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I expected to see the betting line move from OBD +3.5 closer to +7.5 throughout the week. It hasn't budged. Given Beaver Stadium and Whiteout, 3.5 points indicates most think this baby is a toss-up on a neutral field. If this game were in Autzen, I think the Ducks could beat a 7.5 point spread. So, can our young guns handle the environment? All of the pressure is on PSU..... Bye week before the game to prepare. Home Field Advantage. Whiteout. If PSU loses, the narratives get ugly for Franklin. If the Ducks lose and stay close, we come out with head held high and live for another day. Franklin puckers in big games, Dan is a riverboat gambler. I think we start a little slow, adjust and take control at the start of the 4th quarter. Ducks run out the clock to preserve a 5 point win. Special teams will play a role. Thieneman balls out.

32-23 Ducks 2TO 3Sacks 292 passing yards

In listening to some podcasts this week, Allar's stats don't blow people away. He's usually a 200-yard per game guy with few throws over 20 yds. I think Thieneman has a big day in the box both run support and disrupting short crossing routes. Make Allar beat us...if he does, he's the Heisman frontrunner and you tip your hat to him.

Oregon State v Houston. Does the Beaver nightmare come true and they start the season 0-5? We'll find out soon!

Charles I love this graphic. Franklin looks angry. But Lanning's smile.makes him look like the one you Don't want to cross. Hoping to see some mafan Dan this weekend!

Got some good ones tonight, with Florida State vs. Virginia, and then at 6:00 PM PST...we have Arizona State vs. TCU. (Dilly-Dilly!) Big ones on Saturday!

*Ducks *32-31…Lanning goes for 2 instead of sending the game to O.T. *3 sacks, Matayo is a beast *1 T.O. *288 yards passing

I have faith that Dan and Tosh are focusing heavily on shutting down the run this week. The will come up with a game plan to sour the Penn State bread and butter run game and for Drew to try to beat us with his arm.

Ducks win 41-13 1 sack 3 turnovers 333 passing yards

Mighty Ducks win 24-13 2 TO 2 Sacks 324

Penn State 35-17 1 TO 0 sacks 278 pass yds

21 20 Ducks 1 2 TOs 220 yards passing

I really think this is the entire game. We will score some points, I don't think we'll score like we did in the Championship game, but we'll score enough to win. It will be if we can hold the PSU run game to under 175 yards or so. The closer we've come to game time the more optimistic I've gotten. Allar is just not a great QB, he's fine, but I believe our secondary is better than last year, and I don't think Penn St. has upgraded enough at the WR positions to overcome losing Warren in the pass game. I also have become more positive over generating a pass rush with Tuioti and Matayo U. I am a little worried that our scheme is not designed well to counter the heavy rush approach of Penn St. We very rarely focus on the run, the Mint scheme is more about holding in check the passing game than it is loading the box and stopping heavy rushing attacks, our lines will need to buck up and set the edge well. Reading this week it seems Penn St. is rushing more to the outside which would mirror what they did to us in the Championship game, can our edges hold up is the question?

PSU 28-27 1 TO 2 Sacks 315 yds passing I so want to be wrong here, but I think this is OBD and Dante's trial by fire that comes up one point short. Oregon plays well and beats the spread but doesn't get the outright win. Tight enough to only drop the Ducks by a place or two in the polls. Then Oregon misses the B1G CG, but runs the table ala Ohio St. last year, gets a home CFP first round game and beats PSU in the semis.

Ducks 34-31 1 Turnover 3 Sacks 307 Passing Yards

Oregon 28 - 24 2 TOs 2 sacks 290 yds passing

Good stuff. Thanks for sharing. I will just add that Dante Moore with a 5" (or so) height advantage over Dillon Gabriel makes these throws a little easier (assuming he makes the right read). Go Ducks!!!

This is great stuff as the analyst takes examples from his two years at Oregon and some from his time UTSA as OC there.

After our last two big games against TOSU and Penn State, my guess is our talent is there and Dan Lanning will have our DUCKS better prepared this year. I think the big mismatch will be Drew Aller vs Dante Moore. I would guess we will try to get Drew Aller rattled early. My pure fan based guess is also that Austin Novosad is better than Drew Aller as well should his services be required (hopefully not).

OREGON 35-17 3 2 303 Nit-Picker Tears? BUCKETS!

From all accounts it's a more difficult place to play compared to those that you mentioned. Michigan is not a difficult place to play, it's too spread out, no roof, the fans are not exactly known for noise. Ohio St. is better, but it is also not known for huge amounts of noise. UW is probably the only place we've played where noise is definitely a factor, they have good fans when the team is good, the renovations have moved the fans closer, you have the huge roofs keeping the sound in, and from what I've heard the water also helps some. Great environment there when the Huskies are good.

Oregon 42-6 3 TO 4 sacks 355 yds passing GO DUCKS!!

Yeah, I'd crowd the box a bit. Throw in a few creative blitzes also, including run blitzes into PS's favored running gaps. From what I've seen the PS O line is good at holding their blocks, but as someone else said, not so good at actually moving people around. Often their backs have bounced around trying two or three holes before finding one they can get through for a good gain. Working with their hands and getting off blocks quickly will help, but also the line playing their techniques and keeping blocker off of the line backers will free up the backers to make plays. While PS's defense has played well their offense has not impressed me at all so far, running or passing.

Here is Hythology's analysis of Penn State from Addicted to Quack. He is very good and this is very detailed. Addicted To QuackDuck Tape: Film Analysis of Penn State Football 2025A preview of Oregon’s week 5 opponent in State College

Gotta keep my streak of worst predictions going, so... Ducks 85 Nittanies 4 1/3 5 TO 4.56 sacks 8 inches passing