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Everything posted by Jon Joseph
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Where Do the Pac-4 End Up?
My roll of the dice. Stanford will go independent. The ACC will implode. Stanford and Notre Dame will be invited to join the B1G. 20 teams break nicely into 4, 5 team pods. Will the B1G want to split the revenue with more than 20 teams? If so, then Cal, UNC, Duke, UVA, Georgia Tech, and Miami, all AAU member schools, could be in the mix. I do not see the B1G adding non-AAU members Clemson and FSU. Had Nebraska not been an AAU member school at the time it joined the B1G it would not have been offered B1G membership. Out of the to-be, 18 schools come 2024, Nebraska will be the only non-AAU member. The Pac-12 could not afford this academic snobbery. The B1G can.
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Where Do the Pac-4 End Up?
This interrogative reminds me of the following story. Coach - 'Son, I don't understand it. You have all the talent in the world. This is your 5th season here at State and you have yet to break into the starting line-up. Is this because you lack intelligence; or, because you are too apathetic?' Player - 'Coach, I don't know and I don't care.' As to my answer to the question posed by the topic, refer to Player.
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What a Tool: Oregon State AD Scott Barnes...
Great take and therein lies the rub for Cal and Stanford. Clemson, FSU, UNC, NC St with the existing 14 ACC members, and half-pregnant Notre Dame need 4 votes today to crater the ACC and end the crummy media deal that runs through 2036 (!) without paying any exit fee. Why would these 4 want to add more votes needed to break up the conference? And by adding Cal/Stanford, how many more subscribers would the ACC network pick up and how many more advertising dollars would ESPN pick up? Conversely, Notre Dame, the school reported to be leading the charge for the Cal/Stanford addition was looking out for its own interest. Notre Dame has a great ACC scheduling deal that provides a home for all other ND sports other than ice hockey where ND is a B1G member which allows the Irish to stay independent in football. IMO, there is no way that the B1G and the SEC will bend over to accommodate ND, financially and/or schedule-wise. I think and hope, that come 2026 the B1G and the SEC will have the power to tell ND to join a conference or get Playoff lost. I know it is shocking but once again self-interest and not good for the game interest rules.
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'Washington is the Most OVERRATED Team in Top 25' (Wow, Josh Pate!)
Mr. Gold, you might try reading your own site's content. Oregon is the 51% FPI favorite in Lubbock. ESPN’s FPI predicts every game on Oregon’s 2023 schedule SATURDAYOUTWEST.COM ESPN's Football Power Index predicts every game for Oregon in 2023.
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'Washington is the Most OVERRATED Team in Top 25' (Wow, Josh Pate!)
Not so fast my friend. Oregon will perhaps lose 2 games but 1 will not come in Seattle. I also think that Oregon wins in Salt Lake City. Author Gold shows Texas Tech as a 51% FPI favorite. Ducks Wire the other day had Oregon being the 51% favorite. UW can return all of that production but the Oregon D, especially the pass rush will be better, and the DBs (there will not be 4 new starting DBs as Gold references) will have experience playing together as a group before playing in Seattle. Kirby Smart early on at Georgia made a number of bad in-game coaching decisions. I do not see DL making the mistake he made last season this season vs UW. Saturday Out West Crystal Ball: Predicting every Oregon football game for 2023 SATURDAYOUTWEST.COM Oregon is staring at a 5-0 start and then a bye week. But then things get scary in a hurry. Survive a brutal month, though, and Oregon could be CFP-bound.
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'Washington is the Most OVERRATED Team in Top 25' (Wow, Josh Pate!)
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'Washington is the Most OVERRATED Team in Top 25' (Wow, Josh Pate!)
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What? Dilly Beat Up for THIS by ASU Fans?
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What a Tool: Oregon State AD Scott Barnes...
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'Oregon Most Underrated Team in Top 25,' Says Josh Pate
And Barrett Sallee is also loving the Pac-12 in its final go-round. 2023 College Football Conference Power Rankings: SEC at the top, but Pac-12 takes No. 2 spot - CBSSports.com WWW.CBSSPORTS.COM The SEC is loaded with teams ready to make a run at the College Football Playoff National Championship
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'Oregon Most Underrated Team in Top 25,' Says Josh Pate
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'Oregon Most Underrated Team in Top 25,' Says Josh Pate
Barrett Sallee (Auburn graduate) of CBS Sports agrees. Sallee has Oregon ranked 6 in his initial AP Poll vote. A guy from 'back East' IMO has a better handle on the Pac-12 this season than does Jon Wilner who has Oregon ranked 17. He doesn't 'get' Oregon's ranking with Bo Nix back. Sallee believes Oregon will put up 40+ points a game, and he also believes that via the transfer portal and experience, Oregon will be improved on defense. He also believes, as do I, that Florida State is way overrated and that Alabama, and Texas (shocking!) are also overrated. Let's tee it up and prove it on the field!
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Should College Football Adopt a Relegation System? Breaking Down the Pros and Cons of the Idea
How about NO! College Football is working. Attendance was up in 2022. Viewership was up in 2022. With one hire Colorado has gone from averaging 17,00 fans in 2022 to all games being sold out in 2023. I do not like it but a Power 2 was the natural result of the NCAA losing its scheduling monopoly and the need (?) for 1 True Champion. Both decisions opened the floodgates for media enterprises to take over college football. You capitalize any enterprise, follow the money. The Pac-12 deserved to go away. Just like every poorly managed enterprise in the 'real world' goes away. The people in charge of the Pac-12 were happy to take the money but not to manage the Pac-12 like the business it is. Or, at least was. You do not pass on an opportunity to destroy a competitor on its last legs and be applauded for doing so, move into another time zone, and perhaps save a functionally insolvent network over academic concerns. Like Oregon State and Washington State, Kansas, K State, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Baylor, TCU, Houston and Iowa State have all graduated men and women who have excelled in every activity the world has to offer. Why is anyone surprised that 'The Elite Club' has lost the majority of its members? If the only criteria for a Premier League are wins and losses over a given period of time without taking into account schedule strength, with teams relegated on performance in the Premier League, how happy will Premier Media broadcast entities be when Kansas State located in The Little Apple replaces a school located in a top 30 media market. A school that has more folks watching in person and via media. What would the media deals look like for the lower leagues? Any difference in what we see today between the Power 2 and the G5?What happens to the athletic departments of schools dropped from the Premier League? This is not pro soccer owned by billionaires. Football carries the weight but I know of no college or university in the nation that sponsors only a football team. A Premier Conference goosed by college athletes being employees is coming. But when it comes it will not see relegation. The New York Jets are not dropped in favor of XFL teams. The Premier Conference will have 32 or so schools with the biggest brands and/or playing in the biggest media markets. Media rights will be negotiated collectively for football. Players will be union members. There will be a salary cap, but no cap on NIL, restrictions on transfers, player trades, and most likely a high school draft. I doubt that players in the Premier League will even be students. All other sports with the likely exception of men's basketball, will be played in existing conferences. Conferences that are likely to be further consolidated. Thanks for the post but this article is another reason why we need to kick the darn ball off and play ball.
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College Football - The Magnificent 7 and 2023's Top 25 Games
I am liking this Magnificent 8 - QUACK! One of these 8 college football teams will win the national title in 2023 SATURDAYBLITZ.COM College football fans everywhere are craving its return. We're at the point in the summer in which it's felt like years since we last saw live co...
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SHOUT! The AP Poll is Out!
And, on the field. ESPN’s FPI predicts every game on Ohio State’s 2023 schedule SATURDAYTRADITION.COM ESPN's FPI is predicting a final record for Ohio State this fall.
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SHOUT! The AP Poll is Out!
ESPN+ (paywall) updated Top 40 2024 recruiting rankings as of 8/17/23 1. Georgia 2. Ohio State 3. Florida 4. OREGON! - Top O commit - QB Michael Van Buren (No. 23) Top D commit - Dakota (Out Here In The) Fields (No. 75) 7. Michigan 8. Penn State - leads the 2023 Freaks list with 6 players - legit dark horse to win the B1G in 2023 with getting nemesis Michigan in Happy Valley 18. USC - Traveler, don't hurt your neck looking up. 23. Wisconsin 25. Nebraska 30. Rutgers 31. Purdue 34. Iowa 35. Minnesota 37. Maryland Chipper? Husky? Brutus will be extremely hard to catch on the recruiting trail.
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Is Coach Prime Stupid-As-Hell?
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Where Do the Pac-4 End Up?
Stanford will go independent before associating with what the Cardinal believe to be weak academic institutions. The Cardinal as a football independent would like BYU before this season, be a G5+ /P5- opponent. If this happens, drop Baylor and OK State like a hot potato and schedule Stanford as a permanent OOC opponent. Unlike the folks from That Team Up North, Stanford would welcome this. And it would be nice to throw PK's other alma mammy a bone. There is NOTHING to be gained playing B12 schools OOC. Without Texas and Oklahoma, the B12 is a glorified G5 conference. Oregon has no tradition with any B12 school, it has tradition and a history of great games with Stanford.
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Coach Waz on Joining B1G, Travel, Opportunities...an Upbeat View
Great post! What happened to USC baseball? Headed to the B1G at least Ducks baseball knows all about rain outs.
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What Oregon Needs as Next Promotion...
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College Football - The Magnificent 7 and 2023's Top 25 Games
What school will win the final Final 4 in 2023? Look to The Magnificent 7 for the answer. Since 2004, only 2 teams outside of the initial 7 ranked teams in the first AP Poll preseason ranking, have won a College Football (CFB) championship. 2010 Auburn ($cam was bought and paid for and Dyer's knee was down!) was ranked 22. 2013 - FSU was ranked 11. My initial reaction? Why does CFB need a Playoff Committee when it has the AP Poll? 2nd reaction: In the name of Cal, Oregon State, Stanford, Washington State, the Pac-12, and The Rose Bowl, did CFB need '1 True Champion?' 3rd reaction, What in the name of Dixie is going on out there? Brutus made an early showing (SIGH) but since then it's been chitlins, biscuits and gravy, and fried green tomatoes. The CFB Playoff brought to you by The Waffle House? 2014 Ohio State 2015 Alabama 2016 Clemson 2017 Alabama 2018 Clemson 2019 LSU 2020 Alabama 2021 Georgia 2022 Georgia Including 2014, the B1G and the to-be-B1G (B1G+) have a CFB Playoff record of 4-9. Ohio State - 3-4 OREGON - 1-1 Michigan - 0-2 Michigan State - 0-1 Washington 0-1. There is a Power 2 money-wise but CFB Playoff-wise? It's the SEC with a bourbon bullet. Will one of the B1G+ reverse this Championship free fall in 2023? According to The Rule of The Magnificent 7, below are the contenders and their respective initial AP Poll ranking; 2. Michigan/ 3. Ohio State/ 6. USC/ 7. Penn State - B1G+ Teams outside of The Magnificent 7 with a chance: 10. Washington/ 15. OREGON Saturday Down South, Connor O'Gara's, preseason list of the 25 impactful CFB Playoff games in 2023. Plenty of B1G+ games make the list. The Top 25 games that’ll impact the Playoff picture in 2023 WWW.SATURDAYDOWNSOUTH.COM Which games will decide Playoff berths in 2023? 40.4% of these games (11 in total) involve B1G+ Teams. 1. Ohio State at Michigan 4. UW at USC 5. USC at OREGON 9. Ohio State at Notre Dame 11. USC at Notre Dame 12. Michigan at Penn State 14. Utah at UW 15. Utah at USC 16. OREGON at UW 17. Penn State at Ohio State 18. Oregon State at Oregon - in what will be an Un-Civil War! And Oregon at Utah could have made the list. Let the games begin and come on B1G+ and win another one for Teams Up North!
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See the “Famous FishDuck ManCave” Before it’s Gone…
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Pac-12 Championship Odds Change According to ESPN FPI
Bill Connelly (ESPN+ paywall) final season SP+ rankings. 1. Georgia 2. Ohio State 3. Michigan 4. Alabama 5. LSU 6. Penn State 7. Clemson 8. Tennessee 9. Texas 10. USC - Ranked 2 on O and 47 on D 11. Notre Dame 12. FSU 13. OREGON - Ranked 5 on O and 50 (!) on D 14. UTAH - Ranked 12 on O and 26 on D 15. Oklahoma 16. Texas A+M 17. Washington - Ranked 9 on O and 48 on D 18. Ole Miss 19. Wisconsin 20. K State 21. TCU 22. Iowa 23. Florida 24. Kentucky 25. UNC IMO, way too much love for the B12. 28. UCLA - Ranked 13 O and 63 D 31. Oregon State - Ranked 35 O and 33 D 32. TEXAS TECH - ranked 15 O and 66 D - "Averaged 25 in preseason polls but only 32 by SP+." The SP+ predictive model likes Oregon's chances against Texas Tech far more than ESPN's FPI. It also likes Oregon to match up with USC in the Pac-12 Champ Game. Other conferences champ games - ACC - Clemson vs FSU B1G - Ohio State vs Wisconsin B12 - Texas vs Oklahoma (A B12 nightmare! Let this happen, PLEASE!) SEC - Georgia vs Alabama Let's Play Ball!
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Where Do the Pac-4 End Up?
Options dwindling as California, Stanford, Oregon State, Washington State prepare to take financial hits - CBSSports.com WWW.CBSSPORTS.COM No matter how this round of realignment plays out, the remaining Pac-12 teams will be losing money
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How NOT To Enter A New Conference
It will not be all that lucrative through 2030 but come 2031, Oregon and UW have been promised a full share of the then-new B1G media deal. This will be a B1G time payday for Oregon and UW. As to travel, among others The Athletic's Stewart Mandel sees the 4 West schools as permanent B1G opponents with the games against one another to kickoff for the most part at 7:30 Pacific time. He believes that any game involving an Eastern time zone school will kick off earlier in the day so as not to kick off at 10:30 PM East Coast body-clock time. Games against Central time zone schools are also most likely to kick off at 7:30 Pacific. BUT, the games will not be played on Larry's Loser Network and will get Full Monty media coverage on the B1G Network and also ESPN which cannot ignore B1G conference games. Late tee times stink, but you take the money ...