determined by the Trustees as the Board of Trustees so desires. But the easy Calculation is simply to compare B1G media revenue to Pac-10 revenue. If this was to happen the move by UCLA would make no sense whatsoever which is why it won't happen.
  2. As to Finebaum, spot on. As to UNLV, the Runnin' Rebels should be picked up now. Las Vegas is the defacto conference HQ. CBB and CFB championships are played in LV. Clark County is a growing TV market and LV is in the Pacific time zone, plays football in a close-to-campus NFL stadium, has upgraded CFB practice facilities, and not so long ago won an NCAA CBB title. Academics? Those days should be gone like the student-athlete model is gone. The ACC has 5 AAU members. The B12, 1. The SEC 5 when Texas comes on board. With the addition of a medical school, UNLV's academics have improved. Pro sports 'get' the appeal of LV. Now home of the Stanley Cup winner. The Raiders. And MLB is on the way. The NBA will likely have a team in LV by 20230. As to BYU, TCU, and Houston, will the Pac-10+ have the money to interest these schools in leaving the B12 and paying the exit fee that would come with leaving the conference? TCU is already in the P% and Houston and BYU are now in the P5. BYU, unless it agrees to play on Sunday will not receive an invite. If you want to play west coast defense against the B12 add SDSU, UNLV, and Fresno. Boise's cachet is wearing off, it plays in a small stadium and the media market is tiny. Great thoughts, thanks.
  3. The ACC moved far too quickly after Maryland left to lock everyone else in and is now saddled with a terrible media deal that is offset somewhat by ACC network income. The deal Larry signed was considered to be fantastic at the time but ran far too long and was eclipsed by all but the ACC deal.
  4. I'm shocked! Say it ain't so Pawwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwlllll! Although Paul's take brought a smile to the face of dozens of chicken farmers across the south and the one millionaire who lives in Starkville other than the Football coach and basketball coach. If the Pac-12 holds together which I believe it will any AAC teams or Mountain West teams the Pac-10 add will be at the top of the G5 game when it comes to donors and success. SDSU played for a CBB tourney title last season. As were BYU, Cincinnati, Houston, and UCF when added to the B12. The Orlando, Florida media market is larger than the Miami market.
  5. I love it when FishDuck goes fishing! Did you catch and mount the B12 commissioner?
  6. Great thoughts. UCLA is spending a lot of 'dead money' on fired coaches. This will diminish in a few years. But the model at UCLA is shaky. The Bruins, because the arena helps secure bond payments, have to pay to practice in Pawley Pavilion. How big will the Cal tax be for the Bruins move to the B1G? A lot of folks were disappointed that the CA Board of Trustees approved the move and you can bet that the Cal administration will be looking for significant dollars. Pretty easy to determine gross dollar-wise based on what UCLA is paid annually by the B1G and what Cal will gross from the B1G media deal. A one-year-old? You have your hands full my friend. I know, I'm telling Noah about The Flood, right?
  7. Does the 3-finger sign for the W in UW indicate the number of players UW will sign in 2024?
  8. This is what the ACC said to Maryland when the Terps went to the B1G. Maryland litigated and ended up paying about half of the contractual exit fee. This is all just gamesmanship in the game of CFB realignment musical chairs.
  9. The college football playoff brings in and pays out a boat load of money and the boat is about to dramatically expand with the field going to 12 teams and possibly 16 teams come 2026.boatload Come 2026, far more media entities will be bidding for broadcast rights in addition to ESPN, today's sole CFB playoff media provider.
  10. I do not disagree but like everything, the decision for each school will come down to economics. How much of a media haircut will Oregon be willing to take compared to say Rutgers and Northwestern to move to the B1G? Of course, this assumes that Oregon will have a decent alternative. The B12 does not have a printing press. I do not see any 4 Corners school if there is an alternative, agreeing to take a lesser cut than BYU. I don't believe any Pac-10 school wants to travel to West Virginia and Orlando, Florida. What could change the entire college sports calculus overnight is if the Sword of Damocles issue in regard to college athletes being employees drops.
  11. Thanks, David. A few thoughts. The Longhorn Network is a bust and will disappear when UT joins the SEC next season. ESPN's LHN will be absorbed by ESPN's SEC network. USC was receiving a bigger piece of the pie before Larry added CU and Utah. 1st on his to-do list should have been GK assuring that SC was happy. (UCLA isn't going anywhere without SC.) SC was dysfunctional under Helton in football and was dealing with more important issues such as trying to overcome an admissions scandal. Carol Folt fixed this problem with the help of the judiciary but there are still leaks in the dam such as not properly vetting the New AD hire. IMO, the LA schools should have been getting a bigger piece of the media pie. I feel the same today with Oregon and UW likely to continue to receive the same media cut as Wazzu. I expect the idea of a one for all, all-for-one media revenue cut will disappear in the next decade. I have seen nothing to date that convinces me that GK, another guy with no ties to college athletics, is a vast improvement over Larry. Closing down the SFO HQ and network relocation was a no-brainer. And as noted above he failed miserably in dealing with the LA schools. Lots of incompetent folks are still on the Pac-12 payroll. For the conference to retain the California football scheduling model in 2023 was a stab in the back to the loyal Pac-10 schools. And to give SC the week off prior to the conference champ game is absolutely absurd. More importantly, how could the man and the conference be so out to the media lunch that it allowed the B12 to do a deal ahead of it? As much as SC stabbed the Pac-12 in the back there were others holding knives, FOX, and a lying B1G commissioner in Kevin (now gone) Warren. Warren left the new B1G commissioner with a $5M (and counting?) hit to the projected $70M per team annual distribution from the new media deal. Warren also promised NBC the B1G football champ game media rights, something he had no right doing. Additionally, the role of NBC's streaming affiliate, Peacock with its 20M subscriber base, was not detailed. SC also piled on by leading the charge to prevent expansion into the Central time zone and killing off a P5 competitor and thus a competitor for media rights. Academic bona fides is an anchor back to the past in today's media cutthroat world on CFB business. Kansas for CBB moves the needle but overall as a media market, Kansas is irrelevant. The big brands left on the board besides Oregon and UW are Notre Dame, immersed in the ACC but for football, and other schools in the ACC including UVA, UNC, Clemson, FSU, and Miami. The ACC is far more simpatico for the Pac-10 than are B12 teams the Pac could have had and passed on. There is a way in which the two conferences can merge and restrict travel. But my guess is that CFB is too parochial to consider the logical business fit. BTW, Georgia Tech and the Atlanta market are farther west than Detroit, Michigan.) I do not see UCLA returning to the fold. UCLA's athletic department in 2022 finished $34M in the red. I think it is far more likely that FOX/B1G will add additional west coast teams to abate UCLA's and USC's travel issues. The B1G has to have its eye on Cal, Oregon, Stanford, and UW. Schools that can likely be added for a discounted B1G media revenue share. Will the conference survive? Probably for the next 5 to 6 seasons but if a media deal is not concluded before Pac football media days in July all bets are off; especially, if the B12 can entice FOX, CBS, and/or NBC to come up with the money to grab the 4 Corners schools. And if the conference survives being in the streaming forefront with Apple or Amazon this could give the conference a long-term shot at thriving. Both Apple and Amazon have far more inroads into households than does Peacock and a big tech company is not going to agree to stream college athletics and then not market the product. Thanks again, great article.
  12. Thanks for the heads up! I knew ASU had made AAU status. I thought that ND and Miami were too small to do so. I stand corrected, USF? As in the University of South Florida? I thought there were 2 qualifications for admittance at USF: Heart beating; check clears.
  13. Good call, John. But only CFB and Men's CBB pay the big money.
  14. Both UNC and UVA are AAU member schools which matters to the B1G presidents. (Duke, Georgia Tech, and Pitt are the other ACC member schools.) Clemson and FSU are not AAU member schools. And Miami, also not an AAU member, is a relatively small private school in a media market smaller than the Orlando market, without its own on-campus stadium and with a brand that puts the tarn in tarnished. I think if the B1G decides to add teams from the East that UNC, UVA, Duke, and Georgia Tech will get invites. I think the B1G would love to stick it to the SEC by having a member school in Atlanta.
  15. Nix folks walked the walk with the adoption of Tez Johnson. Actions always speak louder than words.
  16. Happy to see AD Barnes is health-wise back on track. IMO, an uneven split should apply to both the CFB playoff and the CBB tournament.
  17. What a great ambassador for Oregon. Humble and articulate in all of his post-win interviews. In the post-win press conference, he went out of his way to thank Casey Martin for getting him mentally back on track and getting his golf game back on track.
  18. Show Me the Money! U.S. Open win helped Wyndham Clark land historic payday WWW.YARDBARKER.COM Wyndham Clark posted an unprecedented win at the 123rd U.S. Open Championship at Los Angeles Country Club. However...
  19. Wyndham has $3,6M reasons to be happy today, The last time the Open was played in LA in 1948, the champion won $10,000.00😂 Plus, he's in the US Open field for the next decade and in all of the major tournament fields for the next 3 years. OT - Christian McCaffery was a high school classmate of Wyndham's in Denver and they are very good friends.
  20. Elevate? SDSU played for the CBB title last season and has a winning record in CFB versus the Pac. Love your comments.
  21. HATS OFF to the 1st Duck to win a major!
  22. Over the last decade, SDSU has had a very good CFB record against Pac-10 opponents and with UCLA and SC leaving town will be at the top of the conference in CBB. SMU? Kind of off the west coast radar. Has been OK in the AAC in CFB. Has been up and down nationally in CBB.
  23. Man, I'm glad Rivals wasn't one of my college profs! What do you have to do to get the 4th star? Be offered by the Chiefs?
  24. Actually, I hope UW is the 2nd Pac team to make the expanded playoff every year behind conference champ Oregon. We need the dues!