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Everything posted by Jon Joseph
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Robby Ashford Gone: Expectations for the Ducks’ Offseason?
Definitely the old school methodology but I think we will see, at least at big time programs, as many starting QBs coming out of the portal than being recruited and developed. And let's not kid ourselves. In this day and age of wide open CFB 'free agency' there is a lot of roster tampering going on.
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Caleb Williams Gets a Million Dollar Offer
You could see this coming from thousands of miles away. This is likely the minimum the kid is being offered. I ask this in no demeaning manner whatsoever but, why is anyone at all surprised by this? THIS is today's big time CFB. Pay enough to play or go away to the G5, FCS or D3. The decision in the Alston case led naturally to 'this' and at the same time neutered the NCAA. No one is in charge. There is wise open 'free agency' in CFB that you do not see in the NFL. There is no spending cap in CFB like there is in the NFL. And who or what is taking a look at roster tampering in CFB? Goes may stay longer in CFB because going to the NFL will mean taking a pay cut.
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Caleb Williams Gets a Million Dollar Offer
NIL has turned out to be a ruse for pay to play. NIL allows each Texas OL guy the be paid $50,000 a year and that is just the 'base salary.' I imagine a guy like Banks is being paid more than 50K a year to play for Texas? The transfer portal means unrestricted one time free agency for every player. None of this is regulated. Based on the Alston decision the NCAA cannot do anything about players being paid for their name, image and likeness. So, this means one of four things, IMO, for the Ducks. 1. Join a Super League only loosely affiliated with the school. There will be outright pay for play, a player's union, no academic requirements and a high school draft. Envision 32 big time CFB schools each licensing all football facilities and all other rights to one of the 32 NFL teams. 2. Find partners willing and able to pay the freight to compete in big time CFB. Such partners are not except for SC and maybe UW, in the Pac-12. Find partners whose collective media rights can at least approach those of the SEC and B1G. Or for Oregon and SC, do all that is possible to be asked to join the B1G. (See further on this move below.) 3. The Alliance and Notre Dame under a single umbrella, market their collective media rights and conduct their own postseason play without any other conferences being involved. This includes taking back the Rose Bowl. The Alliance regulates the portal. Number of players that can be signed, notice needed to be given by a departing player, etc. The Alliance agrees to an orderly admissions process and required academic progress. Minimum grade point averages and SAT/ACT scores to qualify for matriculation. The Alliance caps the all-in money that can be budgeted for football including a cap on 3rd party donations. The Alliance establishes a minimum that has to be spent on football for a school to get an equal revenue cut. Basically, the Alliance drops out of the arms race. The SEC can do whatever it wants and the football product will likely be superior in the SEC but regardless, the Alliance focuses more on academics with all players being given 5 seasons to play 4. 4. The Pac-12 becomes the Ivy League west. No athletic scholarships, only Pell Grants and other similar type grants allowed to pay a student-athlete's cost of education . An athlete as is the case in the Ivy League can market his/her NIL. The Pac-12 participates in no post season football and plays 10 games a season. OK, some of the above can be mixed and matched. But if Oregon wants to be truly big time in CFB it has to be willing to spend on the level of the top B1G and SEC teams and has to find a way to close the income gap between it and the B1G and SEC schools. Standing pat as a conference was a terrible business decision on the part of the Pac-12 conference and terrible in the manner in which it negatively affects Oregon's long term future. IMO, to heck with the Pac-12. AAU members UW, Oregon, Stanford, USC, Utah and CU should collectively ask to join the B1G with the understanding that revenues would be phased in and adjusted if the new members do not expend enough on CFB and CBB. And also adjusted for stadium size. (Leaving CAL and UCLA out of the mix leaves the CA legislature out of the mix.) These 6 write off their investment in the Pac-12 Network and are covered by the B1G Network. The 20 team B1G has four 5 team pods and not divisions. CFB as we knew for decades is gone. Now are you willing and able to ante-up to play in the new game?
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Yikes: Ducks Only WR Verbal for 2022 Has De-Committed
Great take. My only true concern regarding the conference is having to play 5 conference road games instead of playing say, New Mexico State at home? But that is more of a Final 4 concern than it is a conference title concern. UCLA? Lame duck coach and the Bruins just lost Gabriel Dillon to Oklahoma. Utah should be very good especially with the quality transfer LB from Florida coming to Utah, but at Autzen should be a win. If healthy, Oregon will have a QB who has started and won big time games against better talent than what the Utes will bring. I don't think this new group of coaches is anywhere near done with the portal and in 2022 you can have 85 on scholly plus an additional 7 transfers. Even if Caleb Williams signs with SC, the Trojans are behind the curve on both the D and O lines.
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Same Teams Year In, Year Out
As you so noted, someone just opened the wallet Big Time for the new DC. "Just Do It?" How many teams in this conference have the means to just do it? 2, maybe 3? Look at what SEC teams spend on football. There is no way this can be capped = there will never be parity in CFB as it is currently structured. People in the SEC aren't bored. The SEC just bores the rest of us. So, have a playoff with the ACC, B1G, Notre Dame, Pac-12 and perhaps, the new B12?
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Dennis Dodd Grades New Coaching Hires: Mario Over Lanning?
Great take. I will not be surprised if Utah on the road is favored to win the game in The Swamp. Rob Mullens, if Utah can get a H+H series with Florida, CAL with Auburn, UCLA with LSU, Arizona with Alabama, why are the Ducks playing UGA in a 1 off game in Atlanta; the same year Oregon plays BYU OOC and plays 5 conference road games?
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Lupoi Hired as DC at Oregon
Thanks MTD. Oregon proves again that it has the desire and the money to compete at the highest level of CFB. Whatever recruiting violations Tosh may have had in the past are no longer violations. My guess? $1.7M for a DC is the highest by quite a bit being paid to a DC in the Pac-12?
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Robby Ashford Gone: Expectations for the Ducks’ Offseason?
Thanks for the article Alex. But "all time great recruit?" I think that is overrating Robby Ashford who could bot not beat out a journeyman QB for the starting job at Oregon. A great kid and a terrific athlete but let's see where he ends up and then see if he starts there? Lanning and Dillingham did not bring Nix in without taking a long look at the talent in the Oregon QB room. I'm certain that Ty and Butterfield will given a fair chance, perhaps a fairer chance under this staff, to win the starting job. However, only 1 guy in the QB room in 2022 will have had 3 starts vs Georgia and won big games in front of big crowds in big stadiums, including a W against Alabama.
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Yikes: Ducks Only WR Verbal for 2022 Has De-Committed
Kid nixed his commitment because he don't know Bo? Mario Cristobal and a Natty? Never going to happen. Where would Mario have Bama today if Mario and not Saint Nick was the HC? The guy is 62-60 and the players who 'loved him' consistently showed up unprepared and played down to the level of the competition. A 'Natty Coach' does not lose to 3-7 Stanford. Does not get blown out twice in three games by a team with a roster not on par with his. Does not win a Rose Bowl with the NFL Rookie of the Year at QB by 1 point over a 3L team. Does not get blown out by Iowa State in the Fiesta Bowl. He won a down conference in 2019, went to the Rose Bowl when he should have gone to the Final 4. He won the COVID conference title in 2020 with a 4-3 record. In 2021 he failed to win a conference that went 0-5 in its bowl games and lost more than two thirds of its games vs FBS out of conference competition. Natty? Miami just bought a pig in a poke. Mario winning a Natty at Miami is as much of a pipe dream as is the idea of building a new stadium in Coral Gables.
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Dennis Dodd Grades New Coaching Hires: Mario Over Lanning?
Dennis Dood and Pac-12 football reminds me of Rudyard Kipling's, 'East is east and west is west and never the twain shall meet.'
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Checking the Score: Bowling With The Playoff Committee
Thank you. I watch a lot of 'Dorf On Golf.' Doesn't seem to be working.
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Checking the Score: Bowling With The Playoff Committee
Let's hope that in 2022 the Pac-12 rolls no more postseason gutter balls.
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Checking the Score: Bowling With The Playoff Committee
Charles, please, no one deserves any more recognition and kudos than do my much needed editors.
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Lighten' Up Jonny It's Only A Game, Even If Doing the Same Thing Over and Over Results In the Same.
I am tired, not less so than any of you reading my 'stuff', of being the Jeremiah Prophet of Pac-12 doom. Especially, expressing same on this great site created by Sir Charles. As a newer 'prophet,' William Chaucer once said: 'No matter the ladies he adds to his list. No matter the times a knight wins on the list. Like all men, even heroes must stop for a piss." If folks are OK with the Pac-12 standing still, so be it. If folks believe that the conference as currently exists is a Playoff player, so be it. If folks believe the conference is on the rise, who am I to demur. It's a game. A game that is meant to be enjoyed. Whether I believe the conference as exists is a Playoff force: well, it simply doesn't matter. Looking into the future my crystal ball is as clouded as is any crystal ball. I do not see doing the same 'thing,' and expecting a different result when it comes time to playing ball time in September of 2022, providing a different result. But that's just me. I view Oregon and USC spending the money to compete at the top level of CFB and the rest of the conference not doing so. I think 4 power CFB conferences instead of 5 would have been a boon to the Pac- 18/20. But that's just me. I most fervently hope I am wrong that the Pac-12 is down and will stay down. And that the folks who see the Pac-12 as being 'on the rise,' are right. I don't see the current Pac-12 yeast turning into Playoff and NY6 bowl bread. But I possess but one set of eyeballs and one opinion. So, play ball and let's all enjoy the games.
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Caleb Williams: Chuckling at all the Rumors
And likely chuckling regarding the 'NIL' money the kid is going to make?
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The Pac-12 is On the Rise
Comparing the last media deals the B12 and Pac-12 made is apples to oranges. First, the Pac-18 to 20 would have dropped the big time media rights bidder to 4 and not 5. And with the ACC locked in through 2036 it would really mean dropping 4 to 3. And picking up markets in the central time zone and especially in Texas would have helped the Pac-12 media wise even without OK and TX. And it possibly, perhaps probably, could have saved the Pac-12 network and the money Pac-12 schools invested in the network. Standing pat. AZ, ASU, CU, this version of Stanford, CAL, OR ST and WA St have no chance whatsoever at competing for a playoff spot. Utah is marginal. UCLA is way in the red. UW does not seem to spend the money needed to be big time. For example, hiring DeBeor and not a big name coach or a top assistant from a playoff contending program. Tough for SC and the Ducks to carry the conference; to spend far more on football and get the same ROI as teams that spend far less. To date, no team that played 9 conference games has won the playoff. Yet next season the Ducks will play 5 conference road games. How hard is it to figure this out and make the change?
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There is no Limit to Oregon Recruiting Under Lanning
Dan, this would help immensely. Go to Atlanta and beat the defending champ or runner up and take out BYU in Autzen. These will be nationwide watched football games. And play big ball and not small ball offense. For what my advice is worth. Put more than 4 DL guys on the LOS vs Bama and disguise where the pressure is coming from. This what A+M, LSU and Auburn did vs Bama. Only 1 won but all 3 shut down the Bama O. If you and Smart stay stubborn and play your base D all game long in the champ game, best of luck.
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Unbelievable New Riddell Axiom Helmet Being Announced
AMEN. This could be a game changer that returns more kids to playing junior and HS football. The military has been working on 'this' for over a decade. This will make the game safer until nano-tech arrives and virtually eliminates all head injuries and CTE.
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Caleb Williams: Chuckling at all the Rumors
Where on vacation? Athens, GA, Oxford, MS. or LA?
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Only 12 Left? Where Oregon Stands in Regard to Scholarships for 2022
With so many guys in the portal why would you not add transfers to get to 92?
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Alliance Member Blocking Playoff Expansion
I have advocated for this. And I would consider including the 'new B12' in the mix. Have the games broadcast by FOX, CBS, NBC, TNT, etc. Unless something like this happens and there are rules regarding NIL pay, the transfer portal free agency, a cap on what can be spent on recruiting, etc., a CFB professional Super League is inevitable. The Pac-12 but for 2 and possibly 3 teams cannot compete today at the highest level of CFB. That's the reality and not the myth of the 'good old days' returning for the Pac-12.
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Five Portal WR Targets: SHOULD We?
Any player out of the portal that the coaching staff believes is better than any player on the roster must, if a scholly is available, be offered. Even if a scholly is not available the 'inferior' player should be so informed and the staff should find a portal place for the displaced player will he can compete. If need be, spread some sugar to get the new guy on board and the former guy to depart. THIS is the name of today's game. CFB is unregulated. It is pay for play under the ruse of the NIL. It is open free agency via the portal. And no one is in charge but for the NCAA imposing a scholly limit. If you do not want to play hardball drop down to FCS. Where the majority of Pac-12 teams have dropped to whether they realize it or not. CFB is no longer an amateur sport. It is a big time business and those without big time money will not be competitive. I hate to keep sounding like Jeremiah when it comes to the future of the Pac-12, but you are either going to compete like a member of a big time business enterprise or you are not.
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Same Teams Year In, Year Out
And NFL owners do not allow open free agency like the portal and every team gets an equal cut of the media money. When CFB has a super league of 32 teams it will have a draft, someone in charge and open pay for play not hidden under the ruse of NIL. Very few Pac-12 teams will be invited to join the Super League.
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Same Teams Year In, Year Out
CFB will go to a Super League and there will be a draft. Maybe 3 Pac-12 teams will qualify for the Super League? SC, UW and Oregon. We are in a pay for play world and the Pac 12 cannot pay what teams like Bama and UGA can pay. The teams with the best rosters win CFB games. 247 in preseason 2021 ranked the Bama roster #1 and the UGA roster #2.
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Organized Turmoil
Great take. Great! Recently it was stated by a number of Ducks fans that the Pac-12 should stay as-is because quality means more than quantity. Really? Baylor won the Sugar Bowl and last season won the NCAA basketball tournament. OK ST defeated Notre Dame in the Fiesta Bowl. Houston beat Auburn. Texas Tech demolished MS ST and a few years back won the CBB title. K State just blew out LSU. Kansas, no bowl but an improving CFB team and always a top CBB team. Bowl eligible Iowa State lost a close bowl game to Clemson. TCU, no bowl in 2021 but a win over CAL and more importantly, the Dallas, TEXAS market.