EastBayDuckDad

Two Beck picks and Louisville can't capitalize. 14-10 at the 2:00 'time out'. Bummer

Louisville throwing the entire playbook at the U. Three QB wildcat sets, fake field goal and a tush push. Mari-no-O not happy.

Oof, my fingers are still burning from last week's prediction. But, here we go.. Ducks 42-20 1TO 3 Sacks 245 yds passing Air yards are this low because I hope OBD does a ground and pound on Rutgers. Something that was a week late in coming. Something Tony Soprano would be proud of and Jersey mobster Tony Provenzano probably did to Jimmy Hoffa.

I'd love nothing more than to see PSU pull what UCLALA pulled on them against Indiana or do a Michigan on Bucknutt. It could happen.

While the home loss to Indiana was a major disappointment on a number of levels, there is an upside to having your butt kicked and your hat handed to you. There are no longer any excuses for complacency. Last year a 6-5 Michigan team that was a nearly three touchdown underdog went into the 'Shoe and beat the Buckeyes 13-10. Ohio State was the much better team on paper, at home and only a play at Autzen away from being undefeated. The OSU fanbase was apoplectic and calling for Ryan Day's head. Something happened in the Bucknut locker room after that embarrassing (much worse than Oregon falling to Indiana) loss. Coaches and players stepped up and fixed what was wrong. We all know what happened next. What matters is how DL, the coaches, the players and their leaders respond to this setback. I just can't see things going the way of Penn State. Rutgers needs to be a get right game and I believe it will be.

EweDub QB fumbles on the 3 yd line after a 90+ yd drive, then the Fusky DBs can't stay with the Rutgers WRs. At least the D-line is holding it's own led by Matayo's cousin held them to a FG.

Cue the Prime 'Depends' commercial

I would humbly disagree that Sabs wasn't great last time. And my guess is that she has at least a good passing knowledge of football given that she sleeps with a former Oregon and NFL center every night.

Oregon 34-21 1 TO 3 Sacks 275 yds passing The right side of Indiana's O-line has some issues. Matayo, Tatum and the edges will pressure Mendoza and get home at least twice IF the Ducks put IU in a position where they have to pass because the run D makes the RPO less effective.

Looks like ESPN is bringing Sabrina back to be guest picker. Gotta love that! https://duckswire.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/ducks/football/2025/10/09/oregon-ducks-espn-college-gameday-guest-picker-selection/86585383007/

Watched the Indiana v Iowa game and noted that #74 (RG) and #75 (RT) had some serious issues with edge rushers and handling the blitz. They run blocked well but the entire line had pass pro problems that Oregon should be able to exploit. On defense I saw a lot of soft zone that Iowa, not exactly a stellar passing team, found holes in, particularly for the TEs over the middle and WR out routes. If Iowa's starting QB Gronowski had stayed in the game for the last two series, I believe they would have won the game. Indiana has a few vulnerabilities that are ripe for the picking on Saturday.

Extra special sweet as Browning was the Fusky QB that laid 70 on Oregon in Autzen in 2016. Worst home loss I've ever watched, even if freshman Justin Herbert showed flashes of what he would become. Oregon had won 12 straight over the leg lifters. Fusky ran up the score and Browning taunted the crowd while scoring just for good measure. Classy. Karma is a b*tch

Yep, they have dropped from -10.5 to as low as -7.5 on BetMGM this morning. If you take away the -3 Oregon gets for hosting at Autzen, at worst there is still a -4.5 spread.in the minds of bettors. Not necessarily the pro money, but the betting public in general. So as least a FG but not as much as a TD. The biggest concern for Duck fans is will the team be focused. I doubt the betting odds weigh much in DL's game prep and team messaging. The upset fever set by last Saturday, particularly the face plant by PSU, could be a blessing as I can't see OBD overlooking this game or coming in without something to prove.

In a word, the motivation for PE to pay 'higher than market' rates is growth. If the investment in B1G results in growth of the product (media contracts, etc), then that investment is more like an equity than a debt instrument (say, AAA bond, which is just a promise to repay the loan at a set interest rate). Thus the motivation to pay a bit more, even if you are angling for the best possible deal at the same time.

I agree, the OBD White Out win is diminished. Not because of what I think, thank goodness, but because of the system. There is ZERO excuse for PSU to lose in LA today while looking feeble in the process. You do not get a hangover loss in CFB. PSU Will Win The Natty Nits, will lose in Columbus, at home against Indiana, possibly at Iowa, and one more game. This team, for whatever reason or no reason, is simply not that good. Lose the LOS to OBD? OK. Lose the LOS to UCLA? PSU, along with Clemson and Texas, is one of the 2025 Emperor Has No Clothes teams. Jim Knowles no longer has Caleb Downs et al to move around his chessboard.

Still a good win last week in spite of this massive screw up by PSU. It changes nothing as Oregon just needs to win every week. Go Ducks, hose the Hoosiers!

There's the UCLA we know and love. Two big sacks of Nico then a blocked punt and TD recovery. Penn St woke up at the half, even after giving up a fumble by their freshman TE on the first possession. 27-21 UCLA

Bama, Texas and Penn St all trailing, upset Saturday? Allar doesn't look good and PSU keeps veering away from a successful run game. UCLA getting some push on their o-line and Nico has made a couple good throws. Now 24-7 UCLA. The PSU defense looks bad. Did OBD break them? At this rate the Oregon win gets significantly devalued

Between Hughes and Lamar, I think Hughes has the higher upside even if Lamar has more experience in the offense. A backfield rotation of Hill, Davison, Lamar and Hughes might be enough to keep him in Eugene for 2026 if Dink and Harris elect to move on. There has been some speculation that Offert and Hughes are a brother package and that keeping Offert is a staff priority, even if he uses a redshirt this year. I am hopeful that Hughes stays put and gives himself a big leg up for next season.

Capitalism is risk and private equity is an integral part of that risk diversification. Jon noted several huge and now publicly owned companies that received PE boosts during their 20th century startup phases. Add 21st century successes like Spotify, Uber, Fanatics, DocuSign, Shopify, AirBnB to that list. Not to mention the 800# gorillas Facebook (Meta) and Twitter (X). A significant majority of the universities that importantly figure in CFB are state run enterprises. We have seen how that management and fiscal wisdom sometimes works out: PAC12 demise. This is not to make an economic or political statement on state run vs private run entities, as billions of dollars of private money have been dumped into fruitless holes in the ground. It is merely to point out that PE is not to be feared or avoided simply because that part of the deal is focused on return to investors. Of course the PE suits will push for the best deal they can get. The negotiators for B1G are not babes in the woods that will give away the farm. They are not total fools like Larry Scott. Remember that Petitti's background is law, media and MLB, all hardnosed private enterprises. I imagine that he and the B1G negotiators know what they are doing so I would give them the benefit of the doubt as these proposals get fleshed out.

Yep, seems like more than coincidence.... On the flip side, the CFP gave Oregon too many last December leading up to Pasadena: Bye, bye....BYE! Conspiracy!

While I would agree that this edition didn't have the impact of some of the previous ones (think Colorado in 2023, Ohio St @ Autzen and Michigan last year), there was a quiet determination for most of it. It matched the 'thousand cuts' theme of wearing Penn State down over four quarters, showing the team's preparation and how the coaches create that buy in. Slow and steady, until the explosion in OT. Then it slowed down again with what I consider one of the best brief scenes of the entire series: Dierre Hill embracing Kenyon Barner after the game as the torch is passed from one great Duck to the next. Not every Ducks vs Them needs the fireworks that Happy Valley used to try and intimidate OBD as they stood waiting to take the field. The quiet determination on this video was a reflection of what we all saw in Dante's face during one of the best victories I can recall in my almost 40 years as a Duck fan.

As always, a polished and inspired production. My favorite moment was toward the end where Dierre Hill embraces Kenyon Barner with small knowing smiles on both men's faces. The passing of the torch.

Drum roll please, and prepare to crash Dish, Verizon, Starlink, DirectTV, Spectrum, Xfinity, CenturyLink, Cox and all internet feeds at 0930!