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Everything posted by Charles Fischer
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Ducks Win Probability vs Future Opponents
Charles Fischer replied to Tandaian's topic in Our Beloved Ducks
Very cool. This means that we are now favored versus Utah, when we were not before. Of course it all means nothing; we have to do it on the field. -
I certainly believe that could be "a thing" with the way Dilly is turning into a QB whisperer and how much fun this offense would be to play in. The ultimate burn!
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I am in agreement with that, but the perfect storm of it all coming together--as it has for Bo at Oregon with Dilly is very low-probability. In fact those who assert that what Dilly is doing is proof to the contrary of my axiom...are actually proving my point. Look what Dilly has done with Bo despite the odds, and yet Ty is not responding to it? What is it going to take with Ty? Greatness and weakness emerge early.
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You have read what I've written many, many times over the 11 years of FishDuck sites, and it applies to the Ty Thompson discussion... "Greatness and weakness emerge early." "And weakness cannot be turned into greatness, as you work hard to just bring him up to average." This applies to players AND coaches, IMHO. You do not try to send Sparrows to Eagle School...it doesn't work. If you want Eagles, you go out and find (recruit) Eagles for your team. (Donte Moore) How many quarterbacks have stepped on the field at Oregon and you knew they were a future star? And how many has our coaching staffs over the years worked at, but to no avail?
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I will allow anyone to post their opinions in all directions, and I personally will continue to make reference to Mario because: 1) It is fun, 2) It is entertaining. 3) It makes me grateful-as-hell that he is gone.
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I think Jay Butterfield would do extremely well in the Jonathan Smith offense at Oregon State. I would like to see if he can run an offense while he is here before helping them...
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I am in the middle of three projects at the moment, so I do not have the time to pull out the stats, but I can later. Cristobal wasted one of the best offensive lines at Oregon ever with four players who are in the NFL right now (When has that ever happened at Oregon?) that dramatically underperformed under Cristobal. Cristobal had rushing stats far below what occurred before his time at Oregon....and now after his time at Oregon. He recruited good offensive linemen, but only now are they reaching their potential under Klemm and in the Dillingham offense, IMHO. Jake Hanson, Green Bay Packers
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Ty does not have the "it" factor, IMHO.
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I am grateful to Dazed for an article that gives us entertainment and perspective. I was sweating it last night as it was getting past 1:00 AM, and the pictures from the photographer I hired in Arizona had not come in yet. You always hope you made a good choice with who you hired, and it turns out he was awesome. Lots more pics coming for our writers, and they were the perfect complement to article Dazed gave us. Thanks for creating an article late in the evening after a game!
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It is true. While we are averaging 42 points per game for the season...the five games since Georgia of 70,41,44,45,and 49 bring us to an average of 49.8 points per game! So we have an offense that is a Chip Kelly Redux, to face CK and we will need that offensive firepower to win that game. My friends, I hope this time around that people truly savor what is going on. At times I sensed that people took it for granted when we scored an average of 45 points a game for four years in a row, and I know that I am soaking this up while it it happening. So fun to watch, so interesting to break down and analyze. So very special...
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Red Eddy Green! Actual game score of 49-22 Red Eddy Green: Prediction of 49-24 49-49 = 0 Difference 24-22 = 2 Difference Total Difference of 2! wounded knees: Prediction of 48-20 49-48 = 1 Difference 20-22 = 2 Difference Total Difference of 3 Log Haulin: Prediction of 48-20 49-48 = 1 Difference 20-22 = 2 Difference Total Difference of 3 Pretty darn impressive for all three! Thanks for playing and now...how to figure the score of Oregon vs. UCLA? Whew!
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GameDay Thread versus Arizona: Join Us!
Charles Fischer replied to Charles Fischer's topic in Our Beloved Ducks
OK, the game is over and let’s discuss in new threads in the forum! -
GameDay Thread versus Arizona: Join Us!
Charles Fischer replied to Charles Fischer's topic in Our Beloved Ducks
I am going to get the party started with a concern...as last year after the big Ohio State win, Kirk Herbstreit predicted we would lose to Stanford...and he was not feeling good in GameDay about Oregon today. Crap! -
Here we are my friends, the thread for discussing the actual game as it happens. Let's discuss before, and during the game! The vast majority of you are GREAT in this thread, but you must remember that this forum is different, as we require civilized discussion. Rule No. 31d covers GameDay thread conduct, and it is not hard for the vast majority of us--just a tiny few who need to reign it in. Let's Have Fun Posting During the Game!
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Mario...It DOESN'T Work for Gosh Sakes!!
Charles Fischer replied to Ktmguy2018's topic in Our Beloved Ducks
Not me. -
Hello my FishDuck Friends, I am going to follow the suggestion of OBD Member, Dr Hilarius to determine the finalists: Actual score of 45-27, Oregon over Stanford. Delta Analysis: EastBayDuckDad Ducks 48 (delta 3) Furd 27 (delta 0) total delta = 3 Mic Ducks 45 (delta 0) Furd 24 (delta 3) total delta = 3 FG Lumber Ducks 35 (delta 10) Furd 17 (delta 10) total delta = 20 Tiebreakers: **= winner/closest in that category Actual from the Game: Turnovers: 1 Sacks: 3 Passing Yards: 164 EastBayDuckDad Turnovers: 3 Sacks: 4 ** Passing Yards: 325** Mic Turnovers: 2** Sacks: 5 Passing Yards: 375 Winner by one tiebreaker category: EastBayDuckDad Congrats to him and thus beginning this week I will apply this new criteria to determining the winner. Thanks again to Dr Hilarius!
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Yep. Against BYU, the Ducks only had the ball for four possessions in the first half and scored on all of them for a 24-3 lead. In the first half against WSU some called plays in the Red Zone that worked before, but did not work then. Many times it simply comes down to..."did the play work?" If if did, we as fans say nothing, but when if fails..."we have a big problem." I think Dilly has done well overall for just five games, and he is getting better. He is backing up what he said he would try to do on offense, and is returning us to the days of high-scoring again. And no coordinator is going to be perfect; what Dilly has done thus far doesn't suck.