FishDuck Article Administrator No. 1 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Recently there has been a lot of chatter about the best one loss team in college football. It is a fair question, since the season is winding down and there are a massive pile of teams vying for only a few playoff spots. So what does Oregon need to do in order to set themselves apart from the crowd? Well, ... College Football Playoff: How Can Oregon Make It? FISHDUCK.COM Recently there has been a lot of chatter about the best one loss team in college football. It is a fair question, since the season is winding down and... 1 3 Two Sites: FishDuck and the Our Beloved Ducks forum, The only "Forum with Decorum!" And All-Volunteer? What a wonderful community of Duck fans! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
HappyToBeADuck No. 2 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Ryan, really enjoyed your article. Great job breaking down the many possible scenarios. A great deal to consider and ponder, for sure. Nothing matters without Ducks winning out..... Normally chaos rears its ugly head on at least one November weekend. This year there as been very little chaos, so OBD's need to focus on ASU. A lopsided win against the Sun Devils accomplishes 2 things, needed style points and a spot in the pac title game. Then the Duck SOS will improve with the Beavers and Huskies next on the schedule..... Texas cannot, will not, should not jump Oregon if they both win out. The little big 12 does not offer Texas elite opponents to build their SOS and perception. The loser of tOSU vs UM will not have a conference title or a 13th game. Loser should not be in the conversation Alabama is the threat.....if they beat The Dawgs they jump Oregon. And the Dawgs will, most likely, stay a head of the Ducks. (Earned bias) Best scenario, Ducks win big time their last 3 games. Make their case and leave no doubt....... Let chaos reign on FSU and Georgia beat Bama... Go Ducks...beat ASU.... 3 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Log Haulin No. 3 Share Posted November 16, 2023 The Ducks, specifically Dan Lanning and Bo Nix, put themselves in this situatuon on Mont Lake. Win out an cross your fingers about sums it up. 1 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Haywarduck Moderator No. 4 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Good stuff, but much of what is of concern is out of our control. What Georgia, FSU, and really any of the other programs do is out of our control. What is in our control is winning another game on the road against a recently surging, scrappy program. As much as has been said about how it isn't a big deal to travel in the BIG conference, it is. This is why we have had a tough time in the desert. It is a long trip and this will be a test, like our second game was, win on the road, again. Then we need to take care of a team which may lose this weekend because they are so focused on beating Oregon. We got run over by the rodents last year, because we didn't realize how momentum works, and rivalries are tough. This would be our first rivalry win under Lanning, bringing us to 1-3, it won't be easy. On top of the travel it is a short turn around, 6 days instead of 7, with the game on Friday. Then we need to win the title game against whoever shows up, and that undoubtedly is a team that thinks they can beat Oregon. Great analysis, but in the end it comes down to Oregon taking care of its own business. The difficulties won't matter, in the end it will be about dominating and making the best case possible. This needs to happen all the way through January 8th, because we don't want to just make it, we want to win it! 1 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pennsylvania Duck Moderator No. 5 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Hypothetical BCS rankings aren't as high on Oregon Ducks as CFP rankings One of the more interesting debates that’s come up over the last few weeks is regarding one-loss teams in the nation, and which schools should be ranked ahead of others when you look at resumes. Largely, the conversation has been in regards to the Oregon Ducks, Alabama Crimson Tide, and Texas Longhorns. While Texas has the best win of the three, beating Alabama earlier this year, it’s hard to argue that any team in that group has looked more dominant and complete than Oregon, while Alabama has been coming on as of late and has a couple of impressive wins in the last month. The College Football Playoff committee has held strong in their opinion that the Ducks are the top one-loss team, followed by the Longhorns, and then the Crimson Tide. One thing we like to do throughout the season, though, is look at what the BCS standings from last decade would have done with the rankings using their formula. It was a time when there wasn’t a committee of voters who decided the final rankings each year, but rather a set of computers that calculated the final rankings based on numerous formulas that often led to convolution and controversy. Just for our entertainment, we wanted to look at how those BCS standings would look if there in practice today. Take a look... Hypothetical BCS rankings aren’t as high on Oregon Ducks as CFP DUCKSWIRE.USATODAY.COM In a hypothetical world where the BCS standings are still a thing, the Oregon Ducks wouldn’t fare quite as well in 2023. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven A Moderator No. 6 Share Posted November 16, 2023 On 11/16/2023 at 3:26 AM, HappyToBeADuck said: Texas cannot, will not, should not On 11/16/2023 at 3:26 AM, HappyToBeADuck said: Loser should not Agreed, but "should not" happens. 1 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanLduck No. 7 Share Posted November 16, 2023 If UW beats a #10 OSU on the road, they should jump FSU into #4. If an 11 - 1 Duck team beats an undefeated #4 UW in Pac-12 championship, they will be in regardless of what happens in SEC. There are still 5 ranked Pac-12 teams, only 3 ACC. And if USuC beats UCLA, their record is every bit as good as LSU. So, IMHO, UW wins out, we win out and win the Pac-12, we're in the playoff. Scooo Ducks! 2 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDuck No. 8 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Just win. Beat ASU, the Ratts, and UW in Vegas. Winning big won't hurt either. 3 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TerryM9 No. 9 Share Posted November 16, 2023 If Alabama comes out unscathed this week against Chattanooga, that will be such a great win, how could anyone overlook it? And to think all of our teams waste their time on those easy conference matchups instead. 1 3 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph No. 10 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Thanks, Ryan. This is an excellent summary of the current situation in a unique season with so many undefeated and 1-loss teams heading into Week 13. Florida is 5-5. UF is a decided underdog at Mizzou this Saturday. But the Gators have a chance to be one of the Ducks best friends on 11/25 if UF can find a way to take down rival FSU in Gainesville. Texas is down its top RB and plays 6-4 Iowa State on Saturday in Ames where the high is expected to be 30 degrees. UT has done its best to lose its last 2 games and Iowa State could really help Puddles cause. If UT wins on Saturday and defeats Texas Tech at home on the 25th, the best scenario would be for OK St, blown out at UCF last Saturday, to win on the road at Houston and defeat BYU at home on the 25th. Oklahoma State holds the B12 champ game tiebreaker over Oklahoma and a Texas over OK St champ game win would have much less impact than a redemptive win over Oklahoma. A 12-1 Lousiville with a loss at Pittsburgh would not overcome the Ducks even with an ACC champ game win vs. FSU. Louisville has a tough game at Miami on Saturday. Louisville goes on the road for only the third time this season before playing Kentucky at home. 9 home games! As you noted Ryan, OREGON needs UW to win in Corvallis and defeat WSU in the Apple Cup. With FSU playing NO. Alabama on Saturday a win vs. the Beavers will finally jump UW, unless the Committee is completely corrupt and dominated by NC State AD, Boo Corrigan, with what would be 4 top 25 wins, over an FSU team with 1 top 25 win over 3-loss LSU. But a 13-0 FSU even with a putrid schedule (no UNC and no Louisville in the regular season) and playing in a conference with 3 ranked teams will be in over the 12-1 Ducks and if this happens, the Seminoles will be blown out in the semi-final game. A 1-loss Michigan with its schedule is not a player. A 1-loss Ohio State could be a player but will not beat out a 12-1 conference champ OREGON. As you noted Ryan, a 12-1 Bama, with what would be the best win of the season, and a 12-1 UGA trying for a 3-Pete, unless blown out by Bama, would most likely lead to the SEC with 2 teams in. But other than for the B12 tri-champion mess in 2014, the Committee has usually had no-brainer Final 4 decisions to make. Upsets happen and late losses doom a team's chances at the playoff. There is one thing that is not hypothetical and 1 thing in OREGON's control, win on Saturday in Tempe, defeat the Beavers win the conference champ game, and let the chips fall as they may. 1 4 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Joseph No. 11 Share Posted November 16, 2023 On 11/16/2023 at 6:26 AM, HappyToBeADuck said: Ryan, really enjoyed your article. Great job breaking down the many possible scenarios. A great deal to consider and ponder, for sure. Nothing matters without Ducks winning out..... Normally chaos rears its ugly head on at least one November weekend. This year there as been very little chaos, so OBD's need to focus on ASU. A lopsided win against the Sun Devils accomplishes 2 things, needed style points and a spot in the pac title game. Then the Duck SOS will improve with the Beavers and Huskies next on the schedule..... Texas cannot, will not, should not jump Oregon if they both win out. The little big 12 does not offer Texas elite opponents to build their SOS and perception. The loser of tOSU vs UM will not have a conference title or a 13th game. Loser should not be in the conversation Alabama is the threat.....if they beat The Dawgs they jump Oregon. And the Dawgs will, most likely, stay a head of the Ducks. (Earned bias) Best scenario, Ducks win big time their last 3 games. Make their case and leave no doubt....... Let chaos reign on FSU and Georgia beat Bama... Go Ducks...beat ASU.... Great take. But a win over ASU does not guarantee a playoff spot if the Beavers defeat UW and OREGON. UW with a win over WSU would play the Beavers in Las Vegas. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
DUCati855 Moderator No. 12 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Thanks for the well thought out article Ryan. I feel you nailed everything down fairly well. The one thing I hope does not happen is a close, well fought game, between UM and tOSU for the B1G championship. I feel a one score win by UM could cause trouble for the Ducks. One thing is for sure, none of this matters if our Ducks don't win out. GO DUCKS! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven A Moderator No. 13 Share Posted November 16, 2023 On 11/16/2023 at 10:19 AM, TerryM9 said: If Alabama comes out unscathed this week against Chattanooga And, that SUPER boosts Texas resume having beat the team that beat Chatanooga! 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cacker Guy No. 14 Share Posted November 16, 2023 On 11/16/2023 at 7:07 AM, Haywarduck said: What is in our control is winning another game on the road against a recently surging, scrappy program. Just go 1-0 this week. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
VegasDuck No. 15 Share Posted November 17, 2023 I watched a little of the Miami/FSU game and FSU is unimpressive. Hopefully they lose in the ACC title game or to Florida. First things First. Win out and beat the Fuskies in Vegas. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
