2002duck

Will one have to? There could be significant backlash. I used to be a HUGE Portland Timbers fan. I was a season ticket holder for many years, and I watched every game, home or away, when I moved away from Portland. The Timbers are not having a good season, and the timing of MLS moving all of their games to Apple+ TV (except two national games each week out of like 32), I find myself NEVER watching them play unless they happen to be playing on national TV. I went from from a 100/100 fan in Portland, to a 90/100 fan in Eugene, and now a 15/100 fan now that they are on Apple+ TV. Apple is the only service I don't have (my own or sharing), and out of spite I refuse to pay for it. I'm not going to play the "have every service game". I still have cable, and I won't get rid of it. I'm not behind on times- I have 5 smart TV's, and I still have a Chromecast when other streaming issues pop up. I just don't like it. I don't like Amazon Prime Thursday night football. I like channel surfing- and yes, 30 to 45 seconds to switch from my TV's Prime app to cable or another channel during a time out is too long, ha! I'm not alone there either. I go on NFL game threads on Reddit, and everyone hates not being able to channel surf. The masses need to shun the streamers. It's possible to keep old tech! I don't have a smart shovel or a smart rake (yet)!

Which makes Oregon's exclusion in this round all the more painful. I do not begrudge FOX or the B1G for "stealing" USC and UCLA. Like Michael Corleone said, "It's not personal, it's strictly business." Above all, I have very, very little faith in live sports streaming being successful (or profitable) in the near future. And by near future, I mean up to even 20 years. Regular TV works for sports and makes so much money because it is convenient, and also because it rakes in big dollars from third party advertisers. Streaming networks often don't even have ads. I don't work for Wieden + Kennedy or anything, but I love ads everywhere in America because it is free money from large corporations that subsidizes the sports and entertainment industries, and even keeps everyday goods cheaper because of forced competition. So, I am rooting for the TV ad choo-choo train to continue. Soon enough, Apple and Amazon will realize that their little sports experiment isn't drawing in enough new subscribers. Or the contracts they are paying leagues are not worth the acquisition cost- at least. And let's not forget all the data that will show that customers always cancel their service whenever their sports league season ends. So, I hope Apple TV+ and Amazon Prime TV get squashed much sooner than the next round of negotiation. If they don't, then I hope they begin their great experiment after Oregon is in the B1G- that way there will be no "take backsies"- and our future will be set. As for the rest of the PAC when we leave? Well, as as cousin Greg said in Succession, "If it is to be said, so it be, so it is."

I'll make it easy for you. There was a big write-up on this by the fantastic folks at fivethirtyeight.com last August: First Tier Candidates: Notre Dame (You don't want to read about that, though) Second Tier Candidates: "North Carolina, Oregon, Florida State, Washington. I call these no-brainers because they all rate as at least average relative to current Big Ten members. Why does that matter? Well, the Big Ten faces somewhat conflicting incentives. On the one hand, it wants to expand the pie as much as possible. There’s no harm in adding a TV household in Seattle just because you already have one in Des Moines. On the other hand, it does sometimes need to divide that pie. Of course, this can be subject to negotiation: whether new members get a full share when the conference signs a huge TV contract. But you run some risk of dilution if a school takes from the league more than it brings in. I don’t think that’s a risk with these four schools. For one thing, as I mentioned, they all have at least average overall ratings relative to current Big Ten members. And they all have above average market ratings (the average market rating among current Big Ten members, plus UCLA and USC, is 59). To some extent, the other categories would probably also improve over time.15 North Carolina, Oregon and Washington are also schools that fit the paradigmatic Big Ten template of public flagship schools which are AAU members and the dominant college brands in their states. Beyond that, there are some variations on a theme. Oregon has the lowest U.S. News ranking and the smallest enrollment of these schools, but the best sports program. Washington brings the Seattle market and 47,400 students. Both schools would also provide natural rivals to USC and UCLA. North Carolina’s position might be more surprising here, given that it wasn’t on The Action Network’s short list. But in many ways, it’s comparable to Oregon and Washington, or perhaps even a superior option in some respects. North Carolina is a big state and getting bigger, UNC has improved on the gridiron to the point where it’s at least usually making bowl games, and it’s excellent in the non-football sports. Florida State isn’t in the AAU, but it has a pretty good academic ranking and a huge enrollment. I’d put it like this: if you think Notre Dame is a good enough fit for the Big Ten because of its other attributes, then Florida State has to qualify as well; it has a better fit rating than Notre Dame, in fact. And it has the second-best market rating after Notre Dame." However the Big Ten wants to approach things, it’s clear that its days as a concentrated group of Midwestern schools are over. The SEC versus Big Ten arms race is on. The only question is which side of the battle lines your school lands on — if it’s invited to the fight at all." Where Should The Big Ten Expand Next? We Crunched The Numbers. | FiveThirtyEight FIVETHIRTYEIGHT.COM Which schools should the Big Ten poach next?

Well, there is something to be said about the motivation in a bowl game for a 9-3 team in a powerhouse conference. Three losses is pretty steep. I'd call that a failed season, and that goes for the Ducks in whatever conference they are playing in- unless they have a first year head coaching situation on their hands.

I, for one, hope Deion and Colorado go 0-12 this season. I'll still tune in to watch all of their games on national TV/cable, just like I'll watch every USC game when they get good matchups in the B1G- to see them lose!

SDSU should negotiate a deal with the Mountain West where they can get a large refund if they bail before June 30th but come back with their tail between their legs because the Pac didn't work out for them this summer.

Oregon just needs to make sure TT isn't allowed on the men's 4X100M relays. I kid, I kid.

Speaking of projections, when exactly is our new Hayward Field supposed to pay off in the recruiting department?

Oregon had Georgia in the first week, which helped us a lot more than ND helped USC in viewers. USC also got the Pac-12 Championship game- so that kept them close. A lot of it will be that many people will tune in to see USC play the Michigan's and the Ohio State's of the B1G. I know I'll be watching. Not to say people won't do the same when Oregon moves east. Lots of fans (like myself) will want to tune in to see USC lose, and for Oregon to win (or lose).

Here is more recent data from 2022. Note how I put Rutgers in bold at #58. They got invited to the B1G in recent history. It's all because they are close to the NYC market. Their stadium is under 30 miles to Manhattan, so transplant fans can go root for their team (not Rutgers itself). A lot goes into this stuff. The B1G cares about cornering the LA market, and much less so about UCLA football, for instance. What will help Oregon and Washington go to the B1G isn't just their decent numbers, but because the B1G will want to give USC & UCLA a fairer travel schedule. Also note that UO and USC were virtually tied in viewers this past season. We get excellent viewership across the country, but we don't have a huge market to "conquer": 1) Ohio State — 5.80M Alabama — 5.11M Michigan — 4.37M Tennessee — 4.13M Georgia — 3.50M Notre Dame — 3.30M LSU — 3.22M Texas — 3.06M Penn State — 3.05M Clemson — 2.59M Florida — 2.57M Oregon — 2.21M TCU — 2.20M Southern Cal — 2.07M 15) Florida State — 2.03M 25) UCLA — 1.591M 33) Utah — 1.16M 34) Washington — 1.15M 57) Oregon State — 625K 58) Rutgers — 618K

"The (Big-12) conference’s new TV contract calls for a pro-rata share for any Power 5 expansion members. Additions from the Group of 5 could mean splitting the television revenue by however many programs are added—a potential issue for some officials."- Sports Illustrated May 2023. I guess the issue here is how bad the Pac media deal will be. If Colorado can make a similar amount, or even less in the Big-12, it might be worth it for them to get it over with. I'm in the camp that thinks the Pac is essentially dead, and we are merely being kept alive on life support until someone pulls the plug. The question is, will Colorado be the one to end the misery?

Well, I did say "apparently" because the source was Dennis Dodd!

Deion Sanders apparently said he would like to go to the BIG-12 and make Texas its main recruiting ground. This would be as opposed to staying in the PAC and trying to build upon recruiting in Socal, etc. Nothing stopping him from recruiting in Texas now, but it might be easier to get recruits to commit if the kids can play more games in the Texas area. As of now, Colorado will be playing no games in Texas and no games in Socal (like the rest of us after USC/UCLA leave).

No new news in that article. The way I see it is that it is probably best for everyone in the Pac to stay for another TV deal until Oregon and Washington leave, but that if the TV deal isn't very good, teams bordering BIG-12 territory might as well leave now. I would not begrudge CU & UA if they got it over with and left. I guess The Pac would have to invite SDSU ASAP if that happened.

2023 Division I Baseball Official Bracket | NCAA.com WWW.NCAA.COM The official 2023 College Baseball Bracket for Division I. Includes a printable bracket and links to buy NCAA championship tickets.

That makes sense, and that's kind of sad. Ducks Wire is great- I check everything that is posted from there, as well as going there on my own. Like I said, Trojans Wire always has a vibe of an overprotective sports parent. And I should know that vibe, I purposefully took out a player on a breakaway (before the midline) in a state championship hockey game when I was 17, and the player's dad literally tried to climb into the penalty box to fight me. That's why they have a staff member in penalty boxes, in case anyone wondered.

Is Trojans Wire a legitimate website? It doesn't even appear to allow comments from its base. Seems like a pet project for one or more hotheads. The writer makes proclamations instead of summarizing or speculating. I'm not sure why someone that actually graduated from the University of Southern California would bother reading that type of material.

He's really skinny, and I imagine he would redshirt. Is Oregon good enough to be choosy when it comes to top-150 players, and a 7'1 center? I'm not so sure.

On my Xfinity channel guide the schedule has never strayed from showing a 7pm slot for the Pac-12 Championship game. This is good, because I do not have ESPNU. Anytime the Ducks play on that channel, which happens a bit in basketball, I'm out of luck!

"The Fairness Accountability and Integrity in Representation of College Sports Act (FAIR College Sports Act) would preempt all existing and future state NIL laws, a limitation currently being sought for Congress to address by the NCAA." Ha. So the bill is dead on arrival. Got it.

Throughout this fiasco, writers have often used the language "pennies on the dollar" when referring to what they think ESPN/FOX want to pay for the PAC.

Hmm. I guess I was looking at different sites. That said, I see he's projected to go in the late first round or the early second round after this year, so I suppose you are right. I still think losing Dante Moore was a big deal, though.

If the Ducks are paying (not likely to have been drafted in the top-4 rounds in 2022) Bo Nix $1.5M for a one year "veteran's contract", that means the Ducks have that number in their range going forward for a good QB. So...what is Dante Moore getting at UCLA? What did we offer Moore for his first season, or his projected payouts for subsequent seasons? I ask, because if we're giving Bo Nix $1.5M for one season, we should have just offered a lot more for a "#1 overall draft pick" in Dante Moore. It's rare a "#1 overall draft pick" would want to come to Eugene. Just saying. I still like Bo Nix, though. I would have made it publicly known that if we got Moore, that it would be "an open battle for the starting spot come Fall." Maybe we could have got Moore in that case.

This is such a disaster for the Ducks.

The article only talked about ACC teams going to the B1G, FYI. So, not a good article to read as an Oregone to the B1G fan.