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Tandaian

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Everything posted by Tandaian

  1. I think head to head should be part of the process, but it obviously can't be the whole process. If it were, then Texas A&M should be ranked higher than Alabama. Then Arkansas and Mississippi St. should be ranked ahead of both Texas A&M and Alabama. It would also mean Stanford should be ranked ahead of Oregon. I also think how the game was played matters as well. Oregon was "dominating" tOSU the whole game. MSU I'd argue snuck out a win vs Michigan. I'd say those are two very different wins. B1G Ten refs also confirmed they messed up on a call late in the game, that helped MSU win. MSU won at home, while Oregon won on the road. I wouldn't like it, but if tOSU wins out, I have no doubt they will be ahead of Oregon in the final rankings. They have played a much more challenging schedule than the Ducks. Head to head should matter when everything else is equal, but their SOS is much greater than the Ducks. Good thing we have 4 more games to go to work everything out.
  2. Way too many games to play the what if game, but it is fun. Worst case for the Ducks: Georgia loses to Alabama in the SEC championship game, so both are 12-1. Oklahoma wins out and one of the B1G Ten teams finishes 12-1. Cincinnati is NOT going to be ahead of a 12-1 P5 team or 11-1 ND. Ducks 12-1 > 11-1 ND. I'd say Ducks 12-1 > 12-1 Big 12 team as well as long as tOSU wins out. If they lose a game, then that great win is that much less. If Georgia beats Alabama, then the Ducks are for sure in if they win out. A 2 loss Alabama team isn't getting in ahead of any 12-1 P5 champion. I can't remember the last time everything "went according to plan" for the top 5 or 6 teams this early in November.
  3. I'm not a huge fan of Mario, but here is what he has accomplished as the Oregon head coach. Won 2 Pac 12 championships, which is tied for 2nd behind Chip. His 33 wins is tied for 6th all time. His winning percentage is 2nd all time. He isn't just only a recruiter. One might say Oregon doesn't have football history, so his accomplishments don't mean as much. I feel they should mean that much more because it is hard to win at Oregon. Mario is a flawed head coach for sure, but to think the Ducks can get a new HC better is not a sure thing.
  4. I'm concerned about our clock management and use of time outs. It is inexcusable what MC did at the end of the 1st half. He called 2 time outs that could have turned out terrible for the Ducks. I can be OK with the 1st TO since we were near midfield, but then run 2 straight times? If you are going to call 2 TOs, you are trying to score and not run out the clock. You have to throw it once in that position.
  5. I know nobody likes computers for rankings, but the AAC is ranked #11 in Jeff Sagarin conference rankings. Houston and SMU are good teams, but overall the AAC is not on the level of a P5 conference. Even as poor as the ACC and Pac 12 are playing, the conferences on the whole are much stronger. Top 6 teams from each conference. I would have placed Cincy at #4, but moved them out as their SOS got worse and worse. Only Arizona and Colorado have a ranking over 100. ACC only Duke is over 100. AAC has 4 teams over 100 and Tulsa at #97. http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm Pac 12 ACC AAC Oregon #15 Wake #16 Cincinnati #6 Utah #22 Clemson #18 SMU #39 ASU #34 Pitt #20 Houston #41 UCLA #40 NC ST. #25 UCF #56 UW #45 Miami #37 Memphis #85 OSU #49 Virginia #44 East Carolina #88
  6. I think Cincy will be #4. They have a better win than both Alabama and Oklahoma at this point. Give the G5 people some hope, but as the season plays out and the strength of schedule becomes more of a factor, they will drop if the P5 schools keep winning. I see Oregon being ranked ahead of tOSU for this initial ranking, but not if they both win out.
  7. When I watch a game that is a blow out and it doesn't include the Ducks, it is boring.
  8. It is interesting, Lake pretty much said Oregon kids are dumb, yet he is recruiting the same kids as we are. He doesn't want people to look at the product on the field.
  9. I'm not really fine with standing pat, but looking at the teams willing to move to the Pac 12, meh. Also, not really willing to go the Conference USA route and have schools all over the country. I wouldn't have been against BYU, Texas Tech, Baylor, TCU, and/or Houston joining the Pac 12, but I'm not upset we didn't go that direction. We'll see what happens with the next round of TV contracts. You do make a good point about recruiting for the rest of the conference. They stink and having a college in Texas would likely help the conference and when Mario eventually leaves help the Ducks.
  10. I get it, but having more isn't always better. Big 12 TV contract is going to be way less than Pac 12. Even if the Pac 12 would have invited any from the 4: Baylor, Texas Tech, Oklahoma St., TCU, Kansas, Kansas St., Houston, SMU, etc. It would not have been a boost to the Pac 12. If those teams mattered for TV dollars, Texas and Oklahoma wouldn't have left. Houston and SMU would have previously been invited into the Big 12. Houston is trending the wrong way as well for home attendance. Was at 38,000 in 2015 and was down to 25,000 in 2019. Not sure how much we can take this season, but they are down to an average of below 24,000 this year. https://www.ncaa.org/championships/statistics/ncaa-football-attendance Only Washington State has home attendance average that low. B1G TEN and SEC will always be the top 2. Their fans and school alumni base are huge. ACC, Big 12 and Pac 12 will jockey for 3rd. I have a feeling the Pac 12 will actually be consistently #3 after Texas and Oklahoma leave the Big 12. What each team was paid in 2020. 1. Big Ten: $54.3 million2. SEC: $45.5 million3. Big 12: ~$38 million4. Pac-12: $33.6 million5. ACC: ~$33 million The ACC locked into a 20 year deal in 2016 for 4.8 billion. That is an average of 240 mil per year. The Pac 12 signed their old contract for 12 years for 3 billion, which is 250 mil per year. The Big 12's current contract pays 200 mil a year. From a recruiting stand point, it would be nice, but not sure how much more we can ask for when these are our last 5 recruiting class rankings according to Rivals. 2021 #3 2020 #9 2019 #7 2018 #13 2017 #18
  11. It looked like Moorehead was in charge of the offense against UCLA. If we can keep it that way, I'm cautiously optimistic we will win out.
  12. Definitely need more information. Saying a person needs to reduce their body fat percentage from 16 to 13 is curious. If you are under 20, you are in fantastic shape. Every body is different, so trying to get somebody down another 3% might not be possible.
  13. I have been a season ticket holder for the Ducks for 15 years. This wasn't the first time the home fans booed the home team. It won't be the last time. However, it isn't a habit by the home fans by any means. I lived in Philadelphia and I have friends who still live there. You want to talk about a tough home crowd, watch a season of their games. Really, watch a season of any east coast professional team that isn't doing well. There used to be a saying, you can't boo college athletes because they are not paid professionals. Well, that is no longer the case. They might not be deemed professionals, but they certainly are getting paid. Booing isn't classless or poor sportsmanship. It is part of the game. It is up to each individual person on whether they choose to boo or cheer. I'm not sure if the home fans will boo Mario again this season, but I'm leaning towards no.
  14. Best or 2nd best game by AB. Depends on what you think when he played vs tOSU. It is nice to see a willingness to do something different on offense. Both INTs were terrible decisions. Keep up with the differing offensive scheme and I like our chances to win out. Still playing down to competition, but that is MC shtick.
  15. ESPN GameDay will be at the Rose Bowl. The Ducks are 15-11 for these games and are 2-1 against UCLA for these games. Hopefully, the Ducks keep a winning record vs UCLA on GameDays.
  16. Oklahoma fans don't complain about being beaten up continually in the playoffs. It isn't like professional sports where you have a worse draft pick. Making the playoffs will help with recruiting. Unless, the Ducks play like they did in Columbus, they will lose in the playoffs. However, the Ducks have shown what they can do, so there is always that glimmer of hope.
  17. As I was watching college football on Saturday, I noticed quite a few short yardage situations, where the pistol plunge worked for other colleges. However, that was their mix it up running play, instead of being the 10th time the team ran the play that day. The sign of insanity is to do the same thing over and over and expect a different result. The best offensive game call this year was at Ohio State. The Ducks running plays were extremely varied that day. As has been said multiple times, do something the defense is expecting. That is playing smarter.
  18. I know the SEC have the most players drafted in the NFL, but I'd like to see the percentage of players per conference who are there for a second contract. I think the SEC is a very good conference, but I don't think they are much better than every other conference. They do a much better job of having a pecking order. They don't eat each other up in conference play. They usually have 1-3 being that much better than everybody else and not losing to teams they shouldn't lose to.
  19. We are all used to the Ducks finding the banana peel. Texas A&M beat Alabama 41-38, but only beat Colorado 10-7? College kids are inconsistent is what it says.
  20. Sad days. I didn't even think of that. If Stanford wins out, they win the North. Even if the Ducks were to win out, they wouldn't be conference champions if Stanford doesn't lose another game. I guess we could get the whole tOSU vs Penn St. debate of 2016, but the Pac 12 would have to have a solid pecking order of good teams vs bad teams.
  21. Jonathan Smith is 13-23, 9-18 in the Pac 12, as a head coach for the Beavers. Not exactly a reason to hitch your wagon to the hype train he is getting. 4-1 is a great start, but let's see if he can have a winning season first, then back to back winning seasons. Mario is 29-11, 17-8 as the Oregon head coach. He has back to back Pac 12 championships and 1 Rose Bowl win. I'm absolutely not 100% happy with Mario, but as many bells and whistles Oregon has, it is still a very hard place to attract the top coaches. Any established coach at a top football program isn't going to come to Oregon. We'd need to find another Chip Kelly that is not established.
  22. I'm of the philosphy of never leave points in the first half or go chasing points in the first half. Ducks needed to kick the FG just before half time. I understand it is the butterfly effect of, if they kick that FG, the game changes. However, I assume the rest of the game essentially plays out the same because it was so close to the end of the 1st half. Tons of could have, would have, should have in the 4th quarter for the Ducks.
  23. I think the Oregon women will win their 1st game, but lose in the 2nd round. The guys got a tough draw with their likely 2nd round opponent in Iowa. The Ducks have nobody who will be able to guard Garza.
  24. It is all about the money. The conference tournament is an easy way for conferences to make even more money. I think it is a bit silly for .500 or below to win their conference bid, but those are the rules. We love Cinderella runs, but in the end it doesn't matter. Villanova in 1985 was the lowest seed ever to win the tournament as the 8 seed. They were in a stacked Big East back then and were ranked in the top 20 for most of the season. All it does is bump out another medicore team.

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