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Everything posted by Jon Joseph
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Wilner Pac-12 News Recap: Washington on Peacock (and what it Means), NBA Draft Decisions, Legal Affairs
Sad, but true. Many schools awarding athletic scholarships today will not continue to do so once, not if, players are found to be employees. NFL Lite is coming with the NFL picking up the bill and the players being athletes and not student-athletes. And the players will be drafted out of high school and be union members with restrictions on transferring, etc. Very sad IMO but inevitable now that CFB has been completely monetized. BTW, Nick Saban will not be paid $12M a year to coach in NFL Lite. Meanwhile, let's enjoy CFB for what it is today for as long as we can.
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Wilner Pac-12 News Recap: Washington on Peacock (and what it Means), NBA Draft Decisions, Legal Affairs
And NBC moved a Michigan State home game from E. Lansing to Detroit. The money spends but it comes with a price. Take note UCLA and USC. Streaming of all sports events and pay-for-view will be here sooner rather than later. Both Apple and Amazon are in far more households, worldwide, than Peacock.
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Oregon Wins Nashville Regional Championship 11-2!
The Ducks put the X to Xavier 6 times this season. Now, take Oral Roberts to the dentist. No anesthesia.
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Oregon Wins Nashville Regional Championship 11-2!
Now, go to Omaha for the 1st time, visit Warren Buffet, and come with a buffet of home runs!
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Don’t Sleep On Oregon’s Secret Superstars
I like peanut butter creamy peanut butter crunchy peanut butter too. With some Natty jelly on the side, please?
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Don’t Sleep On Oregon’s Secret Superstars
Always great to read your takes Joshua. Thank you. Tez played on the Sun Belt's championship team last season. A team that defeated Will Stein's CUSA champion UTSA in an underrated and somewhat off-the-radar bowl game. A game that if the G5 had its own playoff could easily have been the title game. No offense to MW champ Fresno State which handily defeated Wazzu in the LA Bowl. You more than correctly point out the revival Dan and Dilly made on offense. As Charles early and often pointed out, resuscitating a Mario-led O that was destroying the Oregon brand. Can't wait to watch Bo make a Heisman run and for these two excellent receivers to light up the scoreboard.
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Oregon Future Football Schedules - What is Rob Mullens Thinking?
Below are Oregon's future football out-of-conference schedules from 2025 through 2028. 2025 - Montana State/ Oklahoma State/ at Boise State 2026 - Boise State/ at Oklahoma State/ Portland State 2027 - at Baylor/ Utah State 2028 - North Dakota State/ Baylor/ at Utah State Games at Boise and Utah State? Really? Oregon plays at Texas Tech in 2023 and plays Texas Tech at home in 2024. It is too late and not equitable to try to buy out of the games versus the Red Raiders. Playing Oklahoma State in 2025/26 and Baylor in 2027/28 is senseless. Senseless with the B12 doing all it can to destabilize the Pac-10 and senseless in that these games will not draw the media magic $4m eyeballs. Yet, both Oklahoma State and Baylor, especially in Stillwater and Waco, are good enough programs to hand Oregon a loss. The Oklahoma State and Baylor games will give these two teams and the B12 a media viewership boost and do nothing of playoff import if Oregon wins these games. IMO, Rob needs to find a way not to play at Boise and at Utah State in games played in bandbox stadiums and off the national radar. Rob also should buy out the games versus Oklahoma State and Baylor. These games will not be a big nationwide viewing draw so pick up games versus G5 teams and add home games in 2026 and 2027. If you are going to play a G5 opponent on the road play at Hawaii to help recruit players from the Pacific Islands. Playing at Boise and Utah State does not move the recruiting needle.
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College Football - Will the SEC go to a 9 Game Conference Schedule or Stay with 8 Like the ACC?
$SEC and $cam are synonymous. So, the SEC (and the ACC) have dropped divisions but will continue to play 8 conference games in 2024 and the foreseeable future thereafter. No school that played 9 conference games has won a playoff title. Staying with 8 assures that come 2026 the SEC will put at least 3 teams into a 12-team playoff field season after season and be even further subsidized by increased playoff money. Below is the breakdown by P5 conferences of the number of games on the schedule being played against P5 opponents in 2023. B1G - 13 games - 14 team conference B12 - 12 games - 14 team conference in 2023 Pac -12 - 10 games - 12 team conference in 2023 ACC - 10 - 14 team conference plus scheduling agreement with Notre Dame SEC- 2 - 14 team conference in 2023 Two! This is as outrageous as an NFL team playing one less conference game every season. Yes, by any metric the SEC is the best conference but don't try and tell me that Bama vs NM State in a 4th out-of-conference game is the equivalent of Oregon playing Oregon State in a 9th conference game. And we all know that the SEC could play 6 conference games and not be dinged by the PO Committee regarding the strength of the schedule. The SEC (and the ACC) have 1 committee vote. It's time to step up and end this chicanery or it is time to get off of the SEC playoff gold merry-go-round.
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Oregon vs Texas Tech Analysis
Especially if you order chili.
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The Ultimate Washington/Pac-12/Oregon Dilemma...
No, but it means more than any title other than winning in CFB and CBB and the SEC deserves a comeuppance the way the committee kissed its butt when the field was seeded and regional sites were determined. Now, playing 8 conference football games in a 16-team conference is an obvious ploy to get at least 3 teams in the 12-team playoff field. Maybe it's time to stop subsidizing the SEC. But at least the SEC/ESPN didn't stab the Pac in the back. That was the Pac's long-time 'partner' B1G/Fox What are the chances that a Pac 10-2 3rd place team gets in the 12-team playoff field over a 10-2 SEC team? Sick of bending over for the SEC and playing in its sandbox. Participating in an expanded playoff so the SEC and B1G can score more money. Sick of playing 9 conference games when the teams in the southeast game the system by playing 8 conference games.
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The Ultimate Washington/Pac-12/Oregon Dilemma...
How about the 2 Oregon schools having the chance to win a regional down south? The field and seeding for baseball is as bad as how the B1G is treated come CBB tournament time.
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Oregon vs Texas Tech Analysis
Played golf in Lubbock once. I should have bought an anchor! Embarrassing when your drive goes in the other direction for negative yardage. Had a lot of fun with some great guys. The 19th hole was packed.
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California Assembly Passes Bill Allowing College Athletes to be Paid by Schools
I think this is how it will come down.
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College Football - Will the SEC go to a 9 Game Conference Schedule or Stay with 8 Like the ACC?
LOL! On the Saturday Down South board, most posters are blaming not going to 9 due to ESPN not willing to come up with more money than &70M a year for each SEC team. 8 games mean 4 and not 3 SEC teams in the 12-team playoff field. I hate to have anything to do with the B12 these days but come 2026 the ACC (conference teams without Notre Dame on the schedule play a 9th conference game,) B12, Pac-10, and the top 2 teams in the G5 have their own post-season tournament. Let the B1G and the SEC play their own tournament along with Notre Dame. Kind of like the bowl system today. All the 12-team field is going to do is throw more peanuts at the Little P3 and one G5 team while the Power 2 is further subsidized. Not as much $ but other than that, SEC teams cannot have more than 85 guys on scholarship so there are plenty of very good HS players to go around, and the additional $ from a 12-team PO will only go to coaches, administrators, and not to the fans who will have to schlep to more and more night games.
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Oregon Beats National No. 6 Seed Vanderbilt 8-7!
HUZZAH! Nothing better than defeating an SEC team in SEC country in any sport.
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Oregon vs Texas Tech Analysis
And although it will be up against Texas at Alabama, I love that the game is on big Fox and not on ESPN 2. Lubbock can be batten down the hatches windy and the fans will be out in full force. I wish Tyler all the best in 2023 except in game 2. In theory, Oregon has the advantage of playing Portland State in its opening game at home while TT has to trip to Laramie to play Wyoming. Not an easy place to play. As you note Hayward, the back half of Oregon's 2023 schedule is loaded. The PSU and Hawaii games will be broadcast on the Pac-12 Network. If a tree falls in the forest? The TT game will give the Ducks much-needed national exposure.
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Oregon vs Texas Tech Analysis
Sorry, I meant to say no OK and no OK St.
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More Rumor-Mongering By Dennis Dodd, or Real Smoke to Some Fire?
David, I give credit to Sonny Dykes for taking TCU, when it didn't win its own conference title, to the playoffs and defeating a heavily favored Michigan before facing Bull Dawg reality. Something Puddles had to deal with in the opening game. Overall, I could not agree more with your thoughts. The B12 is a G5 and a half-conference, In the battle for the bronze the Pac-12 will hopefully come up with a media deal better than that of the B12 and then will be smart and platy chessboard realignment defense. Keep the B12 out of the Pacific time zone. How can this be accomplished? Add SDSU, Fresno, and UNLV (all in the Pacific time zone) and plant the flag in B12 country by adding, at least, SMU. All 4 of these schools, 3 in the MW and SMU in the AAC, can be picked up at a bargain compared to what P5 conferences, even the ACC, are receiving in media money. The B12 could be further thwarted by adding AAC member and defending champion, Tulane and perhaps, AAC member Rice. Frankly, George, I don't give a damn about academics. Yes, with the addition of ASU as a member, 8 out of 10 Pac schools are AAU member institutions. But two of our member schools are not and Tulane, SMU, and Rice fit the bill academically with the other three, especially SDSU, bringing in good-sized markets. It's time to begin running the Pac like a business and not an Elite Club with tottering members and cobwebs in the corner. I want to take this opportunity to again thank you for the terrific articles and comments.
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More Rumor-Mongering By Dennis Dodd, or Real Smoke to Some Fire?
Good take but I think TCU being the only B12 team to make the playoff other than OK and the only B12 school to win a playoff game is at the top of the B12 ladder. And the Dallas market is far bigger than Provo/SLC, Stillwater/OK City, and Lubbock. Although the LDS brings BYU a national following of sorts. I don't see CU going back to the B12 being any better off than in the Pac and the Pac has better academic bona fides for AAU member CU. This matters to the folks in Boulder. Interesting that ASU recently became an AAU member. 8 of the Pac-10 schools are now AAU member institutions.
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Wilner Mailbag: Keys to Pac-12 Survival (the Arizona schools), Colorado’s role, a UW Conspiracy Theory, Kliavkoff’s Silence and More
Thanks for the post, NJ. Wilner's coverage of the Pac is the best. Thank goodness that he and Canzano haven't mongered any rumors in regard to the media deal.
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Looks Like Mich St's ATM Just Got Shutdown
The 2022 starting QB has left town and is at Auburn. The Spartans' top receiver in 2022 also entered the portal. The money being paid to a coach with very little experience and not all that great when it comes to recruiting is simply insane. IMO, CU is far better off with Prime than it was with this guy.
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More Rumor-Mongering By Dennis Dodd, or Real Smoke to Some Fire?
Every Pac-10 school is doing due diligence on a new landing place if the media deal is a washout. Simply good business. I continue to believe that the new Pac deal will come close to or exceed the B12 deal.
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Oregon vs Texas Tech Analysis
Love this stat. In 2022 Texas Tech ran the most plays from scrimmage in the G5 and the P5. Last season for the first time in a long time the Red Raiders defeated Oklahoma and Texas in the same season and easily handled Ole Miss in the bowl game. Oregon best come ready to play ball in hot weather conditions. A big break in 2023, TX Tech has no Texas and no Oklahoma on the regular season schedule. Media has TT finishing 4th in the B12 ahead of TCU.
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More Rumor-Mongering By Dennis Dodd, or Real Smoke to Some Fire?
I don't think Prime or any HC has much of a say in this and I do not see CU or any Pac team getting a recruiting bump from moving to the B12. Again, where is the $ coming from to finance the move of one let alone 4 schools that are now in the P5? The B12's new media deal has 6 years to run. 4 x $31.6M = $126.4M x 6 = $758.4M. Are advertisers lining up to pay a 10% + premium above $758M? I don't see ESPN/Fox coming with this kind of money for B12 expansion when they are already paying for the 3 G5 added teams and BYU. Fox and its junior broadcast partners CBS and NBC have the LA market tied down. ESPN is not flush with cash and has announced that it is moving to stream athletic events. ESPN needs late west coast broadcast times, and the MW does not provide the eyeballs.
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California Assembly Passes Bill Allowing College Athletes to be Paid by Schools
Carrying this CA nonsense to its logical conclusion which is NFL Lite. Unfortunately, something like this is headed CFB's way. All indicia of a school's football program, including the stadium, training facilities, etc. are assigned to the NFL for a fixed price, perhaps augmented by revenue, and an indemnification against litigation. Oregon - 49ers/ UCLA - Chargers/ USC - Rams/ UW -Seahawks ASU - Cardinals/ CU - Broncos/ Texas - Dallas/ TX A+M - Texans Iowa - Steelers/ Minnesota - Vikings/ Nebraska - Chiefs/ Oklahoma - Raiders Alabama - NY Giants/ Arkansas - Bills/ Auburn - NY Jets/ LSU - Saints Florida - Bucs/ FSU - Jags/ Georgia - Falcons/ Miami - Dolphins Clemson - Commanders/ UNC - Panthers/ South Carolina - Ravens/ Tennessee - Titans Kentucky - Bengals/ Michigan - Lions/ Michigan State - Patriots/ Wisconsin - Green Bay Illinois - Bears/ Notre Dame - Colts/ Ohio State - Browns/ Penn St Eagles High school draft (college coaches' salaries fall in line with NFL salaries.) Players become members of the NFL Union. Free Agency according to Union/NFL agreement. Players can be traded. Players can be brought up to NFL and dropped down. Players are pro athletes and not student-athletes. Salary cap on teams but no cap on individual NIL deals. NFL Lite collectively markets broadcast agreements under the NFL umbrella. Will today's college fans show up to watch this? OK, this is extreme. And I hope if it happens it happens well down the road. But once anything is fully capitalized, consolidation follows. And size goes to size. For example, with Amazon out there try finding a bookstore. In the interim, let's enjoy Ducks football as-is.