Jon Joseph

No offense but many, many of us have seen this coming from far away. I'm waiting on the FACTS. The deal GK cables together may be grim but negative speculation is not going to make the final deal any better or worse.

The Buckeyes play at Notre Dame in. Michigan is the school (along with UCLA) with back-to-back cupcake OOC schedules but Michigan does have a home and home with Texas beginning in 2024. Ohio State's payment of $500K to UW will be more than made up by playing an 8th home game. The timing of the cancellation screws UW but why should OH ST AD Gene Smith care? CFB today? It's every man for himself.

I too have played around with something like this. But the opportunity at the conference level was lost when the Pac-12 voted not to take in orphaned B12 teams. The only way to get this or something like it on today would be for the teams to say to heck with the conference and its commissioners and negotiate directly. But in the world of academia, I see little or no chance for this to happen; especially, when the B12 has a new all-linear media deal that the 4 new teams in particular are most happy about.

"Logic" will not prevail here Charles. Looks like the NCAA just threw away more dollars in useless litigation. There was one avenue for relief: Congress granting CFB an anti-trust exemption but I do not see it happening. You are so correct, in order to 'reward athletes' the baby will be thrown out with the bath water.

Or, next man out of the portal.

SI? This same story has not been published well over 100 times. No team is leaving the Pac-10 for the B12 before the Pac-10 deal is done. Even if the deal comes in a few million lower per annum than the Pac-10 deal that does not mean teams are going to automatically depart the Pac-10. This kind of stuff will circulate daily until the Pac-10 deal is concluded. What else is there to talk about CFB-wise this time of year?

All hearsay and BS before a deal is concluded. It's 'stuff' like this that moves the media gotcha needle and that is all.

That is CS, BS. UW should cancel this year's game at MI ST and fill in with San Jose State. Then it will have an OOC schedule equivalent to Michigan. FOX Network, the gift that keeps on stealing.

AMEN. Which I'd like to forget but reminds me of the Civil War 2022 loss. That was a smash mouth 4th Q beat down. Not a pass is thrown in the 4th Q by the Beavers and they come back to win? Impressive. One thing I am sure we agree upon for certain. No team in any sport is always going to bring its A-game. The key to titles is to win the games when you are not performing at grade A. The size of the dog in the fight? Amen. But roster depth matters a whole lot in CFB. Why UGA blew out Oregon and TCU yet could have lost at Mizzou and should have lost vs Ohio State? Hope it is all good in LV.

BAMA - LSU, TX A+M, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Miss State, Arkansas. I do not see the Ducks 'usual' conference schedule being more difficult than this. And in 2023 the Tide hosts Texas while Oregon plays at Texas Tech.

Terrific take, thank you. For comparison purposes. GEORGIA - ESPN #1/SP+ #1 Ceiling: 12-0/Floor: 9-3. Odds to finish better than 11-1: 62% Biggest Variable: Quarterback. I'd add - Replacing OC Todd Monken with 're-tread' OC Mike Bobo.

And is playing behind a better OL and perhaps in a better system. His 1st OC left to take the UVA job. His 2nd OC was fired. And he wasn't throwing to WRs the quality of guys he had to throw to when Lawrence was out and he lit up Notre Dame. Clemson's quality of players had decreased. Without Lawrence, in his last season, I think Clemson loses 3 to 4 games. Clemson's recruiting rankings have gone down even though kids who sign there get a rankings bump because it is Clemson.

But probably should be?

That was the agreed-upon buyout for OK/TX. I do not think this number applies to the new media deal and I'm not sure the new media deal has been officially agreed to by all B12 members. Not too long ago, Texas Tech among others was desperate to join the Pac-12. Shot down with USC Prez Folt leading the way. (Man I'd love to know if SC was already playing footsie with Warren and the B1G when the vote occured?) The Power 5 would have gone to the Power 4 and the Pac-20 would have been golden. In the interim the Oregon prez left for Northwestern and a discouraging word never comes out of Mullens' mouth. FOX manipulated the LA schools departure and Kevin Warren and by extension the entire B1G lied to the ACC and the Pac-12. Yet, other than for the CA trustees no one raised a peep as did Bob Bowlsby when ESPN raided OK/TX from the B12. IMO, if UW, OR, CU, Utah, ASU and AZ went in concert to KS, K-St, OK St, TX Tech, TCU, Baylor, Houston and Iowa State there could be a realistic shot at forming a strong western conference. One that could negotiate with ESPN, FOX and others and bring in more than the B12's $31.7M a year. But it's academia so it isn't going to happen. The only way to close the gap with the B1G and the SEC is for western teams to unify and reduce the Power 5 to the Power 4. The Oregon brand is strong and I'm hoping for the best but I wish the stronger Pac-12 programs would push harder for a logical, mutually beneficial and financially viable deal for the western schools. BTW, if the Pac-12 is too 'elite' to associate with B12 schools why are so many games including Oregon's next 6 P5 OOC games scheduled with the B12? Let CAL and Stanford join the Ivy League.

I do not disagree in the slightest. This is all algorithm-driven. Human polls will of course be different but at the top BC has usually been very accurate.

TT - blew out Ole Miss in its bowl game. 8-0 when Tyler Shough the presumed starting QB in 2023, starts and finishes a game. TT #1 in the country last season in plays run per game. 89.2 play average. Home - 95.7 plays/ Away 82.7 plays Ducks by comparison finished ranked #56. 71.3 play average. Home - 70.6 plays/Away - 71.9 plays - I find it interesting that the Ducks on average ran more plays on the road, The Red Raiders and former Ducks QB Shough (wasted by Mario?) will put a lot of stress on the Ducks D. Texas Tech - 64% of 2022 production returning. 75% on offense (31 nationally) 52% defense (58 nationally.) Oregon - 65% 0f 2022 production returning. 65% on offense (62 nationally.) 65% on defense (58 nationally) (At 65/65/65 is Oregon the Social Security Team?) 1st game Ducks have the advantage playing Portland State at home while TT trips to Wyoming. The stadium in Lubbock will be fired up and LOUD!

THIS ranking only gives Oregon 3 games versus the top 25 opponents. I continue to believe that based on the AP preseason poll SC, UW, Utah, OR ST and, Texas Tech will all be preseason ranked.

While I continue to believe OREGON will be fine there is no doubt that the barbarians from the B12 are at the gates.

Written and released by the conference.

On February 14, 2023, ESPN's Bill Connelly released his first edition of the 2023 SP+ rankings. SP+ is a predictive model that has nailed at least 3 out of the 4 participants since the inception of the Playoff. SP+ has not always been kind to Oregon but I think Oregon fans will be very happy with being ranked in the top 10 at #8. Below are the top 10 and Pac-12 rankings including the rankings for potential new members San Diego State (SDS) and SMU. 1. Georgia 2. Ohio State 3. Michigan 4. Alabama 5. Penn State 6.Tennessee 7.LSU 8. OREGON 9. Texas 10. USC -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 13. Utah 16. Washington 21. UCLA 31. Oregon State 53. Washington State (55. SMU) 58. CAL 63. ASU 78. Arizona (80. SDS) 94. Colorado 102. Stanford Oregon's Power 5 out-of-conference opponent Texas Tech is ranked #35. By Conference 1. SEC 2. B1G 3, B12 (this includes Texas and Oklahoma) 4. Pac-12 5. ACC This is one of the few preseason rankings I have seen that has Oregon ahead of USC. Also the only ranking I have seen to date that does not have an ACC team (Clemson or FSU) in the top 10. Should these rankings play out, Oregon wins the Pac-12 and plays in the Fiesta Bowl. 1. Georgia would play 4. Alabama in the Sugar Bowl Playoff semi-final. 2. Ohio State would play 3, Michigan in the Rose Bowl semi-final. One of these 2 would make the final 4 going 11-1 and without a conference championship. GO DUCKS!

Happy, patience is a virtue? I'm hoping for the best but slow-walking everything seems to be the conference mantra. The conference leaders need to get on board like the SEC and the academically sound B1G leaders have done. If you are not "all-in" Moneyball titles will not follow. Oregon will be fine in the long run. However, several members of the conference for whatever reason are not all-in. Unlike CU which recently changed its transfer credit requirements to support the hiring of Deion Sanders, a number of schools do not seem willing to make the changes to compete in today's world of CFB, and CBB. Oregon getting the same revenue share as these schools is galling. What happened to Stanford football and basketball? What happened to CAL basketball? Does anyone at Stanford or CAL give a whip? You can have fine academics and also have competitive teams. Check out the number of applicants for admission to Alabama before Saban's run and the number now. Many of these 'new' applications come from out-of-state students who pay full tuition. A rising Tide has lifted all boats in Tuscaloosa. I haven't checked the number but my guess is since the Oregon brand with the help of NIKE went national and global that applications for admission and donations have soared. It is frustrating but at this point in time all we can do is exercise patience.

In the SEC that's post-game hand shake money. One reason Brian Kelly is at LSU and IMO will win the SEC W again in 2023.

Where are the DL 4 and 5 stars?

Great take. The games were both wins which are all that matters but the LSU and Ohio State passing games lit up UGA last season. The Buckeyes beat the Dawgs in Atlanta if Harrison isn't 'cheap-shotted' out of the game. UGA sleep-walked through a number of games last season including at Mizzou. UGA certainly was not ready for the street-fight vs tOSU in Atlanta. I'm not disagreeing that Chip's teams featured a group of great competitors (aided and abetted by a great and underrated DC) but Oregon had at that time a huge schematic advantage. An advantage was that wasted by bad play calling versus Auburn and beaten up by superior talent, with Helrich as HC, in the 1st PO champ game versus Ohio State. [That Buckeyes team was loaded including having Joey Bosa who was this season's NFL D player of the year. ] And therein lies the rub. Have to have great roster depth to win 2 PO games and come 2024 and definitely in 2026 when the field will IMO go to 16 teams, to win 3 games in order to win it all.

With the 2023 schedule your Dawgs are back in the Final 4 in 2023.