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noDucknewby
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Posts posted by noDucknewby
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On 11/28/2022 at 8:05 AM, DazeNconfused said:
56-year old 'retread" Todd Monken spent 4-years in the NFL as the OC of Bucs and Browns before he was hired at Georgia and they won the Natty in his second year with a walk-on QB.
Retread isn't a very nice label
Not dissing on your article, just disagree with the "seasoned" coaches you suggested. I guess I'm still a little bitter about the late-season developments, not feeling like soft-pedaling my opinion. Your list is obviously well thought out, no disrespect intended towards you.
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On 11/28/2022 at 7:23 AM, Haywarduck said:
The list of coaches who have struggled in their first year was telling. Not just Smart, but Saban at Alabama in his first year there, and Meyer at Florida.
My take was always a Rose Bowl win would be the highest Lanning could rise in his first season. The key there is I want a bowl game win. That is still possible.
The idea this young team should have gone to the playoff was wishful thinking. We would have been slaughtered 8-9 out of 10 times in a playoff game this season.
The slow build is what we should expect, and we should support Coach Lanning on that journey. I know I am all in with where he is taking us. Failure is just part of the learning process.
Mostly agree here, although personally I'm a little snake-bitten by our former coach who was incapable of adapting to changing circumstances. A lot of us were hoping for a return to a bit of stability (perhaps naively), now going into year two we're already losing our best coordinator, most likely our QB with no apparent replacement and major question marks on defense and special teams.
Despite our relatively weak non-conference schedule next year, a regression is certainly possible with us having to play Utah and the Fuskies on the road, plus USC. No point in deluding ourselves, the P12 is getting better and next year is going to be a tough one IMHO.
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With all due respect, thumbs down on the retreads. I just don't see Dirk Koetter being able to recruit at the high level we need. No way Mullen takes an OC job IMHO, he's got a pretty good broadcasting gig. Tom Herman maybe, but DL's personality tells me he's going to stick with the youth movement. Garret Riley would be a slam-dunk IMHO, not sure we could get him out of Texas though.
Regardless, DL needs someone who can completely take over the offense so he can devote his time to fixing our woeful defense. I don't know how he deals with Lupoi (I doubt he gets fired after one year), but it feels like he's already at a crossroads coming into year two.
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No disrespect, but thumbs down on Shaw, b-o-o-r-r-r-i-i-ing.
I don't see Helf fitting in as an OC, but maybe as a special analyst/QB coach? He's got a ton of football knowledge and he's financially set, so maybe he'd be interested in a lower stress coaching job? Just speculating here.
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I'm trying hard to have some perspective. On paper a 9-3 record for a first-year head coach is respectable, especially considering he was just about guaranteed to start 0-1.
I actually predicted 9-3 at the start of the year, going 2-2 in September and dropping another game in November. I certainly didn't anticipate losing 2 out of our last 3, especially to both the Fuskies and Biebers, in games we should have won.
Once again we have a late-season melt-down going from playoff contender to pretender, embarassed nationally and the program thrown into uncertainty with more coaching changes.
DL's defense has been a huge disappointment, no way to sugar-coat it. The offense has for the most part been a bright spot, but still unable to finish game-winning drives in our last two losses and now KD is gone anyway. DL has not improved his game management skills that I can see. Sure it sucks to settle for a field goal in the red zone, but going for it on fourth and four or five is not the same as going for it on fourth and one. We take that field goal in the CW and we could have taken the lead on our last drive with a gimme field goal. Not saying our defense could have held, but at least we could have had the lead for a final stand.
All hindsight of course, but DL cannot stay the course on this one, he has to make some changes. How he handles this sudden turmoil to finish the season and respond for next year will likely define his tenure at Oregon.
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Yeah maybe, I wouldn't take anything Dodds says as factually accurate IMHO.
He also just assumes Washington and Oregon would go. Maybe not if UCLA stays, we add SDSU and get a decent TV deal.
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Wow that's a very long list of departing starters. Next year's team will be completely different and there are some big shoes to fill, especially at QB (assuming Bo leaves) and the O-line.
Say what you will about MC, he left the cupboards fully stocked. That said, between the exiting players, the transfer portal and the 2023 recruiting class, this will be mostly Lanning's personnel in year two. Next year will tell us a lot more about the coaching staff than this one IMHO.
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I say follow the money, I'll be watching the Vegas line. Big swing if the oddsmakers think Bo is out.
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On 11/16/2022 at 10:22 AM, DUCati855 said:
Crepea definitely has an ego and it shows in his questioning. But, without him asking the hard questions we would get the same report from the coach every week. No one else asks those questions.
At least this way we can see/hear DL talk about his players. We learn how much he cares for this team. We understand how quick witted and intelligent Coach Lanning is. I for one enjoy getting to understand the coach this way. I respect him more by how he answers Crepea's questions than if those questions were never asked.
I'm not a fan of Crepea's personality either. But, his character flaws contrast nicely to DL's attributes. This makes for some great quotes.
Mostly agree, I just think this can be done without singling out individual players. There were breakdowns on offense, defense and special teams. Bennet's miscue alone did not cost us the game.
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Pretty crappy Crepea singles out Bennet Williams on that last long TD. Did he single out Forsyth for the bad snap or Nix for the fumble in the red zone.? There were at least a dozen miscues that contributed to the loss, any one of which could have been the difference maker if it had gone the other way. Bennet's missed tackle just happened to be the last.
We all can see he's struggling and DL admitted he's probably being asked to do too much. I hate seeing classless personal attacks on players from "professional" journalists.
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Easy enough to identify problems, a lot harder to solve them.
Staff changes at this point may be counterproductive, this is their first year together with a roster they largely inherited. That said, TL is I believe the highest paid coordinator in the history of Duck football, so if for no other reason we should expect better than what we've seen so far this season. I trust my eyes, this defense is not improving and in fact may be getting worse (or else we're just being exposed).
Got to trust DL on this one, he'll get it figured out but part of that process may be making some tough personnel decisions.
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I Agree with Mr. FD, I'll worry about the silly season when it gets here. We know KD is a rising star and is going to get offers, but I'm betting he wouldn't take this job even if offered.
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On 11/14/2022 at 7:59 AM, Mic said:
Understand. Agree. But isn't it the duty of the Head Coach (in conjunction with the O.C/QB coach) to make sure there's at least ONE good backup ready to go with the full offense and not just bland, no-risk handoffs? Clearly, UW seemed to know every play from TT was going to be a handoff to the back and they were ready and waiting. The falloff from Bo to Ty was like falling off a cliff. A high cliff. The backup's play chart looks like it has 2 plays.
Still, I'm only asking the question. I don't blame the loss on this. The Pass Def is so dismal that O was going to be playing from behind most of the game. And they were. Then when they did get ahead, they couldn't stay there.
Yeah it's a fair question, DL is being held to a high standard. What I don't understand is why Butters hasn't taken a single snap in garbage time despite how poorly TT has looked. Butters looked to me like he outperformed TT in the spring game.
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Lanning inherited this QB situation and brought in Nix, who has been an unqualified success this year. It' a big ask to go from no serviceable QBs to a star and a good backup in one off-season.
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Pretty much sums it up, but agree with others we had to go for it on that last fourth down with TT in. It's been a high percentage conversion and our defense couldn't stop the fuskies anyway (not to mention how sketchy our punts have been). If Whittington doesn''t slip, we probably convert, just a bad bounce.
Also agree we had to take that last field goal after Nix got hurt. No way TT converts on that fourth down.
Speaking of TT, this loss is not on him he was put in a near impossible situation. All hindsight now, but Lanning's decision to not call a time out at that critical juncture may have cost us the game (or at least overtime).
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Just saw the headline (not an O-Live subscriber), either Oregon-Utah or USC-UCLA will be in the ESPN 7:30 night slot. So much for exposure.
Bring on Amazon!
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I've watched a couple of the NFL Prime streaming broadcasts, their quality is top-notch (of course if your internet bandwidth sucks then so does your feed). It's the future, for the Pac-12 the question is when and how deep do we want to get in with this contract. I don't give Dodd's numbers any credence whatsoever, but I do agree we have a lot of things working against us for linear broadcast rights. ESPN is likely the only serious bidder, Fox is tapped out with the B1G and B12 contracts. NBC is all in with the Domers, so that only leaves CBS as a substantial potential bidder against ESPN.
Personally I would rather see Pac-12 games streamed during midday or prime time slots than a whole bunch of night broadcasts on ESPN that nobody outside of the west coast bothers to watch anyway. Choosing streaming money or exposure is a false choice IMHO. Anybody with an internet connection could watch Pac-12 streamed games, we don't know how many actually will, but we already know the ESPN night games give us minimal exposure.
Going all in with Amazon would probably be a mistake at this time, but as a deep-pocketed second bidder it seems like a no-brainer to me especially since we can throw in Pac-12 Network production.
GK says he is confident we can beat the B12's deal, I'm inclined to believe him.
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I generally disregard anything coming from Dennis Dodd. He never has anything positive to say about the Pac-12.
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If we are 1-loss conference champ, the odds are we'll go to the CFP. The Georgia loss just took away our margin for error. Clearly that loss, as horrific as it was, doesn't skew the CFP committee that much. We are the second highest 1-loss team and Tennessee has beaten Alabama and LSU. Why is UCLA, a 1-loss team whose only loss is to Oregon not ranked in the top-ten? (well maybe after the new standings come out)? Their OOC schedule was complete and total garbage. SOS still matters.
I"m glad we play teams like Georgia, but we need home and home series, not one-offs on their turf.
I just can't wait for the CFP expansion so a 2-loss conference champion can still get in.
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I'm going with Occam's razor here, he doesn't look ready to run the offense because he isn't.
Will he be ready next year is the question. Nothing I'm seeing leads me to believe that is the case. Hope I'm wrong though, I would love to see a real QB competition between TT, Butters and Moore next year.
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I'm superstitious, I don't want to see all the talk about DL leaving turn into a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Sure we've heard this all before, but as far as I'm concerned we take him at his word and make him feel welcome.
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Seems contrary to GK's timeline, but DP is pretty legit so I'd give this some credence.
After all the B12 moves we've seen lately, I think it's important for the P12 to show some forward movement. This be patient, we're all sticking together stance loses validity the longer it drags on.
Best case for the Pac-12, UCLA stays and we keep the LA market plus add San Diego. That could give us a decent shot at good TV deal.
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Well, Bo Didn't Say No...
in Our Beloved Ducks
Posted
Bo's a smart guy, he's not going to fall for that one.
That said, the odds of him staying are way down after KD's departure IMHO. I would be amazed if he came back.