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Oregon-James Madison predictions: Picks for the CFP first-round game Does Cinderella exist in the College Football Playoff in the same way it does in the NCAA basketball tournament? We're about to find out with James Madison's participation in the 12-team playoff on Saturday at Oregon. The Dukes made the field as one of the five highest rated conference champions because five-loss Duke won the ACC championship game. James Madison finished No. 24 in the final playoff rankings, but it dominated the Sun Belt and played a competitive game at Louisville, showing the capability of playing competitively in this matchup.

Who has the College Football Playoff’s best home-field edge? Here’s what the numbers say Home/road differentialThis is also obvious. We took each team’s home winning percentage and subtracted its road winning percentage to see how much better a team fares in its own stadium. Our road games included neutral sites (like Texas-Oklahoma in the Cotton Bowl), conference championships and Playoff games. We excluded non-CFP bowls to avoid the messy complexities of opt-outs. Oregon won 24.2 percent more games at home with Oklahoma (20.8 percent) in second. Ole Miss (13.6 percent) and Texas A&M (12 percent) were at the bottom in this category, too. Scoreboard: Oklahoma 7, Oregon 7, Ole Miss 3, Texas A&M 3

By any spreadsheet, nerd’s algorithm or Fat Joey’s Calzone and Sportsbook, the No. 5 Oregon Ducks‘ College Football Playoff opener looks like a formality dressed up as a national event. The Ducks open Saturday against No. 12 James Madison at Autzen Stadium as 21-point favorites — a primetime belt-to-buns hardly worth pundits’ coveted analysis. Oregon enters its inaugural home playoff ... Oregon Favored but Focused in Playoff Opener

It's CFP time my feathered friends. Tonight in Norman Oklahoma. We have an SEC rematch featuring two of the classic brands in all the sport. 10-2 Oklahoma is a 3.5 point underdog vs 10-3 Alabama. Despite beating the Crimson Tide just four weeks ago. Alabama has struggled rushing the ball all year, and I don't see that changing against the number one rush defense in the SEC. Oklahoma also sacked Alabama QB Ty Simpson five times, and forced him into multiple interceptions. Something he hadn't done all year. Now Alabama did put up over four hundred yards of offense, out gaining the Sooners by over a yard yards. But the untimely mistakes cost Alabama the game. The winner of this game will move on to face Indiana in the Rose Bowl. This is the eight vs nine game, and is on the same side of the bracket as Oregon. If one of these programs gets hot, they very well could be the Semifinal matchup vs Oregon, should the Ducks get past Texas Tech. Which I think happens, and what I'm hoping happens. Who wins? Is Oklahoma as good an eight seed as Ohio State was last year? I personally think Alabama has the higher ceiling, and has the best chance of giving Indiana trouble. But Oklahoma is a bad matchup for Alabama imo. I think Oklahoma vs Alabama will look similar to Indiana vs Ohio State. The higher ceiling team will be dragged down, and forced into a mud fight. Oklahoma is more suited to win a mud fight. Oklahoma 20 Alabama 16.

What is a bust? A bust is finding out who you really are and all your faults. I don't think the Ducks were a complete team last year even though they were rated #1. Regardless of where the Ducks are rated this year, they do seem like an almost complete team - just need a little better pass rush and lay off those penalties, especially pass interference. I think the Ducks are a little short when it comes to pass defense. Will it stop them? That remains to be seen. I don't see an unbeatable team in this year's playoffs. Like that LSU team that won it all or the great Georgia teams or even Ohio St of last season. The Ducks are going to have to battle. They have as good a chance as anyone. However it goes... Oregon and all the other teams will have some different players next year. Keep restacking the talent and playing the games. A real 'bust' would have been losing one or both of the last two games and missing the playoffs. (A classic Cristobal move) Now they are in the playoffs and all the playoff teams will be giving it their best shot. This isn't baseball or basketball - get some timely hits or make some three pointers. This is football where the physicality will determine the game. I am interested to see how Oregon hangs with each playoff game getting tougher and tougher and how far they can go. I don't see them losing any games if they play their best ball. Even if it falls apart, as long as they are reloading with great players, they are still in it. A bust would happen if the best players decided they no longer want to play at Oregon. And that is happening to some very good teams out there with a lot of history. But for us, we need to see some domination on Saturday.

Oregon Ducks WR Dakorien Moore hints at availability on social media https://share.google/bR0A7xNA3Ri5rN291 Got to believe that DAK only puts this out there if he will be on the field.

OBD fans need to adhere to the standards of their head coach Dan Lanning. One game at a time!

ESPN's Bill Connelly, DraftKings, and SP+ Look at 1st Round PO Games - Split on Bama at Oklahoma; unanimous for A&M, Ole Miss, and OBD - Per SP+ OBD's O ranks 13th. OBD's D ranks 5th - The best Oregon Defense in 67 years! Six rematch games in CFB this season. The only team that won both games was Texas Tech's double-beatdown of BYU by 22 and 27 points. ESPN.comRematches, underdogs and chaotic teams -- We've got it al...Can this year's CFP match 2024's first round? It certainly won't lack for storylines.

Latest weather report says no rain after noon, tomorrow, Friday, until Sunday.

Can't ever have too many talented linemen! Plus another example to tweak the nose of SUC fans.

Great find and nice breakdown. If JMU wants to mimic the Husky game plan, that’s all right with me.

I think he brings up some good points, and it will be interesting to watch for...

Nothing but spring and snowmelt. That’s the Idaho secret.

Oregon Ducks in the mix for USC transfer Devan Thompkins, per report "Sources have told On3 to keep an eye on Alabama, Oregon and Georgia at this point for Devan Thompkins," Pete Nakos reported.

Dan Lanning Addresses Challenge Of Transfer Portal And Coaching ChangesThe Oregon Ducks have had a lot on their plate in the past few weeks. Ducks' coach Dan Lanning has had to balance running coaching searches and planning for a first-round College Football Playoff game and his comments on the challenges are refreshing. Oregon Ducks On SIDan Lanning Addresses Challenge Of Transfer Portal And Co...The Oregon Ducks have been busy since the conclusion of the regular season. Not only has coach Dan Lanning had to worry about game planning for their first-rou

Historic NFL Draft class? ESPN’s Matt Miller projects massive 2026 haul for Oregon ESPN NFL Draft expert Matt Miller projects a potentially record-breaking 2026 NFL Draft class for Oregon, led by QB Dante Moore and TE Kenyon Sadiq.

AUTZEN AWAITS

AUTZEN AWAITS

A chance to play in the semi's would make my season. Never expected to win it all or even have a shot for the finals so everything after TTU is icing on the cake.

Love this game week video. Nice to add a layer of lore to one of our great game day traditions! (Helpful hint: Crank up the sound when watching, and try to identify who is riding the Harley???)

Okay... weather .com forecast for Saturday is predicting 5% chance of rain by day, and a "few showers" in the evening. If this forecast holds, here are my early score predictions: 1) If we get two of our three stud receivers back, and the weather forecast holds, I've got the Ducks spanking JMU 50-20. If no stud receivers, plus serious rain, Ducks 38-20. How's that for hedging my bets.

Oh I've been there! And... yeah a loss to Texas Tech would really suck.

But the good news, Charles, is that we're finally getting some snow in the Cascades!

Sure, we've enjoyed the ride of the season and what each and every game brings. Im not discounting that. Simply put, I feel if the Ducks lose to Texas Tech that they fell short of where I believe they should be. If they get to the semis then in my book they've have gotten to where they should be. Anything more than that of course would be dreamy. And, embellishing in the title a little with a word like "bust" to hopefully draw interest? No, not me! 😛😉

Well, we'll see if Lanning's "peaking at the right time" plan pans out.