Charles Fischer Administrator No. 1 Share Posted October 2, 2022 FG Lumber nailed the point spread of 18 points with his 35-17 score. Thus using the criteria of the past--he wins. But EastBayDuckDad had a score that was pretty close at 48-27 (vs. 45-27 actual) but his spread was 21 points. Mic, 45-24, was also 21, and Krsmqn, 38-18 was close at 20 points. If you were deciding...who would you declare the winner, and why? Mr. FishDuck Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Log Haulin No. 2 Share Posted October 2, 2022 EBDD almost nailed the score. Winner in my book 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red Eddy Green No. 3 Share Posted October 2, 2022 Until the last 1:03 I was the leader with a spread of 25. Dang the backups for allowing the tree to score. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrJacksPlaidPants Moderator No. 4 Share Posted October 2, 2022 See who got closest with TO’s, sacks and passing yards. Add those factors into the equation. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Hilarius Moderator No. 5 Share Posted October 2, 2022 I think the closest to the actual score is more important than the point spread. EBBD and mic tie for first. On to the tie breakers… 3 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Kamikaze Kid Moderator No. 6 Share Posted October 2, 2022 What about an equation of point spread plus total points scored? The contestant with the lowest number off wins. The game had an 18 point spread with 72 points scored. With this formula, let’s see who would win. Score: 45-27 18 spread 72 total points FG Lumber: 35-17 18. (0) 52 (20), 0+20= 20 ebdd: 48-27 19 (1), 75 (3), 1+3= 4 mic: 45-24 19 (1), 79 (7), 1+7 = 8 krsqvn: 38-18 20 (2), 56 (16), 2+16 = 18 This formula gives these results. 1. ebdd 4 off from perfect 2. mic 8 off 3. krsqvn 18 4. FG Lumber 20 Bake this formula into an Excel spreadsheet equation and the answers should self generate to avoid all the math. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
florida duck No. 7 Share Posted October 3, 2022 I think closest to game score, then on to tie breaker ebdd my winner 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven A Moderator No. 8 Share Posted October 3, 2022 Way to open a can of worms. I agree with KKids algorithm, but I think rules are rules, so Congrats FG Lumber. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Desert Duck No. 9 Share Posted October 3, 2022 (edited) On 10/2/2022 at 10:29 AM, Charles Fischer said: FG Lumber nailed the point spread of 18 points with his 35-17 score. Thus using the criteria of the past--he wins. But EastBayDuckDad had a score that was pretty close at 48-27 (vs. 45-27 actual) but his spread was 21 points. Mic, 45-24, was also 21, and Krsmqn, 38-18 was close at 20 points. If you were deciding...who would you declare the winner, and why? I predicted Oregon 44-24, so I like my final score numbers best But the rest of my numbers were atrocious. Of the three final score numbers you list, I'd go with EastBayDuckDad because his numbers were closest to each teams final score numbers (total point differential of 3). FG Lumber was way off on each team's final score numbers, even though he had the closest spread number. Edited October 3, 2022 by Desert Duck Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Desert Duck No. 10 Share Posted October 3, 2022 On 10/2/2022 at 10:39 AM, Red Eddy Green said: Until the last 1:03 I was the leader with a spread of 25. Dang the backups for allowing the tree to score. Sorry... but that's your fault for not taking into consideration playing time for the backups 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Desert Duck No. 11 Share Posted October 3, 2022 On 10/2/2022 at 11:52 AM, Dr Hilarius said: I think the closest to the actual score is more important than the point spread. EBBD and mic tie for first. On to the tie breakers… Exactly. That's why my 44-24 prediction needs to enter the discussion And when I predicted Nix would pass for 369 yards, I think what I meant was that we would rush for 369 yards. Yeah, that's the ticket. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastBayDuckDad Moderator No. 12 Share Posted October 3, 2022 (edited) I don't bet on sports, but for once I wish I had taken the Ducks on points and the over. Had the score pretty close but way off on TOs and passing yards, though I like the idea of maybe trading the latter out for total Nix yards. A lot closer to my prediction, then. Rules for a tie breaker maybe not such a bad idea.. Edited October 3, 2022 by EastBayDuckDad Liked it more Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDuck No. 13 Share Posted October 3, 2022 EBDD Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Hilarius Moderator No. 14 Share Posted October 3, 2022 Actual Ducks 45 Furd 27 @EastBayDuckDad Ducks 48 (delta 3) Furd 27 (delta 0) total delta = 3 @Mic Ducks 45 (delta 0) Furd 24 (delta 3) total delta = 3 @FG Lumber Ducks 35 (delta 10) Furd 17 (delta 10) total delta = 20 IMHO, the official “we-won-by-x-TDs” is harder to get perfect but is a less accurate picture of how the game was played. 1 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
