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I have faith that Dan and Tosh are focusing heavily on shutting down the run this week. The will come up with a game plan to sour the Penn State bread and butter run game and for Drew to try to beat us with his arm.

Ducks win 41-13 1 sack 3 turnovers 333 passing yards

Mighty Ducks win 24-13 2 TO 2 Sacks 324

Penn State 35-17 1 TO 0 sacks 278 pass yds

21 20 Ducks 1 2 TOs 220 yards passing

I really think this is the entire game. We will score some points, I don't think we'll score like we did in the Championship game, but we'll score enough to win. It will be if we can hold the PSU run game to under 175 yards or so. The closer we've come to game time the more optimistic I've gotten. Allar is just not a great QB, he's fine, but I believe our secondary is better than last year, and I don't think Penn St. has upgraded enough at the WR positions to overcome losing Warren in the pass game. I also have become more positive over generating a pass rush with Tuioti and Matayo U. I am a little worried that our scheme is not designed well to counter the heavy rush approach of Penn St. We very rarely focus on the run, the Mint scheme is more about holding in check the passing game than it is loading the box and stopping heavy rushing attacks, our lines will need to buck up and set the edge well. Reading this week it seems Penn St. is rushing more to the outside which would mirror what they did to us in the Championship game, can our edges hold up is the question.

PSU 28-27 1 TO 2 Sacks 315 yds passing I so want to be wrong here, but I think this is OBD and Dante's trial by fire that comes up one point short. Oregon plays well and beats the spread but doesn't get the outright win. Tight enough to only drop the Ducks by a place or two in the polls. Then Oregon misses the B1G CG, but runs the table ala Ohio St. last year, gets a home CFP first round game and beats PSU in the semis.

Ducks 34-31 1 Turnover 3 Sacks 307 Passing Yards

Oregon 28 - 24 2 TOs 2 sacks 290 yds passing

Good stuff. Thanks for sharing. I will just add that Dante Moore with a 5" (or so) height advantage over Dillon Gabriel makes these throws a little easier (assuming he makes the right read). Go Ducks!!!

This is great stuff as the analyst takes examples from his two years at Oregon and some from his time UTSA as OC there.

After our last two big games against TOSU and Penn State, my guess is our talent is there and Dan Lanning will have our DUCKS better prepared this year. I think the big mismatch will be Drew Aller vs Dante Moore. I would guess we will try to get Drew Aller rattled early. My pure fan based guess is also that Austin Novosad is better than Drew Aller as well should his services be required (hopefully not).

OREGON 35-17 3 2 303 Nit-Picker Tears? BUCKETS!

From all accounts it's a more difficult place to play compared to those that you mentioned. Michigan is not a difficult place to play, it's too spread out, no roof, the fans are not exactly known for noise. Ohio St. is better, but it is also not known for huge amounts of noise. UW is probably the only place we've played where noise is definitely a factor, they have good fans when the team is good, the renovations have moved the fans closer, you have the huge roofs keeping the sound in, and from what I've heard the water also helps some. Great environment there when the Huskies are good.

Oregon 42-6 3 TO 4 sacks 355 yds passing GO DUCKS!!

Yeah, I'd crowd the box a bit. Throw in a few creative blitzes also, including run blitzes into PS's favored running gaps. From what I've seen the PS O line is good at holding their blocks, but as someone else said, not so good at actually moving people around. Often their backs have bounced around trying two or three holes before finding one they can get through for a good gain. Working with their hands and getting off blocks quickly will help, but also the line playing their techniques and keeping blocker off of the line backers will free up the backers to make plays. While PS's defense has played well their offense has not impressed me at all so far, running or passing.

Here is Hythology's analysis of Penn State from Addicted to Quack. He is very good and this is very detailed. Addicted To QuackDuck Tape: Film Analysis of Penn State Football 2025A preview of Oregon’s week 5 opponent in State College

Gotta keep my streak of worst predictions going, so... Ducks 85 Nittanies 4 1/3 5 TO 4.56 sacks 8 inches passing

This is a tough one, but I think ultimately home field helps and Dante may not be in top form. Yikes! So hard to pick the other team, and it's not at all an indication of my royalties. Hoping this is one of those double/reverse Jinks 🤞 PSU 38-31 2 1 200

If this game is well played, close and exciting both of these teams will still be in the running for the playoffs and the NC. Remember a lot of people wrote Ohio State off after they lost at Autzen last year. By the end of the season they were ready for the playoffs and won it all. If the Duck were to travel across the country and come up just short in a classic game, they could do the same thing Ohio State did last season. As I see it, and things could definitely change, there are five teams that could win the NC. Ohio St., Penn St. Georgia, Miami (even under having newly discovered the O Mario) and Our Blessed Ducks, not necessarily in that order. And I have my doubts about a couple of those being included, but not the Ducks. There are several teams that the pundit class said were going to be really good preseason that have not been impressive so far, but still manage to keep their high ranking (see LSU as the best example). The Ducks have been better than many expected. I expect them to stay that way.

If the national narrative is this is an incredibly difficult task against a team ranked ahead of us that is favored, let’s roll with that. Means we’re playing with house money.

This is a fantastic experience for all the underclassmen on the team; this game will only strengthen them going forward with all the big games coming up!

I have my doubts about the 'Lion offensive line being as effective as last year. I would expect us to move our free safety up closer to the Linebacker zones to stop the big running plays. Do it until they outscore us with Allar's passing! Good topic.

Very informative and entertaining article Jordan! Your stats on the QBs further supports my notion that even without big-game experience....Dante Moore will be the difference. Well, that and I have my doubts about the Penn State trenches being as good as last year.

Urban Meyer recently called it the most difficult place to play in college football, at night, in the white out (over LSU). Oregon can win but they will have to execute and play very well on Saturday night.